Friday 7/15/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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WNBA Betting Recap - 7/4-7/10
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (Monday, July 4 through Sunday, July 10)

-- Favorites went 13-4 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 9-8 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 12-5 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 10-7 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 9-8

Team Betting Notes

-- Indiana (9-11) posted a road win against Seattle (7-13) Sunday, and the Fever have come alive with road wins in four of the past five away from home. In addition, they have covered five in a row on the road while the 'over' is 5-1 in their past six games overall. The Fever have suddenly emerged as a favorite play of bettors at the window.

-- Dallas (9-12) had a 13-1 'over' streak going from May 18 through June 28, but now the 'under' has hit in four of their past five games. Talk about streaky. After a 4-0 ATS run from June 14-21, the Wings are just 3-5 ATS over the past eight outings.

-- Los Angeles (18-1) thumped Washington (9-12) in Sunday's game for the win and a rare cover. After starting the season 8-2 ATS in their first 10 games the Sparks are just 2-7 ATS over their past nine outings.

-- The 'over' connected for the Mystics Sunday, something which had been a frequent occurence earlier in the season. The over opened 12-0 for Washington, but Sunday's total was just their third over in the past eight outings.

-- The difficult season continues for Phoenix (8-13), as the Mercury dropped the third straight game on the road in Chicago (8-11). The Merc have covered just two of their past six games overall. For the Sky, they have been rather erratic this season, too. They're just 1-4 ATS over the past five games, and 2-8 ATS over the past 10 outings.

-- San Antonio (5-15) dropped another one on the road in New York (5-15), but they were able to cover again. Despite their difficulty picking up wins, they are a respectable 8-4 ATS over the past 12 games. The Stars are also an impressive 7-3 ATS in their past 10 road games this season.

-- After a magical start to the season it has been tough sledding for Minnesota (16-4) lately. They have won just three of the past seven straight up, and the Lynx has posted a 2-5 ATS record during the underwhelming stretch.

-- Connecticut (5-14) dropped another against Atlanta (11-9), and they narrowly missed against the number Sunday to snap a four-game cover streak. As far as the Dream is concerned, they have won and covered three in a row, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Sparks (19-1) at Sun (6-14)

Date: July 15, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

The Los Angeles Sparks will be seeking their ninth consecutive victory when they visit the Connecticut Sun on Friday night at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn.

Los Angeles (19-1) sits atop the Western Conference with the WNBA's best record. The Sparks have won eight in a row since suffering a 72-69 loss to the then-unbeaten Minnesota Lynx, who are second in the Western Conference with a 17-4 record.

Connecticut (6-14) is last in the Eastern Conference, nine games behind the first-place New York Liberty. The Sun have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, winning three of their last four games.

The Sparks are in the early stages of a nine-game road trip that will be broken up by a monthlong league shutdown for the Summer Olympics. They will not play another home game until Sept. 4.

Los Angeles began the road trip with a 77-67 victory over the Chicago Sky on Wednesday. Nneka Ogwumike had 20 points and 11 rebounds, Kristi Toliver scored 13 points, Jantel Lavender had 12 points, and Candace Parker added 11 points, nine assists and seven rebounds.

The Sparks shot 55 percent from the field and held the Sky to 39.2 percent shooting.

Connecticut is coming off an 86-64 victory over the Indiana Fever on Wednesday. Chiney Ogwumike had 20 points and eight rebounds for the Sun. Alyssa Thomas had 14 points and seven rebounds.

Connecticut lost six in a row and 12 of 13 while sliding to the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings early in the season. The Sun have won three of four since then, beating the Dallas Wings, Minnesota and Indiana.

Los Angeles is paced by Nneka Ogwumike, who leads the WNBA in field-goal percentage, shooting 71.2 percent from the field. She is seventh in scoring and fifth in rebounding, averaging 19.1 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Toliver is third in 3-point shooting (.461) and teammate Essence Carson is fourth (.459).

Alex Bentley leads Connecticut in scoring at 14.2 points per game. Jasmine Thomas is fourth in the WNBA in assists, averaging 4.8 per game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Dream (11-10) at Fever (9-12)

Date: July 15, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

The Atlanta Dream will try to get back on track when they visit the Indiana Fever on Friday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Atlanta (11-10) is second in the WNBA Eastern Conference, 4 1/2 games behind the New York Liberty. The Dream had won three in a row and had an opportunity to gain more ground on the Liberty when they met Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, but New York handed Atlanta an 86-62 loss.

Tiffany Hayes scored 12 points and Bria Holmes added 11 in the loss to New York. The Liberty shot 44.7 percent from the field and held the Dream to 29.9 percent shooting. Atlanta's starters combined to make only 12 of 37 shots from the floor.

