Friday 8/28/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

French Ligue 1 TODAY 19:30

Guingamp

v

Marseille

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT S		11/4	23/10	11/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT GUINGAMP	RECENT FORM
ALHWALALHLAL​ Most recent​	0 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 1 0 - 1	HWAWHWHLALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Abdel Barrada has averaged 3.5 shots per game, more than any other Marseille player

EXPERT VERDICT: Boss Michel couldn’t have wished for a much better start in charge of Marseille than their 6-0 hammering of Troyes but that victory shouldn’t be allowed to gloss over the club’s issues. However, three straight defeats have left hosts Guingamp low on confidence, so the best wager could be on attacking midfielder Abdel Barrada scoring first.

RECOMMENDATION: A Barrada to score first
1

 

[superbeets]

German Bundesliga TODAY 19:30

Wolfsburg

v

Schalke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		Evs	14/5	5/2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WOLFSBURG	RECENT FORM
ADNWND*AWHWAD​ Most recent​	1 - 1 4 - 0 1 - 4 2 - 1	ALHWALAWAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Wolfsburg have not lost any of their last 25 domestic home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Wolfsburg have been adversely affected by the constant talk about Kevin de Bruyne’s future but they rarely put a foot wrong on home turf and should outfire Schalke in an entertaining match. The visitors are still getting used to the high-intensity style favoured by new coach Andre Breitenreiter.

RECOMMENDATION: Wolfsburg
2

 

[superbeets]

Spanish La Liga TODAY 19:30

Villarreal

v

Espanyol

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS3		4/7	11/4	6	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT VILLARREAL	RECENT FORM
HLADHWHWALAD​ Most recent​	0 - 3 2 - 1 0 - 0 4 - 0	AWHDAWHLALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: 12 of Villarreal's 16 league wins last season came at home

EXPERT VERDICT: Villarreal's sixth-placed finish in La Liga last season was largely thanks to their solid home form but they look short enough for the clash with Espanyol at El Madrigal. The visitors won this fixture 3-0 last term – also holding Villarreal to a 1-1 draw at home – and they are worth backing to claim a point on Friday.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Championship TODAY 19:45

Falkirk

v

Dumbarton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ALBA		8/13	3	4	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FALKIRK	RECENT FORM
NWADHWHLAWAW​ Most recent​	3 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 2	AWAD*HWAWAD*HL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Dumbarton have lost one of their last six trips to Falkirk

EXPERT VERDICT: Both of these in-form teams should contribute to an entertaining encounter. Falkirk remain unbeaten while Dumbarton only lost their 100 per cent record on Saturday to joint-leaders Queen of the South. These two have had some lively tussles, including a 3-3 draw in January, and another could follow.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
3


REFEREE: Barry Cook STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Championship TODAY 19:45

Blackburn

v

Bolton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		11/10	5/2	14/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BLACKBURN	RECENT FORM
HWHLHLADHDAL​ Most recent​	1 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2	HLHDHLALALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Blackburn have lost one of their last six home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Neither of these north-west outfits has enjoyed the start to their Championship season, so both will be hoping to ease their fears with victory. Hosts Blackburn have been creating plenty of chances but have been slightly unfortunate, so should exacerbate their rivals’ relegation worries.

RECOMMENDATION: Blackburn
1

 

[superbeets]

Championship Sa 29Aug 12:05

Derby

v

Leeds

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		4/6	14/5	5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT DERBY	RECENT FORM
HLADALHDHDAD​ Most recent​	2 - 0 3 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 0	HDHDAD*ADADHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Leeds have won one of their last seven away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Paul Clement has taken time to adapt to the role of Derby manager but this match looks an ideal opportunity for his side to scoop three points. Hard-working Leeds have looked tough to break down in the opening weeks of the campaign but the Rams have the power to force their way through.

RECOMMENDATION: Derby
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Conley is 1-1, 5.12 in his four starts (over 3-1).

Scherzer is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

Miami lost three of last four games with Washington; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Marlins lost six of last seven games- five of their last six stayed under total. Washington won four of its last five (over 4-1-1 in last six). .

Rockies @ Pirates
Gray is 0-0, 6.48 in his four starts (over 3-1).

Liriano is 4-0, 4.91 in his last six starts; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven.

Colorado lost four of last six games with Pittsburgh; home side won nine of last ten series games. Rockies won last two games after losing six of previous seven-- four of their last six went over total. Pirates won eight of last ten games; four of their last five stayed under.

Padres @ Phillies
Kennedy is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts (under 7-3 in his last ten).

Nola is 4-0, 3.93 in his last six starts (over 5-1); Phils scored 41 runs for him.

