Friday 4/17/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

When not viewing the service plays.
Make sure to enjoy the rest of what the RX has to offer.

First time here at the RX.
Make sure to visit the Newbies Room
Click here to go there now
 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
French Division 1 TODAY 19:30
NantesvMarseille
1800.png
1748.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT23

23/10

Evs

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT NANTESRECENT FORM
HWALHWADHLAL
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 1 - 1
  • 1 - 1
  • 2 - 1
  • 1 - 3
HLAWHDAWHLAL
Most recent
position03.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Nantes have lost only one of their eight home games against teams above them in the table

EXPERT VERDICT: Marseille's charge has been halted by league defeats to Paris St-Germain and Bordeaux and the poor travellers are hard to fancy against a resolute Nantes side. Only six of Marseille's 17 Ligue 1 wins have come away from home and Nantes are worth backing to grind out a seventh home draw of the season.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
German Bundesliga 1 TODAY 19:30
E FrankfurtvMgladbach
884.png
403.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
ESPN11/4

13/5

10/11

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT E FRANKFURTRECENT FORM
HWALHWALHDAL
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 1 - 2
  • 1 - 0
  • 0 - 1
  • 0 - 1
ADHWAWAWAD*HW
Most recent
position06.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Eintracht Frankfurt’s 28 league games have produced a league-high 108 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Borussia Monchengladbach have proven themselves to be an excellent side this season, but they look a little bit too short to win in Frankfurt. Eintracht are unbeaten in their last eight home games, a run which includes wins over Dortmund and Schalke as well as a draw against high-flying Wolfsburg.

RECOMMENDATION: Eintracht Frankfurt
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
English Championship TODAY 19:45
NorwichvMiddlesbro
1855.png
1697.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS1Evs

9/4

16/5

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT NORWICHRECENT FORM
ADHWAWHWAWAW
Most recent
position07.26.0.png



  • 1 - 0
  • 4 - 4
  • 1 - 3
  • 1 - 1
AWALHWALHWHW
Most recent
position05.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Norwich have won 12 of their last 15 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: This is a crucial clash in the Championship promotion race and the Canaries look likely to come out on top. Boro have lost four of their last five road matches and struggled in recent away games against top-of-the-table rivals Watford and Bournemouth. Norwich have scored at least twice in eight of their last 11 home matches and should seal the points.

RECOMMENDATION: Norwich
2


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
English Championship Sa 18Apr 12:15
WolvesvIpswich
2848.png
1372.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS16/4

12/5

2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WOLVESRECENT FORM
HWHWAWHWALAL
Most recent
position05.26.0.png



  • 0 - 2
  • 0 - 0
  • 1 - 1
  • 1 - 0
HWAWHDALHWHW
Most recent
position06.26.0.png


KEY STAT: 15 of Wolves’ last 16 games have contained at least two goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Successive away defeats have left Wolves fighting desperately for a Championship playoff place, but they have collected five wins and a draw in their last six matches at Molineux so this should be a good opportunity for three priceless points. Ipswich are in the mix as well, but they have lost six of their last eight games on the road.

RECOMMENDATION: Wolves
2


REFEREE: Stuart Attwell STADIUM:

 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
Scottish FA Cup Sa 18Apr 12:15
HibernianvFalkirk
1227.png
955.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
BBC14/5

13/5

10/3

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
AWHLALHLAWHW
Most recent
position04.26.0.png



  • 3 - 3
  • 0 - 1
  • 0 - 1
  • 4 - 3
AWALHWHWALAL
Most recent
position04.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Five of Falkirk's last six games have featured just one goal

EXPERT VERDICT: Falkirk have won just three of their 14 matches against teams in the top half of the Championship, while Hibs have conceded 14 goals in 15 such games which is the best record in the division. That should bode well for the Edinburgh outfit in this Scottish Cup semi-final, especially after they were boosted by a derby win over Hearts on Sunday.

