*****G-Man's NFL Plays Week 1. Sept 7-11th*****

[G-Man!]

Lions +6.5 (Caesars) over KC. 10 Units
Detroit ML +190. 2 units
Chiefs have not had a winning record ats at home in 3 years.
Lions are starting to play defense. Last year Detroit was a plus scoring team.
They also won 5 of their last 6 SU, They had a Plus +5 turnover ratio in those 5 wins.
They are shutting down opponents to an avg of 16.2 pts per gm in those 5 wins while scoring 35!



Saints ML -170 over Tennessee. 5 units
Expect a low scoring game with Carr winning it late.
Saints had plus stats last year in both sides of the ball.



Browns +2.5 (MGM) over Bengals. 10 units
Best ATS record vs AFC North Division last year was Cleveland @ 4-2
If it wasn't going to be close, the line would be large!
Cleveland owns a SU winning record against Burrows. 4-1 SU last 5.
Only division team that has a winning record vs Burrow..
Browns defense is the key.

More later.

 

[MotorCityMadman]

Great line on Det +6 1/2 at C. You must have bet that game yesterday before 3. After that time there were no 6 1/2. I have a account at C. I bet that game Sunday at MGM that's where I got 6 1/2.

 

[cashflow50]

Love dem picks

 

[G-Man!]

Love dem picks

Coming from you thats great. Ive seen you around for years at sites.

 

[itchyback]

G L

 

[RayFinkel]

G man Brother I love the Saints too!

Have a great season and I'm looking forward to reading your picks each week.

?

 

[G-Man!]

G man Brother I love the Saints too!

Have a great season and I'm looking forward to reading your picks each week.

?

Thanks Ray. I'll be watching you as well. Youre Always a good one to follow as well.

 

[G-Man!]

Pittsburgh +2.5 over SF. 10 Units. Best Dog of the day.
The Steeler defense is always solid at home. They finished the season shutting down the last 7 opponents to under 20 points or less. No other team did that .
The QB issue should be improved which will keep them in this all day. The O-Line was dismantled last year and if they run like the are capable of they could surprise SF.

Baltimore -9.5 over Houston. 5 units
Definitely fading a team in a rebuilding mode. Houston is just that.
4 Straight seasons of poor defense and the last 2 seasons with no offense. They have no shot in Baltimore on opening day.
Hope Harbaugh doesn't go to the 'prevent' late with the Texans getting a back-door fix.

Miami +3 over Chargers. 10 units
Phins are offensively superior when Tago starts. They were a Wild Card loser with a 3rd string QB vs Buffalo LY, But still played well late in a narrow loss.
The Chargers dont hold leads and they blew their last WC game after leading J'Ville 27-0. J'Ville came back and pulled out a 31-30 win!
I blame that loss on the coach. No lead is safe with coaching like that.

Jacksonville -5 over Colts. 10 units
HC Doug Pederson is a winner. He turned a team around in one season. The Jags were a minus eleven(11) scoring team and he reversed all that into a Plus 3 scoring team last year.
Playing in a dome may be the Advantaged for the Colts but they lack closing out games. Thery lost their last 7 games SU last year.
Staring a rookie QB will not get them a win in this game.
The Jags are truly a top-level team now.
Jags won 7 of the last 9 SU to finish the season. I see an improved defense which will win the road games for the Jags and cover the spreads all year.

Arizona +7 over Washington. 5 units
As good as the Skins are - they have a coach (Rivera) who plays not to lose.
In Washingtons 7 wins last year only 3 were by more than 6 points.
72% of the public are on Washington as of my writeup. I cant see them holding a 13 point lead, so Im risking a play on Lowly Arizona.


Eagles -ML-190 *(MGM) over Patriots. 10 units
Hurts is unstoppable. Although they lost the SB to KC, They out played them the whole game. They out gained KC 417-340.
Problem for New England is, they dont have the offensive ability to score like the Chiefs did.
The Eagles win margin was low in road games last year. No sense in laying points. Just take the cash.


More later.
Back for Sunday Night and Monday.

 

[G-Man!]