Padres lost four of last five games with Philly; five of last six series games got over total. San Diego lost three of last four games; five of its last six games stayed under. Phillies lost last four games; eight of their last ten went over. .

Reds @ Brewers
Iglesias is 2-2, 2.20 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Jungmann is 2-4, 4.55 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Reds lost last four games with Milwaukee (over 3-1); Cincy lost 11 of last 12 games (over 5-2 in last seven) overall. Brewers lost last four games, allowing 32 runs; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.

Cubs @ Dodgers
Hammel is 2-1, 4.01 in his last five starts; six of his last eight went over.

Kershaw is 5-0, 0.90 in his last nine starts; eight of his last ten stayed under.

Cubs are 3-5 in last eight games with LA; last four series games went under total. Chicago won six of last eight games (over 6-3 in last nine). Dodgers won last three games, allowing five runs; five of their last six stayed under.

Cardinals @ Giants
Wacha is 4-0, 1.09 in his last five starts (under 5-1 in last six).

Leake is 4-1, 1.06 in his last six starts (under 6-1 in last seven).

Cardinals lost four of their last six games with Giants (under 2-0-1 last three); St Louis won last five games; over is 4-1-2 in last seven. Giants are 3-5 in last eight games; over is 6-3-2 in their last eleven.

St Louis closer Rosenthal won't be in SF this weekend; his wife is having a baby and Rosenthal will be in St Louis with her.

American League
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Former Blue Jay Boyd is 0-2, 6.06 in his last three starts (under 3-1 last four).

Dickey is 5-0, 3.50 in his last seven starts; last three went over. Dickey has a 7.31 RA in his last three starts; Jays scored 30 runs in those three games.

Tigers lost six of last seven games; six of their last eight stayed under; Tigers lost six of last nine games with Toronto (over 7-1 in last eight). Blue Jays won seven of last nine (seven of last eight went over).

Angels @ Indians
Heaney is 0-2, 5.96 in his last five starts; six of his last nine went over.

Salazar is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Angels won seven of last ten games with Cleveland; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Halos lost five of last seven games (over 5-2). Indians won five of last seven games; seven of their last ten went over the total.

Royals @ Rays
Volquez is 0-1, 5.95 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.

Ramirez is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.

Royals won their last five games with Tampa Bay (over 5-0); KC won five of last six games- over is 4-1-2 in its last seven. Tampa Bay lost of its three of last four games; Rays' last five games all went over.

Orioles @ Rangers
Gausman is 0-3, 4.91 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Hamels is 1-1, 4.72 in his four starts for Texas.

Rangers won three of last four games with Baltimore; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Texas won nine of last 13 games (under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games). Orioles lost seven of last eight games (under 4-2-1 in last seven).

Mariners @ White Sox
Walker is 2-0, 3.71 in his last five starts (over is 7-2 in his last nine).

Danks is 0-3, 5.68 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

White Sox won three of last four games with Seattle (over 3-1); Chicago lost three of last five games overall-- seven of their last ten went over. Mariners won three of last five games- five of their last six games went over total.

Astros @ Twins
Kazmir is 1-3, 5.56 in his last four starts (under 8-2 in his last ten).

Gibson is 0-3, 7.45 in his last seven starts.

Houston is 4-6 in last ten games with Minnesota (over 6-3 in last nine); Astros won seven of last nine games (over 7-2). Twins won six of last seven games-- their last three all went over.

Interleague
Red Sox @ Mets
Owens is 2-1, 4.88 in his four starts (over 4-0).

Harvey skipped his last start to keep his innings down; he is 3-0, 1.01 in his last five starts (over 4-2 in last six).

Mets won their last seven games, scoring 73 runs; 10 of their last 11 games went over total. NY lost four of last six games with Boston- six of last nine series games stayed under total. Boston won four of last six games (over 7-2-1 in last ten). If Ortiz is in lineup (NL park, no DH), Red Sox have a pathetic defensive infield.

Bronx @ Braves
Tanaka is 2-3, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight.

Perez is 0-4, 8.28 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1).

Bronx won five of last seven games with Atlanta; three of last four series tilts stayed under total. NY lost five of last seven games overall; four of last six went over total. Braves lost nine of last ten games; four of their last five went over.

A's @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 2-1, 2.09 in his last five starts (under 7-1-1 in his last nine).

Anderson is 2-1, 4.63 in his last four starts.