Indiana (9-12) is tied for third in the Eastern Conference, 6 1/2 games behind New York. The Fever had won two in a row before losing 86-64 to the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday.

Lynetta Kizer scored 18 points in the loss to the Sun. She was the only Indiana player who scored in double figures. The Sun shot 47.7 percent from the field and held the Fever to 36.2 percent shooting.

Atlanta is led by Angel McCoughtry, who is fifth in the WNBA in scoring at 19.4 points per game. Hayes is the team's second leading scorer at 15.8 points per game. Sancho Lyttle is third in the WNBA in rebounding, averaging 8.9 per game.

Earlier this week, McCoughtry was named the WNBA Eastern Conference Player of the Week. She averaged 23.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists in victories over the Seattle Storm, Dallas Wings and Sun.

Tamika Catchings leads Indiana in scoring at 13.3 points per game. Tiffany Mitchell averages 11.2 points.

Indiana's Erlana Larkins is second in the WNBA in field-goal percentage (.654) and eighth in rebounding (8.0 rpg).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Liberty (16-6) at Lynx (17-4)

Date: July 15, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

The Minnesota Lynx find themselves in the middle of a controversy as the New York Liberty, the Eastern Conference's best team, visit Target Center on Friday.

Last Saturday, four off-duty Minnesota police officers who were working security during a Lynx game against Dallas walked off the job in protest of the team wearing "Black Lives Matter" shirts during warm-ups.

Lt. Bob Kroll, president of the Minnesota Police Federation, Minneapolis mayor Betsy Hodges and NBA commissioner Adam Silver have since made public comments on the issue. And the group "Black Lives Matter" is asking Lynx fans to come out in support at Friday's game.

The Liberty also have been speaking out against the recent gun violence in the United States and wore "Black Lives Matter" warm-up shirts the past two games.

New York (16-6) has won four straight and is 12-2 since a June 7 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. During the surge, the Liberty have opened a 4 1/2-game lead over the Atlanta Dream in the Eastern Conference. Star forward Tina Charles leads the WNBA in points (22.2) and is third in rebounding (9.3).

The Lynx (17-4) are coming off back-to-back blowout wins. Minnesota dominated San Antonio 81-57 on Tuesday, outrebounding the Stars 43-26, leading to a 26-1 advantage in second-chance points. Maya Moore and Lindsay Whalen combined for 46 points in the win.

Moore is averaging 20.2 points per game, third in the league.

"Our mind-set is just to be disruptive, try to slow people's flow and slow their roll by being physical, being aggressive, being aware and connected and just trying to outwork the team that we're playing," Moore told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune after the win over San Antonio.

Moore scored 25 points in Minnesota's 79-69 road win over New York on June 4.

The victory was part of the Lynx's record 13-game win streak to open the season.

New York got revenge on June 29, nipping Minnesota 95-92 in overtime. Liberty guard Sugar Rogers had a career-high 30 points in New York's fourth victory in its last five meetings with the Lynx.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Wings (9-12) at Sky (8-12)

Date: July 15, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

Two teams looking to find the consistency needed for a playoff push collide in Chicago on Friday when the Sky play host to the Dallas Wings at Allstate Arena.

Dallas will be without star forward Glory Johnson, who is sidelined for a month with a broken toe. She is the Wings' leading rebounder and top defender and was coming off a 20-point, 20-rebound performance before suffering the injury last week in a loss at Atlanta.

Without Johnson, the Wings (9-12) have lost two straight and five of seven overall. They were blown out by the defending WNBA champion Minnesota Lynx 93-56 on Saturday. Dallas was outrebounded 43-26 and outscored 26-1 in second-chance points by Minnesota.

The Wings have struggled on both ends of the court. They are surrendering the most points per game in the WNBA (87.5) and not moving the ball effectively on offense.

Odyssey Sims leads the Wings in scoring with 14.8 points. Johnson, Karima Christmas, Skylar Diggins, Plenette Pierson and Aerial Powers also are averaging double figures.

Yet despite the balanced attack, Dallas is second-to-last in the league assists at 15.4 per game. No Dallas player scored in double figures in the loss to Minnesota and Diggins was shut out.

The Sky (8-12) have not won back-to-back games since early June. They are coming off a 77-67 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday and are ninth in the league standings. The top eight teams qualify for the playoffs.

Reigning league MVP Elena Delle Donne is having another big season and is second in the league in scoring, averaging 20.6 points and also shooting 42.1 percent on 3-pointers. She had 14 points, behind Cappie Pondexter's 18, in the Sky's 92-87 win over Dallas on May 29 in the teams' only previous meeting this season.

