*****G-Man's NFL Plays Week Thirteen (13)*****

[G-Man!]

Week 12 totals. 5-8
Season, 47-60

Thursday
Buffalo -3 (-135) over New England.

This line (RX) opened at Bills-5.5 and now is down to 3.5 or 3.
On Monday - 73% (-5.5) of the bets were on the Bills.
Today the line is -3.5 and the percentage is now 47% with 53% on Pats.
Large shift of bets driving down the line.
This loss of Von Miller is overrated. Buffalo beat New England without Miller last year.

Jones was outstanding 2 weeks ago against the Jets who played their worst game of the year. They mustered 44 yards passing and 59 running. The Patriots won 10-3. TEN to THREE! How so you only score 10 points against a team that totaled only 103 yards?
Last week the Pats had a win wasted because of penalties against the Vikings. New England was shut out in the 4th quarter.
NE has been a far better team defensively in the last 3 out of 4 games, but the games before Minnesota were against the Colts and 2 games against the Jets. One is listed how bad that was.
In the first Jets game the Jets had 3 turnovers and still out gained New England by 100 yards.

Line drop shows the masses are on the Pats.
NE does have the better record points-wise, vs common opponents by far.
They smashed Cleveland while the Bills only won by 8. They beat the Jets twice while Buffalo lost SU.
They played close with Miami and lost because of 3 turnovers but Buffalo also lost SU to the Phins.
NE is 2-1 ve the division while Buffalo is 0-2.
Buffalo still has Allen.
My Play Bills -3 (-135)

 

[JohnnyMags]

Good Luck

 

[G-Man!]

Sunday.

Vikings -3 over Jets
Steelers PK over Atlanta
Titans +4.5 over Eagles.
Seahawks -7 over Rams
San Fran -4 over Miami
KC -2 over Bengals.

 

[indiana]

G/man......appreciate the early thought's buddy.....
good luck with your Sun. action....indy

 

[G-Man!]

Colts +11 over Dallas.
Both played Wash and Philly and both were favored 1 time and the dog one time with same spreads in both games. Point spread is way to many.

 

[pigskinpete]

Good luck G-Man!

I am still bitter about my Tribe losing to the Yanks…Aaron Civale wtf……

 

[G-Man!]

Good luck G-Man!

I am still bitter about my Tribe losing to the Yanks…Aaron Civale wtf……

Like I said back then - Francona sucks. He had the rainout day to remove Civale and start Bieber instead. . He is over rated.

 

[G-Man!]

Matt Ryan.. He was Solid tonight...for Dallas. He gave then 5 free touchdowns...LOL

 

[G-Man!]

Monday Nighter
Tampa M-185
Tampa -2.5 (-135) over Saints.
Tampa was solid last week in loss to Browns.
Browns defense finally has starters back and changed the whole game plan with nearly everyone returning on defense.

Brady was solid going 29 of 43 for 256 and two Td's and no int's.

Not betting on "Big Red" Andy Dalton although he could give Saints a boost.
The Tampa defense was good LW and most of Cleveland scoring was because of penalties helping them from Tampa.
Can't put Saints defense in the same category that Cleveland played like last week,

Also Dalton started LW in San Fran and was shut out.
Saints scored 17 or less in three of last 4 games. They would need to put up 4 Td's to win this. I cant see that based on who they are.

Saints average rushing on the season shows 110 yds per game - but the last four games they re averaging only 57 yds per game.
That alone is horrible and if backers think that Dalton can win a game all on his own against a solid defense, then it will be the first time in years for him.

If Sants somehow can get first downs running, then they can stay in it, But the Saints Run Game isn't like Cleveland who ran for 189 yds last week.

Tampa hald last three opponents to 17 points or less in regulation. Only the ovetime win by CLE was more.
Tampa has the third best defense i the NFL in points allowed (18) per game. Thats should stand up today.

Go Buc's

 

[G-Man!]

Buffalo -3 (-135) over New England................W
Vikings -3 over Jets.............................................W
Steelers PK over Atlanta....................................W
Titans +4.5 over Eagles......................................L
Seahawks -7 over Rams......................................L
San Fran -4 over Miami......................................W
KC -2 over Bengals..............................................L
Colts +11 over Dallas...........................................L
Tampa M-185........................................................W
Tampa -2.5 (-135) over Saints............................L

Week 13 Total. 5-5.
Season. 52-65
.