RECOMMENDATION: Hibernian
2


REFEREE: John Beaton STADIUM:

 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
English Premier Sa 18Apr 15:00
C PalacevWest Brom
646.png
2744.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
19/20

5/2

7/2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT C PALACERECENT FORM
AWALHWAWHWAW
Most recent
position06.26.0.png



  • 3 - 1
  • 1 - 1
  • 1 - 1
  • 0 - 2
ALALHWALHLHL
Most recent
position02.26.0.png


KEY STAT: West Brom have conceded ten goals in their last three matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace have gone from strength to strength under Alan Pardew and they can continue their impressive run when West Brom visit Selhurst Park. The Baggies have won just one of their last six matches and conceded seven goals against lowly QPR and Leicester recently.

REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB

National League
Padres @ Cubs
Shields is 1-0, 2.08 in his first two starts for San Diego; seven of his last eight starts went over the total.

Hammel is 2-1, 2.86 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Cubs lost three of last four games with San Diego; three of those four games went over total. Padres won five of last six games overall; those were all home games. Chicago won four of its last five games.

Brewers @ Pirates
Nelson blanked Pirates for seven innings in his first '15 start after going 0-6, 5.68 in his last seven starts LY.

Locke is 2-3, 5.29 in his last six starts; five of those six went over total.

Pirates won six of last nine games with Milwaukee; five of last seven stayed under total. Brewers lost seven of first nine games, scoring total of 12 runs in seven losses. Pittsburgh got shut out in last two games; they're off to a 3-6 start this season, scoring eight runs in six losses.

Phillies @ Nationals
O'Sullivan is 0-1, 5.60 in his last three starts.

Scherzer is 0-1, 2.63 in his first two Washington starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five starts overall.

Washington lost seven of last ten games with Philly, but won last two; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Phils lost last five games, outscored 23-10. Washington lost five of its last eight games; three of last four went over.

Marlins @ Mets
Phelps is makig first Miami start; he started 40 games for Bronx the last three years-- he was 1-4, 5.63 in his last seven starts there.

Colon is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Mets won eight of last 11 games with Miami (over 10-0-1). Miami lost seven of its first ten games- four of their last five went over. Mets won their last five games, allowing 14 runs; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight.

Reds @ Cardinals
Cueto is 2-1, 1.20 in his last four starts; under is 7-1-1 in his last nine.

Wacha is 1-1, 2.81 in his last three starts;three of his last four went over.

Cincinnati lost four of last six games with St Louis; four of last five went over total. Reds lost four of last five games overall, after a 4-0 start. St Louis won four of its last five games, allowing 13 runs. Nine games into season and Reds starting pitchers don't have a win yet.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Kendrick is 1-1, 6.00 in his first two Colorado starts; three of last four starts overall went over.

Kershaw is 0-1, 6.57 in his first two '15 starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Dodgers won last four games, scoring 24 runs (three of four went over total); they won seven of last ten games with Colorado, last six of which went over total. Rockies are off to 7-2 start, 6-0 on road- their last three games all stayed under total.

Diamondbacks @ Giants
Collmenter is 0-2, 7.45 in his first two '15 starts.

Peavy is 0-3, 11.32 in his last three starts; his last four went over.

Giants lost their last seven games, outscored 34-15; they .won eight of last 11 games with Arizona, winning four of last five here- six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Arizona lost three of its last five games.

American League
White Sox @ Tigers
Samardzija is 0-1, 6.23 in his first two White Sox starts; his last five starts all went over total.

Price is 2-1, 1.55 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Detroit/White Sox split last ten meetings; under is 2-0-2 in last four. Detroit is off to 8-1 start, with four of last six games going over. White Sox won three of last four games; four of last six stayed under.

Orioles @ Red Sox
Jimenez is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Kelly is 4-0, 4.24 in his last four starts, with three going over-- he got 29 runs of support in the four games.

Baltimore won six of last eight games with Boston; road team won seven of those eight games. Red Sox won five of last seven games, with all seven over the total. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Oriole games.

Bronx @ Rays
Warren gave up two runs (one earned) in 5.1 IP (98 PT) in his first '15 start, fourth overall in majors.

Karns is 1-1, 5.68 in two starts this season; six of his seven career starts went over the total.

Bronx Bombers lost five of last seven games; seven of their last eight games went over total. Rays won five of last six games; three of their last four went under. Bronx/Tampa Bay split last ten games; under is 5-1 in last six series games at the Trop.

Indians @ Twins
Kluber is 0-1, 2.63 in two '15 starts; four of his last five road starts went under the total.

