****G-Man's Week (1) 2023 College. Aug 31st- Sept 3rd - (61% Last Year)****

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Last season results. Over 200 plays.
2022 College Regular season ATS. 109-71. (60.8%)
2022 Bowls ATS 28-15. (65.1%)
Bowl ML 4-6. (40%).
Season Totals ATS. 137-86. (61.5 %)

Totals ATS with ML's. 141-90. (61%).

2023. Week 0.. 2-2ATS.

Thursday Aug 31st Week 1. (Lines updated)
UCF -36.5 over KSU.. 2 units

One (1) returning offensive starter for Kent and a new coach.
Looks like a 52-7 game. UCF backups could score as well.
.Boise on deck for UCF makes this a coaster game for UCF.

8PM
Florida +6.5 over Utah. 4 units. Note: *Was bet on Tuesday*
Not counting on anything here except that I believe Wisconsin QB transfer Mertz to Florida, makes this team a lot better than the team who went 6-7 last year.
This is a revenge game for Utah after losing the season opener to Florida last year, but Utah was the road favorite -5 and this line would be much higher being at home now.
I dont see Utah ever having at 13 point lead so Florida should be in it all day. Who ever scores last likely wins it.
Straight
157755745
8/29/2023 6:59 PM
- 110[147] FLORIDA + 6 ½ - 110 FLORIDA @ UTAH ESPNDTV: 206 , College Football 8/31/2023 8:00 PM440400


Friday Sept 1st
Miami Fla -16.5 over Miami OH. 4 units

Both teams loaded with returnees. Difference is that Mia,O only averaged 20pts per game with the same group last year.
Expect Canes to score at least 45 and cover here.
Radically different competition level, in respect to opponents played.


Saturday
12:00 PM
Bowling Green +10 over Liberty. 3 units

BG beat Toledo late LY and Liberty lost to Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl game.
Liberty lost 80% of their defense from last year and will be hard to play at that level now.




6:30PM Nevada +38.5 over USC. 3 units
Stanford on deck for USC. Expect SC to rest starters with lead late.
So Cal is facing 4 straight teams with losing records . This is game 2.
Trojans still may lack defense with showing last week vs SJSU.
In common opponents - San Jose, who played USC last week - was favored by 24 Last Year vs Nevada in a game decided by 7 pts.
USC was favored by 31 over SJ last week and now is favored by 38 this week. I see Nevada improving from a 2-9 season returning the 47th ranked defense from last year.

3:30PM Wisconsin -27.5 over Buffalo. 5 units
This looks like the most underrated team in the Big 10. Lots of new player transfers make them an instant loaded team with talent they lacked a year ago.
Wisky is far better now than they were in the Bowl game winning 24-17 over Okie State.
Wisconsin has Wash State next week in a revenge game.

Buffalo is here for the school revenue, but wont be in it in the end for the score.
They barely won last year against Georgia Southern 23-21, but were out yarded and were gifted 2 turnovers in that win.
Missing more than half that team from last years 7-6 season, will be costly on the scoreboard against a Wisky Team looking to make some noise this year.

7PM
Colorado State +12 over Wash State. 2 units
Suspicious line here. I have it at 7.
Im not counting on much improvemt from WSU here at all. They lost 6 defensive starters who were at best allowing only 23 pts per game last year.Now with that number expected to go up and the weak offense shown in the loss to Fresno in the bowl game by scoring only 6 points, I believe they will struggle to win in Colorado.
In fact, if the CSU Rams improve just by one TD this year on offense, this looks like a 3 pt game to me.
The Rams covered the last 4 games vs the spread with this current group and now 2nd year coach Novell did well holding opponents to 27pts /gm on defense LY.
Colorado State returns 15 starters from LY.
CSU lost 38-7 last year in Wash State.
Here is one game, where the Home Field matters.

Sunday
Florida State (8) +2.5 over LSU (5). 3 units

I'll take the home dog with the better defense which is returning 10 starters and only allowed an avg 21pts/gm all year.
SEC VS ACC? The SEC isnt as dominant as they have been in the past. If they wee this line would be much higher IMO.
The Public is drooling all over LSU this year so - until they win against ranked teams on the road - I'll take the points.
Im all in on Florida teams in week one.

More later in following windows.
 

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Added plays below
 

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Already cheating on lines posted. Bet on Tuesday is tooooo funny.
F- YOU shit starter!
Post your plays!???
Give me a call when you win 61% in college plays after making over 200 plays in a season.