Pondexter is averaging 11.4 points and Allie Quigley is at 10.8 points per game for the Sky, who are third in the league in rebounding and should have an edge on the boards against the undermanned Wings.

This is the Wings franchise's first season in Dallas after moving to Texas from Tulsa, Okla., in the offseason.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Mystics (9-12) at Storm (7-13)

Date: July 15, 2016 10:00 PM EDT

The Seattle Storm will celebrate the career of retired star Lauren Jackson in a jersey retirement ceremony on Friday when it hosts the reeling Washington Mystics at Key Arena.

But the Storm can't allow themselves to get distracted by all the pomp and circumstance as they need to get back to winning after losing four of their five games.

Maybe the presence of Jackson, who led Seattle to a pair of NBA titles in her 12 seasons with the team, will help elevate the Storm's game. Seattle already features one of the league's top young players in rookie forward Breanna Stewart but has struggled this season, winning just seven times in 20 games and forging a 4-6 record at home.

Seattle has had five days off after a 93-92 home loss to the Indiana Fever on Sunday. Stewart scored 32 points but the rest of starters combined for the same amount in a game that was the Storm's fourth in six days.

"We ran out of gas," Seattle coach Jenny Boucek said. "We had four games in six nights in four cities and had a six-hour delay (July 9) where we didn't get in until 10 o'clock or so. It's a tough time for us."

The Mystics (9-12) have endured a disastrous road trip, losing the first four games of a season-long five-game trip.

The latest was a 78-74 loss to Phoenix on Wednesday when Emma Meesseman (22 points) and Tayler Hill (17) combined to produce half of Washington's output.

Either Meesseman or Hill has been the Mystics leading scorer in 19 of their 21 games.

In the previous meeting, the Mystics stopped a 10-game losing streak in Seattle with an 84-82 victory on May 26. Meesseman had 19 points and 13 rebounds in Washington's first win in Seattle since July 13, 2005.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
By David Schwab

Week 3 Betting Recap

The new CFL regular season continues to heavily favor the underdog with a straight-up record of 8-2-1 and a very profitable 10-1 record against the spread through the first three weeks of play.

Last week’s action started with Winnipeg upsetting Hamilton 28-24 as a 10-point road underdog on Thursday night. Toronto followed suit later that night as a 4 ½-point underdog on the road in a 25-14 victory against British Columbia.

In a rare tie in the CFL, Calgary and Ottawa ended their Friday inter-division showdown knotted at 26 with the Stampeders covering as slight one-point road underdogs.

Also on Friday night’s slate, Edmonton was able to get past Saskatchewan 39-36 in overtime, but it could not cover the spread as a heavy 11 ½-point home favorite.

Friday, July 15

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -1
Total: 49.5

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats will look to quickly bounce back from a poor effort last week against a familiar East Division foe in Montreal. They are going to have to find a way to get more out of a running game that only managed to gain 44 yards against Winnipeg. Chad Owens and Andrew Fantuz continue to light things up in the passing game with a combined 12 receptions for 181 yards and two scores in last week’s loss.

Montreal had the week off after starting season with a road win against Winnipeg as an underdog followed by a loss to Ottawa in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in both of those contests. The Alouettes have failed to cover ATS in eight of their last 10 games in Week 4 and with the loss in Week 2 they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. Kevin Glenn should get the start at quarterback after throwing for 591 yards and two scores in his first two games.

Betting Trends

Hamilton has won three of its last five games against Montreal SU, but it has failed to cover ATS in seven of its last 10 games in this East Division rivalry. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

Saturday, July 16

British Columbia Lions (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 50

Game Overview

The Lions fell from the ranks of the undefeated with last week’s loss after posting impressive victories against Calgary as an underdog at home and Hamilton as a road underdog in their first two games. The total has stayed UNDER in all three of their games. BC turned to veteran quarterback Travis Lulay last week for a struggling Jonathan Jennings and he completed 12-of-15 attempts for 156 yards and a score in the losing cause.

A 0-2 start for a team that only won three games last season is not what new head coach Chris Jones was looking for when he left Edmonton to take over the reins at Saskatchewan. The one bright spot has been the play of quarterback Darian Durant, who basically missed the entire 2015 season due to injury. In a losing cause last week against the Eskimos, he threw for 317 yards and four touchdowns while connecting on 27 of his 38 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

The Lions have won four of the last five meetings SU and they hold a 3-1-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of those five games and it has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Saskatchewan.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's CFL betting preview and odds: Tiger-Cats at Alouettes

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes (+1.5, 46.5)

The Montreal Alouettes hope to overcome their injury woes when they host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Friday. The Alouettes lost wide receiver S.J. Green to a season-ending knee injury while running back Tyrell Sutton (knee) and slotback Kenny Stafford (toe) were placed on the six-game injured list following the team's 28-13 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks.

