Friday 6/5/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League Sa 6Jun 19:45

Juventus

v

Barcelona

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV		5	16/5	8/13	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HDADAWND*HWAD​ Most recent​	2 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 3	HWHWALAWHDNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Juventus have conceded only seven goals in 12 Champions League games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Barcelona's brilliant attackers are rarely underrated by bookmakers and the value may be for Juventus to frustrate the Catalans – at least in 90 minutes. Juve's defence has been outstanding in Europe this term but they also created plenty of chances in their impressive two-legged victory over Real Madrid and could take Barca to extra time in Berlin.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Cuneyt Cakir STADIUM: Olympiastadion, Berlin

 

[superbeets]

International Su 7Jun 13:00

Ireland

v

England

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV		11/4	12/5	Evs	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN IRELAND	RECENT FORM
AWHWADALNWHD​ Most recent​	1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 1	HWAWHWAWHWAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: England have won seven of their last eight matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland would love to give this high-profile friendly their full attention, but they face a crunch Euro 2016 qualifying clash with Scotland less than a week later which could be a problem for Martin O’Neill when selecting his starting 11. England have played well in recent matches and look worthy favourites.

RECOMMENDATION: England
1

 

[superbeets]

International TODAY 19:45

Scotland

v

Qatar

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS5		4/9	10/3	6	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN SCOTLAND	RECENT FORM
HWADHWHLHWHW​ Most recent​	Unknown	NLNLNLHWHWND​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Scotland have scored in 13 of their last 14 friendly games

EXPERT VERDICT: Qatar have bounced back well from their Asian Cup disappointment with wins over Algeria and Slovenia as well as a draw with Northern Ireland, but they face a tough test against Scotland. Gordon Strachan has got the Scots playing with plenty of freedom and they should justify odds-on favouritism.

RECOMMENDATION: Scotland
2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Cubs @ Nationals
Wada is 0-0, 2.30 in his three starts, all of which stayed under.

Roark is 1-0, 2.45 in his first two starts this season.

Cubs lost six of last nine games with Washington, with last five going under total; they're 4-6 in last ten games overall. Eight of last nine Cub games stayed under. Washington lost six of last seven games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six.

Giants @ Phillies
Lincecum is 1-1, 7.24 in his last three road starts (over 2-0-1).

Williams is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Phillies lost eight of last ten games; four of last six stayed under- they've also lost seven of last nine agains the Giants. SF lost last five games, outscored 31-14; over is 3-0-2 in those five games.

Padres @ Reds
Ross is 0-2, 4.26 in his last three starts (under 2-0-1).

Iglesias is 1-1, 4.57 in his four starts (over 2-2).

San Diego won its last four games with Cincinnati, allowing three runs; seven of last eight series games stayed under. Padres won three of last four; over is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. Reds won four of last five home games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games overall.

Pirates @ Braves
Morton is 2-0, 2.57 in his two starts this year.

Perez is 1-0, 1.00 in his first three starts (over 2-1).

Pirates won 10 of last 12 games; over is 5-0-2 in their last seven. Pirates won four of last five games with Atlanta. Braves are 4-6 in last ten games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five.

Marlins @ Rockies
Koehler is 1-0, 3.63 in his last four starts (over 2-2).

Butler is 1-2, 6.62 in his last four starts (over 2-2).

Miami-Colorado split last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in last seven. Miami won four of last six games; seven of their last ten stayed under. Rockies won six of last eight games, with three of last four going over.

Mets @ Diamondbacks
Niese is 0-4, 10.35 in his last four starts, all of which went over.

Hellickson is 2-0, 3.38 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

Mets won seven of last nine games with Arizona; road team won eight of the nine games. NY lost four of last seven games; over is 5-1-1 in those seven. Arizona won four of last seven games; over is 5-0-2 in those seven.

Cardinals @ Dodgers
Martinez is 2-0, 0.00 (20.1 IP) in his last three starts.

Anderson is 0-2, 3.28 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Dodgers are 21-8 at home, St Louis is 14-11 on road. LA lost four of last six games with Cardinals; six of last seven series games stayed under. St Louis won nine of last 11 games; six of its last eight stayed under. Dodgers are 3-6 in their last nine games overall.

