First time to post picks (0-0-0, 0.0 units)

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Hello all,

I've been to many forums over the years and have enjoyed this one and ultimately found this one to be the most helpful.

Long time reader, but first time for me to actually post picks (even though I've been gambling for about 8 years now).

Two early picks for week 2:

Texas -33.5 vs Wyoming, 1.5 units
USC -7 vs Ohio State, 1.5 units

Will add more as the week progresses. Anyone agree or disagree with these two?
 

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I like the Texas pick, im staying away from that USC Ohio St. game just because of the young USC quarterback and this is a huge game early. Also Ohio State got off to a slow start on the season almost loosing to Navy so you can bet that Tressel is going to be on their shit this week, and they are not going to give up without a fight. But I havent looked at a lot of stats for either game, just opinions from me.
 

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Added pick...

One more to add...

Auburn -14 vs Mississippi State 1 unit

I don't think MSU will be able to keep it close with Auburn. MSU plays a lot of youngsters and is very low on WR numbers while Mullen is trying to implement his spread. The difference in talent between what MSU saw last week (Jackson State) and this week is immeasurable. Jackson State is one of the worst football teams in the nation (including junior colleges and high profile high-school teams).

If MSU runs remotely the same offense as I saw last week, I think Auburn will eat them alive. A lot of the plays were just snapping it back to the QB in shotgun and then he would take off running. I don't think that will work at Auburn.

After reading that, a little surprised I'm only putting 1 unit on it. Might add to it later as we get closer to the weekend and measure it against my other picks.

Hate to have 3 favorites on the board right now but I try not to let that influence my picks in the long run. Leaning towards Clemson at +5.5 tomorrow anyway.

Any Auburn and MSU fans out there debating this one? (I know bookiebanger and I have already discussed this in a different thread.)
 

your worst nightmare
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Agree 100% that the Longhorns can name the score in their upcoming game vs. Wyoming. :toast:

I read the following analysis proffered by Phil Steele in this week's PS:

Texas 41 WYOMING 6 [FONT=Helvetica-Narrow,Helvetica-Narrow][FONT=Helvetica-Narrow,Helvetica-Narrow]- Not quite sure how WY with a 30,000 seat stadium landed a HG with UT but the Horns figure to be well represented here in what should be the biggest gm ever in Laramie. HC Christensen was the OC at Mizzou and LY his Tigers scored 31 at Tex (UT all’d 16 ppg at home). Of course, he does not have QB Daniel, WR Maclin or TE Coffman and in that gm Missouri had 3 pts at the half and most of their points came with the game long over. Wyoming is 5-2 SU hosting a current BCS team upsetting Virginia (‘07) and Ole Miss (‘04). Wyoming’s edges are that Texas rarely plays in altitude or in front of this size of a crowd and they have a legitimate revenge game on deck vs TTech who dealt them their only loss in ‘08. Only question here is will the Horns get backdoored (LW up 59-13 before last TD spoiled cover) as they have huge edges across the board (off #3-114, def #4-61 and ST #7-116).[/FONT]
[/FONT]

Also, I was shocked to see how close Weber State got to Wyoming.

Wyoming beat them 28-24 at their house last weekend! :ohno:

Here's the complete boxscore of the Weber State-Wyoming game:


Team Statistics (Final)


Weber State vs Wyoming (Sep 05, 2009 at Laramie, Wyo.)


WSU WY


FIRST DOWNS

19 23
R u s h i n g 4 11
P a s s i n g 14 9
P e n a l t y 1 3

NET YARDS RUSHING


89 246
Rushing Attempts 21 48
Average Per Rush 4.2 5.1
Rushing Touchdowns 0 3
Yards Gained Rushing 119 263
Yards Lost Rushing 30 17

NET YARDS PASSING


322 188
Completions/Attempts/Int 32-51-5 16-32-0
Average Per Attempt 6.3 5.9
Average Per Completion 10.1 11.8
Passing Touchdowns 3 0

TOTAL OFFENSE YARDS


411 434

Total offense plays 72 80
Average Gain Per Play 5.7 5.4
Fumbles: Number-Lost 3-0 2-1
Penalties: Number-Yards 11-62 5-50


PUNTS-YARDS 6-208 6-265
Average Yards Per Punt 34.7 44.2
Net Yards Per Punt 29.0 34.7
Inside 20 1 3
50+ Yards 1 2
T o u c h b a c k s 1 1
Fair catch 1 0


Punt returns: Number-Yards-TD 3-37-0 1-14-0
Average Per Return 12.3 14.0


Kickoff returns: Number-Yds-TD 4-113-0 1-20-0
Average Per Return 28.2 20.0


Interceptions: Number-Yds-TD 0-0-0 5-11-0


Fumble Returns: Number-Yds-TD 0-0-0 0-0-0



Possession Time 29:57 30:03


Third-Down Conversions 7 of 19 3 of 15


Fourth-Down Conversions 0 of 0 1 of 2


Red-Zone Scores-Chances 2-3 5-6


Sacks By: Number-Yards 2-8 2-10


PAT Kicks 2-2 2-3


Field Goals 0-1 3-3



Seeing these complete stats really tells you how God aweful Wyoming is.

Wyoming only converted 3 out 15 3rd down attempts against lowly Weber State AT HOME?!?!?!?!

If Weber State hadn't tossed 5 INTs, who knows? Maybe they would have even won?!?!?!

