Gallup Daily: Obama’s Lead Widens Some on All Bases Advances to 8-point lead among

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Gallup Daily: Obama’s Lead Widens Some on All Bases

Advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

• USA
• Election 2008
• Gallup Daily
• Americas
• Northern America

PRINCETON, NJ -- The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.

 

[3peet]

uuuhh...errr...doah! Mj! I thought you'd have this poll up. this is YOUR poll. What happened?

 

[RobFunk]

yeah. The traditional is the one that had been really close. 8 is pretty big.

 

[Sekrah]

I'm trying to figure out how you can get accurate poll #'s when 80% or more of the people who they call hang up (record high number of refusal to answers this year).

You guys are going to be bawling your baby blue eyes out on Tuesday Night.

 

[Mistermj]

delete duplicate

 

[gtc08]

the infomercial really helped. that was a great play to the undecideds.

 

[Mistermj]

uuuhh...errr...doah! Mj! I thought you'd have this poll up. this is YOUR poll. What happened?

Obama's so confident...he's going to Iowa again! :lol:

Obama was set to spend the day on a campaign crush across the Midwest, with a quick stop home in Chicago to see his kids. He makes his first stop back where his run began, in Des Moines, Iowa,

Guess the internal polling is telling Obama something else? :nohead:

 

[D2bets]

Obama's so confident...he's going to Iowa again! :lol:

Obama was set to spend the day on a campaign crush across the Midwest, with a quick stop home in Chicago to see his kids. He makes his first stop back where his run began, in Des Moines, Iowa,

Guess the internal polling is telling Obama something else? :nohead:

The key there is the stop home for trick or treating with his kids. Since he was going to do that, they were looking for something close by. Des Moines made the most sense as a sort of a valedictory tour. He's taking time off the trail to be with his kids. That says a couple of things. Afterwards, it's on to a late rally in Indiana.

 

[gtc08]

mj, your not saying obama is losing or going to lose iowa right? i figure you are just kidding around, like when you said wisconsin would go mccain.

 

[3peet]

Obama's so confident...he's going to Iowa again! :lol:

Obama was set to spend the day on a campaign crush across the Midwest, with a quick stop home in Chicago to see his kids. He makes his first stop back where his run began, in Des Moines, Iowa,

Guess the internal polling is telling Obama something else? :nohead:

Or maybe its common sense since its the closest state to home so he could be with his kids like he always does.

Hey MJ correct me if I'm wrong but isn't this the poll you've touted the passed 3 weeks?

 

[Sekrah]

the infomercial really helped. that was a great play to the undecideds.

:nohead: The undecideds were looking for trillion dollars more of government spending and freebie handouts to people who don't pay taxes?

Again, John Stossel was right.

 

[D2bets]

You have to be a "special person" to see this and think NcCain is going to win....

