Haven't done much posting in the past week and a half with work, grad school, and all of the site issues here at therx. My week 2 thread got lost in the crash, but I went 2-2 on posted picks and lost .4 units. YTD 8-9 -1.7 units on posted plays in CFB. Here's what I have for week 3 so far:
Friday
USF -3 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Big East has looked terrible thus far, but I think USF is still for real, unlike the WVU Mountaineers. Kansas has been given too much credit and from what I can see, the public is all over them tonight based off of their perception of this team from last year. I look for Grothe to have a big game at QB, and the defense to put pressure on Reesing and force some turnovers leading to the victory at home in prime time.
Saturday
Rice +8 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
I got lucky with the Owls last week, and I'll ride them again. I live in Nashville, and would go to this game if it weren't for that other game being played out in Los Angeles on TV Saturday night. I think Rice can keep up with the 'Dores with their offense, going in to the final drive with a chance for the upset. I'll take two possessions anytime.
Kentucky -17 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
I can't see much reason not to make this a 5 or 6 unit play, but I got a little trigger happy in Week 1, so I'm trying money management as much as possible. I know way too much about MTSU being a former baseball player there and hanging out with some of the guys on the football team. I'm happy they pulled off the upset of Maryland last week, but Maryland is brutal(They only beat Delaware 14-7), so I don't see it as them "turning a corner". Fact of the matter is, they are undersized across the board, and Kentucky will wear them down and coast to a cover. While the UK offense is not running on full throttle, UK's defense has yet to allow a TD on the season, and their rush will live in QB Joe Craddock's face all night. I see a 28-3, 35-10 type game.
Wisconsin -1.5 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Most everybody I know is in love with Fresno, and while I think they're the best non-BCS team, I think Wisconsin should handle them. Wisky is supposed to get All-American TE Travis Beckum back, and that is simply another weapon in an already good offense. Wisconsin does have trouble covering spreads on the road, but in this case, they simply have to win. Trend: Wisconsin has won 26 of it's last 27 non-conference regular season games, including 8 in a row on the road. I look for the trend to continue and the Badgers to emerge victorious in a hard fought game.
I am still looking at a few more...... USC, BYU, UGA, Marshall, Georgia Tech, Tennessee(1st half), LSU(1st half)..... but I need to do some more capping and wait on a few more lines to come out. Thoughts anyone?
Friday
USF -3 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Big East has looked terrible thus far, but I think USF is still for real, unlike the WVU Mountaineers. Kansas has been given too much credit and from what I can see, the public is all over them tonight based off of their perception of this team from last year. I look for Grothe to have a big game at QB, and the defense to put pressure on Reesing and force some turnovers leading to the victory at home in prime time.
Saturday
Rice +8 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
I got lucky with the Owls last week, and I'll ride them again. I live in Nashville, and would go to this game if it weren't for that other game being played out in Los Angeles on TV Saturday night. I think Rice can keep up with the 'Dores with their offense, going in to the final drive with a chance for the upset. I'll take two possessions anytime.
Kentucky -17 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
I can't see much reason not to make this a 5 or 6 unit play, but I got a little trigger happy in Week 1, so I'm trying money management as much as possible. I know way too much about MTSU being a former baseball player there and hanging out with some of the guys on the football team. I'm happy they pulled off the upset of Maryland last week, but Maryland is brutal(They only beat Delaware 14-7), so I don't see it as them "turning a corner". Fact of the matter is, they are undersized across the board, and Kentucky will wear them down and coast to a cover. While the UK offense is not running on full throttle, UK's defense has yet to allow a TD on the season, and their rush will live in QB Joe Craddock's face all night. I see a 28-3, 35-10 type game.
Wisconsin -1.5 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Most everybody I know is in love with Fresno, and while I think they're the best non-BCS team, I think Wisconsin should handle them. Wisky is supposed to get All-American TE Travis Beckum back, and that is simply another weapon in an already good offense. Wisconsin does have trouble covering spreads on the road, but in this case, they simply have to win. Trend: Wisconsin has won 26 of it's last 27 non-conference regular season games, including 8 in a row on the road. I look for the trend to continue and the Badgers to emerge victorious in a hard fought game.
I am still looking at a few more...... USC, BYU, UGA, Marshall, Georgia Tech, Tennessee(1st half), LSU(1st half)..... but I need to do some more capping and wait on a few more lines to come out. Thoughts anyone?
