Friday 5/1/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

French Division 1 TODAY 19:30

Metz

v

Marseille

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		3	13/5	10/11	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT METZ	RECENT FORM
HLADHWHWADAL​ Most recent​	1 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 1 1 - 1	HDAWHLALALHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Marseille have kept one clean sheet in their last 15 away fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Metz are running out of games to save themselves from relegation but can keep their slim survival hopes alive by making home advantage count against Marseille. Successive home wins over Toulouse (3-2) and Lens (3-1) lifted Metz off the foot of the table and they have a decent chance against Marseille, who have lost four games in a row.

RECOMMENDATION: Metz
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Premiership TODAY 19:45

Celtic

v

Dundee

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS5		1/7	6	20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CELTIC	RECENT FORM
HWADHWND*AWAW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 5 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 1	HDADHWALHLHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Celtic have kept clean sheet in nine of their last 13 home league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Dundee did well to claim a top-six finish in the Scottish Premiership but they have been finding life tough of late, claiming just one victory in their last six matches. It is difficult to envisage anything other than a comfortable victory for Celtic, who should continue their charge towards the title.

RECOMMENDATION: Celtic to win 3-0
1


REFEREE: Bobby Madden STADIUM:

 

[blackhat]

Factsman Friday

Joe Apricena likes CIN/ATL over 7.5.

As usual bet the opposite. Under 7.5 Reds/Braves will be a winner.

 

[Scott602]

Goodfella TIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Brewers @ Cubs
Peralta is 0-3, 5.04 in his four starts; seven of his last nine stayed under.

Lester is 0-0, 6.23 in his four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Cubs won five of last six games with Milwaukee; seven of last ten games in series stayed under. Brewers are 5-17 (3-7 in last ten); four of their last five games went over total. Chicago won four of last five games; over is 3-1-2 in its last six games.

Nationals @ Mets
Scherzer is 1-2, 2.20 in his four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Harvey is 4-0, 3.04 in his four starts; all four went over. Mets scored 27 runs in his four starts.

Mets are 2-5 in last seven games since their 11-game win streak; they're 10-1 at home this season. NY is 4-7 in last 11 games against Washington, with five of last eight staying under total. Nationals won last three games, scoring 34 runs; their last six went over the total. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Met games.

Phillies @ Marlins
Williams is 2-1, 4.56 in his four starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Koehler is 2-2, 4.50 in his four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Miami won five of last seven games with Philly; over is 3-0-1 in the last four. Phillies lost last three games, allowing 25 runs; over is 3-1-1 in last five. Miami won seven of last eight games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Reds @ Braves
DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.42 in his four starts; under is 3-0-1 in those four.

Foltynewicz was 0-1, 5.30 in 16 relief stints for Houston LY; this is his first MLB start. He is 0-3, 2.08 in four AAA starts this year.

Braves lost eight of last ten games overall, with four of last five going over total. Reds won three of last four games- four of their last six went over. Atlanta won five of last eight games with Cincinnati; under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Burnett is 0-1, 1.80 in his four starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five.

Lynn is 1-2, 4.03 in his four starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Pittsburgh lost seven of last ten games with the Cardinals; three of last four played in St Louis went over total. Pirates won six of last eight games; under is 3-1-2 in last six. St Louis won seven of last nine games; over is 4-1-1 in last six games. Redbirds scored 25 runs in last three games.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
de la Rosa is 2-1, 5.04 in four starts; four of his last six went over.

Frias started two games LY; one really good (0 runs/6 IP), one awful (8 runs in 0.2 IP); he is 1-1, 6.12 in 32.1 big league IP.

Dodgers won six of last eight games with Arizona; four of last five played in LA went over total. Diamondbacks won last two games, scoring 21 runs after they lost five of previous six- their last three went over. Dodgers won four of last six games; under is 5-3 in their last eight.

Rockies @ Padres
Butler is 2-1, 3.27 in his four starts (under 2-1-1).

Kennedy is 0-1, 10.80 in his two starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight.

Rockies are 6-4 in last ten games with San Diego; five of last seven tilts went under the total. Colorado lost three of last four games; last three went over. Padres lost seven of last eight games; four of last five went over.

American League
Orioles @ Rays (O's are home team)
Tillman is 2-2, 7.58 in his four starts; five of his last six went over.

Colome is making first '15 start; he is 3-1, 2.34 in six MLB starts, his last three stayed under the total.

