FOR ANYONE INTERESTED!

[TAHOEREBEL]

HERE ARE SOME TRENDS TO HELP
ANYONE WHO LIKES TRENDS.

Boston College - 12-4 ATS vs. conference opponents
Syracuse - 2-8 ATS at home off a road loss by 21+ points

Pittsburgh - 7-1 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Rutgers - 6-16 ATS at home off an ATS win

Illinois - 1-5 ATS this season
Michigan - 5-1 ATS at home off an ATS win

Purdue - 5-1 ATS this season
Wisconsin - 4-1 Over vs. Purdue

Temple - 5-1 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of the last 3 games
Miami FL - 1-6 ATS off BB Unders

LSU - 1-5 ATS off a conference loss
South Carolina - 28-14 ATS after playing as a favorite

Mississippi State - 2-8 ATS off a non-conference game
Auburn - 6-1 ATS after allowing 9 or less points

Texas Tech - 5-1 ATS this season
Oklahoma State - 1-6 ATS vs. Texas Tech

East Carolina - 1-5 ATS after playing as a home dog
Army - 5-1 ATS off BB road losses

Marshall - 5-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
Buffalo - 2-8 ATS off 6+ SU losses

Toledo - 8-2 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Central Michigan - 2-8 ATS after allowing 37+ points

Wake Forest - 19-7 ATS away after losing 2 of the last 3 games
Duke - 1-5 ATS at home off a road loss

Baylor - 2-10 ATS in road games
Kansas - 4-1 ATS this season

Georgia - 11-3 ATS away off a SU win
Vanderbilt - 1-7 ATS in October

Alabama - 8-3 Under last eleven lined games
Mississippi - 3-8 ATS vs. Alabama

Florida - 10-1 ATS away after allowing 75 or less rush yards
Arkansas - 1-5 ATS at home after scoring 6 points or less

USC - 7-1 ATS off BB conference wins
Notre Dame - 1-4 ATS this season

Michigan State - 16-4 ATS off a road win
Minnesota - 1-5 ATS at home off a home game

Miami OH - 9-2 ATS away off a conference game
Ball State - 1-7 ATS after playing BB games as a road underdog

Hawaii - 3-11 ATS away off a home conference win
Louisiana Tech - 8-2 ATS off BB games gaining 475+ total yards

Nevada - 8-2 ATS off a non-conference game
Tulsa - 2-9 ATS off a road loss

Navy - 0-6 ATS with a line of -3 to +3
Rice - 15-3 ATS at home in October

Boise State - 13-4 ATS off a conference game
SMU - 1-10 ATS off a road loss

GL EVERYONE!

 

[TheGeneral+]

Thanks TAHOEREBEL.

Good info

 

[kerry]

Just a warning to those that may need it: most of those trends mean absolutely...nothing!

 

[WhosCoaching]

Thanks for the info but I too agree that these trends seem a little too specific without basis for doing so. In addition they all point towards one team.

It looks very much like you're fitting your test to suit your hypothesis and not vice versa. If you look at enough variables you will eventually find one that is statically significant. You can fit a scenario for any team's upcoming matchup that yeilds a 5-0 record ATS and 0-5 record ATS.

Just thought I would point that out.

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

General-gl to you!

kerry- thanks for the warning!

WhosCoaching- there is no hypothesis!

 

[maxdemo]

Tahorebel;
Thanks for the info. I love playing trends and do good by it so dont let them sway your opinion.

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

THANKS maxdemo!
I USUALLY TRY TO STAY AWAY
FROM TRENDS, CAUSE THEY ALWAYS
SEEM TO BITE ME IN THE ASS.

I ONLY POSTED THESE IN CASE
SOMEONE MIGHT FIND THESE HELPFUL.

FWIW MY RECORD IS 4-1-1

I AM PLAYING THESE:

AKRON -5
W. MICH +10
NAVY -3
MICH ST +6 THANKS DR.D!
SOUTHERN CAL -7

THANKS AND GL!

 

[maxdemo]

Looks good to me...
Just watch that Navy line. I live in Houston and know that Rice plays much better in Houston than on the road.

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

THANKS FOR THE INFO I WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT!

 

[DR.DEATH]

BEST OF LUCK THIS WEEK MY FRIEND!

 

[fivedoorsdown]

GOOD LUCK TOMORROW TAHOE

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

THANKS DR.D
IF YOU DO WELL, I DO WELL!

THANKS MY FRIEND!

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

FDD,
THANKS BUDDY, HOW YOU BEEN?

GL TO YOU!

 

[WhosCoaching]

That's my point: I picked one matchup randomly

Temple - 5-1 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of the last 3 games
Miami FL - 1-6 ATS off BB Unders

I did a quick search and found

Miami - 5-0 ATS last 5 vs Temple when line is under 37


I appreciate the posting of this info and I myself will make good use of it. But to readers of this thread who might not know better it might be misleading since in all of your matchups you show a good ATS trend and a bad ATS trend pointing towards picking one way. I just wanted to show that in all these cases I can find an equally significant trend in the other direction especially with the wide range of limitations you have used.

That's why I brought up the idea that setting a hypothesis that you thinkg will specifically apply to your matchup before testing it by looking for a trend. Without doing so I can find data that supports playing each side.

That's all. Goodluck to all.

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

WhosCoaching,

YOUR POINT IS WELL TAKEN.
I DIDN'T POST THESE TRENDS
TO BE MISLEADING.

THAT IS WHY I POSTED
ONLY THE PLAYS I AM
PLAYING. HOPE
THIS CLEARS IT UP.

THANKS AND GL TO YOU MY FRIEND!

 

[Co-Captain]

Aloha T, Thanks for the info. that was mighty kind of you.. Good Luck tommorrow with your plays. Aloha.

 

[TAHOEREBEL]

Co-Captain THANKS MY FRIEND!
GL TO YOU AS WELL!

ADDING A COUPLE!
HOUSTON -5 THANKS ROBERT!
BYU PICK
FLORIDA ST -7.5
MIZZOU +26.5

GL ALL!

 

[maxdemo]

Tahoerebel;
Sorry for the bad call on Rice. Hope you won.