FIRST Round WAGERLINE CONSENSUS REPORT

[Fishhead]

<TABLE class=mbt cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width=518 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>737</TD><TD>Winthrop</TD><TD>175</TD><TD>27.05%</TD><TD>+13</TD><TD>Gonzaga</TD><TD>472</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>72.95%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>727</TD><TD>Ala Birmingham</TD><TD>218</TD><TD>30.62%</TD><TD>+3</TD><TD>Lsu</TD><TD>494</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>69.38%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>729</TD><TD>Utah St</TD><TD>224</TD><TD>32.65%</TD><TD>+5.5</TD><TD>Arizona</TD><TD>462</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>67.35%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>715</TD><TD>Fair Dickinson</TD><TD>216</TD><TD>35.82%</TD><TD>+27</TD><TD>Illinois</TD><TD>387</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>64.18%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>707</TD><TD>Tennessee Chat</TD><TD>240</TD><TD>36.47%</TD><TD>+18</TD><TD>Wake Forest</TD><TD>418</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>63.53%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>713</TD><TD>Pennsylvania</TD><TD>278</TD><TD>38.40%</TD><TD>+6.5</TD><TD>Boston College</TD><TD>446</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>61.60%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>735</TD><TD>Ucla</TD><TD>268</TD><TD>38.45%</TD><TD>+3.5</TD><TD>Texas Tech</TD><TD>429</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>61.55%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>719</TD><TD>Eastern Ky</TD><TD>266</TD><TD>41.96%</TD><TD>+16.5</TD><TD>Kentucky</TD><TD>368</TD><TD>58.04%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>709</TD><TD>Creighton</TD><TD>317</TD><TD>42.15%</TD><TD>+2.5</TD><TD>West Virginia</TD><TD>435</TD><TD>57.85%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>723</TD><TD>Montana</TD><TD>260</TD><TD>42.69%</TD><TD>+20</TD><TD>Washington</TD><TD>349</TD><TD>57.31%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>711</TD><TD>Wisc Milwaukee</TD><TD>339</TD><TD>44.96%</TD><TD>+5.5</TD><TD>Alabama</TD><TD>415</TD><TD>55.04%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>731</TD><TD>Texas El Paso</TD><TD>325</TD><TD>46.03%</TD><TD>+3</TD><TD>Utah</TD><TD>381</TD><TD>53.97%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>733</TD><TD>Niagara</TD><TD>316</TD><TD>47.52%</TD><TD>+12.5</TD><TD>Oklahoma</TD><TD>349</TD><TD>52.48%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>721</TD><TD>Iowa</TD><TD>352</TD><TD>48.35%</TD><TD>+3</TD><TD>Cincinnati</TD><TD>376</TD><TD>51.65%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>725</TD><TD>Pittsburgh</TD><TD>367</TD><TD>50.76%</TD><TD>-3.5</TD><TD>Pacific</TD><TD>356</TD><TD>49.24%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>717</TD><TD>Nevada</TD><TD>393</TD><TD>54.21%</TD><TD>+1</TD><TD>Texas</TD><TD>332</TD><TD>45.79%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>739</TD><TD>Arizona St</TD><TD>172</TD><TD>57.33%</TD><TD>+2</TD><TD>Nev Las Vegas</TD><TD>128</TD><TD>42.67%</TD><TD>Detail</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Fishhead]

NOTICE THE LEAN TOWARDS ALL THE FAVORITES.


I NEVER NEVER NEVER wager on a favorite in the tournament that is more than -2

Much like in the NFL where I NEVER lay over -3


Not saying that you CANNOT bet large favorites(and favs in general) and win consistantly, just giving you my personal disciplinary action of attacking and grinding out a profit.

If nothing else, it should generate food for thought.

Please note, MANY squares wager on the NFL and the BIG DANCE.............so much so that it overtakes the wiseguy action on the books.

Take care,
FISH
UNDERDOG advocate

 

[WorldNumberOne]

fish,

what books are they drawing this info from ?

or i guess , where do these percentages come from ?

 

[Fishhead]

fish,

what books are they drawing this info from ?

or i guess , where do these percentages come from ?

Not from books, it is generated by individuals contest selections at Wagerline.

FISH

 

[D2bets]

It's not from any books. It's merely an opinion site linked to Covers. It does not say anything about where the real money is. I think it's close to worthless really.

 

[Fishhead]

It's not from any books. It's merely an opinion site linked to Covers. It does not say anything about where the real money is. I think it's close to worthless really.

D2-
Have followed Wagerline for a long long time, maybe not for you, but I have found it to be a very valuable tool.

There numbers and percentages on the high and low end are an excellent source of seeing where the SQUARE money is going.

It is best during the football season.

---FISH---

 

[Kiss1]

NOTICE THE LEAN TOWARDS ALL THE FAVORITES.


I NEVER NEVER NEVER wager on a favorite in the tournament that is more than -2

Much like in the NFL where I NEVER lay over -3

I'm looking forward to following your documented track record in the section set up for tracking.

If you're going to "talk the talk" your words will carry much more meaning when you "walk the walk."

Please don't take this as a personal attack, it's not, after all you do claim to be a professional gambler.

