Game 3 Trend for Lakers/Denver Series

[Piranha]

I had two trends in the Lakers/Denver series.

One trend is whoever leads after the 1st QT the other team will cover Qt #2. This has happened in all their meetings this year. In other words one team will cover the 1st Qt and the other team will end up covering the 1st half.

The other trend is based on OVER. Twelve 1st and 2nd Qts has been played up to today between these two teams. 9 of them has hit 54 or better. 10 of the 12 has hit 51 or better. Today's 1st Qt total is 53 which tells us there is a 75% chance that it will go over that number. If you had played the half also based on these numbers you had a high probability that each Qt would hit 54 or better giving you 108 or higher. Today's half time line is 106.

This will still apply to Game 3 but after that I usually go against the trends from Game 4-7.

Denver (o) 53......1st Qt

Denver (o) 106......1st half

Denver (o) 212

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[ivan722]

"One trend is whoever leads after the 1st QT the other team will cover Qt #2. This has happened in all their meetings this year. In other words one team will cover the 1st Qt and the other team will end up covering the 1st half."

Piranha the fact that one team covers the 1st quarter and the other team covers the 2nd quarter does not mean that team covering the 2nd quarter will end up covering the first half.

Bol tonight as always.

 

[sparticus]

Thanks P,GL

 

[Piranha]

"One trend is whoever leads after the 1st QT the other team will cover Qt #2. This has happened in all their meetings this year. In other words one team will cover the 1st Qt and the other team will end up covering the 1st half."

Piranha the fact that one team covers the 1st quarter and the other team covers the 2nd quarter does not mean that team covering the 2nd quarter will end up covering the first half.

Bol tonight as always.

In the 6 games they played each other the team that scored more in the 2nd QT did covered the half. I checked the stats.

 

[ivan722]

In the 6 games they played each other the team that scored more in the 2nd QT did covered the half. I checked the stats.

I'm not disputing that but in your trend comment above you said that the team that covers the 1st Q means the other team covers the 2nd Q. No problem with the trend. Then below that you said that the team that covers the 1st Q means the other team will cover the 1st half.
That is not necessarily true. The other team may indeed cover the 2nd Q but it doesn't mean that same team will cover the entire 1st half. It might be just the wording, that's all.

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[ivan722]

Hey Piranha, just curious as to why you wouldn't wait to see which team covers the 1st quarter and then take the other team to cover the 2nd quarter as the first trend maintains?
Or is it simply that you prefer totals?

 

[ivan722]

1st Q over is history. Too many misses, way too fucking many.
Question now is whether or not the 1st half over wager hits because it too is in trouble.

:think2:

 

[SureGuy]

lmoooo mello shooting a half court shot with 24 seconds

almost puked until odom made that

nice call

 

[ivan722]

My bad Piranha, spoke too early.
Congrats man, congrats and my apologies for jumping the gun.

:toast:

 

[ivan722]

Now according to the trend, are we supposed to take the Lakers to cover the 2nd quarter?

:think2:

 

[Piranha]

Lakers only hitting 40% on their FTs otherwise this 1st Qt play we would not have been sweating it out hno:

 

[Piranha]

Now according to the trend, are we supposed to take the Lakers to cover the 2nd quarter?

:think2:

Yes, the have been alternating but my account does not allow me to play the 2nd Qt

 

[ivan722]

Gotcha Piranha, thanks.

 

[Piranha]

With the 1st Qt hitting 54 now the trend is 10 out of 13 Qts has been 54 or higher between these two teams this year.

 

[Piranha]

Lakers +.5.........2nd half

 

[cashflowmatters]

:think2: What are your reasons for this play? This seems to be a very public play.

 

[Piranha]

:think2: What are your reasons for this play? This seems to be a very public play.

No reason just what I like..........

I don't always go against the public but I will admit I go against it more often than not.

 

[cashflowmatters]

No reason just what I like..........

I don't always go against the public but I will admit I go against it more often than not.

Looks like a winner, nice job

 

[Piranha]

2-2 on the night.........a little disappointed but there is tomorrow.