German Weekend

chriscol · Nov 13, 2004

Rec so far this season(pushes recorded as no plays)

1.Bundesliga 35-22 +7.888 units
2.Bundesliga 12-13 -2.908 units
Regionalliga 14-22 -7.784 units

Total 61-57 -2.804 units

Saturday:

1.Bundesliga

Schalke- Berlin: Schalke -0.5,-1 @ 1.935

Schalke is red hot (6 W in row), while Berlin is still struggeling. This is a mismatch IMO with Berlin still overvalued by public. History of this game is amazing: Last Berlin win in Schalke in 1970. Berlin did not score at Schalke in 15 of 22 games since 1974.

Hannover- Mainz: Hannover -0.5 @ 1.75 !! 2 units!!

two teams going in different direction: Hannover stopped a little bit by an away loss to Bayern, but is recently dominant at home and i expect them to be around the top 6 places for a long time. Mainz had a surprizing start in league coming up from 2.Liga. That often happens when "new" team get in some kind of hype. But that is over. They slowly dropped to 7th place now (from2nd) over tzhe recent weeks and away they are anyway not particulary strong.

Gladbach - Nürnberg: Gladbach -0.5 @ 1.86

Dangerous pick, but i have a good feeling here. Gladbach playing much more confident and succesful under their new coach in last 3 weeks. They are strong at home (beat Bayern in last match). Nürnberg is coming of two surprise wins in a row. One of them at home over league leader Wolfsburg. But that gives me a good feeling for a let down today.

Wolfsburg- Stuttgart: Wolfsburg pk @ 1.962

Wolfsburg is still the league leader despite dropping the last 3 away games, but they are amazingly strong at home. Stuttgart is suddenly struggeling big time. they lost 3 games in a row, before getting a home win over lowly rostock last week. the little positive went straight away during midweek's 0-3 cup loss to Bayern in which they appeared to be not even on the pitch.

Regionalliga:

Trying to turn around my record in Regionalliga. No write ups just plays.

2- team parlay: Paderborn win over Münster (1.541) and St.Pauli to win over Wolfsburg (1.45) for a combined 2.234

Hamburg- Uerdingen: Uerdingen to win @3.15

St.Pauli- Wolfsburg: St.Pauli to win @ 1.45 !! 2 units!!

Union Berlin - Braunschweig: Brauschweig to win @ 2.1

BOL to all

chriscol · Nov 13, 2004

Very solid saturday going 6-2 + 4.556

Rec so far this season after Saturday (pushes recorded as no plays)

1.Bundesliga 38-23 +10.210 units
2.Bundesliga 12-13 -2.908 units
Regionalliga 17-23 -5.550 units

Total 67-59 +1.752 units

jwunderdog · Nov 14, 2004

very nice, thank you

chriscol · Nov 14, 2004

Sunday:

1.Bundesliga:

Bochum- München: München -0.5,-1 @ 1.98

München always plays well in Bochum. They are in a must win situation which worked our pretty good last week and they have the same today against lowly Bochum. They are the best away team in league and cannot afford to play a sloppy game as they did in last two away games and i expect them to be ready this time. Bochum onthe other hand is struggeling big time this year after having a great run last season..it simply is not working for them.at home they are always dangerous and there will be very strong home support today from their fans for a desperate team. But i dont like the fact that the club is talking about things like.."if we cannot win against the weaker we will curtenly win again against Bayern". Bayern is too clever for that and will put a desperate Bochum team away today.

2.Bundesliga

Ahlen- Dresden: Ahlen -0.5 @ 1.877

Ahlen is on the uptrend recently and plays solid football at home 3-0-1 in last 4 games, while Dresden sits at the bottom and is helpless away loosung all 6 games so far.

BTW, from looking at the stats Aachen and Duisburg should be easy winner, but i dont like the value on the hdc. i got a feeling that both matches could be very close.

BOL to all