I wouldn't put much weight into comparing the GOY lines with what is going on in week 10. I remember the OU/TCU line being OU -14 and by kickoff it was down to -3 and TCU won outright. So it goes to show you that the lines makers know a lot more about these teams NOW than they did back in June. We know a lot more about FSU now than we did back in June, when everybody thought they were going to be world beaters again. Now they have a dumbass QB going through a sophomore jinx and an offense that can't run the ball. The only thing going for the Crab Stealers this week is Louisville is also overrated.
i only consider it when teams are pretty much what we thought they'd be and fsu hasn't lost a game, as expected, while lville is good but not setting world on fire, as expected. to me this is a giant ass sucker line against all us jackwagons that want to see this group lose
tcu is a hell of a lot better than most expected so the diff in that line was right on much like any GOY lines involving WVU can be tossed out
2014 Big 12 Football Media Preseason Poll
| 1. | Oklahoma (47) | 548 |
| 2. | Baylor (9) | 508 |
| 3. | K-State | 377 |
| 4. | Texas | 376 |
| 5. | Oklahoma State | 312 |
| 6. | Texas Tech | 308 |
| 7. | TCU | 297 |
| 8. | West Virginia | 170 |
| 9. | Iowa State | 121 |
| 10. | Kansas | 63 |
RT...I'm convinced that something came to light with the insiders and linesmakers with this TCU team long before they played OU and everybody knew how good they were. The Frogs basically played nobody before OU, so there was nothing there to really warrant a 10 point drop in the line from the GOY number. We were all sitting around on the Sunday before trying to guess what the line would be for that game, and we all figured it should be around the -10 number give or take a point. When I saw an opening number of -4.5 it automatically scared me off that game. Obviously somebody knew something that we didn't. With Louisville/FSU it's just about the same way. When you see this big of a difference between the GOY and this week's line, you need to either look at the game a little close or lay off of it. There could be a lot more of this internal bullshit going on with this FSU team than we are aware of. On the Louisville side, in their favor they do get back a couple playmakers including Parker, and could potenitally look much different this week. My biggest problem with FSU is they can't run the ball at all against reasonably good defenses. And the Crab Man has only thrown 3 TD passes and had 3 int's along with being sacked 8 times. With Louisville being tough against the run it's going to make it nearly impossible for FSU to pull away in this game unless they get a bunch of turnovers. I'm just curious to see where the public vs the sharps take this line.
Line down to Florida State -4 as of this morning in Vegas. I smell some stench...I'm wondering if the same referees that worked the Indy/Pitt and GB/NO games on Sunday are working this game...If this game is on the up and up Florida State wins by 17 plus but I'm smelling a little shit in the game
As one poster above posted the Louisville offense is pathetic and the Florida State defense should have no problem with them...BUT like I said I'm smelling some stench with this line move...Nothing good from this line move at all
Yours in Winners
BernieV
As one poster above posted the Louisville offense is pathetic and the Florida State defense should have no problem with them...BUT like I said I'm smelling some stench with this line move...Nothing good from this line move at all
Yours in Winners
BernieV
LOU's run offense hasn't been good, but given the very tough level of pass defenses they've faced their passing game is above average. All these strange theories on this line move are starting to sound like the science versus religion debate, lol. Science has spoken, the line has moved.
Nothing fishy here, line was off. Stats say line should be FSU -3 so not surprising to see it heading there. Louisville defensive stats are insane, they rate as the #1 Pass & Run D by my numbers. FSU has their hands full Thursday night in front of what will easily be the most hostile crowd they've seen this season.
No way FSU should be more than a 3 pt chalk, road game vs a good defensive team with a one dimensional offense, no bueno. This was the game that I was most worried about when the schedules came out, and that has not changed. Mix in the non-stop off the field fuck-ups and the Noles are ripe for the picking. If they are fortunate enough to win, it will be close. They are not forcing TO's or getting sacks, which doesn't bold well vs. a Petrino offense that is getting some guys back.