American League
Orioles @ Indians
Tillman is 1-6, 6.34 in his last seven starts, three of his last four went over.

Marcum is 2-0, 6.75 in his three starts this year; Indians scored 16 runs in his three starts.

Orioles lost six of last nine games with Cleveland; last four stayed under. O's lost last five games overall, outscored 26-12- four of their last six went under total. Indians won six of last eight games; four of their last five stayed under.

Angels @ Bronx
Weaver is 4-0, 1.98 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Eovaldi is 2-1, 4.97 in his last five starts; his last three went over.

Angels lost four of last five games with Bronx; four of the five games stayed under total. Halos won five of last seven; over is 5-2-1 in last eight games. Bronx won won four of last five games; five of its last seven went over.

Astros @ Blue Jays
Hernandez is 1-1, 7.04 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Sanchez is 2-2, 3.31 in his last five starts, four of which stayed under.

Houston won its last seven games with Toronto, but all seven were played in Texas; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Astros won four of last six games with five of the six staying under. Blue Jays won three of last four home tilts.

A's @ Red Sox
Kazmir is 0-3, 5.76 in his last five starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven. A's scored total of 11 runs in his last five starts.

Miley is 3-1, 3.16 in his last four starts; his last six stayed under.

Oakland won nine of last 12 games; they lost three of last four games with Boston- three of last four went over. Red Sox lost seven of last ten games, with four of last five staying under. Under is 5-3-1 in last nine Oakland games.

Tigers @ White Sox
Ryan is making 2nd MLB start; he blanked Chicago for six innings in his one MLB start last August- he allowed a run in three IP in his only appearance so far this year, in relief.

Quintana is 0-3, 4.66 in his last three starts; six of his last seven went under.

Detroit lost its last seven games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten. Tigers are 5-3 in last eight games with White Sox, who are 4-0 in game following their last four losses.

Rangers @ Royals
Gonzalez blanked Boston for 5.2 innings (102 PT) in his first MLB start.

Volquez is 2-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.

Texas lost five of last seven games with Kansas City; under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Rangers won five of last six games overall. Royals lost seven of last nine games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten.

Rays @ Mariners
Odorizzi is 1-3, 3.96 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight went under.

Happ is 1-0, 3.96 in his last five starts; five of his last six went over.

Tampa Bay lost six of last six games with Seattle; road team won nine of last ten series games, with eight of last ten staying under. Rays won five of last six games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five. Mariners lost their last six games, scoring 13 runs.

Interleague
Brewers @ Twins
Lohse is 0-2, 8.59 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Gibson is 3-1, 1.74 in his last seven starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Milwaukee lost seven of last nine games with Minnesota; seven of the nine went over total. Brewers lost eight of last ten games; six of last nine went over total. Twins won seven of their last ten games.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Chi-Wsh-- Wada 2-1; Roark 1-1
SF-Phil-- Lincecum 5-5; Williams 4-7
SD-Cin-- Ross 4-7; Iglesias 2-2
Pitt-Atl-- Morton 2-0; Perez 2-1
Mia-Colo-- Koehler 5-5; Butler 5-5
NY-Az-- Niese 3-7; Hellickson 4-6
StL-LA-- Martinez 8-2; Anderson 5-5

Balt-Clev-- Tillman 3-7; Marcum 2-1
LA-NY-- Weaver 6-5; Eovaldi 6-4
Hst-Tor-- Hernandez 5-5; Sanchez 4-6
A's-Bos-- Kazmir 3-7; Miley 5-5
Det-Chi-- Ryan 0-0; Quintana 3-7
Tex-KC-- Gonzalez 1-0; Volquez 7-3
TB-Sea-- Odorizzi 5-6; Happ 6-4

Mil-Min-- Lohse 4-7; Gibson 6-4

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Chi-Wsh-- Wada 1-3; Roark 1-2
SF-Phil-- Lincecum 2-10;Williams 4-11
SD-Cin-- Ross 4-11; Iglesias 1-4
Pitt-Atl-- Morton 2-2; Perez 2-3
Mia-Colo-- Koehler 1-10; Butler 6-10
NY-Az-- Niese 4-10; Hellickson 4-6
StL-LA-- Martinez 1-10; Anderson 1-10