Montreal also is likely to be without Duron Carter, who was handed a one-game suspension for knocking down Ottawa coach Rick Campbell after celebrating a touchdown catch in front of the Redblacks' bench, unless he is cleared to play while he continues the appeal process. Hamilton is heading in the wrong direction after a disappointing 28-24 home loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Tiger-Cats received a major boost with the news that Zach Collaros was taken off the six-game injured list and participated in practice for the first time since tearing the ACL in his right knee on Sept. 9. Hamilton has dropped six of its last nine regular-season games since Collaros went down but likely will have to wait another week before its star quarterback is ready to contribute as coach Kent Austin confirmed he will not play against the Alouettes.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Als opened as 1-point home pups, but quickly jumped the fence to sit at -1, where they remained for most of the week. Since then however, it has been all Ti-Cats money, with the line moving to a Pick, then back to the opening number of Als +1, to the current number of +1.5.

The total has also seen a bit of movement since opening at 49.5, getting bet down all the way to 46.5 before coming back a bit to the current number of 47.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U): Kevin Glenn, who threw for 259 yards and a touchdown in the loss to Ottawa, missed practice with an inflamed eye but is expected to recover in time to face Hamilton. Brandon Rutley will replace Sutton in the backfield while wide receivers Chandler Jones and Corbin Louks were activated from the practice roster and will see their first action of the season. "If you have multiple injuries - it doesn't matter what position - you're going to struggle," Montreal coach Jim Popp told reporters. "You structure your roster where you feel it's best, and it's not always about your starters."

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (1-2, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Jeremiah Masoli completed 29-of-39 passes for 367 yards and two touchdowns but committed five of Hamilton's six turnovers as he fumbled three times and was picked off twice in the loss to Winnipeg. "I think Jeremiah has done a great job," Collaros told reporters."But there are things that you see sometimes and can't do anything about, and it's frustrating." Third-string quarterback Jake Waters was shipped off to the Saskatchewan Roughriders to make room for former Notre Dame and Florida State quarterback Everett Golson, who was moved to the active roster.

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
* Alouettes are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Tiger-Cats last four road games.
* Under is 8-2 in Alouettes last 10 home games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is almost split down the middle for this Eastern Division matchup, with 51 percent of wagers giving the Als a slight edge as 1.5-point home pups. As for the total, 53 percent of wagers are on the Over.

EXTRA POINTS:

* The Alouettes have won 18 of their last 19 meetings SU with the Tiger-Cats in Montreal.
* Masoli leads the CFL with four interceptions.
* The last three meetings have been decided by an average margin of six points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 4 CFL games

Hamilton (1-2) @ Montreal (1-1)-- Alouettes split first two games, losing 28-13 to Ottawa in its home opener- they had last week off. LY, Als are 3-5 in last eight games with Hamilton. TiCats lost four of last five visits here, winning 23-11 (-3) in last visit LY. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games, overall and in last nine games played here. Hamilton allowed 25.3 ppg in losing two of its first three games, losing 28-3/28-24 last two weeks.

BC Lions (2-1) @ Saskatchewan (0-2)-- Roughriders allowed 34.5 ppg in losing first two games, losing in OT to Edmonton; Saskatchewan lost four of last five games with Lions, who won 26-13/27-24 in last two visits to Regina. BC crushed Riders 46-20 in last meeting LY. Under is 15-4 in last nineteen series games. British Columbia lost at home to Toronto LW, its first loss in three games- they road opener at Toronto 28-3 two weeks ago. Underdogs are 9-1, under is 7-4-1 so far this season.


Hamilton TigerCats
Montreal Alouettes 1, 47

British Columbia Lions
Saskatchewan Roughriders 1.5, 50

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey

A thunderstorm came through Florida on Thursday morning and I decided to turn my computer off and do some reading on the IPad. When I looked up they were loading the field into the gate for the opener at Belmont Park without any of my bankroll.

I glanced at the five races making up the Pick 5 again as they broke from the gate in the first race and did not feel as if I might be missing out on a big score, but I might have been wrong.

My top pick Diversify won the opener paying $8.60 and beating a 3-5 favorite. In the second race my second choice Harlan’s Harmony pulled off the upset, winning in his debut and returning a hefty $53.00 and completing a $196.00 daily double.

All I could say was “uh, oh, I am going to hit this Pick 5.”

My third choice Liberty Fuse won the third race at $8.60 followed by my top pick winning the fourth, with Completely Bonkers overcoming a brutal trip to win and pay $4.20.