Pelfrey is 0-6, 8.25 in his last ten starts, with last four going over.

Cleveland won four of last five games with Mnnesota; four of the five went over total. Indians lost four of last five games overall. Minnesota won its last two games after a 1-6 start; four of their last five games went over.

A's @ Royals
Gray is 2-0, 0.74 in his last three starts; three of his last four on road stayed under the total.

Guthrie is 5-1, 2.88 in his last seven starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Kansas City won five of last six games with Oakland; three of last four went over total. Oakland outscored foes 42-1 in its five wins; they allowed 32 runs in five losses. Royals lost last two games after a 7-0 start- four of their last five went over. Six of last eight A's games went over.

Angels @ Astros
Weaver is 0-2, 8.71 in two starts this season; he is 1-1, 2.08 in his last couple starts against Houston.

Hernandez is 0-3, 7.82 in his last six starts; eight of his last ten went over.

Angels won six of last nine games with Houston; home side won nine of last ten series games, with three of last four staying under. Angels lost four of last six games- over is 4-0-1 in their last five. Astros are 4-5, scoring total of four runs in five losses- seven of their nine games stayed under.

Rangers @ Mariners
Gallardo is 1-1, 5.59 in his first two Texas starts; three of his last four outings on road went over total.

Happ is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts; seven of his last nine stayed under.

Mariners just got swept in LA, lost six of last eight overall; they won three of last four games with Texas- seven of last ten series games stayed under total. Rangers lost three of last four games (over 3-0-1). Six of last seven Seattle games went over.

Interleague
Braves @ Blue Jays
Teheran is 2-0, 3.00 so far this month; four of his last six starts went under.

Hutchison is 1-0, 6.97 in two starts this month; three of his last four starts stayed under the total.

Toronto lost three of last four games (under 3-1); they scored 10+ runs in last three runs, total of six runs in last four losses. Atlanta lost three of last four games, with five of its last six going over. Braves are 7-3 in last ten games vs Toronto, with four of last five going over.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NHL Preview: Flames (45-30) at Canucks (48-29)

Date: April 17, 2015 10:00 PM EDT

The Calgary Flames took home-ice advantage from Vancouver with a Game 1 win, though it's been awfully hard to call playing at the Rogers Centre in recent postseasons a benefit for the Canucks.

Before heading to Calgary, Vancouver will try to even the first-round Western Conference series Friday night and end a seven-game home losing streak in the playoffs.

The Flames' 2-1 win Wednesday came after entering the third period down a goal. David Jones evened things, then Kris Russell scored with 30 seconds left. The dramatics might not come as a surprise to the Flames, who outscored opponents 99-68 in the third period during the regular season and were tied with Tampa Bay for the most goals in the final 20 minutes.

They were outscored 70-54 in the first and held a 75-71 advantage in the second.

"We just find another gear in the third," Jones told the team's official website. "I'm not sure what it is; we just kind of buckle down. I think because we've done it so much this year we kind of get the ball rolling and it's just got better and better all season."

Vancouver wasn't a bad third-period team, outscoring opponents 84-75, and coach Willie Desjardins thinks his team can turn the Flames' late-game confidence around on them.

"I don't think they looked fresher," Desjardins told the team's official website. "I thought we opened up when we didn't need to and they got a couple outnumbered rushes because of that, and that's where they looked like they were quicker. They are a team that does think they are going to do well in the third, and we have to capitalize on that."

Few teams have succeeded in doing so lately. Since the beginning of March, Calgary is 13-5-3 while scoring 3.19 goals per game.

"Those guys are unbelievable," said Flames coach Bob Hartley, who has the team in the playoffs for the first time in six seasons. "They always find a way."

The Canucks are only finding ways to pile up postseason defeats. Overall, it was Vancouver's sixth straight playoff loss and 11th in 12 games. It has been outscored 50-21 while losing 13 of 15 and has nine in its seven consecutive home postseason losses, but the team is choosing to look at things on a smaller scale.

"We just have to learn from the mistakes we made tonight and move on," Alexandre Burrows said. "We'll learn from it and get ready for Game 2. We did some good things too. They're a good team over there and they made some plays."

The Canucks, who finished four points ahead of Calgary for second place in the Pacific Division, have now dropped three straight in the series after winning nine in a row.