Balt-Clev-- Tillman 2-10; Marcum 1-3
LA-NY-- Weaver 3-11; Eovaldi 5-10
Hst-Tor-- Hernandez 5-10; Sanchez 3-10
A's-Bos-- Kazmir 1-10; Miley 3-10
Det-Chi-- Ryan 0-0; Quintana 5-10
Tex-KC-- Gonzalez 0-1; Volquez 2-10
TB-Sea-- Odorizzi 3-11; Happ 4-10

Mil-Min-- Lohse 4-11; Gibson 1-10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AFL Betting Recap - Week 10
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 5-1 straight up in Week 10
-- Underdogs went 5-1 ATS in Week 10
-- Road teams posted a 4-2 SU record in Week 10
-- Road teams posted a 4-2 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'Under' went 4-2 in Week 10

Team Betting Notes

-- After two rare weeks of offensive outbursts in Weeks 8 and 9, seeing the 'over' go 9-2 in 11 total games, it was back to defense in Week 10. The 'under' hit in four of the six games.

-- San Jose (10-0) continues its perfect run, pounding Portland (3-6) by a 61-42 count. However, the SaberCats have failed to cover in back-to-back games for the first time this season after opening the year 6-1-1 ATS. The 'over' has connected in three in a row for San Jose after the 'under' dominated in their first seven, going 5-2.

-- The Thunder have a straight-up winning percentage of just .333, but they have been a strong play against the number. Portland is now 5-2-2 ATS after their cover against the unbeaten SaberCats. The 'over' has been a best bet for Portland, too, hitting in three straight while cashing in five of the past six.

-- Jacksonville (5-5) squared their record at .500 with a fourth straight victory Sunday at LA Kiss (0-9). While the Sharks failed to cover, halting a 3-0 ATS win streak, they are on a roll after a sluggish 1-5 SU start.

-- For the Kiss, it was a rare cover, just their second of the season and first at home. In fact, they're 0-7 ATS against non-Florida teams, and 2-0 ATS against teams hailing from the Sunshine State.

-- Cleveland (5-5) continues its downward spiral after a 63-42 setback at home to Orlando (6-4). The Gladiators were 9-0 SU and 5-4 ATS at home in the regular season in 2014, but they're now a dismal 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS at Quicken Loans Arena this season.

-- The Predators have rolled up three straight wins to tie a season best, and they're also 3-0 ATS during the span. Orlando improved to 3-2 SU and 2-2-1 ATS on the road this season, and they're 2-0 ATS against Cleveland. The two sides meet again July 18 in Cleveland.

-- Philadelphia (9-1) held off a charge from Las Vegas (3-6) at home, although the Soul failed to cover for the fourth time in the past six tries. In fact, as a double-digit favorite this season Philly is just 1-3-1 ATS in five tries. They're likely be a double-digit favorite against New Orleans (2-8) next Saturday. The Soul vanquished the VooDoo 55-42 in NOLA back on April 26, but the VooDoo easily covered a 17.5-point number. In fact, New Orleans is 4-2 ATS over the past six, and a solid 4-2 ATS in six games as a dog of 10 or more points.

-- The VooDoo covered against Tampa Bay (4-5), although it was the Storm with the low-scoring 35-34 win. After opening 5-1 ATS, the Storm is now 0-3 ATS over the past three. The 'under' is 2-5 over the past seven games for Tampa, too.

-- For the sixth consecutive game Spokane (3-6) saw the 'over' connect, losing 59-47 to Arizona (7-2).

-- Don't look now, but the defending champ Rattlers have rattled off three straight wins, and they're 6-1 SU over the past seven. Arizona has also covered back-to-back games for the first time this season after opening 2-4-1 ATS in the first seven.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

ARENA | TAMPA BAY at ARIZONA
Play On - Underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) a poor offensive team (41.5-46 PPG) against an average defensive team (46-52 PPG)
90-46 since 1997. ( 66.2% | 39.4 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

ARENA | SPOKANE at SAN JOSE
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (SAN JOSE) after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
23-5 over the last 10 seasons. ( 82.1% | 17.5 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Djokovic tabbed as huge fave against Murray
Andrew Avery

An online shop has opened world No. 1 Novak Djokovic as a lofty -450 favorite in his French Open semifinal matchup versus Andy Murray.