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>MoE</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/25 - 10/30</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>49.9</td><td>43.5</td><td class="spread">Obama +6.4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen Reports</td><td>10/28 - 10/30</td><td>3000 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>51</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Traditional)*</td><td>10/28 - 10/30</td><td>2116 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>51</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Expanded)*</td><td>10/28 - 10/30</td><td>2459 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>52</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby</td><td>10/28 - 10/30</td><td>1201 LV</td><td>2.9</td><td>50</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Diageo/Hotline</td><td>10/28 - 10/30</td><td>870 LV</td><td>3.6</td><td>48</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>10/29 - 10/29</td><td>543 LV</td><td>4.5</td><td>50</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">GWU/Battleground</td><td>10/27 - 10/30</td><td>800 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>49</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">FOX News</td><td>10/28 - 10/29</td><td>924 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>47</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +3</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">ABC News/Wash Post</td><td>10/26 - 10/29</td><td>1327 LV</td><td>2.5</td><td>52</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">CBS News/NY Times</td><td>10/25 - 10/29</td><td>1005 LV</td><td>--</td><td>52</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +11</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">IBD/TIPP</td><td>10/25 - 10/29</td><td>894 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>48</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Ipsos/McClatchy</td><td>10/23 - 10/27</td><td>831 LV</td><td>3.4</td><td>50</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Pew Research</td><td>10/23 - 10/26</td><td>1198 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>53</td><td>38</td><td class="spread">Obama +15</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Newsweek</td><td>10/22 - 10/23</td><td>882 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>53</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +12</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CBS News/NY Times</td><td>10/19 - 10/22</td><td>771 LV</td><td>--</td><td>52</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +13</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">FOX News</td><td>10/20 - 10/21</td><td>936 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>49</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl</td><td>10/17 - 10/20</td><td>1159 RV</td><td>2.9</td><td>52</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Associated Press/GfK</td><td>10/16 - 10/20</td><td>800 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>44</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Ipsos/McClatchy</td><td>10/16 - 10/20</td><td>773 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>50</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CNN/Opinion Research</td><td>10/17 - 10/19</td><td>764 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>51</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Pew Research</td><td>10/16 - 10/19</td><td>2382 LV</td><td>2.5</td><td>53</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +14</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Democracy Corps (D)</td><td>10/15 - 10/19</td><td>1000 LV</td><td>--</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">F&M/Hearst-Argyle</td><td>10/13 - 10/19</td><td>LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>50</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">LA Times/Bloomberg</td><td>10/10 - 10/13</td><td>1030 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>50</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CBS News/NY Times</td><td>10/10 - 10/13</td><td>699 LV</td><td>--</td><td>53</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +14</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">USA Today/Gallup (Traditional)*</td><td>10/10 - 10/12</td><td>761 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">USA Today/Gallup (Expanded)*</td><td>10/10 - 10/12</td><td>1030 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>52</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Pew Research</td><td>10/09 - 10/12</td><td>1191 LV</td><td>--</td><td>49</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Ipsos/McClatchy</td><td>10/09 - 10/13</td><td>1036 RV</td><td>3.0</td><td>48</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Democracy Corps (D)</td><td>10/08 - 10/12</td><td>1000 LV</td><td>--</td><td>51</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">ABC News/Wash Post</td><td>10/08 - 10/11</td><td>766 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>53</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">FOX News</td><td>10/08 - 10/09</td><td>900 RV</td><td>3.0</td><td>46</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Newsweek</td><td>10/08 - 10/09</td><td>1035 RV</td><td>3.7</td><td>52</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +11</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen Reports</td><td>10/07 - 10/09</td><td>3000 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>50</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Gallup</td><td>10/07 - 10/09</td><td>2784 RV</td><td>2.0</td><td>51</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Hotline/FD</td><td>10/07 - 10/09</td><td>838 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>48</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby</td><td>10/06 - 10/09</td><td>1200 LV</td><td>4.2</td><td>48</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">GWU/Battleground</td><td>10/06 - 10/09</td><td>800 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>51</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Time</td><td>10/03 - 10/06</td><td>1053 LV</td><td>--</td><td>50</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl</td><td>10/04 - 10/05</td><td>658 RV</td><td>3.8</td><td>49</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CBS News</td><td>10/03 - 10/05</td><td>616 LV</td><td>--</td><td>48</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +3</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CNN</td><td>10/03 - 10/05</td><td>694 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>53</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Ipsos/McClatchy</td><td>10/02 - 10/06</td><td>858 RV</td><td>3.3</td><td>47</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Democracy Corps (D)</td><td>10/01 - 10/05</td><td>1000 LV</td><td>--</td><td>49</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +3</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>09/28 - 09/30</td><td>943 LV</td><td>--</td><td>49</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CBS News</td><td>09/27 - 09/30</td><td>769 LV</td><td>--</td><td>50</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Associated Press/GfK</td><td>09/27 - 09/30</td><td>808 LV</td><td>3.4</td><td>48</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">ABC News/Wash Post</td><td>09/27 - 09/29</td><td>916 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Pew Research</td><td>09/27 - 09/29</td><td>1181 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>49</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Ipsos/McClatchy</td><td>09/26 - 09/29</td><td>1007 RV</td><td>3.1</td><td>48</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +3</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Time</td><td>09/26 - 09/29</td><td>1133 LV</td><td>--</td><td>50</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Gallup Tracking</td><td>09/24 - 09/26</td><td>2759 RV</td><td>2.0</td><td>49</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen Tracking</td><td>09/24 - 09/26</td><td>3000 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>50</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Hotline/FD Tracking</td><td>09/24 - 09/26</td><td>914 RV</td><td>3.3</td><td>48</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[RobFunk]

you have to be a "special person" to see this and think nccain is going to win....

lol

 

[Mistermj]

If wrong assumptions are being made...1000 polls matter not.

Talk about sheep.

This upset will be epic...crush the hard left and show the media what it really is ...once and for all.

I want apologies and mea culpa's from each one of you...even if its just close and Obama still wins.

 

[3peet]

I want apologies and mea culpa's from each one of you...even if its just close and Obama still wins.

LOL! My cadidate wins and you want an apology? Yea, I'll give you an apology alright. Be sure to stomp out that burning bag i'll leave your porch. The present left in that bag is personally from me.

 

[3peet]

I want apologies and mea culpa's from each one of you...even if its just close and Obama still wins.

LOL! My cadidate wins and you want an apology? Yea, I'll give you an apology alright. Be sure to stomp out that burning bag i'll leave your porch. The present left in that bag is personally from me.

 

[Sekrah]

Wow more polls where 80% of the people "polled" hung up the phone. Record numbers!!

Such reliable surveys! :lol:

 

[steaktartar]

If wrong assumptions are being made...1000 polls matter not.

Talk about sheep.

This upset will be epic...crush the hard left and show the media what it really is ...once and for all.

I want apologies and mea culpa's from each one of you...even if its just close and Obama still wins.

i want you to admit you're an antagonistic flea if he wins by more than 70 electoral votes.....deal?

 

[jeffry22]

mccain gained 1 pt at rasmussen yesterday....so there!

 

[snoop]

I think people should stop focusing on nat' poll. GE is decided by electoral college. Looking at the electoral map, McCain will have to win Pennsylvia while hanging on Florida & Ohio in order to win the White House. Very unlikely.