You are the most jealous loser here besides Big Lou-Ser Returns.
This is why you need to be banned. POISON...


Are you ladyanns boyfriend?// She allowed you back in here and you start more shit....She's as bad for this site as you...! LOL
 

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Bet on Tuesday is tooooo funny.

M108k is all I can say.
Might be fair criticism if you didn't call him a loser regardless of his overall record his entire lifetime which practically no one here is a winner anyway.
People try to take advantage of lines early.It has a positive and negative to it
 

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Regardless of what his overall record is. The critism is fair. His overall record is what it is.. horrible.. and it’s been proven.

the fact he’s made multiple posts here.. in my thread about this very topic… and then comes here to post the play with the line he accused me of is too too too funny. Just shows what I already know..

and it’s why he’s m108k. Other respected posters have posted the line and ate the line when it changed other respected posters post the line at the time of their plays. Glad to have those around


m108k
 

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Never could figure why this site is so pissy about jumping on good lines. It's like you can post your picks but only if I can get them too otherwise you can't tell us what your playing. Seems a bit childish.
Know a guy on another forum who has Iowa -17 and Hawaii +10 vs Stanford. Made those bets months ago and he did post them then. Great capper!
Good luck G-man.
 

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Posting them then is key. Nearly all the respected cappers here do. Shame some don’t. The ones that don’t are usually the ones that…

alas I’m over it. Just pointing it out.. very funny. I’m sure he’s already reported me to the mods. Yet he’s the one that jumped into my thread

m108k
 

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Regardless of what his overall record is. The critism is fair. His overall record is what it is.. horrible.. and it’s been proven.

the fact he’s made multiple posts here.. in my thread about this very topic… and then comes here to post the play with the line he accused me of is too too too funny. Just shows what I already know..

and it’s why he’s m108k. Other respected posters have posted the line and ate the line when it changed other respected posters post the line at the time of their plays. Glad to have those around


m108k
I will admit people should not count games they bet in their record if it isn't the line available because then you just give yourself whatever the best line is. As we all know a few points here and there can be the differnce between 52% and no profit and 56% or higher and some profit. I would hope all cappers follow this. You see it on Saturday specifically when people claim theybet something monday and the line moves significantly. I just noticed that. Believe it or not people have to understand that posting is for the benefits of the people who are not posting thats why I believe the info is important. The poster is going to bet whatever they bet but how the info helpe others is what matters. If they got the advantageous line and it makes them money good but it is important to note whether or not that line still has value and reflects the record so people know the value
That being said hope it is a good season for you G
 

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Exactly:

I can say Florida +9 got it when it opened and get the very best line possible for all plays. Well said exploited.That’s why I’m glad to see certain respected cappers not do this. Props to them
Youre eating your own shit here again.
When the line was 9 no one was betting because the QB AND the TE were listed as ? Both are the biggest part of the UTAH offense.

Its Better look for actual probability's in game like that. I could have bet that game at 9 earlier but not knowing who is playing would be a guess.
The that line as posted long ago. the starting QB wasn't named yet for Florida, Once it was then the line started to come down.
You can make asshole remarks about when a bet is made, but the ticket is there for all to see.

In regards to CERTAIN RESPECTECD CAPPERS
Since you love bashing ,, you make a remark about my early play - when YOU of ALL people here - posted a $5,000.00 Dollar FAKE baseball bet slip the day AFTER it was played and told the whole forum you won that bet. That YOU faded me! LOL


But the worst part is...- It had NO ticket Number or Time stamp and You thought you would convince this forum to listen to you?

Did you think everyone would forget that stunt Doc??? LOL

That alone should have banned you permanently! But it shows how low this forum can go.

You posted a fake ticket that was made up with no reference to being real!!!
You are the MSNBC of this forum Doc!!!

Then you screamed in print here to the RX that I made FIVE 5,000.00 bets because I went 4-1 and WON 17,500.00...

Go away boy and take your BS with you...
 

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1693492596843.png
 

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Yeah, I have a sore spot on this subject. Back in July of 18 I joined the Rx. Only about three guys chatting in late July/early August in cfb forum. Made a few plays throughout the summer but didn't bother to post them at the time, only two others here. A week from wk1 posted my picks, some made in June, some July and August, and one or two that day. Some early plays had the same spread, at least one had a better number, and THE ONE BET THAT DID NOT. ND +2.5 at Mich was at +1.5 when I posted.
"Nothing to see here fella's, just another fudger." I was pounced on by posters who just hit the cfb forum end of August. Nevermind all the July/August posts that gave real info on injuries, August practice news, etc.
And the funny thing was the spread moved to +3 closer to gametime and settled at +2 according to Steele. And ND won by 7.