The five games this season include a 10-all overall score, and while Vancouver has dropped three straight by a goal each, it has been flawless on the penalty kill (12 for 12). Over the 9-3-0 run, the Canucks have gone 35 of 36 on the kill as well as 14 for 14 in five games this month.

Calgary's Jonas Hiller won his fourth straight game and is 6-1-0 with a .946 save percentage in his last eight, though Game 1 was his first win in his last five postseason starts. In Vancouver, he's gone 4-0-2 with a .929 save percentage as a starter since his last regulation loss on March 24, 2010.

Eddie Lack, who started over Ryan Miller, has now lost two of his three starts against the Flames this season despite a .947 save percentage.

Calgary center Sean Monahan is without a point in six career games in Vancouver.

Canucks winger Radim Vrbata hasn't scored in a season-high seven games and has been limited to an assist in his last nine playoff contests.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NHL Game of the Day: Thursday's NHL Playoff matchups

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers (-175, 5)

The New York Rangers sure hope that history repeats itself, since the previous time that they claimed the Presidents' Trophy after setting a franchise high in both wins and points resulted in a Stanley Cup title. Admittedly that was 1994, but the Rangers can take the next step in duplicating that feat when they open their Eastern Conference first-round series against the Pittsburgh Penguins at Madison Square Garden on Thursday.

"We understand now it's a little different animal to prepare," captain Ryan McDonagh told the New York Daily News. "We realize you've got to raise your level. We don't need to flip the switch on the style that we play." The clash is a rematch of last year's second-round series, which saw New York overcome a 3-1 deficit to emerge victorious in seven games. The Rangers also had little difficulty with their Metropolitan Division rivals this season, recording a 3-0-1 mark while outscoring the Penguins by a 16-7 margin. Pittsburgh extended its consecutive playoff streak to nine seasons after securing a berth on the last day of the campaign, posting a 2-0 victory over woe-begotten Buffalo for just its fourth win in 15 outings (4-9-2).

TRENDS:

*Penguins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
*Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
*Under is 6-0-1 in Penguins last 7 games following a win.
*Over is 9-2-2 in Rangers last 13 overall.


Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning (-170, 5.5)

The Tampa Bay Lightning recorded franchise bests in both wins and points this season, but the agonizing memory of last season's first-round sweep is a strong enough reason not to rest on their laurels. With a club-best 32-8-1 mark at home, the Lightning look to get off on the right foot when they open their Eastern Conference first-round series against the visiting Detroit Red Wings on Thursday.

Steven Stamkos scored four of his team-leading 43 goals this season against the Red Wings, helping Tampa Bay post a 3-1-0 mark versus its Atlantic Division rival. The vaunted second line of Tyler Johnson (29 goals, 43 assists), Nikita Kucherov (28 goals, 36 assists) and Ondrej Palat (16 goals, team-high 47 assists) amassed 73 goals for the Lightning, who look for a longer stay after being brushed aside by Montreal last year. Detroit is making its 24th consecutive playoff appearance, but enters this postseason on the heels of losing 13 of its final 20 contests (7-10-3). The Red Wings need veteran Pavel Datsyuk (26 goals, 39 assists) to remain both productive and healthy if they wish to subdue the Lightning.

TRENDS:

*Under is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
*Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.


Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues (-145, 5)

The St. Louis Blues will be trying to wipe out the memory of last season's first-round playoff ouster when they host the Minnesota Wild on Thursday in the opener of a best-of-seven postseason series. The Blues wrapped up the Central Division by winning five of their last six, as opposed to a year ago when they dropped their final six and were drummed out of the playoffs by Chicago in six games.

St. Louis faces a division rival for the second straight season but coach Ken Hitchock likes his chances a lot better than he did 12 months ago. “This is the team we want to take on the journey,” Hitchcock said. “We’ll be 100 percent (healthy) going into the playoffs, which is completely different from last year." The Wild used a sensational closing kick to reach the playoffs for the third straight season, going 28-9-3 down the stretch following the acquisition of goaltender Devan Dubnyk. Minnesota was 2-1-1 against the Blues this season but the regulation defeat - 4-2 in the season finale - snapped the Wild's NHL record-tying 12-game road winning streak.

TRENDS:

*Wild are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings.
*Blues are 1-7 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
*Over is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings.
*Under is 10-4-2 in Blues last 16 overall.


Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks (-145, 5)

Winnipeg could be without Mathieu Perreault, who is questionable with a lower-body injury that also forced him to miss the final regular-season contest. "He's getting better," coach Paul Maurice said. "He may play based on how he feels after his skate (on Thursday). I expect him to play sooner rather than later." The 27-year-old center had a strong first season with the Jets, tying his career high of 18 goals while finishing two points shy of his personal-best 43, which he totaled with Anaheim last campaign.

Anaheim may be missing two players as goaltender John Gibson and center Nate Thompson are nursing upper-body injuries. Veteran journeyman Jason LaBarbera would back up Frederik Andersen should Gibson be unable to suit up, while rookie Chris Wagner could fill in for Thompson, who has 22 games of postseason experience from his days with Tampa Bay. Corey Perry led the team with 33 goals, marking the fourth consecutive full season he reached the 30-tally plateau.

TRENDS:

*Over is 10-1-1 in Jets last 12 vs. Pacific.
*Ducks are 25-8 in their last 33 vs. Central.
*Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Anaheim.
*Jets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Offense expected from Canadiens-Senators in Game 2
Justin Hartling

The Montreal Canadiens and Ottawa Senators played some sloppy hockey in Game 1 on Wednesday, but that only helped to continue a trend of these two teams going over. In the past nine contests between the Habs and Sens the teams have a 7-1-1 over/under record.

Those nine contests have seen the Canadiens and the Sens average 3.7 goals per game each. On 12 occasions either the Habs or the Sens tallied four or more goals, 67 percent, in the past nine.

The Canadiens have been going over in the Bell Centre lately, as the past five games in Montreal have a 4-0-1 O/U mark.

The total is currently five for Game 2 Friday.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Two months since Islanders won consecutive games
Justin Hartling

The New York Islanders will look to end a run of inconsistency when they look to take Game 2 against the Washington Capitals Friday. The Isles have not recorded back-to-back wins since Feb. 27, going 0-7 after their victories since then.

The positive for the Islanders during that span has been how close those losses have been, with six being decided by one goal and four L's coming in a shootout.

New York is currently +125 for Game 2 against the Washington Capitals.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$9000 - NW $4,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS 4 YR. OLDS & OLDER LAST START FOR A PURSE OF GREATER THAN $11,000 INELIGBLE PA PREFERENCE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 STARS ABOVE 7/2


# 1 AMERICHI 2/1


# 3 RACING ROCKY 5/1


The consensus here is that STARS ABOVE is the one to beat. This race could be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage speed rating will confirm that. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the entrants he has faced. Many expert selectors will recognize the great speed figure in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this pack. AMERICHI - Should be considered in this race if only for the good speed rating earned in the last affair. Clear-cut driver-conditioner numbers make this standardbred a bang-up choice. Quite possibly will be putting mucho dinero down in this contest. RACING ROCKY - Had one of the most favorable TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the bunch in his last contest. A good idea to use in your wagers. Reason to like this horse as he has in the sulky one of the top drivers in win percentage this last month.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$6600 - N/W 2 PM RACES AE: N/W 3 PM RACES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 ELEVEN MADISON 2/1


# 2 PRIZE DUNN 7/2


# 5 WITHOUT ME AS 7/2


After thorough analysis by the wagering panel, ELEVEN MADISON comes out as the top pick. Have good feelings this one might contend for this one. When the trainer Hochstetler puts Sutton up for the drive competitive things happen. Take a look at the 50 win percent. With this driver-trainer hooking up, bettors often make some green stuff. Return on investment is great with this team. PRIZE DUNN - Could beat this field, just look at the speed rating - 72 - from his last effort. Always terrific driver/conditioner team. 25 percent winners when they combine to do work. WITHOUT ME AS - Recently Brewer has been en fuego, which may give the edge to this gelding in this contest. Had one of the most favorable speed ratings of the field of starters in his last contest. I'd recommend using in your wagers.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 68

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 FIRE KISSES 6/1


# 8 AL'S DREAM 4/1


# 6 ONE GRAND KING 6/1


FIRE KISSES is my choice. His 66 average has this gelding with among the best speed figures here. With a very good 78 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. AL'S DREAM - Recent numbers for the jockey - 16 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 68 - of his last outing. ONE GRAND KING - Should come out very strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. Ran a very solid last race.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 93

