Last season results. Over 200 plays.
2022 College Regular season ATS. 109-71. (60.8%)
2022 Bowls ATS 28-15. (65.1%)
Bowl ML 4-6. (40%).
Season Totals ATS. 137-86. (61.5 %)
Totals ATS with ML's. 141-90. (61%).
2023. Week 0.. 2-2ATS.
Thursday Aug 31st Week 1. (Lines updated)
UCF -36.5 over KSU.. 2 units
One (1) returning offensive starter for Kent and a new coach.
Looks like a 52-7 game. UCF backups could score as well.
.Boise on deck for UCF makes this a coaster game for UCF.
8PM
Florida +6.5 over Utah. 4 units. Note: *Was bet on Tuesday*
Not counting on anything here except that I believe Wisconsin QB transfer Mertz to Florida, makes this team a lot better than the team who went 6-7 last year.
This is a revenge game for Utah after losing the season opener to Florida last year, but Utah was the road favorite -5 and this line would be much higher being at home now.
I dont see Utah ever having at 13 point lead so Florida should be in it all day. Who ever scores last likely wins it.
Friday Sept 1st
Miami Fla -16.5 over Miami OH. 4 units
Both teams loaded with returnees. Difference is that Mia,O only averaged 20pts per game with the same group last year.
Expect Canes to score at least 45 and cover here.
Radically different competition level, in respect to opponents played.
Saturday
12:00 PM
Bowling Green +10 over Liberty. 3 units
BG beat Toledo late LY and Liberty lost to Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl game.
Liberty lost 80% of their defense from last year and will be hard to play at that level now.
6:30PM Nevada +38.5 over USC. 3 units
Stanford on deck for USC. Expect SC to rest starters with lead late.
So Cal is facing 4 straight teams with losing records . This is game 2.
Trojans still may lack defense with showing last week vs SJSU.
In common opponents - San Jose, who played USC last week - was favored by 24 Last Year vs Nevada in a game decided by 7 pts.
USC was favored by 31 over SJ last week and now is favored by 38 this week. I see Nevada improving from a 2-9 season returning the 47th ranked defense from last year.
3:30PM Wisconsin -27.5 over Buffalo. 5 units
This looks like the most underrated team in the Big 10. Lots of new player transfers make them an instant loaded team with talent they lacked a year ago.
Wisky is far better now than they were in the Bowl game winning 24-17 over Okie State.
Wisconsin has Wash State next week in a revenge game.
Buffalo is here for the school revenue, but wont be in it in the end for the score.
They barely won last year against Georgia Southern 23-21, but were out yarded and were gifted 2 turnovers in that win.
Missing more than half that team from last years 7-6 season, will be costly on the scoreboard against a Wisky Team looking to make some noise this year.
7PM
Colorado State +12 over Wash State. 2 units
Suspicious line here. I have it at 7.
Im not counting on much improvemt from WSU here at all. They lost 6 defensive starters who were at best allowing only 23 pts per game last year.Now with that number expected to go up and the weak offense shown in the loss to Fresno in the bowl game by scoring only 6 points, I believe they will struggle to win in Colorado.
In fact, if the CSU Rams improve just by one TD this year on offense, this looks like a 3 pt game to me.
The Rams covered the last 4 games vs the spread with this current group and now 2nd year coach Novell did well holding opponents to 27pts /gm on defense LY.
Colorado State returns 15 starters from LY.
CSU lost 38-7 last year in Wash State.
Here is one game, where the Home Field matters.
Sunday
Florida State (8) +2.5 over LSU (5). 3 units
I'll take the home dog with the better defense which is returning 10 starters and only allowed an avg 21pts/gm all year.
SEC VS ACC? The SEC isnt as dominant as they have been in the past. If they wee this line would be much higher IMO.
The Public is drooling all over LSU this year so - until they win against ranked teams on the road - I'll take the points.
Im all in on Florida teams in week one.
More later in following windows.
2022 College Regular season ATS. 109-71. (60.8%)
2022 Bowls ATS 28-15. (65.1%)
Bowl ML 4-6. (40%).
