*******G-Man's College Plays Week 5 *******

[G-Man!]

Week 4 totals. 8-2. (Season 25-18.) 59%

Week 5.
Thursday September 29th
UtahState +25 over BYU.
Utah State committed six turnovers in the 34-24 loss to UNLV, and five were interceptions from quarterback Logan Bonner, while out yarding UNLV by +101 yds.
A year ago, Bonner set program records of 3,628 yards and 36 touchdowns while being picked off 12 times. This season, he has thrown for 753 yards, six touchdowns and eight interceptions.
That should improve for this game, as they clashed last year to a 34-20 score with BYU winning as an 8 point favorite. This line is tripled.
Utah State was 11-3 last year and should be able to right the ship to at least a point spread cover.
On the season, BYU is only outscoring opponents by 5 points per game on average and is below average on defense allowing 27 pts per game. They will have to have a 33 point lead to cover the 25 point spread to prevent a back door cover. Being rivals, I think it will be a lot closer.
My Play. Utah State +25.

Friday
UCLA +4 over Washington.
Both teams playing exceptionally strong defense and both scoring way above national averages with 35 points per game or more.
Washington has played their first 4 games at home. Things should be different away for this one.
My Play. UCLA +4.

Tulane +2.5 over Houston.
Green Wave overcame two int's and still won at Kansas State just 2 weeks ago. They also out yarded So. Miss and could have won that game.
Houston won 2 games but hasn't out yarded anyone by more than 8 total yards in any game. Add to the numbers that Houston had the 80 ranked offense and is playing against the 4th best defense in the country in regards to yards allowed and we have a likely SU winner here as a dog. Houston has 2 RB's listed as OUT.
My Play. Tulane +2.5

More later.

 

[JohnnyMags]

Like Utah St .... Good Luck

 

[indiana]

G/man....well done last week buddy.....
continue your winning ways with week 5.....indy

 

[lakrfan2000]

Nice call on Utah State! Thanks G.

 

[G-Man!]

Saturday. OCTOBER 1st (3-0 Thursday- Friday)

12:00 Noon.
Wisconsin -6.5 over Illinois.
The Pounding by Ohio State last week will be the wakeup call for the Badgers today. No game plan that Illinois can bring, will be good enough.
Im basing this play mostly on the game with Washington State when Wisky had 4 turnovers to lose 14-17. Wisky held WSU to only 10 first downs. If they play that way today, this wins.
The Badgers are out yarding everyone with 466 yds per game UNTIL they faced OSU.
Illinois had a tough game against Indiana, who is now a 1-3 team averging 29 pts on offense and 29 pts allowed on defense.
The illini is ranked #4 nationally on defense but they played 3 games against bad teams while allowing 23 points to below average Indiana. Will the real Illinois defense please stand up!
llinois WHO HAS HAD 10 TURNOVERS IN THEIR LAST 3 GAMES isnt anything like OSU, so thats why Im on Wisky.
My Play. Badgers .

12:00 Noon.
Purdue +11.5 over Minnesota.
Boilermakers played 2 solid games against Penn State and Syracuse.
Against Penn State they shut out The Nittany Lions in 2 quarters and had the lead with just 1 minute to play when PSU scored the final TD to pull out the win with .57 seconds on the clock by 2 points. The performance was no fluke as the Boilermakers out gained the Lions by 20 total yds.

The Syracuse game was also solid as both teams traded TD's 3 times in the fourth quarter only to have Purdue lose by 3 points with a Cuse TD with 4 seconds left in the game. That game wasn't as close in yardage as Purdue finished with a +179 more yds. The Orange had a 17 yards int return for a TD to keep them in it in.
Last week, Purdue starting QB O'Connell was out. He is listed as ? for today, so this will be a big factor to watch as see.
Im playing it with this line and if he starts or gets in the game at some point, Im looking for a SU win.
My Play. Purdue +11.5.

12:00 noon
Boston College +14.5 over Louisville.
Bounce-back play after last weeks beating by Florida State.

12:00Noon.
TCU +5.5 over Oklahoma.
Best defense is the Conference allowing only 21 points per game, is why TCU is the play today. Oklahoma is 0-1 in Conference play and this is TCU's first conference game. Home field advantage may become reality as they likely had this game circled with a win in mind for the Horned Frogs.
My Play. TCU +5.5

12:00 Noon.
Iowa +11 over Michigan.
After seeing what Michigan had to deal with against underrated Maryland last week, Iowa should have a solid day against the Wolverines who are about to face the best defense in the BIG 10. Iowa has allowed only 10 points or less in every game.
Michigan was looking like a top defensive squad until MD put up 27 points in spite of 3 crucial turnovers in the loss to Michigan.
That game was low scoring until the 4th quarter as 5 td's were scored in 14 minutes. Holding Michigan in the first 3 qtr's to 17 points in the 'Big House' showed that they arent as great offensively as the season numbers showed BEFORE this game.