I told myself I probably would have been alive to my top two picks for sure, and maybe my third choice. My probables were paying huge, and I was sitting with nothing, hoping at least a few of you might be alive.

Turns out my third choice Hudson River Gal got up to win the fifth race, bet down to the favorite and returning $5.50 with the .50 cent Pick 5 paying $2,796.25.

The moral of the story is make sure you have your wagers planned out well before there are minutes to post. I am guilty of that on occasion, and it might have cost me a nice score on Friday.

It also reminds me I am in need of a better surge protector.



Here is today’s opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Clm $25,000 (1:30 ET)
#2 Rapscallion 2-1
#7 McIlroy 8-5
#6 Special Selection 5-1
#5 Manofmanyvirtues 12-1

Analysis: Rapscallion made a mild late run to finish fourth last out for this tag, beaten two lengths for the top spot. The gelding did show improvement over a fifth two back off a two-month break. The gelding is going to get some pace to run at here and looks primed for a top effort here in his third start of his current form cycle. Rosario sticks with the main knock being the 0 for 8 mark over the turf here.

McIlroy cuts back from a route where he checked in fifth last out, beaten 1 3/4 lengths. He makes his third start off the bench here for the RRod barn and only our top pick earned a higher last out speed fig. The gelding has a couple of wins and seconds in 10 trips over the lawn here.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 2,7 / 2,5,6,7
TRI: 2,7 / 2,5,6,7 / 2,3,5,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 7 OClm $40,000N2X (4:41 ET)
#5 Roman Ceres 5-1
#1 Familyofroses 10-1
#7 Sheriffa 3-1
#8 Lady Luciano 4-1

Analysis: Roman Ceres won her first two career starts and last out was a god second at this level in her first trip over the main track here. The winner Zippity Zoom came out of the race to beat open Alw-1 company in her next outing on June 3 here. She has worked sharply since her last outing and worth a good look if she goes off near her 5-1 morning line.

Familyofroses came with a six wide run and rallied to come up just a head shy of winning at this level last out in her first go off the claim by the Terracciano barn. She gets a jock upgrade here to Franco and the mare has run well over the main track here with a 3-4-3 mark from a dozen trips. The extra half furlong will suit her.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,5,7,8
TRI: 1,5 / 1,5,7,8 / 1,5,6,7,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #5 Manofmanyvirtues 12-1
R2: #4 Kowboy Boots 10-1
R3: #1 Juan and Bina 8-1
R4: #8 Ode to the Hunt 8-1
R6: #10 Fournette 15-1
R7: #1 Familyofroses 10-1
R8: #10 Sonnyandpally 10-1
R9: #11 Pride of Saratoga 12-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 5:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$7500 - ***HORSES WITH HOPE*** CD 2 YEAR OLD C& G MAIDEN


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 8 BELLOWS BINGE 5/2


# 2 DRAWING DRAGONS 7/2


# 6 SADIQ HANOVER 8/1


BELLOWS BINGE will have you running to the cashier's window in this one. Feel the need for speed, this harness racer has been turning in some amazing TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 71. This fine animal has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 73 avg class rating. Should play well for this one. Has to be given a look based on the great speed rating earned in the last affair. DRAWING DRAGONS - Keep this colt in your exotics as Hall has given backers some formidable gains. Been doing work with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 69). SADIQ HANOVER - Cannot put a finger on it, but back this gelding for a bet.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 10:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$6900 - CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 NEW JERSEY SIRED OR OWNED PREFERRED


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 ROADWAY 6/1


# 7 DABUNKA 5/2


# 5 THE POKESTER 3/1


ROADWAY looks respectable to best this pack. Not many knocks against this fine animal, let's give him a shot. The panel of smart guys happens to know that when you put Ginsburg and Fusco together good results happen frequently. Chances are greatly enhanced for standardbreds beginning from the 6 post at Meadowlands. DABUNKA - The consortium gives this fine animal a really strong chance to come home a winner, class numbers are tops in the group. Racing sharply, achieved a very strong TrackMaster Speed Rating in his last contest (83). THE POKESTER - Cannot put a finger on it, but think about this gelding for a play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grand Prairie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Allowance - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON 3 RACES LIFETIME. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 FLY BYE CRUISE 2/1


# 1 CHAOS ON TAPPANZEE 3/1


# 2 QUAD SEIS 7/5


FLY BYE CRUISE has a competitive shot to take this race. Is tough not to examine based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 69 avg - of late. Looks respectable versus this group and will most likely be one of the leaders. Ran a solid last race. CHAOS ON TAPPANZEE - The Equibase Speed Figure of 64 from her latest race looks very good in here. QUAD SEIS - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Will most likely compete strongly in the pace contest which bodes well with this field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8025 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 NEWPORT KID 5/2


