Friday NCAA

[PirateAlew]

13-11 Thurs (Cash 6 top plays)/496-393 YTD

Afternoon and early evening action was realy good early, some late collapses by teams at night but got Washington State for 6 of 10 top plays. On to Friday.
Playing a few that stand out before lines go up. Will have more later.

UT Chattanooga -3-115
Marist+5

UMass Lowell-4-115
Bryant+4
Vermont/Miami OH Over 139

Top plays: UT Chattanooga, Marist, Vermont/Miami Over

More later. Good luck all.

 

[phantom888]

Nice call on Hawaii over Portland last night. Thanks for your insights

 

[PirateAlew]

Nice call on Hawaii over Portland last night. Thanks for your insights

thanks Phantom. glad they cashed for us and withstood the Portland shooters getting hot mid 2nd half. Felt like the 'Bows would just be too much, glad it worked out for us!

adding:
Tulane-3-120 (Top play)

Maryland/UCLA Over 129 (Top play)
Nevada/TCU Over 149

 

[PirateAlew]

should have played this one last night when i played Bryant spread as its changed a lot so I'll play it smaller.

Drexel/Bryant Over 134-120

 

[indiana]

P. Alew.....BOL with your action today buddy...
on the early Ov. with you....indy

 

[PirateAlew]

Been staring at this one all night and morning, still cant believe it was 4ish and now 2-3 at most books. I see a possible DD win for Drake. Too much skill and offense for UAB. Bookmakers still haven't caught up yet, this isn't the same UAB Team of last year that had a nice run through the NIT. I watch a lot of ball as a former player and coach, and by my eye test there's a GOOD reason why Drake is 11-1 and UAB is 6-5. Good times find a way to win, mediocre teams will find ways to lose. And the line movement down is sometimes just a silly bookie head fake to get people to go the other way. I know this from years doing this and living in vegas off an on years ago, still have a couple friends who were/are linesmakers. Some of these movements are illogical and designed for a reason. AND DONT TRUST the public % crap you see on the internet, it's usually off 5-10% at least.

Drake-2-120 (Top play)

 

[PirateAlew]

Got so busy with all my analysis and other things i forgot the 4pm game i played today, not a top play but I like it:

CS Northridge-5

 

[djrob]

Pirate if one was playing 400 a game on your regular plays how much should the Top Plays be $800? a DIME ?

 

[PirateAlew]

Pirate if one was playing 400 a game on your regular plays how much should the Top Plays be $800? a DIME ?

that sounds about right, as i double, sometimes triple on top plays depending on my feeling but dont make it more than 5% of your bankroll or what you can afford to lose at all....also remember its a marathon, not a race. Hope you crush it!

 

[neonmasters]

Your top plays are my Ride or Die. I greatly appreciate you posting them for people like myself and the work that goes into your capping.

 

[PirateAlew]

thanks Neon, hope we keep on winning.
Great starting the day 2-0 with 2 EASY winners Bryant and Over....Realized I left TCU off with my over play just not as big but also playing Hawaii bigger in the top spot for late play Hawaii keeps rolling in front of their friendly contignent. Better offensive unit and while GT is solid defensively, Hawaii is at home and GT could still be feeling a bit of lag, they did have to rally hard just to beat UMass. Give me the 'Bows here.

Adding:
Hawaii-2-115 (Top play)
TCU-2-118

full card below:
UT Chattanooga -3-115

Hawaii-2-115

Marist+5

Drake-2-120

Tulane-3-118

UMass Lowell-4-115

TCU-2-118

CS Northridge-5

Bryant+4-W

Vermont/Miami OH Over 139

Maryland/UCLA Over 129

Nevada/TCU Over 149

Drexel/Bryant Over 134-W

Top plays: UT Chattanooga, Hawaii, Marist, Drake, Tulane, Vermont/Miami Over, Maryland/UCLA Over

 

[nhlgal1001]

thanks Neon, hope we keep on winning.
Great starting the day 2-0 with 2 EASY winners Bryant and Over....Realized I left TCU off with my over play just not as big but also playing Hawaii bigger in the top spot for late play Hawaii keeps rolling in front of their friendly contignent. Better offensive unit and while GT is solid defensively, Hawaii is at home and GT could still be feeling a bit of lag, they did have to rally hard just to beat UMass. Give me the 'Bows here.

Adding:
Hawaii-2-115 (Top play)
TCU-2-118

full card below:
UT Chattanooga -3-115

Hawaii-2-115

Marist+5

Drake-2-120

Tulane-3-118

UMass Lowell-4-115

TCU-2-118

CS Northridge-5

Bryant+4-W

Vermont/Miami OH Over 139

Maryland/UCLA Over 129

Nevada/TCU Over 149

Drexel/Bryant Over 134-W

Top plays: UT Chattanooga, Hawaii, Marist, Drake, Tulane, Vermont/Miami Over, Maryland/UCLA Over

Any thoughts on Md/Ucla side?