Oakland lost four of last five games with Arizona; three of last four went over total. A's lost four of last six games; their last five went over total. Diamondbacks lost last four games; over is 4-2-2 in their last eight.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Wsh-- Conley 3-1; Scherzer 13-12
Col-Pitt-- Gray 0-4; Liriano 14-10 (10-0 last 10)
SD-Phil-- Kennedy 11-12; Nola 5-2
Cin-Mil-- Iglesias 4-8; Jungmann 8-6
Chi-LA-- Hammel 12-12 (4-1 last 5); Kershaw 13-12
StL-SF-- Wacha 19-5; Leake 11-12/0-2

Det-Tor-- Boyd 1-5/1-3; Dickey 17-7 (6-0 last 6)
LA-Clev-- Heaney 8-3; Salazar 14-9
KC-TB-- Volquez 18-8; Ramirez 14-6
Balt-Tex-- Gausman 3-7; Hamels 12-12/2-2
Hst-Min-- Kazmir 11-13/3-3; Gibson 13-12
Sea-Chi-- Walker 14-11; Danks 11-13

Bos-NY-- Owens 2-2; Harvey 14-9
NY-Atl-- Tanaka 12-6; Perez 5-8 (0-6 last 6)
A's-Az-- Gray 15-10; Anderson 9-13

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Wsh-- Conley 0-4; Scherzer 5-23
Col-Pitt-- Gray 3-4; Liriano 5-25
SD-Phil-- Kennedy 8-23; Nola 4-7
Cin-Mil-- Iglesias 2-12; Jungmann 2-14
Chi-LA-- Hammel 10-24; Kershaw 5-25
StL-SF-- Wacha 4-24; Leake 4-23

Det-Tor-- Boyd 2-6; Dickey 11-24 (4 of last 5)
LA-Clev-- Heaney 0-11; Salazar 7-23
KC-TB-- Volquez 6-26; Ramirez 5-20
Balt-Tex-- Gausman 5-10; Hamels 5-24
Hst-Min-- Kazmir 4-24; Gibson 6-25
Sea-Chi-- Walker 7-25; Danks 8-24

Bos-NY-- Owens 2-4; Harvey 6-23
NY-Atl-- Tanaka 4-18; Perez 5-13
A's-Az-- Gray 4-25; Anderson 8-22

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

Week 10 marks the halfway point of the 2015 CFL regular season and so far the two teams that met in last season’s Grey Cup have set the pace with Hamilton tied for the lead in the East Division and Calgary back on top in the West.

Last week’s results started with Montreal upending British Columbia, 23-13 as a four-point road underdog last Thursday night. Hamilton rolled over Edmonton 49-20 as a two-point road favorite in a huge inter-division clash last Friday and Calgary snuck past Saskatchewan, 34-31 as a 6 ½-point favorite on the road. Toronto closed-out Week 9’s slate with a come-from-behind 30-24 victory over Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite.

Friday, Aug. 28

Toronto Argonauts (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

Toronto’s win on Sunday kept it tied with Hamilton atop the East Division at 6-2 SU, but it is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games. Trevor Harris continues to be one of the biggest surprises this season at quarterback with 2,253 total passing yards and a league-high 19 touchdown throws. Against the RedBlacks in that come-from-behind victory, he completed 21-of-31 attempts for 266 yards and three scores.

The Eskimos’ loss to Hamilton dropped them a game off the pace against Calgary in the West Division race. Making matters worse was a rib injury to quarterback James Franklin. He remains questionable for this Friday, so if he cannot go it will be up to Matt Nichols to shake off the rust that has plagued him in his last few starts at quarterback for Edmonton.

Betting Trends

The Argonauts won the first meeting this season 26-11 as 7 ½-point home underdogs with the total staying UNDER the closing 47 ½-point line. Edmonton is still 6-3 ATS over the last nine meetings and the total had gone OVER in the previous five games.

Saturday, Aug. 29

Calgary Stampeders (6-2 SU, 1-7 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The defending champs continue to set the pace in the West, but they are 0-3 ATS in three road games this year. The total went OVER 50 ½ against Saskatchewan last week and it has now gone OVER in three of Calgary’s last four outings. The Stampeders have gotten some solid play out of Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and in last week’s game he threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns.

The Blue Bombers come off a bye in desperate need of a win to stay in the playoff race in the West after dropping four of five games SU (2-3 ATS) before the break. Winnipeg is averaging just 20 points a game, while on defense it has allowed an average of 29.7 points a game. Quarterback Drew Willy is out until late September with a knee injury, so look for Brian Brohm or possibly Robert Marve to get the start against Calgary.

Betting Trends

Calgary got past Winnipeg 26-25 on July 18 as a 7 ½-point home favorite and it has now failed to cover in the last three meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.