Djokovic dispatched of Rafael Nadal 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 in Wednesday's quarterfinal match, handing the Spaniard just his second career loss on the clay courts of Roland Garros.

Murray defeated No. 7 David Ferrer 7-6 (4), 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 in their quarterfinal contest.

The pair have played three times in 2015, with the Serb winning all three. In fact, Djokovic has won the previous seven meetings with Murray and has an overall record of 18-8.

It will be their first meeting in the French Open.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Williams fave in the finals despite fighting flu

Serena Williams can breath a congested sigh of relief after getting past Timea Bacsinszky in the French Open semifinals Thursday. After the match, which saw Williams dropped the first set, the top ranked women's tennis player in the world admitted she has been battling with the flu.

Williams heads into the French Open finals as a -400 favorite against Lucie Safarova (+320).

Williams is looking to add her third title at Roland Garros, along with taking the crown in 2002 and 2013.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Three reasons why you should be betting the WNBA
By JASON LOGAN

The WNBA opens its 19th season to thunderous applause this Friday. Well, maybe not thunderous. And, maybe not applause. More like a slow sarcastic clap.

Most often, the league serves as a better punchline than entertainment but like all sports – popular or not – a little wager can quickly make you a die-hard fan. And as ridiculed as the WNBA is, it has quietly become the secret weapon of sharp bettors each summer.

Due to the lack of exposure and coverage, plenty of WNBA news, trends and tidbits fall on deaf ears, which means those with their head to the women’s hardwood have a distinct advantage over the public and even the sportsbooks.

We asked some of Covers Experts’ sharpest minds – those that actually admit to betting on the WNBA – why they love the “Dub” and what they look for when handicapping lady hoops.

Study pays off

“The sportsbooks delegate their resources to the sports that generate the most betting. WNBA lines are generally softer than you will find in, say, college and NBA basketball,” says a handicapper for Doc’s Sports. “As a result, someone that invests the time and effort into their research can have a strong advantage betting on a sport that is off most people's radar. The bottom line is that the cold, hard cash won betting on the WNBA is worth the same as money won betting on any other sport.”

Lack of depth

“I essentially handicap the games same as I would any other sport, but find that because the public and oddsmakers aren't as up on it, that you can often find very advantageous lines,” says Bryan Power. “One key difference between it and most men's leagues is that there is a real lack of depth as far as talent goes, so the top two and three teams end up being much better than the rest of the field.”

Value on the dogs

“I generally look to go against the public and stick mostly to underdogs and totals, usually Unders,” says Sean Murphy. “That's where I've found the most value, particularly in the summer when a lot of recreational bettors and action junkies come out of the woodwork and pound the favorites. The lines certainly aren't as sharp as we're accustomed to seeing in the other major sports, at least in my opinion.”

Here’s a look at the WNBA futures heading into Friday’s season opener:

Minnesota Lynx +188
Phoenix Mercury +200
Atlanta Dream +700
Chicago Sky +800
Indiana Fever +1,600
Los Angeles Sparks +1,600
Washington Mystics +1,600
New York Liberty +1,800
San Antonio Silver Stars +2,200
Connecticut Sun +3,300
Seattle Storm +3,300
Tulsa Shock +5,000

Editor's note: This article was originally published in 2013.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points vs. division opponents
542-358 since 1997. ( 60.2% | 148.2 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Maywood Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$2500 - FILLIES & MARES, CLAIMING PRICE $4,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 SUN DREAM 2/1


# 5 VAL'S WAY 6/1


# 6 ANIGHTWITHWILMA 5/2


Feel pretty confident putting some profits down on SUN DREAM. Not many knocks against this harness racer, let's give her a shot. This race could be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage speed rating will verify that. If effort in the most recent contest is any indication, this fine animal will have a very very good shot in this one. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. VAL'S WAY - Not many folks know, but the 5 slot here at Maywood Park has been outstanding for a better than expected win statistic. This mare has been going to post against some of the most competitive horses in this group of animals in recent times. ANIGHTWITHWILMA - Many harness players will recognize the top notch TrackMaster SR in the last competition. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals. Some trainers just fit better with certain harness racers. That seems to be the case today with Arnold. A competitive bet.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 8:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$30000 - FILLIES & MARES PREFERRED.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 LADY SHADOW 3/1