Baltimore won three of last four games with the Rays; three of four went over the total. Orioles won last three games, scoring 31 runs- their last five games went over. Tampa Bay won six of last eight games; last five stayed under.

Blue Jays @ Indians
Buehrle is 3-1, 4.94 in his four starts; six of last eight went over. Jays scored 37 runs in his three wins, one in his loss.

Carrasco is 2-2, 4.60 in his four starts; six of his last seven stayed under.

Indians lost five of last six games; five of their last seven games went over the total. Blue Jays lost five of last seven games. Toronto won five of last seven games with Cleveland; under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

Bronx @ Red Sox
Sabathia is 0-4, 6.31 in his four starts; six of his last nine went over.

Masterson is 2-2, 5.16 in four starts, three of which went over.

Bronx is 5-3 in its last eight games with Boston; their last five games all went over the total. Bombers won seven of last nine games, with last three going under total. Red Sox are 3-5 in last eight games; five of last six went over.

A's @ Rangers
Kazmir is 2-0, 0.99 in his four starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven.

Lewis is 1-2, 3.75 in four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Oakland lost six of last seven games, with last six going over- they lost six of last ten games with Texas; three of last four went over the total. Rangers lost six of last seven games, with five of last six staying under the total.

Mariners @ Astros
Elias is 1-3, 2.86 in his last seven starts; five of the seven stayed under.

Deduno has started 42 MLB games, nine LY; he's allowed three runs in 9.1 IP in five relief stints this season- this is his first 2015 start.

Houston is on a serious roll, winning seven in row, 11 of last 12: they've won seven of last nine games with Seattle- five of last seven series games went over, as have eight of last ten Astro games. Mariners won five of last eight games; seven of those eight stayed under the total.

Tigers @ Royals
Lobstein is 2-1, 3.50 in his three starts; three of his last four went over.

Young is making first '15 start; he's made 188 career starts in 10 years- he was 0-3, 9.82 in his last four starts LY. He is 1-0, 1.86 in 9.2 IP this year (5 games).

Detroit won four of last six games overall, seven of last 11 with Kansas City; seven of last ten series games stayed under total. Royals won four of last five home games- their last four games overall went over. Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.

White Sox @ Twins
Quintana is 1-1, 6.95 in his four starts this season.

Gibson is 1-2, 5.24 in his four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Chicago-Minnesota split last ten games; nine of last 11 series games went over. White Sox lost last three road games, outscored 29-5. Twins won four of their last six games- three of last four went over.

Interleague
Angels @ Giants
Wilson is 1-2, 3.46 in his four starts; three of the four stayed under.

Heston is 2-2, 3.81 in his four starts; under is 3-0-1 in the four games.

Angels won six of last seven games with the Giants; LA won five of their last seven games, with last four going over total. Giants won four of last five at home; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games overall.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mil-Chi-- Peralta 0-4; Lester 2-2
Wsh-NY-- Scherzer 2-2; Harvey 4-0
Phil-Mia-- Williams 3-1; Koehler 2-2
Cin-Atl-- DeSclafani 3-1; Foltynewicz 0-0
Pitt-StL-- Burnett 1-3; Lynn 1-3
Az-LA-- de la Rosa 2-2; Frias 0-0
Col-SD-- Butler 3-1; Kennedy 0-2

TB-Balt-- Colome 0-0; Tillman 2-2
Tor-Clev-- Buehrle 3-1; Carrasco 2-2
NY-Bos-- Sabathia 0-4; Masterson 3-1
A's-Tex-- Kazmir 2-2; Lewis 1-3
Sea-Hst-- Elias 0-1; Deduno 0-0
Det-KC-- Lobstein 2-1; Young 0-0
Chi-Minn-- Quintana 2-2; Gibson 2-2

LAA-SF-- Wilson 2-2; Heston 2-2

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mil-Chi-- Peralta 1-4; Lester 3-4
Wsh-NY-- Scherzer 1-4; Harvey 1-4
Phil-Mia-- Williams 2-4; Koehler 0-4
Cin-Atl-- DeSclafani 0-4; Foltynewicz 0-0
Pitt-StL-- Burnett 0-4; Lynn 0-4
Az-LA-- de la Rosa 2-4; Frias 0-0
Col-SD-- Butler 0-4; Kennedy 1-2