Sunday, Aug. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 52

Game Overview

It has been a forgettable first half of football for the Roughriders, who have been plagued with major injuries at the quarterback position. They should be encouraged by the play of Brett Smith in relief. Against Calgary, he threw for 178 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 54 yards on the ground. Saskatchewan is still averaging 25.6 points a game.

The RedBlacks have now lost their last two games SU (1-1 ATS) after a posting a solid 4-2 start both SU and ATS. The total went OVER the closing 50-point line on Sunday and it has now gone OVER in their last four games. Veteran CFL signal-caller Henry Burris lit-up Toronto’s secondary in the losing effort with 426 yards passing while completing 32-of-36 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan won both meetings last season SU with the series tied 1-1 ATS. The total went OVER in both contests with the Roughriders posting a total of 73 points in the two victories.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Friday's Preseason Tips
By Tony Mejia

Patriots at Panthers (-1, 44) – 7:30 p.m. ET

New England

Head coach: Bill Belichick (44-39 SU, 40-36-7 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ryan Lindley

Brady’s situation creates a dilemma for Belichick, who rode Garoppolo last week and knows he’s got to continue bringing him up to speed in case the Deflategate appeal doesn’t go his No. 1’s way. Brady has been razor-sharp in practices, but has struggled to move the Patriots in his limited preseason drives. Of course, the Patriots have been missing top WRs Julian Edelman, Brandon LaFell and Aaron Dobson in addition to tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Scott Chandler, so this has really been as strange an offseason as there’s ever been in a New England. Considering the team just lived through Aaron Hernandez overshadowing the 2013 version, that’s saying something.

Carolina

Head coach: Ron Rivera (10-8 SU, 10-7-1 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Cam Newton, Derek Anderson, Joe Webb

Rivera plans on his starters going to 35-40 plays, likely having them start the second half in spite of all the injury trouble they’ve had this training camp. Center Ryan Kalil sprained his knee and is out the remainder of preseason, leaving Newton without his top protector. Despite this, the Panthers head coach thinks it’s important to press forward and avoid becoming snake-bit by a week which also saw his team lose top WR Kelvin Benjamin and DE Frank Alexander for the season.

Titans at Chiefs (-4, 44 ½) – 8:00 p.m. ET

Tennessee

Head coach: Ken Whisenhunt (11-20 SU, 11-19-1 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Marcus Mariota (Rookie), Zach Mettenberger, Charlie Whitehurst, Alex Tanney

Mariota will be looking to find the end zone for the first time this preseason, but he made a number of eye-opening plays on Sunday night and will gain a little more seasoning here. Whisenhunt isn’t loving the idea of a dress rehearsal on a short week with so many players banged up, so he’s probably not going to have many of his starters play into the second half. Since Jason McCourty is now out for the rest of the preseason with a groin injury, the Titans are also getting a long look at their cornerback depth.

Kansas City

Head Coach: Andy Reid (30-36 SU, 28-34-4 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback Rotation: Alex Smith, Chase Daniel, Aaron Murray

No current coach has won this third preseason game more often than Reid, who is 10-6 entering this one. He’s treated this game like a typical regular-season contest since and continues to diligently follow that blue print, so expect Alex Smith and Chase Daniel to split all the snaps from center and a defense that has looked impressive thus far to continue attacking.

Lions at Jaguars (-2, 42) – 8:00 p.m. ET

Detroit

Head coach: Jim Caldwell (6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback Rotation: Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Kellen Moore, Garrett Gilbert

Stafford has gone 8-for-10 for 135 yards in his short preseason stint so far, but with Calvin Johnson unlikely to play here, he’s probably not going to play a full half either. Both Orlovsky and Moore have struggled in preseason, so Caldwell may utilize this game to come to a final decision between them. Orlovsky has pulled ahead.
Jacksonville

Head coach: Gus Bradley (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS in preseason)

Quarterback rotation: Blake Bortles, Chad Henne, Stephen Morris, Jeff Tuel

Bortles has been productive despite not having a TD pass to his credit yet. He does have a TD run and has taken a lot of snaps through the first two games, so new coordinator Greg Olson may open things up for him as he’s likely to play into the second half. Rookie running back T.J. Yeldon will finally make his debut. Bradley is 0-2 in dress rehearsal games, but has won two of his last three home preseason dates.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey

The big day is almost here, with American Pharoah coming into Saturday’s $1.6 million Travers (G1) looking as good as he has all year, but first we have a pretty good card coming up on Friday afternoon.

We have six stakes restricted to New York breds on tap, and while a pair drew small fields, we have some good betting opportunities.

The stakes action starts in the opener with the $100,000 Funny Cide for juveniles. Just five go to the post led by the Todd Pletcher trained Sudden Surprise (7-5) who was a good looking maiden winner in the slop on July 30.