# 1 WAASMULA 2/1


# 2 AMERICAN IN PARIS 5/2


All signs point to LADY SHADOW for the selection. Has the makings of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 91 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Achieved a 87 speed rating last time out. A duplicate contest here should get the top prize in this one. This trainer, and the driver McNair, go together like cookies and milk. Their results together are exemplary. WAASMULA - The brain trust keenly points out that when Goit trains this solid standardbred, the odds of finishing in the money go way up. The consortium knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This nice horse will unlock our way to a nice win. AMERICAN IN PARIS - Looks like a strong choice in this bunch and her positive winning percentage says she has the ability to score this time. Been going to post with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 87).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6600 Class Rating: 68

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 WE BELIEVE 4/1


# 3 MAGESTIC CAT 7/2


# 12 TACTICAL STRIKE 3/1


WE BELIEVE is my choice. This colt looks like a longshot with a chance. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. MAGESTIC CAT - With a sound jock who has won at a very strong 21 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices. Is a solid choice - given the 63 speed figure from his most recent race. TACTICAL STRIKE - He has a good opportunity in this competition as conditioner, Essex, has solid win clip with horses going this distance. Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 85

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MAY 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 LEGAL TECHNICALITY 5/2


# 8 HEAVENS HALL 7/5


# 5 SUGAR STREET 2/1


LEGAL TECHNICALITY looks solid to best this field. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last race. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions. Has been racing well in races of this distance, going 1 out of 3 under similar conditions. HEAVENS HALL - Has been consistently running well lately. Overall the speed figures of this pony look very good in this race. SUGAR STREET - Boasts reliable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 91, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group of horses in this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belmont - Race #7 - Post: 4:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $85,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating: Golden Dollar

#1 LOOKAROUNDCORNERS (ML=3/1)
#11 SEEKING ALPHA (ML=7/2)
#13 TIZ TIME TO SHAKE (ML=15/1)
#3 PRIVATE RELATIONS (ML=8/1)


LOOKAROUNDCORNERS - Got to love a colt who outruns his odds in his first start. Colt did just that back on Apr 18th. Believe in this steed. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a wonderful spot to demolish them in the stretch. Horses out of the barn of Brown have been strong on the turf. I'd expect a strong performance. SEEKING ALPHA - It looks like Castellano had to become familiar with this colt on April 18th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. Brown is strong in grass routes. This animal should have no rationalizations if he doesn't win. Don't throw this horse out due to his last race at Keeneland where he finished fourth on the soft turf. I look for an improvement today. Brown has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half. TIZ TIME TO SHAKE - Have to make this colt a serious competitor; he comes off a nice race on May 9th. Look at this pattern of improvement. 63/68/88 are the last 3 speed figs. PRIVATE RELATIONS - Hasn't run at today's trip recently but does have a figure registered last time he tried this distance good enough to win. This horse could be a potential overlay in this event at odds of 8/1. Finished fourth in last race at Aqueduct but was close at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #16 RARE EAGLE (ML=5/2), #14 AMIGO (ML=6/1),

RARE EAGLE - I cannot play this habitual non-winner. Gets the task completed once in a while. When checking today's class rating, he will have to notch a better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this turf route. AMIGO - This colt is always close, but just doesn't win. Tough to play him on the top end.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#13 TIZ TIME TO SHAKE is going to be the play if we are getting 8/1 or better and/or #3 PRIVATE RELATIONS to win at post-time odds of 9/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,13]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Monmouth - Race #2 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#11 DON'TFLASHYOURCASH (ML=8/1)
#7 KID GAVILAN (ML=3/1)
#8 SUMMER COVE (ML=4/1)