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 17 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 8 TWOCUBANBROTHERSU 5/2


# 2 CONDESTABLE 3/1


# 4 FROGGYVILLE 4/1


I've got to go with TWOCUBANBROTHERSU. This gelding has a good win percent in dirt route races. Has been running soundly lately and will most likely be on the front end early on. Has run admirably when racing a dirt route race. CONDESTABLE - Gallardo has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 27 percent rate. With Gallardo uptop him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly in here. FROGGYVILLE - Is hard not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 85 avg - of late. Should be considered - I like the figs from the last contest.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland

Race #8 - Rating = 2
#7 Samiam - Fair odds 7/2
#5 Danza Cavallo - Fair odds 7/2
#6 Bocaiuva - Fair odds 7/2

If the race is run on dirt instead of turf as scheduled, PASS.

#1 Smartfly, #2 Patsy's Holiday, #4 Sistas Stroll and #14 Water Hole all have some chance to succeed as well, but the first two have had a few chances at the level while Sistas Stroll may need a race following 6 months off.

Samiam was scratched out of the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley Stakes on Saturday to run in this much easier NW3X allowance level race and that is a key factor in choosing her slightly over the other two listed contenders. She led late and missed by a half-length under IDENTICAL conditions here at Keeneland last fall, on a course that was wet as this course will be today, then she ran poorly before taking 2 months off. She returned in January and finished 4th and 3rd in minor stakes and now drops to the perfect spot, particularly considering her last effort was better than it looks as she missed 2nd by a head to multiple stakes winner Istanford. Kerwin Clark rode her to her last win and last fall at Keeneland when 2nd and rides today, more reasons to like her chances.

Danza Cavallo made her U.S. debut last November in New York, in the Grade 3 Long Island Handicap, finished 2nd, beaten a neck for the win, then went on the shelf. She's been working great, including a pair of recent turf workouts here and if she picks up where she left off she can win.

Bocaiuva makes her U.S. debut after going 3 for 9 in France, all on turf, including a nose defeat in a Group 3 Stakes, an effort that beats these if repeated. Trainer Delacour won a stakes last week and is 3 for 6 1st or 2nd at the meeting so with Leparoux riding I'm expecting a competitive effort.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #4 - Post: 2:30pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 102

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 DASHING DAVID (IRE) (ML=7/2)
#2 TIGER BOURBON (ML=4/1)


DASHING DAVID (IRE) - In this race here, this thoroughbred has registered the highest speed figure at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Certainly on edge for a good one today. This horse may have too much power on the turf for the rest of the field. Turning for home, he could put these away. Dropping 5 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. TIGER BOURBON - Notched a nice turf rating on April 2nd at Gulfstream. A repeat right here in this race, and this one has a great shot to win. This gelding registered a nice speed rating of 101 in his last affair. That speed figure should be high enough to win this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DREAMING OF DANNY (ML=5/2), #4 PADILLA (ML=3/1), #8 HARD ENOUGH (ML=8/1),

DREAMING OF DANNY - More than enough races at Gulfstream with no trips to the victory podium. Don't feel this questionable contender will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's class figure. PADILLA - The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this racer as a vulnerable contender. HARD ENOUGH - Just don't figure that he is offering enough value at the expected odds.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - DASHING DAVID (IRE) - This mount, posting the top average class figure, figures to give these horses a run for their money.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 DASHING DAVID (IRE) to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Pimlico - Race #3 - Post: 2:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 SUNSHINE KING (ML=5/1)


SUNSHINE KING - This gelding finished well ahead of the 3rd horse on February 1st. Those horses tend to run well next time out. Three consecutive improved speed figures (45-51-55) make this horse a powerful contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MY SON ERNIE (ML=7/5), #3 ZILLIONS (ML=4/1), #10 HAVI'S FIRST DANCE (ML=8/1),

MY SON ERNIE - Hard to recommend any horse with declining speed ratings of 81/72/37. ZILLIONS - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the top end. Likes to land in the top three though. This gelding recorded a rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. HAVI'S FIRST DANCE - Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 SUNSHINE KING on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,850
Messages
13,574,023
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com