The third race on the card is the $200,000 Fleet Indian for three-year-old fillies that drew a compact field of five. Pletcher again will send out the morning line favorite in Temper Mint Patty (1-1), who won the New York Oaks at Finger Lakes in her last outing by 9 ¼ lengths.

The Seeking the Ante is for two-year-old fillies with the James Ryerson trained She’s All Ready the even money favorite. She went gate to wire at the Spa on Aug. 7 to break her maiden in her debut.

We will see familiar faces in the $150,000 West Point. King Kreesa (2-1), Kharafa (4-1) and Lubash (5-2) take turns beating each other and it’s tough to tell who’s turn it is today.

The $150,000 Yaddo drew a field of 10 fillies and mares going 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf course. The Christophe Clement trained Discreet Marq exits graded company and will appreciate the return to the state bred ranks. She is the 4-5 morning line favorite.

The $250,000 Albany drew seven three-year-olds that will go nine furlongs on the main track. New York Derby winner Force is the 3-1 morning line favorite. Pletcher will send out One Sided and New York Derby fourth Good Luck Gus might be able to turn the tables in his third start off the bench.


Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 The Funny Cide (1:00 ET)
4 Manipulated 8-5
3 Sudden Surprise 7-5
1 No Entiendo 4-1
2 Dr. Shane 8-1

Analysis: Manipulated stalked the early pace, came with a wide run and ran them down in the stretch to win the state bred Rockville Centre in his debut. He gets an extra half furlong here and has worked sharply since his unveiling for the Jerkens barn. He is out of the stakes winner Silver Knockers ($249,658).

Sudden Surprise went gate to wire in the slop to break his maiden and earn the top last out speed fig. He was sent off at nearly 5-1 in a field of 10 for the Pletcher barn. He could get some pace pressure here and question is whether he can run back to that effort over a fast surface. The price is going to end up light.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 4 / 1,3
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 10 The Albany (6:03 ET)
1 Good Luck Gus 5-1
7 Force 3-1
2 One Sided 7-2
5 Battle of Evermore 4-1

Analysis: Good Luck Gus finished behind a couple of these last out when fourth in the state bred New York Derby. He may have been a bit short coming off just a sprint effort in his first go since last December. The colt makes his third start off the bench here for the RRod barn and looks capable of moving forward off his last outing. He has enough pedigree to handle nine furlongs, by Look At Lucky out of a Deputy Minister mare and I like the switch back to Saez.

Force was the winner of the New York Derby in his stakes debut in a sharp effort. The Casse trainee has taken to the Spa main track with a couple of bullet drills. It took him five tries to break his maiden but is coming off his career best effort and looks capable of moving forward off his last effort.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,2,5,7
TRI: 1,7 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,4,5,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R1: #2 Dr. Shane 8-1
R3: #2 Congaroo 15-1
R5: #5 Crowd Control 12-1
R6: #4 Eloquent Ethel 20-1
R7: #1 Notacatbutallama 10-1
R8: #8 Slapstick 12-1
R9: #2 The Tea Cups 12-1
R9: #4 Selenite 8-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 7:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 59 - Purse:$3000 - CLAIMING 4000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 CANTCATCH P 5/1


# 1 BORN WITH A GRIN 3/1


# 7 DODA GIG 8/1


CANTCATCH P is the most solid bet in this race. Many handicappers know speed is of the utmost importance. This solid standardbred has credentials with a 65 average figure. Good for a win play just off the excellent prior class ratings. Have to like this contender. Is a very promising choice given the 55 speed fig from her most recent outing. BORN WITH A GRIN - Win clip for this driver/trainer is a sparkling 29 percent - strong probability. Don't gloss over a horse with these connections. Driver-trainer rankings are looking good. DODA GIG - Hard to put finger on it, but like her in this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 8:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$20000 - **INDIANA SIRES STAKES** 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES - LEG 4


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 SHADY STELLA 3/1


# 4 MS CINDERELLA 15/1


# 3 SEVENTIMESAVIRGIN 2/1


SHADY STELLA will not be denied the triumph in this race. She's racing in good form, recording substantial TrackMaster speed figs. An excellent choice. Nice shot in this race to get the victory with first time Lasix. This filly has been performing versus some of the most competitive company in this pack of late. MS CINDERELLA - Starters win from this hole at Hoosier Park with better than average regularity, suggesting this super wager. SEVENTIMESAVIRGIN - She's running in good form, recording very promising speed ratings. An excellent contender. That 75 speed figure clocked in the last race puts this harness racer in the mix in this contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Monmouth