# 3 SEVERE CLEAR 3/1


# 7 EPIC EMPIRE 7/2


NEWPORT KID is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong Equibase speed figs (78 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Should wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. He ought to be considered given the strong speed figures. SEVERE CLEAR - Recorded a strong Equibase speed fig last time out. EPIC EMPIRE - Has been running soundly lately and ought to be close to the lead early on. Could provide positive profits based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 79.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 5:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 CLAIRVOYANT LADY (ML=5/2)


CLAIRVOYANT LADY - Last time, was entered in a race at Parx Racing in a race with an Equibase class figure of 73. Dropping significantly in Equibase class figure today puts her in a solid position in this race. Rider jumped on this filly's back for the 1st attempt on June 11th. Should be in tune with the horse even better this time around. The addition of the 'shades' should keep her mind on business today. Lynch adds Lasix for the second time today. This could make a difference in this event. The 62 most recent race speed figure looks good on paper.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PRECIATE IT (ML=9/2), #4 SKIPALONG (ML=5/1), #5 PERFECT PARTY GIRL (ML=5/1),

PRECIATE IT - Won't be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. SKIPALONG - Morning line odds of 5/1 make this thoroughbred a pass by my approach. PERFECT PARTY GIRL - In any race of 5 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been on the board in sprint contests recently. This filly made little impact last time. Not probable that the speed fig she registered on June 23rd will be good enough in this race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CLAIRVOYANT LADY - At modest odds in first career start this filly finished fifth on Jun 11th. Look for her to produce something better than last race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #9 CLAIRVOYANT LADY on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
9 with [4,8] with [4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
9 with [4,5,6,8] with [4,5,6,8] with [4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $24

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
9 with [4,8] with [4,5,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Prairie Meadows - Race #5 - Post: 7:19pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 JAFMILS PERSUADER (ML=8/1)
#9 JELLO SHOT JODIE (ML=7/2)
#8 PATTI'S REGRETT (ML=5/1)


JAFMILS PERSUADER - Laviolette and Arnett perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +67 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. Ranked number 1 in earnings per race. Another sign that this horse has the class to take this race. JELLO SHOT JODIE - This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle. Roman and Villafranco perform well when they work together. Tough to beat a winning percentage of 50. Sub-par performance last time around the track at Prairie Meadows was due to the off-going (she ended up sixth). Have to give a better effort in this event on a fast track. PATTI'S REGRETT - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speed freak facing sluggish sorts today. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a strong race on Jun 24th, finishing first.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HURRICANE MARY (ML=9/2), #6 VANDALIA VIXEN (ML=5/1), #3 CASTANA (ML=8/1),

HURRICANE MARY - Tough for me to be wagering on this sort of maiden breaker. Tough to support any horse that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. Earned a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time around the track in a $7,500 Maiden Claiming race on June 26th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure. VANDALIA VIXEN - Should be difficult for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. CASTANA - Multiple chances for this vulnerable equine at Prairie Meadows and still hasn't received her first victory here. Don't think this entrant will make an impact in today's race. That last speed fig was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - JELLO SHOT JODIE - Looks like Villafranco has been trying to find the right level for this horse. Took a big drop in class in last race, but returns to a similar class in this affair. That's a good sign she may win today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #10 JAFMILS PERSUADER on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[8,9,10] with [8,9,10] with [5,6,8,9,10] with [5,6,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 3:04 PM EASTERN POST

8½ FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $62,000.00 PURSE

#7 CLOONTIA
#8 ODE TO THE HUNT
#4 RIFF RAFF
#1 PROPHET'S CAT

#7 CLOONTIA qualifies as a TrackMaster Plus "PowerPony," is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this allowance field racing at, or about, today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the grass, and has produced "POWER RUNS" in each of his last five outings, hitting the board in three straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two "adventures." Jockey Junior Alvarado has been in his irons on three previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning once, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 4th ride gunning for another "Circle Trip!" #8 ODE TO THE HUNT is 8-1 in the morning line, and comes off a "POWER RUN SHOW" finish in his last outing in a race which was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 97.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Friday 7/15 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 2,7,8/2,3,4,8/3,5/3,8,9/2,5 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 3,8,9/2,5/1,2,3/3,4 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 7,8/1,4,5/6/1,2,3,6,9 = $30

MEET STATS: 207 - 615 / $1084.50 BEST BETS: 35 - 57 / $111.90

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 56 / $56.40

Best Bet: SANDBETWEENURTOES (10th)

Spot Play: SILVERINYOURPOCKET (7th)


Race 1

(8) NOMATTERWHEN won in this class from the 10-hole two starts back and she should get an aggressive steer here with the drop back down to this level. (2) NINETTE B should wake up with a much better effort with a drop to this claiming class and she should be put into the race much earlier here. (7) DARKTWISTEDFANTASY hasn't fared well since being claimed by the Johnson barn, but the class drop should help her here, too. (4) BUNDORAN is capable of following along and closing for a smaller share late in the mile.

