??????Gambler Theory Regression Discussions.????????

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This thread was about gambler's regression. MF name was brought up because he fit perfectly. Over achieved his average for one year and under under achieved the following.

Don't worry I the BONE COLLECTOR S are not here yet. Only if you over achieved. The vultures are only circling. Not enough data on you. Tell us about your record.
Winning on bases is not overachieving. Last year was underachieving
One other thing. Are you in a government job? Just by the way you answer and twist and deflect it's amazing. If not you should be.
Yeah My real name is Joe Biden...LOL
 

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Lol...... Ya just made the shit list G........ (Joe)
I hate Biden.
Trump 2024. The election was stolen. Lets see if 82 million show up this time for brain dead Joe and the California Ho...LOL
 
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You talk about that their is no such as LUCK but in your loses yesterday you complain about your loses, circumstances that made you lose. Can you attribute that to bad LUCK or bad handicapping? Or is this an event (Deviation) that strayed from the normal for you? Stick to question asked nothing else. We don't need a long dissertation about how the haters hate you. Disclaimer: I don't care if you win or lose. I have no skin in the game. I just don't agree with your logic, philosophy. I don't believe you can bet a 1000 games and make money. Time will tell.
 
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One other sign of a gambler's regression is TILT. I think you are starting in the early stages. Also called CHASING your losses. Usually, these signs have a very bad outcome. You need to correct them if you are to have a winning season.
 

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You talk about that their is no such as LUCK but in your loses yesterday you complain about your loses, circumstances that made you lose. Can you attribute that to bad LUCK or bad handicapping?
No luck involved at all. A complaint was not posted. BUT- Recognizing that 5 teams scored 1 run or less is unusual to have 5 teams in one day score a total of 3 runs. A complaint would be that I was cheated by a bad call. Not because my 5 teams didn't score.
Why are you picking on a "Luck" topic when it cant be calculated into capping? This is what I mean about guys like you. Tell us where the luck was involved? There was none. Not for the losers and not for the winning teams?
Or is this an event (Deviation) that strayed from the normal for you?
(Partially answered from two sentences in your first question).
There is no deviation from my capping style. The outcome is only a deviation as you call it when I lose. But no - its not bad capping. I simply lost on my selections. Bad capping would be if I just guessed and had no scientific capping process that helped me win.
Stick to question asked nothing else. We don't need a long dissertation about how the haters hate you. Disclaimer: I don't care if you win or lose. I have no skin in the game. I just don't agree with your logic, philosophy. I don't believe you can bet a 1000 games and make money. Time will tell.
If you had my logic -and not yours - then you would never try to say Luck was any part of capping. It cant be calculated or scientifically predicted by current or past results and historical betting haunts. Thats why we dont agree on the term 'Luck".
As far as luck in concerned, it only applies to sitting at a slot machine at the right time -otherwise - we all would find a way to win on every spin. What ever logic you have is what you found to be effective for you. Its that simple.

IN regards to 1000 games that you are bonded to, after me playing 300 in April. Ive mentioned as the season goes, the advantages that possibly come up in capping are reduced as the season goes. So reaching the 1000 games, will never happen.
 

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Never trust someone who goes on and on describing or defending their capping style.
 

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He hasn't updated his record in the tracker forum since April18th...
 
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I think you are in full blown GAMBLERS REGRESSION THEORY. Month to month will tell not unless you pull magic ? out of your ass. I see that done before. On your statement of not putting a 1,000 bets into action it doesn't look to be true. 2 months into the season you will have 400 bet. Only 600 more to go. Average of 150 per month. That's one recipe for disaster or should I say that's one sick puppy,or just an ACTION JUNKIE. Well?
 
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Not my words but it sum it up for an ACTION JUNKIE.

Betting Too Often​

Another issue that bettors run into is the thinking that they should be wagering on every game, market, or proposition. There’s a big reason the sportsbooks have state-of-the-art equipment and a staff of experienced odds makers. It’s to make sure their markets are efficient.

Over the past half-decade or so, the sports media, including ESPN and other networks, have finally begun to realize the value of using betting lines to predict the outcomes of sporting events. They now mention odds in their analysis and cite betting lines in previews of games.

This is something that savvy sports bettors have known for years. Who knew that the people that make a living predicting the outcome of sporting events would be accurate? The point I’m trying to make is that, the odds makers are smart. They’re smarter than you, your neighbor, and the guy in the bar who sits around all day drinking and watching sports. In fact, they’re smarter than just about everyone who bets on sports, since the vast majority of sports gamblers are losers.

THE POINT IS THIS:
If you’re looking at the odds and see a ton of “mistakes” and want to bet every game on the board – you’re just kidding yourself. You’re not smarter than the odds makers, especially at some of the sharper sportsbooks online.
Betting every game on the slate is simply madness. Pick your spots. You’re not going to catch the odds makers with their proverbial pants down consistently. Line shop and make your wagers count.

Of course, there are going to be days when you bet more games than others, but for the most part, the days will be exceedingly rare that you look at the odds that day and begin to salivate.

There’s no shame in taking a day off either. It’s good to pay attention each day to the results of the markets you normally bet, but if you’re betting every day, it becomes a grind. There’s no shame in feeling burnt out and taking a break.



WHATS YOUR REBUTTAL OF THAT ARTICLE?
 

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Gman should really read that article.
 
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Another characteristic of the patient that is regressing is TILT. Once they hit the negative side of the balance sheet they will start to raise their bets. They are hoping to regain their status among the group. A very dangerous situation for the gambler's bankroll. Nine out of 10 times they go bust. But if you are playing with an imaginary bankroll it never happens. To them it's not about the money but it's the person craving for attention wanting to be accepted.
 

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Another characteristic of the patient that is regressing is TILT. Once they hit the negative side of the balance sheet they will start to raise their bets. They are hoping to regain their status among the group. A very dangerous situation for the gambler's bankroll. Nine out of 10 times they go bust. But if you are playing with an imaginary bankroll it never happens. To them it's not about the money but it's the person craving for attention wanting to be accepted.
I always do that, had success with this strategy but when you lose it feels terrible
 
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I used to know people like this. You never wanted to be on the same side. Stone cold losers but nice people.
 
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I think you are not in the GR theory category anymore. More like the Eddie Mush Syndrome. Unbielive what I am seeing from you.
 
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The march continues to 1000 bets. Wth only 127 day's left you are sure to get there. Four hundred sixteen, bet in less then 2 month, 586 to go. You could be the first person that I have ever known to bet that many games on a season and win. Oh I'm forgetting that you are in the negative. Probably have to up the number to 1100+. As gambler's dig themselves into the hole they tend to spread out the action. The OLD SAFETY OF NUMBER'S GAME. I can't lose them all YES YOU CAN. At least you broke the losing downward trend for 1 day. Classic ?.
 

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Had to bump this.
 

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