This is the type of game QB Colt McCoy will be salivating at. His Heisman campaign continues with a dominant effort I predict.

If Weber State can pass for 322 yards and 3 TDs against the Cowboys, imagine what McCoy will do! :scared1:

 

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Updated card...

1-0, +1 unit.

Always good to start the week with a win.

Lot more research to do before deciding on additional picks.
 

"it's a lock"
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Agree 100% that the Longhorns can name the score in their upcoming game vs. Wyoming. :toast:

I read the following analysis proffered by Phil Steele in this week's PS:

Texas 41 WYOMING 6 [FONT=Helvetica-Narrow,Helvetica-Narrow][FONT=Helvetica-Narrow,Helvetica-Narrow]- Not quite sure how WY with a 30,000 seat stadium landed a HG with UT but the Horns figure to be well represented here in what should be the biggest gm ever in Laramie. HC Christensen was the OC at Mizzou and LY his Tigers scored 31 at Tex (UT all’d 16 ppg at home). Of course, he does not have QB Daniel, WR Maclin or TE Coffman and in that gm Missouri had 3 pts at the half and most of their points came with the game long over. Wyoming is 5-2 SU hosting a current BCS team upsetting Virginia (‘07) and Ole Miss (‘04). Wyoming’s edges are that Texas rarely plays in altitude or in front of this size of a crowd and they have a legitimate revenge game on deck vs TTech who dealt them their only loss in ‘08. Only question here is will the Horns get backdoored (LW up 59-13 before last TD spoiled cover) as they have huge edges across the board (off #3-114, def #4-61 and ST #7-116).[/FONT]
[/FONT]

Also, I was shocked to see how close Weber State got to Wyoming.

Wyoming beat them 28-24 at their house last weekend! :ohno:

Here's the complete boxscore of the Weber State-Wyoming game:


Team Statistics (Final)


Weber State vs Wyoming (Sep 05, 2009 at Laramie, Wyo.)


WSU WY


FIRST DOWNS

19 23

R u s h i n g 4 11
P a s s i n g 14 9
P e n a l t y 1 3



NET YARDS RUSHING




89 246

Rushing Attempts 21 48
Average Per Rush 4.2 5.1
Rushing Touchdowns 0 3
Yards Gained Rushing 119 263
Yards Lost Rushing 30 17



NET YARDS PASSING




322 188

Completions/Attempts/Int 32-51-5 16-32-0
Average Per Attempt 6.3 5.9
Average Per Completion 10.1 11.8
Passing Touchdowns 3 0



TOTAL OFFENSE YARDS




411 434

Total offense plays 72 80
Average Gain Per Play 5.7 5.4
Fumbles: Number-Lost 3-0 2-1
Penalties: Number-Yards 11-62 5-50



PUNTS-YARDS 6-208 6-265
Average Yards Per Punt 34.7 44.2
Net Yards Per Punt 29.0 34.7
Inside 20 1 3
50+ Yards 1 2
T o u c h b a c k s 1 1
Fair catch 1 0


Punt returns: Number-Yards-TD 3-37-0 1-14-0
Average Per Return 12.3 14.0


Kickoff returns: Number-Yds-TD 4-113-0 1-20-0
Average Per Return 28.2 20.0


Interceptions: Number-Yds-TD 0-0-0 5-11-0


Fumble Returns: Number-Yds-TD 0-0-0 0-0-0



Possession Time 29:57 30:03


Third-Down Conversions 7 of 19 3 of 15


Fourth-Down Conversions 0 of 0 1 of 2


Red-Zone Scores-Chances 2-3 5-6


Sacks By: Number-Yards 2-8 2-10


PAT Kicks 2-2 2-3


Field Goals 0-1 3-3


Seeing these complete stats really tells you how God aweful Wyoming is.​

Wyoming only converted 3 out 15 3rd down attempts against lowly Weber State AT HOME?!?!?!?!

If Weber State hadn't tossed 5 INTs, who knows? Maybe they would have even won?!?!?!​

This is the type of game QB Colt McCoy will be salivating at. His Heisman campaign continues with a dominant effort I predict.​

If Weber State can pass for 322 yards and 3 TDs against the Cowboys, imagine what McCoy will do! :scared1:​





Wow you got me really wanting to ride texas hard this weekend haha
 

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Updated card...

Clemson +5 at GA Tech, 1 unit, WINNER

USC -7 at Ohio State, 1.5 units (posted earlier)
Texas -33.5 at Wyoming, 1.5 units (posted earlier)
Auburn -14 vs MSU, 1 unit (posted earlier)

Added picks...
UNC -4 at UConn, 1 unit
Florida -36.5 vs Troy, 1 unit
Notre Dame -3 at Michigan, 1 unit
BYU -18 at Tulane, 1 unit
TX Tech -28 vs Rice, 1 unit
Ohio -2.5 at North TX, 1 unit
S. Miss -14 vs C. Fla., 1 unit

Doubtful that I add anymore picks but I will likely add a unit or two to certain picks
 

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Poor week overall...

Ended up 6-5 and down a total of 0.6 units.

I'm going to use the same excuse as I always do (TOO MANY GAMES PLAYED).

It's hard but I really need to stick to about 5 games total.

Any other game should be more of an action bet and only for .25 or .5 units.

Luckily, I followed ACE Sunday and have plenty to play with later this week.

Hopefully, we'll all get them this week.
 

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