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17500 Class Rating: 63

FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 BROTHER CHUB 7/5


# 3 FIRST ON A ROLL 6/1


# 1 IRACE 7/2


BROTHER CHUB looks to be a very good contender. He has been running very well and the speed figures are among the most competitive in this group. He looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Could beat this group given the 69 speed fig posted in his last outing. FIRST ON A ROLL - Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in his last race. Over time, this conditioner has a respectable return on investment at this distance/surface. IRACE - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at SWF

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 770y on the Dirt. Purse: $4400 Class Rating: 77

QUARTER HORSE 770Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 28, 2015 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 AURORIN SHOT (T) 5/2


# 2 IN BROAD DAYLIGHT (T) 6/1


# 8 THE KID DON (T) 3/1


AURORIN SHOT (T) has a competitive shot to take this race. He has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the most respectable in this group of horses. Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last contest. IN BROAD DAYLIGHT (T) - This horse enters today's race with second time Lasix. THE KID DON (T) - Players should feel comfortable with this pick given Cervantes's recent gains at the window.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Arlington - Race #4 - Post: 4:48pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $9,450 Class Rating: 87

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 OH MY TODD (ML=6/1)
#7 SEA TREATY (ML=3/1)
#6 EXCHANGING BLOWS (ML=5/2)


OH MY TODD - The rider and conditioner combination have a lucrative return on investment when they combine forces. Have to give this horse a long look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a strong effort within the last month. You have to like that most recent race speed rating, 97, which is the top latest race speed fig of this field. SEA TREATY - This horse obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has notched the highest speed figure on the turf at the distance and surface. He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. Bennett brings him right back. I advocate you stick with this strong gelding. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (72-84-87) make this thoroughbred a solid contender. EXCHANGING BLOWS - I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice race within the last thirty days. A winning percentage the likes of what Baird and Rivelli have achieved together is out of sight. Have to watch for this animal on the grass. Last race at Arlington, scored a big turf fig. Have to think he can do it again right here. This one has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is just want you want for a winner today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RILEY ROCKS (ML=4/1), #2 EDGING (ML=9/2), #4 SHERIFF BART (ML=8/1),

RILEY ROCKS - Notched a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last out in a $15,000 Claiming race on Jul 28th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. EDGING - Never really did much at all last time out on August 9th. Hard to invest in in today's event. SHERIFF BART - Tough to support any horse that runs as well as he did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. Recent declining speed figs of 88/80/74 give a sign that this animal may be going off form. Doubtful that the speed figure he notched on Aug 6th will be good enough in this affair.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - EXCHANGING BLOWS - Racing on the turf in a sprint makes this steed extremely dangerous today. Rivelli has an excellent win percentage with horses at today's distance/surface.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 OH MY TODD to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,6,7] with [1,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Del Mar - Race #2 - Post: 4:30pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 MADAM AAMOURA (ML=7/2)
#7 ENTEBBE (ML=4/1)
#6 DARLING GRACE (ML=10/1)


MADAM AAMOURA - That 95 fig this filly registered in her last affair tells me she's a big time player this time around. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. Have to forget about that last turf race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt in this event. ENTEBBE - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +65. This horse coming off a nice try in the last month is a solid contender in my book. DARLING GRACE - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should improve in this race, with some pretty good odds.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MIDNIGHT BELLE (ML=3/1), #4 CALIFORNIA CURL (ML=4/1), #5 STURDY ONE (ML=5/1),

MIDNIGHT BELLE - This animal hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last two efforts. Registered a pedestrian speed figure in the last race in a Maiden Special race on Jul 16th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig. CALIFORNIA CURL - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine. STURDY ONE - The seventh place finish position in the last race was not that great. Won't be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 MADAM AAMOURA on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,6,7] with [1,6,7] with [1,4,5,6,7] with [1,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #7 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 4:09 PM


The West Point Stakes

8½ FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#3 KING KREESA
#4 SARATOGA SNACKS
#6 LUBASH
#5 KHARAFA

This turf race for New York-breds is named for the U. S. Military Academy, which is situated on the west bank of the Hudson River in West Point, N.Y., about 135 miles south of Saratoga. In 1778, Gen. George Washington personally selected Thaddeus Kosciuszko, one of the heroes of Saratoga, to design the fortifications for West Point, which is the oldest continuously occupied military post in the United States. Following the Revolutionary War, several soldiers and legislators, including Washington, Knox, Hamilton and John Adams, desiring to eliminate America's wartime reliance on foreign engineers and artillerists, urged the creation of an institution devoted to the arts and sciences of warfare.In 1802, President Thomas Jefferson signed legislation establishing the United States Military Academy, after ensuring that those attending the Academy would be representative of a democratic society. Here in the 36th renewal of this stakes test, #3 KING KREESA qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," is the overall speed leader in this field this afternoon, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in three, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd and 3rd races back. Jockey Jose Ortiz has been in her irons on three previous occasions, winning twice, en route to a +767 return on investment in the process, and is back this afternoon for his 4th ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #4 SARATOGA SNACKS, the morning line favorite, has hit the board in five straight, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Friday 8/28 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,2,4,6/2,7/1,8/1,2,4,8 = $64