Race 2

(4) MACH DÉJÀ VU was closing too late last time into an accelerating late pace. He can move forward off that decent debut and may get a more aggressive drive this time. (2) BET ON BRETT wired the field off easy fractions and held the choice at bay late last time. He looks like the one to beat on paper but he may not get the same trip. (8) DOWN ON MY LUCK was a decent 2nd in his debut and is another contender to consider for Pick 5 tickets. (3) STONEBRIDGE BULLET disappointed last time but the trip just didn't go his way. He may get sent early this time which would give him a better chance.

Race 3

(3) BLUSH AND CRUSH raced much better last time but was no match for a heavily-favored class dropper late in the mile. She stands a decent chance of breaking the 2016 goose egg here. (5) ALL B OVER faces much easier here and should wake up in this spot with a better performance and result. (1) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY is capable but often finds himself too far behind the leaders turning for home. (4) JUSTALITTLEFASTER is a good one to throw on the bottom of Tri and Super bets here.

Race 4

(8) SHES LIGHTS OUT faces much easier here after closing for a check in the Town Pro final and she should be more aggressive early in this company; top call. (9) BERNADETTE was a solid winner two back in a similar class then wasn't disgraced racing in OSS Gold company. She's in with a decent shot here. (3) LEAVING A LEGACY debuts for trainer Weller which makes her worthy of consideration here. (2) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU was close twice in non-winners of two classes last month and she should grab a share here.

Race 5

(2) P L HURRICANE set rapid splits last time and tired only late in the mile. She can take this group off a covered trip, which is a good possibility. (5) SOUTHWIND GEISHA finished evenly in a quick mile last time. Her good finishing kick might play better in this field. (3) RUBIS PRESCOTT grinded it out first up in a game effort but was beaten by a tripped-out pocket skimmer late. She's not out of this. (1) BROOKDALE SHADOW could get a similar trip to the winning journey she enjoyed last week, so toss her on multi-race tickets.

Race 6

(3) CATCH THE DREAM takes a big class drop for his third start of the year and a better result is likely despite him having missed a couple of weeks. (2) BAX OF LIFE is very competitive in these classes and should be on Pick 4 tickets. (1) CAULFIELD drops and gets a better post and is in with a decent chance here despite his poor win record over the last two years. (5) WHITE BECOMES HER will likely get an aggressive drive here but a minor share seems most likely for her.

Race 7

(3) SILVERINYOURPOCKET paced his back 1/2 in 54 1/5 in his debut after leaving from an outer post. He can leave better here and notch his maiden-breaking score. (4) ASTON HILL DAVE was a nose short of a game winner after getting bet down to odds-on last week. He is the main danger to the choice here. (9) KENTUCKY NICK gets a significant driver change here and he can be a lot closer at a price. (7) DOC SEMALU is another that should show improvement second time out. Toss him in your exotic wagers.

Race 8

(8) MASTER THE VIEW was a good 2nd to a more experienced rival in his debut and it won't be long before he registers his maiden win. (7) POP N LIAM moved aggressively in the third 1/4 and finished on even terms with the choice. He should be right there again tonight. (9) KINGSTON SEELSTER did his best work when racing off a helmet in his debut and he may be looking for that kind of a trip this time. (6) TREMENDOUS PLAY had a decent debut and could show a lot more here with that experience in tow.

Race 9

(4) NEVER BEEN TOLD stepped up in class and took a new life's mark first off the claim last week; call to repeat. (1) PUTNAMS NEW YEAR was 2nd behind the choice when also racing first off the claim and looks next best here. (5) HIGHLAND TARTAN is the best closer in here and if early battling materializes he could be the one to roll by late; using. (8) BETTER ART is another that should be closing late and passing horses down the lane to grab a share.

Race 10

(6) SANDBETWEENURTOES was flying late last time after missing three weeks. She should be put into this race much earlier leaving from a better post in a smaller field. (7) BEDROOM CONFESSIONS was a game winner for the 2nd time in a row and she may offer a decent price here. (2) WRANGLER MAGIC took a big shuffle last week which is unlikely to be repeated in this short field; using. (3) OUR HOT MAJORETTE will likely revert back to a closing style here and come on late for a share.