TB-Balt-- Colome 0-0; Tillman 1-4
Tor-Clev-- Buehrle 2-4; Carrasco 3-4
NY-Bos-- Sabathia 2-4; Masterson 1-4
A's-Tex-- Kazmir 0-4; Lewis 0-4
Sea-Hst-- Elias 1-1; Deduno 0-0
Det-KC-- Lobstein 2-3; Young 0-0
Chi-Minn-- Quintana 2-4; Gibson 1-4

LAA-SF-- Wilson 0-4; Heston 1-4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Cheat Sheet - Conference Semis
By Alex Smith

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Minnesota Wild

Blackhawks: 13-8 SU Last 21 Meetings (Reg Season & Playoffs)
Blackhawks: 8-3 SU & 4-5-2 O/U vs Wild Last 2 Postseasons
Blackhawks: Won First Home Game in 8 Consecutive Series

Wild: Won 14 of Last 16 Road Contests
Wild: Won First Home Game in Each Playoff Meeting
Wild: Won Last 2 Regular Season Meetings this year

Betting Trends:
-- Underdogs are 2-9 Last 11 Playoff Meetings

Anaheim Ducks vs. Calgary Flames

Ducks: 14-6 SU Last 20 Meetings
Ducks: Scored 4 or more goals in 3 of last 4 games
Ducks: Haven't Lost at Home to Flames since 2006

Flames: 3-7 O/U Last 10 with 5.5 total
Flames: 5-1 ATS including 3-0 as Puck-Line Favorite
Flames: 4-0 SU & ATS Last 4 Home Games

Betting Trends:
-- Over is 6-3 Last 9 Meetings
-- In 5 games this year, Over is 4-1 with 3 of those games reaching 9 total goals

Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

Lightning: Won All 5 Meetings in Regular Season
Lightning: On a 2-4-1 O/U Run Last 7 Games

Canadiens: Swept Lightning in 2014 First Round Match-up
Canadiens: Failed to Convert 22 of Last 23 Power-Plays

New York Rangers vs. Washington Capitals

Rangers: 20-4 SU as a Favorite vs Division Opponents
Rangers: 7-1 SU Last 8 Games as a Favorite
Rangers: 8-2 SU Last 10 Meetings

Capitals: 3-7 O/U Last 10 Games

Betting Trends:
-- Under is 12-5-3 Last 20 Meetings
-- Road Underdogs are 6-3 Last 9 Meetings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Preview: Wild (46-28) at Blackhawks (48-28)

Date: May 01, 2015 9:30 PM EDT

CHICAGO (AP) - Five games in 2013, a small speed bump in Chicago's run to the Stanley Cup title. Six games in 2014, a more difficult challenge for the Blackhawks.

Now the Minnesota Wild are in the second round for the second straight postseason, and standing in the way is their usual playoff roadblock. And even they are interested to see how they respond, beginning with Game 1 on Friday night in Chicago.

'We think we're in a better place, but we won't know until after,' coach Mike Yeo said. 'All we have is an opportunity to keep pushing and prove that we are better and that we're up to the task of knocking off a great hockey team.'

Minnesota was in a bad spot during a six-game slide in January that dropped the Wild to 18-19-5. But a trade for goaltender Devan Dubnyk fueled a resurgence that continued with a six-game victory over St. Louis in the first round of the playoffs.

With a deep group of forwards and Dubnyk on the best run of his career, the Wild are looking forward to measuring their progress against one of the league's traditional powers.

'They've been the team to beat, them and L.A., in the Western Conference, they've been the teams to beat the last couple of years,' winger Zach Parise said. 'When you get a chance, yeah, you see where you're at. If you want to get out of the West, you have to beat them.'

Chicago is going for its third Stanley Cup championship since 2010. It made it all the way to the conference finals a year ago, but its title defense ended with an epic seven-game loss to the eventual champion Kings.

Fast forward to this season, and the Blackhawks stumbled into the playoffs on a four-game losing streak. But they got Patrick Kane back from a broken collarbone in time for the series opener against Nashville, and their best players rose to the occasion once again in a six-game victory over the Predators.

Jonathan Toews is tied for the NHL lead with eight points in the playoffs, and defensemen Duncan Keith and Brent Seabrook each made a couple of big plays in the first round. Mix in more brilliance from Marian Hossa and Kane's offensive presence, and the Blackhawks had enough to overcome a small goaltender controversy that concluded with starter Corey Crawford back in the net.