LATE PICK 4: 1/4,6,7,8/4,5,8/2,3,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 254 - 847 / $1443.20 BEST BETS: 34 - 76 / $113.10

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 73 / $79.60

Best Bet: NINETTE B (2nd)

Spot Play: SHADYS M THREE (4th)


Race 1

(2) SHOW BIZ HALL raced tough off the shelf last week closing into an accelerating pace and should be right there vs. these. (9) LMC MARSHMELLOW has been racing well against tougher from outer posts for weeks. She is the one to fend off. (3) GRANA PADANNO chased the same sharp winner twice in a row and should factor here with that one gone.

Race 2

(6) NINETTE B was reclaimed by Moreau last time and faces a field she shouldn't have much trouble with but she'll be a very short price. (5) A LOT OF SENSE gets McNair back and he's had a lot of success with her this year. If there's going to be an upsetter it will likely be her. (2) MARIGOLD BLOOM is likely for a minor share but is terribly win-shy this summer.

Race 3

(6) ELEGANT SERENITY has really come into her own this year and is impeccably-bred as you will see. She has beaten all comers except the top sophomore filly in the country and gets top call here. (7) SMOKINMOMBO is fast and classy and is the filly the choice will have to topple. (4) LILU HANOVER was no match for the super filly Muscle baby Doll down south but should be closer here.

Race 4

(6) SHADYS M THREE faced a rapidly-improving mare the past two and couldn't do much to cut into her lead. She figures to get a covered trip here and can vault by these late. (2) ROLLTIDEROLL is very tough when she's on her game and looks like she's coming back to her best now; beware. (1) DOUBLE JOY will be heavily-bet off her last quick mile but has faltered in the past when she had to do any work on her own. Take a short price on her at your own peril.

Race 5

(2) KAMIKAZE LINDY parlayed a sharp qualifier and driver change into a quick maiden victory last week. She can double up here but the price will be much lower. (7) GRONK tried a 1/9 shot first up last time in an OSS Gold and was easily repelled. This is a much easier task. (9) ELDORADO OF GOLD ships in and goes for the potent Adams/McNair combo. Don't sell this one too short.

Race 6

(1) D GS PESQUERO was asked for nothing from an outer post last week off a 16-day break but still closed in :54 1/5. She drops again and should be much more prominent early. (8) ST LADS PENNY LANE also drops and looks like the only real danger. (4) I GOT TO BOOGIE stayed in last week and the tactic backfired. She can contend here but will likely have trouble with the top two.

Race 7

(2) GIRL DRAMA has shown improved late speed in her past two and should be able to get out in the top flight here which would help her chances; top call. (1) JOSEPH GERARD tired late now missed some time but trainer Auciello has won using this move in the past; contender. (8) BIG PACKAGE drops back into a claimer after racing against better and returns much quicker. He's a threat here.

Race 8

(1) MUSCLE BABY DOLL is quite simply the best sophomore filly trotter in the country - if not the continent - and tough to bet against here but she will be a prohibitive favorite, too. (4) BEE THE QUEEN has built up her confidence vs. lesser at Vernon and could complete this exacta. (3) LOCK DOWN LINDY shows a wicked 1:51 4/5 win in the Hambo Oaks elimination and several breaks, including in her most recent qualifier with trotting hopples used for the first time. We'll try to beat her out of the exacta here.

Race 9

(8) LADY SHADOW was too far back and on too much cover in the Artiscape to make an impact on the leaders but still closed well now returns to a 7-day cycle back on home soil. McNair sticks with her with his father's mare lined up next door; top call. (4) DOCTOR TERROR is having a great season and has beaten her elders already. This isn't the toughest Mares Preferred field; she figures here. (7) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY finished ahead of the choice last time and has hit her best stride. She should be heard from here.