Race 11

(1) VICTORIA SEMALU lasted longer on the front end last time now she gets to drop one class. She should be prominent early here and could win off a pocket trip in a race where there are few leavers evident. (3) CALL ME MAYBE raced better off a short break and is another that could emerge late off an inside following trip here. (9) LADY JEN steps up off two solid wins and she isn't impossible here. (2) BAROCKEY should set the pace early and she would be tough late if allowed to take any breathers. (6) ST LADS PENNY LANE rarely loses ground late and she should be closing for a share here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Friday 7/15 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 167 - 714 / $1,063.30

BEST BETS: 19 - 70 / $85.50

Best Bet: RAMPAGE JACKSON (7th)

Spot Play: JAILHOUSE JESSICA (10th)


Race 1

(4) ANNUITY showed life at the level last out and has every right to move forward against these. (2) MODERN XHIBIT gets post relief and that most likely will help his cause. (3) SO BAD IM GOOD returns to Yonkers where he has done his best running.

Race 2

(1) WILD AGAIN Gelding put in a nice effort at Pocono last time out. This should be a better spot for this 4-year-old and the rail should make him a serious threat. (2) AZOREAN ART swung wide and mowed them down for all the glory recently. (7) CAN'T IT BE ME was sent down the road in his last trip for the victory.

Race 3

(1) SCOOTIN FOR JOY should appreciate the move back to the fence and this pacer can boss these down the road. (4) ANISTON SEELSTER led most of the way but was nailed for win honors last time around. (3) SAGE N did flash speed as the chalk last out and could make some noise in the final stretch run.

Race 4

(1) BEAUTIFUL LADY moves down in class and has the fence. Mare has the early zip to make tonight a winning one. (3) CINAMONY leaves the 8-hole for a cozy post and Brennan stays. (6) KNOW IT ALL gets a tough post but is very capable against this group.

Race 5

(1) BETTOR N BETTER Mare gets the luck of the draw and with her tactical speed she can take this with Bartlett at the controls. (6) JUNGLE GENIE N Almost took all the marbles but was caught at the wire and had to settle for place money last out. (3) MASSIVE ATTACK A has scored in her last three starts; not out of this despite the rise in class.

Race 6

This is a powerful Burke trained entry starting with (1A) MOTHER OF ART. She was used up in the early stages in a Tioga stakes event last time out and she seems to have a fondness for the Hilltop; ready for action. (2) SEAFOOD LINDA got the job done at the historic Goshen oval last out and could have a say in the outcome. (1) DIME A DANCE could leave or stay off the pace and strike; big threat.

Race 7

(7) RAMPAGE JACKSON moves up in class off another fine victory last out. Gelding moves back to the 7-hole however his form is outstanding and if all goes well 8-year-old should keep on his winning ways. (2) GALLANT SEELSTER led most of the way but was nailed for the score last out. (4) SAMS ESCAPE was second best recently and could make some noise in the final run.

Race 8

(4) AL RAZA N took charge approaching the half but might have ran out of gas in the stretch drive and settled for fourth money last time around. Pacing mare fits well in here and with a well rated drive she can get the job done. (8) MEDUSA has taken home top prize in her last five outings and the 8-hole should not be a problem where she won an Open event at the Meadowlands three trips ago. (6) REGIL ELEKTRA was sharp in her latest with a second place finish last time out.

Race 9

(5) HIPNUMBERONE She has been sharp in her last three outings and now this 4-year-old mare gets the services of Jason Bartlett to get this gal back to greet the cameraman for pictures. (4) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE drops a notch in class in hopes for a return to the winner's circle. (2) LUCYS PEARL was quite good from the 8-hole last out for the place spot.

Race 10

(5) JAILHOUSE JESSICA Easy victory in her last start now this trotting mare moves up the ladder. Her form is sharp and Mr. Brennan has the assignment; gets the call. (2) MONROE COUNTY Sharp for the placing against better company recently and she appears to be a big threat. (1) HASTY PROFFITT Philly invader gets post relief and that should help his chances in this event.

Race 11

(1) ENCORE DEO might have pushed the button too soon at the 3/4 pole and was no match to the winner Cut N Paste last out at Tioga. Now the pacing filly makes her return to Yonkers where she was a game second on May 16th. (2) GHOST RUNNER put in a mild rally for the show spot in her most recent outing and is knocking at the door. (4) TIME ON MY HANDS makes her return to the races off two fair qualifiers at the Meadowlands; might need one.

Race 12

(5) TOTALLY RUSTY Mare put in a mild bid last out and there should be enough speed in this for her to pick them up and mow them down; gets the call. (8) VELOCITY VESPA Five down the road victories in a row makes this gal the likely favorite; post hurts but is very capable. (3) GROUNDED could move forward off her last third place finish last out.