'In the Nashville series, I think we snuck out some games there, but for the most part we improved in a lot of areas and I think that's good news for us, but we're excited for the challenge,' Toews said.

Here are a few more things to watch when the Wild and Blackhawks meet:

THOSE SPECIAL, SPECIAL TEAMS: Minnesota leads the NHL in power-play percentage through the first round of the postseason, converting four of its 12 tries against St. Louis. Chicago allowed a league-worst six power-play goals against Nashville. Special teams, always a crucial part of the playoffs, could take on added importance in this series between familiar foes.

STOPPING BRYAN BICKELL: For all the talk about Toews, Kane and the rest of Chicago's biggest stars, Bryan Bickell has really hurt the Wild over the years. The rugged winger had four goals and two assists in last year's playoff series against Minnesota, and then collected four goals and an assist in five games versus the Wild this season.

When Bickell is playing well, he gives Chicago a physical presence in front of the net. If Dubnyk has any difficulty with rebound control, Bickell could present a problem for Minnesota.

'With Dubnyk in the net, he's a 6-foot-5-plus goalie who can see over - you name it,' Bickell said. 'We need to get traffic and hopefully we get opportunities that way.'

HOME SWEET HOME: The Blackhawks are 22-4 in their last 26 home playoff games, outscoring their opponents 88-54 in that stretch. The Wild are winless in six postseason games at Chicago, managing just eight goals in those losses.

Minnesota, which won at St. Louis in Game 2 of the first round, will need at least one road win to move on. The good news for the Wild is they were successful on their last trip to the Windy City, with Dubnyk making 32 saves in a 2-1 victory on April 7.

'It's not a secret, we haven't had any success there in the playoffs the last couple of years,' Parise said. 'It is a hard building. But like we've said the last little while and the last round, we've been playing well on the road. That's a good sign for us.'

MISSING VANEK: Thomas Vanek helped Montreal make it to the Eastern Conference finals a year ago, finishing with five goals and five assists in 17 playoff games. The winger then signed a $19.5 million, three-year deal with Minnesota, but managed just two assists in the first round against the Blues. Getting the veteran scorer untracked against the Blackhawks would provide a big lift for the Wild.

Notes: The Blackhawks said forward Kris Versteeg was out day-to-day with a lower-body injury that is 'not serious,' coach Joel Quenneville said following Thursday's practice. ... Chicago forward Daniel Carcillo, who had a concussion, was cleared to play. He skated in only three of the final 25 regular-season games, and didn't play against Nashville.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadiens open as series faves versus Lightning
Andrew Avery

Sportsbooks have opened the Montreal Canadiens as -115 series faves versus the Tampa Bay Lightning (-105) for their Eastern Conference matchup.

The Lightning closed out the Detroit Red Wings by a score of 2-0 in Game 7 Wednesday evening.

Tampa Bay was a perfect 5-0 in five regular season meetings with the Habs this season, outscoring them 21-8 in the process.

Here is a look at series prices:

Calgary Flames (+205)/Anaheim Ducks (-245)
Washington Capitals (+161)/New York Rangers (-190)
Minnesota Wild (+110)/Chicago Blackhawks (-115)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-105)/Montreal Canadiens (-115)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top regular season under teams meet in second round
Justin Hartling

Two of the top three under teams left in the NHL playoffs start their series Friday when thre Minnesota Wild travel to the Windy City to take on the Blackhawks. The two teams combined for a 56-81 over/under record in the regular season.

Both teams have predicated their playoff hopes on defensive hockey with the Blackhawks ranking second in defense (2.27 gpg) and the Wild sixth (2.41 gpg). Neither team has been better than average offensively though, with the teams ranking twelfth (Wild) and seventeenth ('Hawks) respectively.

Special teams also have a lean towards low scoring affairs. The teams rank in the top third of penalty kill and in the bottom third in powerplay percentage.

The current total for the Game 1 affair between the Wild and 'Hawks on Friday is 5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Tampa Bay won its last five games with Montreal; five of last six series games went over total. Habs scored total of five goals in losing last three home games with Tampa Bay. Lightning won last two games to beat Detroit in seven games; last game was Wednesday- they've won four of last six at home. Canadiens haven't played since they beat Ottawa in Game 6 Sunday- they won three of their last four home games- three of their last four games stayed under total. Since they last won Stanley Cup in '93, Montreal is 2-4 in this round. In its franchise history, Tampa Bay is 1-2 in this round.