Race 10

(5) VICTORIA SEMALU has already won in this class and faced better the past two starts. She'll be looking to wire these. (4) LINDYS OLD LADY faces older but is fast and classy enough to contend here. (8) GRACIES PARADE keeps improving and should be closing for a share here,

Race 11

(2) LIVING HISTORY faced a very sharp winner last time and couldn't keep up to her. She drops back to a class she already won in two back and should be much better here. (3) SEAWIND KERRY raced evenly last time but figures highly in this fairly weak group. (8) COTTONWOOD CREEK gapped her cover on the far turn last time which likely cost her a placing. She should share here, however. (4) ARRIVISTA HANOVER seems to race better for Henry and has upset possibilities here. (9) FRANNEY LOVE DAT should leave out for position here and stick around for a slice.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Friday 8/28 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 157 - 759 / $1,098.00 BEST BETS: 17 - 64 / $85.50

Best Bet: ROCKAROUND SUE (10th)

Spot Play: BORN TO FIGHT (2nd)


Race 1

(2) THEREISAPACEFORUS was very wide and charged late to take down the place spot recently; might have found this level to his liking; the pick. (4) ART DEGREE could contend with these if he gets a favorable trip; maybe. (1) MISTER ACCUMULATOR is back at Yonkers and the rail slot should help his cause; watch out.

Race 2

(2) BORN TO FIGHT Trotter was kind of dull last out; hopefully he will turn things around with different tactics. (6) MODEST PRINCE is knocking at the door based on his last two tries; his last one puts this guy in the mix. (4) FOR YOU ALMOSTFREE drops in class and gets post relief; not out of this.

Race 3

(3) DRUNKEN DESIRE A Sharp in his last trips to the post at Saratoga and flashed good speed last time out; makes his return to Yonkers and Brennan has the assignment; threat at his best. (4) ALLSTAR PARTNER is back in the 4-hole where he was a game third two starts ago; main danger. (1) SHORTSTACKED gets back to the fence; did face much better recently 25th; don't overlook.

Race 4

(6) WILLIE BOOTS makes his return to the Hilltop where this gelding has done his best; could get the job done with a fine-timed drive from Dube. (1) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE ships in from Pocono and showed good early zip; big factor. (3) COLOSSAL was nailed for win honors at Philly last out; beware.

Race 5

(4) SKY IS THE LIMIT moves down the ladder and that should help his cause against these; could boss these down the road. (6) REGULUS N was very dull from the 8-hole but was facing better; class relief will make this guy a contender. (1) HI HO STEVERINO put in a late rally for the show spot in his latest; don't overlook.

Race 6

(7) KRISPY APPLE Pacing miss was quite game in her brief trip to Pocono; now moves back to Yonkers where she has a fondness; big player in here. (4) FOR THE LADIES N raced evenly in her last try and could make some noise down the lane. (6) JONSIE JONES has put in two fine efforts and could have a say in the outcome.

Race 7

(1) REQUEST FOR PAROLE took the lead like a shot; most likely was used up throughout and faded to fifth last out; draws the rail and that should be what she needs to top these with Brennan on the return call. (2) DO YOUR JOB Quite sharp in her last two starts; could be a factor in here. (3) MONKEY ON MY WHEEL was sent down the road against lesser company in her latest; beware she has back class.

Race 8

(8) MUSTANG MACH N stays outside and this gelding was late on the scene to miss by only a length and a 1/2; with a favorable trip, he can mow them down for all the glory. (5) DUE WEST HANOVER took the pocket route home to victory last time around; figures in here. (6) OUTRAGEOUS ART could land a share of the purse but needs a better trip to contend; maybe.

Race 9

(6) ROYAL HEART put in a late surge to nail down the victory last time around at Saratoga; is back at Yonkers where he did not disgrace himself at this level; threat. (2) HEEZ ORL BLACK N got the job done at odds on wire to wire; repeat effort is not out of the question. (4) CITY HALL has wheeled off three straight victories; exotic factor.

Race 10

(7) ROCKAROUND SUE If she returns to her August 6 performance where she just missed the score, it could be game over for the rest of these; we shall see. (4) MARTY PARTY beat lesser in her previous outing; major player. (3) FAST AND FIESTY gets class and post relief plus Sears is in the bike; not out of this.

Race 11

(6) JIN DANDY put in three nice efforts upstate and this gelding's last try was against Open foes; big threat with a favorable trip. (2) CAUTION SIGNS got the job done via the pocket last time out; appears to be in fine form so two straight is not out of the question. (7) RAMPAGE JACKSON was caught by Caution Signs last week for win honors; consistent gelding will be right in the mix.

Race 12

(4) VICTORIA MAY N was over her head in the Open ranks so this gal should find this group to her liking; threat at her best. (2) KEENE OLIVIA Three sharp efforts puts this one right there; main danger. (6) CARIBBEAN ROSE N fits quite well in here; post hurts but she is very capable; watch out.