 

[PirateAlew]

Any thoughts on Md/Ucla side?

yes thank you for reminding me, i played UCLA a while ago and thought i had it posted but just saw I didnt. Not a top play like the total but i like them -3 tonight as they have a better defense and slightly better offensive unit. Maryland is terrible on offense and 3 point line (one of the worst in the nation) in particular so I'm on the Bruins at 3 tonight.

UCLA-3-120

 

[PirateAlew]

3-0 Start to day as Umass Lowell closes it out. As always I'm ready for the dip, been doing this too long. Picking a few spots I see rest of day with a lot of action to come up.

Texas A&M CC/Texas Over 150-112

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Been staring at this one all night and morning, still cant believe it was 4ish and now 2-3 at most books. I see a possible DD win for Drake. Too much skill and offense for UAB. Bookmakers still haven't caught up yet, this isn't the same UAB Team of last year that had a nice run through the NIT. I watch a lot of ball as a former player and coach, and by my eye test there's a GOOD reason why Drake is 11-1 and UAB is 6-5. Good times find a way to win, mediocre teams will find ways to lose. And the line movement down is sometimes just a silly bookie head fake to get people to go the other way. I know this from years doing this and living in vegas off an on years ago, still have a couple friends who were/are linesmakers. Some of these movements are illogical and designed for a reason. AND DONT TRUST the public % crap you see on the internet, it's usually off 5-10% at least.

Drake-2-120 (Top play)

Up to -6.5
Let’s Go!!

 

[PirateAlew]

wow just pushed the vermont Over on a MIRACLE 3 near half court at 139. congrats to those who had the closing line 137....you're a winner and i'll take my push with a smile

 

[stlrocker6]

Pirate, I must say, I just got back in the game and looking for somebody to tail. So far, you are the man! I’m 3-0 today and got that miracle three for the hit at 138 with the hook! I was on Bryant, Lowell and that miracle over! You appear very knowledgeable, honest and transparent. I really appreciate you! BTW, I’m not new here, just been away a long time and had to reregister! Thank you again!

 

[phantom888]

Thanks for checking out the Hawaii and Nevada games today, you must've been reading my mind lol.

Good for us Portland started settling for treys in their run in the second half and just went cold. Hawaii turned it up a notch to get the cover.

Goodluck!

 

[PirateAlew]

Pirate, I must say, I just got back in the game and looking for somebody to tail. So far, you are the man! I’m 3-0 today and got that miracle three for the hit at 138 with the hook! I was on Bryant, Lowell and that miracle over! You appear very knowledgeable, honest and transparent. I really appreciate you! BTW, I’m not new here, just been away a long time and had to reregister! Thank you again!

Thank you STLrocker. good hearing from you. I def try to be and glad i can help. Hope we keep winning!

3:30pm update for later games while watching some of this frustrating UT Chatt game (can any college kid guard the 3 now?) These refs also calling EVERY possession a FOUL on UTC. Every dang touch and play. Unreal. They have almost triple the amount of fouls, had over 10 for a while while Milwaukee was at 5 for a while.

adding:
San Francisco Dons-11 (Top play)
Ohio-3-120

condensing for all with all games:

Hawaii-2-115

Marist+5

UT Chattanooga -3-115

Drake-2-120

San Francisco-11

Tulane-3-118

UMass Lowell-4-115

TCU-2-118

Ohio-3-120

CS Northridge-5

Bryant+4

Vermont/Miami OH Over 139

Maryland/UCLA Over 129

Nevada/TCU Over 149

Drexel/Bryant Over 134-120

Texas A&M CC/Texas Over 150-112

Top plays: Hawaii, Marist, UT Chattanooga, Drake, San Francisco, Tulane, Vermont/Miami Over, Maryland/UCLA Over

Dummy me forgot to hit enter again earlier

 

[PirateAlew]

Tough one from an instate ODU team here...Jeff jones HC and former UVA coach had a bad heart attack and it shook the team up but that said they are a below avg squad, while temple is mediocre with signs of being decent at times. too inconsistent yet line is only -3ish for temple which is a bit off. I have temple about 8-10 pts better & this is the 3rd day after Jones heart attack where players got to go to hospital and see him...i doubt this is a "win one for the gipper" as the team looked woefully unprepared and stunned last game.

FWIW, friend txt me if TCU was a top play above. it is. i forgot to note it. GL all.

Colorado State-5 (Top play)
Temple-3-115 (Top play-see above)
Marquette-17
East Tenn State/Utah State Over 143-118