Minnesota won its last two games with Chicago after losing previous five; five of last seven games in series stayed under. Wild won three of last four games; they haven't played since Sunday- they gave up two or fewer goals in their last six wins. Chicago won three of last four games; five of their last six went over the total- they've been off since Saturday. Minnesota split its two appearances in the 2nd round. Chicago won last four series in this round; they won Stanley Cup in '10 and '13.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Game 6 - Hawks at Nets
By Brian Edwards

The Atlanta Hawks will go for the kill shot Friday night at Barclays Arena in Brooklyn, where the Nets will take on the Eastern Conference's No. 1 seed in Game 6 of a best-of-seven first-round series.

As of early Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had Atlanta (63-24 straight up, 51-34-2 against the spread) installed as a four-point favorite with a total of 200.5 points. Gamblers can back the Nets on the money line for a +155 return (risk $100 to win $155).

The adjusted series price has Atlanta at -1500. The Nets are +900 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $900).

Mike Budenholzer's club won Game 5 by a 107-97 count to hook up its backers as a nine-point home favorite. The Hawks covered the number for first-quarter bets (-3) and first-half wagers (-5 or -5.5). They raced out to a 33-16 lead at the end of the opening quarter and led 53-44 at intermission.

Alan Anderson got Brooklyn (40-47 SU, 43-42-2 ATS) back in the game in the second quarter, making any and every shot he launched. Anderson would score all of his 23 points in the first three quarters, draining 9-of-11 shots from the field and all four of his attempts from 3-point range.

Although Atlanta led the entire game and took a 12-point advantage into the fourth quarter, there were plenty of anxious moments inside Philips Arena at crunch time. Jarrett Jack, the veteran reserve point guard who has had a sensational series and enjoyed an incredible collegiate career at Ga. Tech in Midtown Atlanta, sparked the Nets in the fourth as they closed the gap.

Jack scored 12 of his 18 points in the final quarter. His layup with 4:40 remaining sliced the deficit to 90-89. Atlanta promptly built the lead back to six, but back-to-back 3-pointers from Joe Johnson made it 97-95 with 2:11 left.

But the Hawks finished the game on a 10-2 run to pull out a fortunate spread cover for its backers. Jeff Teague was huge in the clutch, scoring six points in the last 1:07. Al Horford also came up big, draining an 18-footer to build the lead back to four after Johnson's treys.

Teague finished with 20 points, eight assists and three steals. Meanwhile, Horford became just the third Hawk (Josh Smith and Moses Malone were the others) in 30 years to score 20 points, grab 15 rebounds and dish out five assists in a postseason game.

DeMarre Carroll paced the winners with 24 points, seven boards and three assists without a turnover. Kyle Korver added 17 points after burying 5-of-12 from downtown.

Deron Williams played poorly in the first three games of the series and the NYC media was all over him. The former All-Star point guard returned to old-school form in the Game 4 overtime win, carrying his team back from an eight-point fourth-quarter deficit to force the extra session. Williams would match his career postseason high with 35 points but in Game 5, he had only five points on 2-of-8 shooting.

Brooklyn has struggled for our purposes at home this season, limping to an 18-23-2 spread record. However, the Nets won outright over the Hawks in Games 3 and 4. In fact, they covered the number in the first four games of the series and Game 5 was a heartbreaker for their gambling supporters.

How have the Nets, who finished the regular season eight games under .500, been able to play such a competitive series? VI's Chris David credits Brooklyn coach Lionel Hollins for a lot of it.

David said, "The one factor that could have me leaning to the Nets is coaching. I’m well aware that Atlanta's Budenholzer is this year’s top coach but Lionel Hollins is a solid veteran and seriously underrated. He owns a 20-20 record in the playoffs over seven series, which includes this matchup against the Hawks.

"When Hollins was the coach at Memphis, he produced a 3-3 record in six series and outside of one sweep in the 2013 Western Conference Finals to the Spurs, the other losses for the Grizzlies both ended in seven games. In those two series that Memphis came up short, Hollins and company faced 3-2 deficits and they forced Game 7’s each time and you can certainly argue against better teams, too – Clippers (2012) and Thunder (2011)."