DON'TFLASHYOURCASH - In this race here, this pony has clearly shown signs that he likes the turf. His speed figures are the highest in the field for this dist/surf. When Centeno and Harvatt join forces on horses the return on investment has been fabulous at +69. Not much pace in this race other than this steed. This gelding has been trying different distances, but from the looks of things, he ran a nice speed rating last try at this trip. KID GAVILAN - Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the first attempt on May 9th. Should be in touch with the horse even better this time around. SUMMER COVE - This mount has a lot of class. A good sign in a grass race like we have today. Entered a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Belmont in the last race and raced on a track listed as good finishing eleventh. Expect better in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MOONLIGHT PARTY (ML=5/2), #9 CONSTANTINE (ML=5/1), #13 WAY OF THE WARRIOR (ML=6/1),

MOONLIGHT PARTY - Trying to beat this participant this time around at the reward of 5/2. CONSTANTINE - The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this racer as a vulnerable contender. WAY OF THE WARRIOR - A bit of a lackluster try when this gelding finished seventh.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #11 DON'TFLASHYOURCASH on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,11] Box [8,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Friday 6/5 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DFR

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

1,3,7,8/3,7,10/1,7/5,8 = $36


LATE $1 PICK 4: 4,5,9/2,4/2,4,8/3,4,7 = $54

MEET STATS: 101 - 313 / $577.50 BEST BETS: 14 - 28 / $49.90

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 26 / $45.60

Best Bet: LIGHTS GO OUT (10th)

Spot Play: MYSTIQUE BEACH BUM (8th)


Race 1

(10) SOUTHWIND STRYKER unleashed a lethal kick in his qualifier – turning a 10-length deficit at the 3/4 pole into an 8-length win – and looks primed for his sophomore debut. (7) OH MY MAGIC hasn’t missed the board this year and is one to reckon with here, too. (5) BOLI won well two back then failed to contend in an OSS Gold event in London. He should bounce back with a better effort here.

Race 2

(6) ANYWHERE WITH YOU toyed with her rivals in her debut and gets a slight nod to repeat here vs. tougher. (3) ARIELLA has lived up to her excellent breeding so far and looks to run her unbeaten streak to three; the main danger. (1) PISCEAN manhandled weaker opponents last time and is another in with a shot in a competitive NW2L tilt.

Race 3

(2) AMERICAN IN PARIS is too good and too sharp to be kept winless for much longer. She stands a good chance to trip out in the pocket behind logical favorite (1) WAASMULA, who has been on a real tear here winning four Mares Preferreds at the meet already. Slight nod to the former. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY has really improved at this meet and merits consideration at her usual long price.

Race 4

(1) THRILL CHASER moves inside and last time she started from here she won and set a new life’s mark. She should get a good trip and take this group down. (3) IDEAL SPACE is 7 for 20 this year and ships in with sharp form on display; contender. (8) CHEEKY stormed by the field with an impressive late brush. Keep her on pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(7) SPIRIT TO WIN showed speed and talent last season and after two solid qualifiers trainer Jones – who quite often drives his own in their first couple of starts – goes right to a catch driver signaling he means business. (3) MYSTERY BET blew up the tote last out by motoring past his foes using a 26 4/5 final quarter; hard to say if he can repeat that, but we’re using in the pick 4. (10) WINNING WIZARD won an OSS Gold event in excellent time at London in his season debut and is a must on pick 4 tickets, even from out there.

Race 6

(7) MACHAL JORDAN took heavy support from the 10-hole last week, set the pace and just missed. Now he gets to drop to the lowest condition level; top call. (1) HAIL THE TAXI closed a big gap in a slowing pace but his lack of gate speed often gets him in bad spots; notice the 5 slices vs. only 2 wins from his last 29 starts. (5) BRINGHOME THEBLUE faced some good ones in his past couple and wasn’t disgraced. He has some upset potential here.

Race 7

(5) KARLEE SUE keeps getting faster and likely carves out a good trip for herself here vs. some that may have bigger paydays in their sights down the road. (8) MOONLIT DANCE has gone big trips in all of her last 4 starts, but you have to wonder how badly she needs this $9K purse relative to her future dance card. (3) MACARENA MAMA makes her 4th start of the year and should be prominent here from on or near the pace.