Now Iowa adds to the problem, being a true defensive force that relies on holding down opponents. The 11 point line is higher than it was for MD when considering that the game was in Michigan.
Being a road double-digit team who was just exposed as a low scoring team, is enough for the Play on Iowa here.
MD has an average defense allowing 23 pts per game so as a road dog last week at 17 points reveals just how over rated Michigan is.
The Hawkeyes wont get much respect after starting the season with two 7 point scoring games but just the fact that they lasted defensively during that span shows how good the defense is. Iowa is ranked #1 nationally right now.
Cant see a top defense getting Double Digits unless the opponent is also as good on defense. Michigan is not.
My play. Iowa +11.


3:30 PM
Maryland -7.5 over Michigan State.
Last weeks loss to Michigan showed how solid this team is. MSU on the other hand is far from who Michigan is. Spartans have a defense that is keeping them in games but offensively they just lack a lot by putting up only 7 points against BIG 10 competition, and wont be able to stop MD.
MY Play. MD -7.5

3:30 PM
Kent State -12 over Ohio.
Golden Flashes gave solid effort against three solid programs. Kent scored 20 on Washington. held Oklahoma to 33 points and covered against Georgia(-45.5) like I posed last week in a 39-22 loss.
Playing against Ohio should provide a lot more potential to score and control the clock. 2 wins by Ohio were over Fordham and Fla. Atlantic. Both high scoring games that that exposed the Bobcats secondary.
My Play. Kent State-12

3:30PM
Wake Forest +6.5 over Fla State.
Last weeks showing against Clemson was an overtime affair with WF almost pulling it out. Not many were on WF after they barely beat Liberty the week before 37-36. Thats called looking ahead to the biggest game of the season against Clemson for WF.

Today we have a team that was only an 8 point dog to Clemson last week who is now a 6.5 dog to FSU? The debacle with BC last week gave FSU and over rated image as far as I'm concerned. I dont believe that FSU is only 2 point less capable to beat WF than the Clemson line ws at 8.
The Demon Decons have an offense that doesnt quit with an average of 44 pts per game against some solid teams in that list of opponents this season so far.
My stats says that we have a sleeping dog here thats coming into Tallahassee for an upset.
My Play. WF +6.5.

Late 10:30 PM
Arizona State +25.5 over USC.
USC 17-14 win over Oregon State was no where near a win. Only because of 4 Oregon State turnovers did the Trojans win.
Take away first win USC had with 66 points over measly Rice and we have a much different read on scoring potential for USC.
I expect a good effort by ASU and take home the cash. Line moves are suspect and will show in the final score.

 

[exploited17]

Can't quite figure out that Louisville line
I don't think they(Louisville) are that good

Wouldn't get too fooled by the Maryland game vs Michigan even the best team won't blow everyone out
Playing 3 straight(4th in a row vs Marland) home games against trash proves little then they face a decent Maryland team
Not surprising they didn't win by 20 or more
Doesn't mean Maryland is good
JMO

The question is how bad is Michigan St?
With Ohio St on board next week they need a win
Are the decent enough to get it?

GL

 

[indiana]

G/man....BOL with all your action week 5 buddy....
appreciate the write ups.......indy

 

[Serbone]

Good stuff, like the write ups.

My feedback on one game is that Iowa has NO offense, it is a joke, coach's son is OC, fans are po'd, QB is a stiff, OL is not what it has been lately. Michigan has enough to stop them. Iowa has not seen an offense like Michigan and will wear down.

 

[G-Man!]

Good stuff, like the write ups.

My feedback on one game is that Iowa has NO offense, it is a joke, coach's son is OC, fans are po'd, QB is a stiff, OL is not what it has been lately. Michigan has enough to stop them. Iowa has not seen an offense like Michigan and will wear down.

Would agree with you based on season so far. But The line should be much higher if the stats are an indicators at all.
Im basing the play on the MD game when all of a sudden the Wolverines were a 50 pt per game offense and ranked #2 nationally - until MD rolled into town last week. Playing on the road against a far better defense than whatMD had is where this play makes sense to me.
GL today

 

[G-Man!]

Added
3:30
Oklahoma State +3 over Baylor

3:30
Arkansas +17 over Alabama.

7:00
Tulsa +10 over Cincinnati
Auburn +8 over LSU.

 

[G-Man!]

UtahState +25 over BYU...................................W
UCLA +4 over Washington................................W
Tulane +2.5 over Houston..................................W
Wisconsin -6.5 over Illinois.......................L
Purdue +11.5 over Minnesota..........................W
Boston College +14.5 over Louisville..............W
TCU +5.5 over Oklahoma..................................W
Iowa +11 over Michigan.........................L
Maryland -7.5 over Michigan State................W
Kent State -12 over Ohio........................L
Wake Forest +6.5 over Fla State....................W
Oklahoma State +3 over Baylor.....................W
Arkansas +17 over Alabama....................L
Tulsa +10 over Cincinnati...................................P
Auburn +8 over LSU.......................................W
Arizona State +25.5 over USC.....................W

Week 5 Total. 11-4-1.
Season. 36-22. (62%)