Teague briefly left Game 5 after turning his ankle. He went back to the locker room to get a fresh tape job and was obviously fine with his heroics in the final minute. Teague, the Wake Forest product who made his first All-Star Game this year along with Korver, is 'probable' on the injury report.

The 'over' is 44-43 overall for Atlanta, 23-20 in its road assignments.

The 'under' is 48-39 overall for Brooklyn, 22-21 in its home outings.

The 'under' cashed in the first three games of the series, but the 'over' has now hit in back-to-back contests. The 204 combined points in Game 5 slipped 'over' the 200-point tally.

David is bullish on the 'under' in Game 6. He said, "The line is holding steady. What that tells me is that the books know they’ve been putting up solid lines but late free throws and a 27-point overtime have helped the recent outcomes. If Brooklyn has any chance to win this game, it needs to play better defense and slow the game down. Neither team gets to the free throw line often and barring a ton of late whistles or an extra session, I doubt the winner breaks 100 points on Friday."

ESPN will have the telecast at 8:05 p.m. Eastern.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Game of the day: Hawks at Nets

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (+4, 200.5)
Hawks lead series 3-2

The Atlanta Hawks took care of business on their home floor in Game 5, and the Nets will get a chance to hold serve in their own arena when the series shifts back to Brooklyn for Game 6 on Friday. The Nets were within two points late in Game 5 before the Hawks closed with a 10-2 run to grab a 107-97 win and a 3-2 lead in the best-of-7 series.

Top-seeded Atlanta held a 2-0 lead in the series before stumbling on the road the first time around and is still battling while the Washington Wizards wait around resting after sweeping the Toronto Raptors in the 4-5 matchup. “The playoffs are a new season, the records go out the window,” Hawks center Al Horford told reporters. “They’re pushing us, we’re pushing them, and I feel like it’s going to make us better in the end.” The Nets would be better with a consistent effort from Deron Williams. The point guard slumped to five points on 2-of-8 shooting in Game 5 after going for 35 points in the Game 4 win.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, SportSouth (Atlanta), WWOR (Brooklyn)

LINE HISTORY: The Nets opened at +4.5 after Game 5 before quickly falling to +4. The opening total of 200.5 has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: Hawks - Jeff Teague (Prob-Ankle) Nets - N/A

ABOUT THE HAWKS: DeMarre Carroll did his best to help Atlanta in Games 3 and 4 and put together his third straight 20-point effort with 24 points in Game 5. The veteran forward is 25-of-42 from the floor in the last three games and buried two of the Hawks’ 13 3-pointers in the Game 5 win. “I think the last two games the offense has been better,” Atlanta coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. “The shooting, the rhythm, the commitment to everything that we’re doing has been better. I think it’s been reflective in our shooting and our offense in general.”

ABOUT THE NETS: Jarrett Jack and Joe Johnson were the only two players to score for Brooklyn in the final 9 1/2 minutes of Game 5 as Williams and Brook Lopez disappeared down the stretch. Lopez endured his worst effort of the series with 15 points on 4-of-13 shooting and three rebounds in the loss. “In the playoffs there are a lot of chances, a lot of opportunities," Brooklyn coach Lionel Hollins told reporters. "Sometimes you get them, sometimes you don't. You have to live with it and move on to the next game.”

TRENDS:

*Nets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
*Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
*Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 road games.
*Under is 6-1 in Nets last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

CONSENSUS: 64.06 percent are backing the Nets +4 with 51.4 percent on the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Home side won all five Brooklyn-Atlanta games in this series, as Hawks lost Games 3-4 here by 8-5 points. Hawks made 35 of 94 from arc, 49-61 on line in three home wins, but were 19-63 from arc, 23-32 on line in Game 3-4 losses. Johnson is just 29-81 in series, he had best game (7-15) last game. Hawks lost last four road games, all by 9 or less points. Brooklyn won its last three home games, by 13-8-5 points. Nets have to win to force a Game 7.