I am here to beat the bookmaker, share any info that would help others beat the bookmaker, not oneup my fellow posters, not to give free picks. IMO, posting plays with spreads is the least signficant info out there. Injury updates, like Doc's Cam Rising info, are the more important. Team intel is more important. I don't care if your winning record is 67% and mine is 65%, even if you post phoney plays that were available to get there. Your only fooling yourself. I'm not in competition with you.
And if some Rx watcher sees a play no longer available how does that hurt them? Maybe the number comes back around.
JMO.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL! :clover:
 

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Speaking of info;
From ESPN;
Florida is altering its travel plans for the team's season opener at No. 14 Utah on Thursday night, hoping to avoid Hurricane Idalia.

Florida coach Billy Napier said the Gators will practice in Gainesville on Tuesday before flying to Dallas to spend the night there. The team will then travel to Salt Lake City on Wednesday.


Two nights in two different places along with two long travels. Not good IMO.
 

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Speaking of info;
From ESPN;
Florida is altering its travel plans for the team's season opener at No. 14 Utah on Thursday night, hoping to avoid Hurricane Idalia.

Florida coach Billy Napier said the Gators will practice in Gainesville on Tuesday before flying to Dallas to spend the night there. The team will then travel to Salt Lake City on Wednesday.


Two nights in two different places along with two long travels. Not good IMO.
The fact that they went early because of the Hurricane was a good move.

It prevented them from any travel delays - which could have resulted in late night travel with little rest arriviing late wednesday for a Thursday game..

Jet lag is an issue traveling 4 hours from east to west as many would say.

So taking a break for a day in between isnt a radical time change over two days.
They get relaxing time and more rest by flying only a couple hours each day.

If Florida loses then that will be the reason they lost?

If it wins what would be the reason they win traveling for 2 short flights?
 

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Friday continued.
Louisville -7 (-130) over Ga Tech. 4 units
Not impressed with GT at all - regardless of the new coach Key from Bama.
You still need Bama-level talent to play like Bama.
Doubt that GT could draw any level of players like Saban. At least not for a couple years with Key, even if he produces a better team now.

Louisville is also a solid defensive team - who smashed Cincinnati last year in the bowl game as a 7 point dog and won SU in Spite of 'Ville having (4) Four turnovers..Most of that team is back!
The talent level of Louisville is far better than GT.

GT was a negative scoring team last year and every year in the last 4. That exposes a low potential of scoring talent and defensive talent.
If Key was good, he could maybe help one side of the line - but both sides would have to play at a Louisville lever NOW to compete. Fixing offensive low-scoring issues and defensive scoring allowed at the same time?...I doubt it.
TheJackets were outscored by 11 points per game and are now facing a solid winner who outscored their opponents by 8!
 

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Iowa -24 over Utah State. 4 units
 

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Kentucky -26.5 over Ball state. 3 units
 

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Youre eating your own shit here again.
When the line was 9 no one was betting because the QB AND the TE were listed as ? Both are the biggest part of the UTAH offense.

Its Better look for actual probability's in game like that. I could have bet that game at 9 earlier but not knowing who is playing would be a guess.
The that line as posted long ago. the starting QB wasn't named yet for Florida, Once it was then the line started to come down.
You can make asshole remarks about when a bet is made, but the ticket is there for all to see.

In regards to CERTAIN RESPECTECD CAPPERS
Since you love bashing ,, you make a remark about my early play - when YOU of ALL people here - posted a $5,000.00 Dollar FAKE baseball bet slip the day AFTER it was played and told the whole forum you won that bet. That YOU faded me! LOL


But the worst part is...- It had NO ticket Number or Time stamp and You thought you would convince this forum to listen to you?

Did you think everyone would forget that stunt Doc??? LOL

That alone should have banned you permanently! But it shows how low this forum can go.

You posted a fake ticket that was made up with no reference to being real!!!
You are the MSNBC of this forum Doc!!!

Then you screamed in print here to the RX that I made FIVE 5,000.00 bets because I went 4-1 and WON 17,500.00...

Go away boy and take your BS with you...
I would have sia Fox news we since they paid billions for the permision to lie to thier viewers but the point is made.
 

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