FIRST & SECOND -TOP BOWL PLAY FOR TUESDAY!

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Aloha Gang , and sorry for being so late. More games to cap and more information to back and forth so, please bare with me and my shorter writeups with less information than I like to give. But under the time constraits, I will just hit on some situational advantages I see as important. Lets get to this Bad Boy !

First my play is to take the Texas Tech -12 for 4 Unit Play. Here are some reasons why. (WINNER)

First I know that Texas Techs Def sucks and they have not stopped anyone this year. But, and this a big but to me, is the fact that they have a Def Coord. on the staff by the name of Greg McMackin. Well, unknown to many is that this coach has coach here in Hawaii, and in his time here in Hawaii under first year coach June Jones he helped the Warrior Def to a 8-4 record then on to beating Oregon State in the Aloha Bowl. This from taking a team that went 0-12 the previous year. This was the biggest turnaround in NCAA history and it was all due to the DEFENSE.

I have to believe that Coach McMackin and his experience in the WAC and also against teams like Air Force, who runs the same type of Offense, will know how to prepare for the Navy offense. He also I am sure has a bunch load of advisors to help with this game plan, as he has many affiliations with those coachs like Jones who has an unique way of coaching football.

Next, I totally respect Coach Paul Johnson as again, most arent aware of but he also coach here in Hawaii, under Bob Wagner and helped Hawaii to win the WAC and go on to defeat ILL in the Holiday Bowl. So I have nothing but respect for him as well.

But in this game, it is not about the run and the pass. To me, when I look at this game, it makes me think , its how they run and how they pass. First TT offense is not a typical Off with a good passing game. No this is a unique passing off period. This off is very similar to that of Coach Jones and Hawaii. Hmmm, I wonder is that they reason for them having the #1 Off and Hawaii #3 Off in the land. Well, probably, but this reason is why I also like TT and this pass off. They can simply score, and score, and score. Even if they make a mistake, they can come back from it. And that is something that Navy cant afford to do, make any mistakes. As we all know no matter how hard you try , mistakes and turnovers do happens.

Next, BJ Symon homecoming and audition for the NFL, big motivation for him to go out a big winner.

Lastly, it will be easier to stop Navy and its QB Candeto, then it will be to stop the TT Off. In games where Navy lost , QB Candeto rushed for only 55 yards. This to me is another example of where , if he goes down , so does the team. Just like as I called it last night , take out Smoker and make him less effective, and the team will follow. I have to think that the Def coordinator for TT Coach McMackin will have a good plan to stop Candeto. He has the experience , he has the influences at his disposal to call upon. It just leads me to think that he is smart enough to use it, and get TT back to prominance with this Bowl win with a big game.

Ok, I know that this short and some of this I couldnt fully back my feeling, but I feel good about my selection here. And remember, I know that who has the run advantage to the pass , in bowl games win by a 79%ats. But still, they were mostly based on teams unlike these two, in that these two run very different and unique styles of Off. But, the advantage and different style of Off is overwhelmingly with TT and their high flying, wide open, quick scoring, spread off. Still, I see the defense of TT being the unsung heroes in this game by slowing not stopping the Off of Navy, enough for us to get the cover. Again take TT -12 ov Navy. GL to all and lets get this Bad Boy. Aloha CC.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on December 30, 2003 at 08:55 PM.]
 

Some have Luck, Some have Brains, I have Both!
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Love the Play, also on Texas Tech and just picked it up for -10' Can't see Navy keeping up with them.

GL

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Hi Captain,

I got Tech at 12 to...altought it is down to 10 1//2.

Good luck GO RED RAIDERS
 

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Aloha Guys , great to hear you with me. GL to us and good luck to you folks. Aloha CC,
 

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Aloha Guys , great to hear you with me. GL to us and good luck to you folks. Aloha CC,.
 

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hit big on TT and the under at 74. CC made me feel better about my picks/thanks man and good luck!!!
Cheers
 

Some have Luck, Some have Brains, I have Both!
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Picked it up at 10 right before Kickoff. Also bet a little on the Under 72. Don't see Navy doing much of anything and don't think this will be the shootout as advertised. Tech rolls!!!

GL

Geek
 

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guru and Geek, the under I feel is an excellent call. Many people arent aware of it because they only see the scores that TT puts up or the fact that they have a bad defense. I look at stats alittle, but I do not let that make my decision. TT is one team that like to run ball control even if it may not seem, it is true, look at the first series. So you guys are sharp and on the right side. Aloha CC
 

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Good luck, man. I'm with you big on TT, also made a last minute (unposted) play on the under. So far no one can score. Strangest game.
 

Some have Luck, Some have Brains, I have Both!
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Yea, wishin I'd put a little more on that Under!!!! Need Tech to snap out of it.

GL

Geek
 

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OK, so far my call on the TT def and Coach McMackin is doing a good job slowing the Navy offense down. Keep it up coach.
 

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OK gang, no time for writeup, because just to many info waiting for, so here we go with my selection.


-Because I couldnt find reliable source to tell me about the Wash St QB and his % of his injury , I had to go with healthier team who is healthy'

4 Unit Play on:


Texas -9 (Big Dissapointment Again!)


Gl to all and Aloha CC.

[This message was edited by Co-Captain on December 31, 2003 at 03:36 AM.]
 

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Defense was the KEY. Thankyou Coach McMackin for doing a great job. Well, gang that is just an example of how important information is. I almost forgot about Coach McMackin and his time here at Hawaii. He is a very good Defensive mind and I wish he was still here at Hawaii, but I am still happy that he still got it done. For those who knew this information , you are very sharp. Congrats.
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GL to everyone on Texas and the over. Texas has too many athletes at the skill positions. Lets hope they aren't afraid to keep scoring. The Holiday Bowl is always good for 80 points!!!
 

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