Home favorites are 15-14 in this round, home dogs are 5-5; home teams are 24-15 SU-- over is 17-22.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 3:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$3300 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 HORSES THAT RACED FOR A PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER IN LAST 2 STS INEL AE:N/W 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE.OPT. CLAIM $6,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 ARIADNE HANOVER 2/1


# 5 GRAY OLIVES 7/2


# 7 CAMS MACHARENA 9/2


ARIADNE HANOVER will have you running to the cashier's window today. Sometimes you just have to go with a vibe, favor this one's chances. Don't count out this fine animal, especially with Fusco as the trainer. In the money rate is tremendous. GRAY OLIVES - That 79 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the most recent competition puts this standardbred in the mix today. Well above average winning clip makes this contender an excellent selection to take home the dough. CAMS MACHARENA - Could very well provide us a triumph based on really good recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an avg of 81. A very nice class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class stat of 83 all signs say this is the one to beat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 3:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$6200 - CD CLAIM 3-5YO F& M WINNERS OF 1 BUT NOT MORE THAN 3 EXT PM RACES OR $12,500 LIFE CLAIM PRICE $14,000 W/A


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 HANGON SUZIE Q 4/1


# 4 MISS INDEPENDENCE 6/1


# 6 TAYLOR ROSA 3/1


HANGON SUZIE Q is the most respectable wager in this contest. Expert selectors at The Meadows will notice this interesting entrant's pace figures are among the most respectable in the bunch. Exemplary in the money stat for Medors and this entrant. A competitive chance to get the win. MISS INDEPENDENCE - More than likely the class of the race with an average rating of 71. A nice selection. Chances are greatly enhanced for race horses beginning from the 4 position at The Meadows. TAYLOR ROSA - Could surprise us at a fair price. Don't leave out. The group noted a bang-up race out of this contender last time. Looking for a duplicate of that to take the whole enchilada.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 HANDSOME JACK 9/2


# 2 DEDICATED TO BOB 6/5


# 3 TOO WILD FOR WORDS 10/1


HANDSOME JACK looks strong to best this field. DEDICATED TO BOB - With a nice class rating average of 100, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field. He has been travelling solidly recently while recording solid speed figures. TOO WILD FOR WORDS - Garnered a formidable speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. He has earned formidable figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group of horses in this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $16100 Class Rating: 80

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 TRAIN A COMIN 5/1


# 8 KISSINTHERESTGOODBYE 8/1


# 10 SWINGIN EAGLE 6/1


TRAIN A COMIN has a very good shot to take this race. Recorded a strong speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Carnero has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent rate. KISSINTHERESTGOODBYE - Her 67 average has this filly with among the top speed figures in this competition. Win percentage with this rider and handler combo - 19 percent - reliable. SWINGIN EAGLE - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 80 speed rating which is one of the top in this group. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the recent company kept.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:31pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 54

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 MUSIC IS LIFE (ML=8/1)
#5 SOUTHERNBELLESHELL (ML=8/1)


MUSIC IS LIFE - Look for this filly to run a lot better in this field. Last race at Charles Town finishing seventh in the mud is no sign of her true talent. Ran in the last race against a better field at Charles Town. The move down in class ranks should suit her well. Often a thoroughbred that runs well on the turf will adore a track with tight turns like Charles Town. SOUTHERNBELLESHELL - This rider/handler duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +60. This filly is in good condition. Ended up first on Apr 10th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DRINK RESPONSIBLY (ML=5/2), #8 ADRASTEA (ML=3/1), #6 TIEDANDTRUE (ML=4/1),

DRINK RESPONSIBLY - Hasn't been on the Charles Town oval in the last two to three weeks. Cause for some concern. ADRASTEA - When checking today's class rating, she will have to record a much better speed fig than last time around the track to battle in this dirt route. TIEDANDTRUE - Hard to put any money on this mare on the front end. Likes to land in the money though. Doubtful that the rating she garnered on Apr 15th will be enough in this affair.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 MUSIC IS LIFE is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Prairie Mdws - Race #7 - Post: 9:11pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $37,275 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 LAYOUT (ML=6/1)
#2 GARMAN'S GUY (ML=8/1)


LAYOUT - This trainer has a very positive ROI with first time starters. A great handicapping angle is Lasix for the first time. Chleborad gives it to this one for this clash. GARMAN'S GUY - I like this gelding a lot here. He shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. A horse coming back this soon after a good outing is a good signal.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 BEER BUDGET (ML=7/2), #6 HOLDMEGOLD (ML=5/1), #4 WISE UP (ML=8/1),

BEER BUDGET - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance races in order to bet on him. HOLDMEGOLD - Tough to play any pony in a short distance race if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last two months. Long vacation, then came back and finished fourth. Hard to expect much better this time out. WISE UP - Don't think this vulnerable equine is worth 8/1 in this race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 LAYOUT to win if you can get at least 8/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip