Mohawk: Friday 6/19 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF HARNESS:
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
EARLY $1 PICK 4:
2,4,5/1,5,10/4,6,9/2,4,5 = $81
LATE $1 PICK 4: 2,4,5/5,6,7,8/1,2,3/1 = $36
MEET STATS: 122 - 378 / $714.70 BEST BETS: 16 - 34 / $54.80
SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 32 / $45.60
Best Bet: CAST NO SHADOW (10th)
Spot Play: SHADOWS WONDER (6th)
Race 1
(6) HIDDEN IDENTITY flashed early speed for the first time this year last week, then took cover and rallied late to just miss. He's sharp now; top call. (5) CAL CHIPS BROTHER just missed last time but is as erratic as they come. He could be right there…or, self-destruct. (9) CREAMPUFF MACDADDY has been racing more aggressively and is in with a chance here.
Race 2
(7) HAT TRICK HONEY drops to the lowest conditioned class in her 2nd start off the layoff and this is pretty easy company for her. She should go coast-to-coast. (3) PATHTODOVER has raced well in Preferred classes out of town recently and should be close vs. these. (1) LARJON LAURA makes her first start for Auciello off what looks like a private sale. Expect immediate improvement.
Race 3
(2) PLATOON SEELSTER closed a ton last time from an outer post. He clearly has bigger races in his sights but may be able to beat these without expending a lot of effort. (9) CASH FOR GOLD has rocketed home late in all three starts off the layoff and is a sharp opponent. (1) LITTLE RED CHEV stepped up a little too high last time and had class-dropping speedsters to contend with early and met her match. She can go better here.
Race 4
(5) MOMAS GOT A GUN was part of a rapid early pace in her Fan Hanover elim and held on reasonably well considering. These are easier and she looks like one of few that want to be up front; top call. (4) RIDE AWAY SHARK showed some life late last time vs. OSS Gold company. She should also be prominent early. (2) DELIGHTFUL HILL shakes Solar Sister here finally and should make her presence felt late.
Race 5
(10) GAME ON HANOVER has been monstrous in four starts for Zeron and has already won easily from the 10-hole which may help her price here; top call. (5) BOLI has won two of his last three when flat and has developed a potent late kick. He looks like the main threat. (1) HOMEN DRY raced okay in his second start of the year and should go forward here with the aid of post relief.
Race 6
(7) SHADOWS WONDER was intent on the lead last time and tired after cutting a solid half. Moving outside she could surprise here coming off a helmet late. (4) MACHNBYRD PRINCESS stepped up off the claim and raced well. She's a contender here. (9) OCEANVIEW BINDI wasn't beaten far when dropping into this class last week and is another in with a good shot.
Race 7
(4) TESSA SEELSTER already beat NW2L company three back then stepped up too high. She has a much better shot here. (2) CHEEKIE has been on a big roll and her wicked late speed should be respected here. (5) INVEST IN ART was a massive favorite last time and couldn't hold off the one above. She has done well in her three starts this year though and is a contender here again.
Race 8
(5) SETANTA was a big maiden winner last week and the mark he took there is actually the fastest in this field. He stands a good chance to double up in this NW2L tilt. (8) NOBLE POWER produced a strong first-up effort to be second last week and will be coming late here. (6) PISCEAN had a crazy trip at Georgian suffering an equipment break and several interference breaks and still managed to come out of it second when the dust cleared. He should be up close throughout here.
Race 9
(3) FRANNEY LOVE DAT has been very live since joining Zeron's barn and should sit a good trip near the front here; top call. (2) GIRLOFYOURDREAMS has faced better in stakes action and looks like the one to beat. (1) PINOT GRIGIO may be cycling back to the good form she had at the start of her career last winter and is a threat here.
Race 10
(1) CAST NO SHADOW suffered a brutal trip from the 10-hole after missing a month's action. She is clearly best here and is likely to be a big chalk but also has much bigger fish to fry this stakes season for sure. (6) AN ANGEL SHES NOT showed some grit holding off a rival that was slipping up the rail late. She should be a top contender here, too. (2) SOUTHWIND MISCHIEF was an easy first-over Grassroots winner at Georgian and is on the improve. Toss In tri bets. (7) CALL ME MAYBE dusted NW2L foes now moves back up; for a slice. (10) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM can crack the bottom of the exotics here from way back.