Season Totals ATS. 137-86. (61.5 %)
Totals ATS with ML's. 141-90. (61%).
2023. Week 0.. 2-2ATS.
Thursday Aug 31st Week 1. (Lines updated)
UCF -36.5 over KSU.. 2 units
One (1) returning offensive starter for Kent and a new coach.
Looks like a 52-7 game. UCF backups could score as well.
.Boise on deck for UCF makes this a coaster game for UCF.
8PM
Florida +6.5 over Utah. 4 units. Note: *Was bet on Tuesday*
Not counting on anything here except that I believe Wisconsin QB transfer Mertz to Florida, makes this team a lot better than the team who went 6-7 last year.
This is a revenge game for Utah after losing the season opener to Florida last year, but Utah was the road favorite -5 and this line would be much higher being at home now.
I dont see Utah ever having at 13 point lead so Florida should be in it all day. Who ever scores last likely wins it.
Straight 157755745 8/29/2023 6:59 PM | - 110 | [147] FLORIDA + 6 ½ - 110 FLORIDA @ UTAH ESPNDTV: 206 , College Football 8/31/2023 8:00 PM | 440 | 400 |
Friday Sept 1st
Miami Fla -16.5 over Miami OH. 4 units
Both teams loaded with returnees. Difference is that Mia,O only averaged 20pts per game with the same group last year.
Expect Canes to score at least 45 and cover here.
Radically different competition level, in respect to opponents played.
Saturday
12:00 PM
Bowling Green +10 over Liberty. 3 units
BG beat Toledo late LY and Liberty lost to Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl game.
Liberty lost 80% of their defense from last year and will be hard to play at that level now.
6:30PM Nevada +38.5 over USC. 3 units
Stanford on deck for USC. Expect SC to rest starters with lead late.
So Cal is facing 4 straight teams with losing records . This is game 2.
Trojans still may lack defense with showing last week vs SJSU.
In common opponents - San Jose, who played USC last week - was favored by 24 Last Year vs Nevada in a game decided by 7 pts.
USC was favored by 31 over SJ last week and now is favored by 38 this week. I see Nevada improving from a 2-9 season returning the 47th ranked defense from last year.
3:30PM Wisconsin -27.5 over Buffalo. 5 units
This looks like the most underrated team in the Big 10. Lots of new player transfers make them an instant loaded team with talent they lacked a year ago.
Wisky is far better now than they were in the Bowl game winning 24-17 over Okie State.
Wisconsin has Wash State next week in a revenge game.
Buffalo is here for the school revenue, but wont be in it in the end for the score.
They barely won last year against Georgia Southern 23-21, but were out yarded and were gifted 2 turnovers in that win.
Missing more than half that team from last years 7-6 season, will be costly on the scoreboard against a Wisky Team looking to make some noise this year.
7PM
Colorado State +12 over Wash State. 2 units
Suspicious line here. I have it at 7.
Im not counting on much improvemt from WSU here at all. They lost 6 defensive starters who were at best allowing only 23 pts per game last year.Now with that number expected to go up and the weak offense shown in the loss to Fresno in the bowl game by scoring only 6 points, I believe they will struggle to win in Colorado.
In fact, if the CSU Rams improve just by one TD this year on offense, this looks like a 3 pt game to me.
The Rams covered the last 4 games vs the spread with this current group and now 2nd year coach Novell did well holding opponents to 27pts /gm on defense LY.
Colorado State returns 15 starters from LY.
CSU lost 38-7 last year in Wash State.
Here is one game, where the Home Field matters.
Sunday
Florida State (8) +2.5 over LSU (5). 3 units
I'll take the home dog with the better defense which is returning 10 starters and only allowed an avg 21pts/gm all year.
SEC VS ACC? The SEC isnt as dominant as they have been in the past. If they wee this line would be much higher IMO.
The Public is drooling all over LSU this year so - until they win against ranked teams on the road - I'll take the points.
Im all in on Florida teams in week one.
More later in following windows.