Race 8

(4) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM’s form is better than it looks on paper and she should be able to either control the pace or sit a trip near the pace then pounce late; top call. (5) SHADYS M THREE raced well vs. better last week and fits well here. (7) ISLAND VIEW exits a rapid heat where she finished quickly without threatening. She has upset potential.

Race 9

(4) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU fired off an impressive mile in her season’s debut and will take some beating here if she produces anything close to that performance. (2) FRANNEY LOVE DAT gets Zeron back and the two teamed up for an upset win in her debut in his barn two starts back. She should be close here. (6) STONEBRIDGE QUEST was nailed late by two good ones and should get another aggressive steer here.

Race 10

As noted in last week’s analysis, when (4) LIGHTS GO OUT gets good, she can be really good. Call for the threepeat in her current sharp condition. (8) AN ANGEL SHES NOT has been unlucky the past couple and is still sharp. She can go a long way on the lead here. (2) EMPRESS DEO suffered an interference break in the stretch last time and is another threat.

Race 11

(3) ICOMMANDMYSPIRIT had a tightener against better and gets to drop in class here. She’s very capable of beating these. (4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR makes her second start out of the Moreau barn and did pace a 27 flat final 1/4 last week. She gets a driver change to the stable’s top teamster. (7) KISS ME OR NOT was beaten by two that would rate highly here. She should be tough. (9) ADDISON BAY parlayed a nice trip into a solid win last week and is returning to her best form. (10) CALL ME MAYBE will be passing horses late and can get a piece of the exotics at a square price.

 

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Meadowlands: Friday 6/5 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DFR

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 39 - 127 / $168.10 BEST BETS: 5 - 9 / $14.50

Best Bet: THAT WOMAN HANOVER (3rd)

Spot Play: CINNABAR (2nd)


Race 1

(5) SOPRAVVISSUTO comes off a solid race and outdraws the only other logical play on paper. (10) HEZ A BUCKEYE has raced well in each of his starts for this barn and had no shot last week. I’m guessing he’ll be firing out this time. (4) TRIPLE MAJOR qualified back well and might benefit from the vacation time.

Race 2

(3) CINNABAR seems to be moving in the right direction and could be ready for a big effort against this somewhat questionable group. (4) SHOW BIZ HALL rallied nicely in both of his 2015 starts. Is he ready to pick up his game? (2) FROU FROU has done okay in NYSS races and should be a nice fit with this group.

Race 3

(8) THAT WOMAN HANOVER should cruise down the road at about 2-5. (3) VICTORIA MAY N comes in from Freehold with good form and has a win over this track. (4) FOUR STARZ ROE picks up Gingras and becomes at automatic possibility for the exotics.

Race 4

(3) MOJARRA HANOVER has made a good living in these low level mini-series races for Freehold shippers. She is certainly no lock, but let’s just say she is the one to beat. (5) PRECIOUS ROSE N won four of six races here last year and is very capable of taking this field down the road. (7) HS OPEN WATERS comes in from Freehold in fine form.

Race 5

(8) ENTRANCED finished up with good trot last time and seemed to get along nicely with driver Scott Zeron. It is worth noting that he was pulled from the sale on May 31. (2) UPFRONTSTRIKESGOLD qualified back well enough and certainly benefits from Gingras in the bike. (10) SOUTHWIND POSEIDON comes off a nice wire to wire win and would be no surprise. (4) ROYAL MALINDA drops down after a decent second last week; Zeron opted to the top choice.

Race 6

(3) BRUSHSTROKES was a solid second last time to That Woman Hanover, who will be a heavy favorite in a separate division of this series. Veteran mare seems to be ready for a top effort. (5) REAL DRAMA won against similar last time and rates as the one to beat. (8) NEXT FLIGHT finished second behind the former last time; contender.

Race 7

(3) LOCK DOWN LINDY flashed some ability as a 2-year-old and seems to be displaying that same talent this year. It would be nice if she was racing against straight fillies, but I still think she is best. (8) JUSTIN ON BROADWAY was trapped and finished willingly last time; clear threat. (9) TWO HIP DIP races well when he stays flat and would be tough if he behaved this time.