Note. if you got a lower line on Detroit wait for a live bet.
If KC scores first you will likely see at least 7 or 8
GL

 

[JohnnyMags]

Good Luck G .... Nice tip on the live bet too.
I got 5 but if KC scores first I may follow your lead and add some more

 

[G-Man!]

Good Luck G .... Nice tip on the live bet too.
I got 5 but if KC scores first I may follow your lead and add some more

BOL Mags!

 

[vinnyvegas]

Nice Lions pick?

 

[xflrejects]

G-Man, I love virtually all of these picks incl. what should be a lousy AZ as such a big dog. Love the CLE and PIT picks and add CLE pounding the rock on the ground along with that "D" as keys to them beating CIN. Wish you well on your week # 1 card which I see is off to a good start!

 

[G-Man!]

G-Man, I love virtually all of these picks incl. what should be a lousy AZ as such a big dog. Love the CLE and PIT picks and add CLE pounding the rock on the ground along with that "D" as keys to them beating CIN. Wish you well on your week # 1 card which I see is off to a good start!

Appreciate your input.
Youre right on the run game and the defense.
Sharing is caring and produces winners.
BOL .

 

[lakrfan2000]

GUnit, looking forward to a great season! Let's do this!!

 

[indiana]

G/man.....BOL with all your action today buddy.....indy

 

[nhlgal1001]

Pittsburgh +2.5 over SF. 10 Units. Best Dog of the day.
The Steeler defense is always solid at home. They finished the season shutting down the last 7 opponents to under 20 points or less. No other team did that .
The QB issue should be improved which will keep them in this all day. The O-Line was dismantled last year and if they run like the are capable of they could surprise SF.

Baltimore -9.5 over Houston. 5 units
Definitely fading a team in a rebuilding mode. Houston is just that.
4 Straight seasons of poor defense and the last 2 seasons with no offense. They have no shot in Baltimore on opening day.
Hope Harbaugh doesn't go to the 'prevent' late with the Texans getting a back-door fix.

Miami +3 over Chargers. 10 units
Phins are offensively superior when Tago starts. They were a Wild Card loser with a 3rd string QB vs Buffalo LY, But still played well late in a narrow loss.
The Chargers dont hold leads and they blew their last WC game after leading J'Ville 27-0. J'Ville came back and pulled out a 31-30 win!
I blame that loss on the coach. No lead is safe with coaching like that.

Jacksonville -5 over Colts. 10 units
HC Doug Pederson is a winner. He turned a team around in one season. The Jags were a minus eleven(11) scoring team and he reversed all that into a Plus 3 scoring team last year.
Playing in a dome may be the Advantaged for the Colts but they lack closing out games. Thery lost their last 7 games SU last year.
Staring a rookie QB will not get them a win in this game.
The Jags are truly a top-level team now.
Jags won 7 of the last 9 SU to finish the season. I see an improved defense which will win the road games for the Jags and cover the spreads all year.

Arizona +7 over Washington. 5 units
As good as the Skins are - they have a coach (Rivera) who plays not to lose.
In Washingtons 7 wins last year only 3 were by more than 6 points.
72% of the public are on Washington as of my writeup. I cant see them holding a 13 point lead, so Im risking a play on Lowly Arizona.


Eagles -ML-190 *(MGM) over Patriots. 10 units
Hurts is unstoppable. Although they lost the SB to KC, They out played them the whole game. They out gained KC 417-340.
Problem for New England is, they dont have the offensive ability to score like the Chiefs did.
The Eagles win margin was low in road games last year. No sense in laying points. Just take the cash.


More later.
Back for Sunday Night and Monday.

Good luck G-man!

 

[G-Man!]

G/man.....BOL with all your action today buddy.....indy

Good luck G-man!

GUnit, looking forward to a great season! Let's do this!!

Thanks everyone. Looks like a solid day.

 

[XXII]

Very Nice Card.

 

[G-Man!]

Notes on the Lions win.
They out-yarded KC in passing, first downs and Rushing yds.
WE have a completely different team in Detroit this year.
As a road team thats unual. I think KC is now in trouble without Kelce.