Race 8

(5) WEEPER was my pick when there was a chance Gingras would drive and remains the choice with McCarthy in the bike. Jimmy Takter trainee has been solid in both 2015 wins and looks to have a bright future in this division. (3) KATIE SAID was absolutely flying to beat lesser in her most recent start. If she is sitting in striking position, watch out! (6) INITTOWINAFORTUNE has put in a good effort every week and should get the jump on other outside speed. (9) RADAR CONTACT comes off a Betsy Ross win and looks like the best mare in the sport right now. If she can win from the outside post against this bunch, there will be no doubt who is queen.

Race 9

(6) CAMBRIDGE spent a long time on the rim in his debut on Lasix after a six week break. Four-year-old has every right to be tighter in this spot for a live barn. (2) BLUEBRID KIDSQUEEN has proven capable of stepping up in soft spots like this one. (4) CARNEGIE returns to the Meadowlands at a reduced level.

Race 10

(7) BEACH STORY got over the top for her first win of the year. That confidence builder might be all she needs to go on a nice run. (1) BEAUTIFUL LADY has performed well in seemingly every start in this class. (3) SAYITALL BB & (4) TABLE TALK are two classy mares which lack consistent recent form; either could score.

Race 11

(6) FLYHAWK EL DURADO was visually impressive with a powerful stretch rally against slightly lesser last week. (3) COCO LINDY goes for three straight wins and seems likely to be pointed for the top. (1) WATKINS comes off a nice win but loses Tetrick to (8) LIGHTNING STORM, who was a solid second in his first start since October.

Race 12

(10) UNTOUCHABLE ONE doesn’t knock your socks off but has been racing steadily up at Plainridge. His 1:50 4/5 win at Pocono last year tells me he has the speed to win and if someone can get the best out of him, it is Gingras. (1) ACELO HANOVER was claimed right back by the Mike Russo barn and seems likely to be odds-on. (4) SMELLTHECOLORNINE moves into a new barn and could awaken. (7) CAJON HOT SHOT will be firing early; trifecta and superfecta must.

 

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SPOT PLAYS

For Friday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (7th) Paddybdancing, 10-1
(8th) Hadrian, 3-1

Belmont Park (5th) To Dare, 5-1
(6th) Fresh Feline, 6-1


Belterra Park (6th) Conniption Fit, 5-1
(7th) La Coronita, 3-1


Canterbury Park (5th) Wood Machine, 9-2
(8th) Pferd, 4-1


Charles Town (2nd) Bella the Princess, 4-1
(5th) Candy Castle, 3-1


Churchill Downs (1st) Wildlife Artist, 5-1
(8th) Scrumpdilicious, 7-2


Emerald Downs (6th) Heza Witch Doctor, 9-2
(7th) Tactical Strike, 3-1


Evangeline Downs (2nd) Shawnee's Kela, 3-1
(4th) Midnight Lure, 4-1


Finger Lakes (4th) Miss Dragon Lady, 5-1
(6th) Born in Brooklyn, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Deputy Striker, 3-1
(8th) Ghost of Navigator, 10-1


Gulfstream Park (3rd) The Sundrop Kid, 3-1
(7th) Valid Concept, 4-1


Indiana Grand (5th) Commando Kat, 5-1
(6th) Venetian, 4-1


Lone Star Park (3rd) Thumamah, 6-1
(5th) Fenix on Fire, 4-1


Louisiana Downs (5th) Razorback Rocket, 7-2
(7th) Keen Rally, 4-1


Monmouth Park (5th) Fiery Cat, 6-1
(6th) Notably Awesome, 7-2


Penn National (1st) Missdixieactivist, 7-2
(4th) Not Today, 3-1

Pimlico (6th) Bellaridge, 3-1
(7th) Heart of Ireland, 9-2

Prairie Meadows (4th) Tempered Threat, 3-1
(8th) Wickedly Sweet, 9-2


Santa Anita (1st) Jedi Mind Trick, 8-1
(2nd) Mahee, 6-1


Thistledown (1st) Izy Power, 7-2
(4th) True Prince, 7-2


Woodbine (2nd) Creative Thunder, 9-2
(8th) Wild Catomine, 3-1