Contest picks are much differant than "tracking" a record.

Good luck.

-K1

:toast:

 

[aceduecetrey]

How about the public betting a 158 to go under?

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top align=left><CENTER>Totals (Over/Under)</CENTER><TABLE class=mbt cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width=518 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#000000><TD>Date</TD><TD>Rot</TD><TD>Away</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Home</TD><TD>Over</TD><TD>Pct</TD><TD>Under</TD><TD>Pct</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>733</TD><TD>Niagara</TD><TD>157.5</TD><TD>Oklahoma</TD><TD>143</TD><TD>38.03%</TD><TD>233</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>61.97%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>727</TD><TD>Ala Birmingham</TD><TD>151.5</TD><TD>Lsu</TD><TD>145</TD><TD>41.08%</TD><TD>208</TD><TD>58.92%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>721</TD><TD>Iowa</TD><TD>138.5</TD><TD>Cincinnati</TD><TD>146</TD><TD>42.69%</TD><TD>196</TD><TD>57.31%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>711</TD><TD>Wisc Milwaukee</TD><TD>141</TD><TD>Alabama</TD><TD>175</TD><TD>45.45%</TD><TD>210</TD><TD>54.55%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>723</TD><TD>Montana</TD><TD>157</TD><TD>Washington</TD><TD>174</TD><TD>47.93%</TD><TD>189</TD><TD>52.07%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>735</TD><TD>Ucla</TD><TD>145</TD><TD>Texas Tech</TD><TD>165</TD><TD>50.15%</TD><TD>164</TD><TD>49.85%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>739</TD><TD>Arizona St</TD><TD>153</TD><TD>Nev Las Vegas</TD><TD>103</TD><TD>50.74%</TD><TD>100</TD><TD>49.26%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>707</TD><TD>Tennessee Chat</TD><TD>155</TD><TD>Wake Forest</TD><TD>202</TD><TD>51.14%</TD><TD>193</TD><TD>48.86%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>709</TD><TD>Creighton</TD><TD>134</TD><TD>West Virginia</TD><TD>202</TD><TD>52.33%</TD><TD>184</TD><TD>47.67%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>725</TD><TD>Pittsburgh</TD><TD>130.5</TD><TD>Pacific</TD><TD>197</TD><TD>53.53%</TD><TD>171</TD><TD>46.47%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>713</TD><TD>Pennsylvania</TD><TD>126.5</TD><TD>Boston College</TD><TD>208</TD><TD>56.06%</TD><TD>163</TD><TD>43.94%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>719</TD><TD>Eastern Ky</TD><TD>134</TD><TD>Kentucky</TD><TD>203</TD><TD>57.02%</TD><TD>153</TD><TD>42.98%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>731</TD><TD>Texas El Paso</TD><TD>129</TD><TD>Utah</TD><TD>212</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>59.38%</TD><TD>145</TD><TD>40.62%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>737</TD><TD>Winthrop</TD><TD>138</TD><TD>Gonzaga</TD><TD>193</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>59.38%</TD><TD>132</TD><TD>40.62%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#ffffff><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>717</TD><TD>Nevada</TD><TD>134</TD><TD>Texas</TD><TD>224</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>61.54%</TD><TD>140</TD><TD>38.46%</TD><TD>Detail</TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD>3/17/2005</TD><TD>729</TD><TD>Utah St</TD><TD>139</TD><TD>Arizona</TD><TD>210</TD><TD bgColor=#ccffcc>61.76%</TD><TD>130</TD><TD>38.24%</TD><TD>Detail</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


<TABLE class=mbt cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="98%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left colSpan=3>

Consensus Tracker Consensus picks over 59% are highlighted in green. "Green" picks are entered into the Wagerline database and tracked, just like your picks are. Click below to see how they are doing!






</TD><TR><TD align=middle>All Players</TD><TD align=middle>Top 10%</TD><TD align=middle>Team Experts</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

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[Fishhead]

Kiss-

Getting the best number on 90% of the games, staying disciplined and following the above examples on dogs or small favorites is a proven path to success that will give positive expectations over years of wagering.

To me, tracking plays means very little as compared to others.

99% of gamblers will be between 48-52% ATS lifetime if tracked randomly.

For those playing 90% live dogs, they will be around 51-53% almost automatically, which is somewhere where I would fit in.

Add another 1-3% from line shopping and you will have basically what I am..............a 53-56% lifetime handicapper.............which is a very good %, especially combining this with REDUCED VIG AND PROPER MONEY MANAGEMENT.

THIS REALLY SHOULD BE VERY EASILY UNDERSTOOD, ESPECIALLY A MAN OF HIGHER INTELLIGENCE SUCH AS YOURSELF.

---FISH---

 

[Kiss1]

Kiss-

To me, tracking plays means very little as compared to others.

If you're going to "talk the talk" then prove you can "walk the walk."

You don't need a PHD to understand where I'm coming from.

If you are "as YOU claim" to be a "professional gambler" it should be easy to show the forum how a pro makes a profit from sports gambling.

You talk a great game fish and it's understandable from the years of experience you have from working in sports books.

Can you track a long term documented winning record ?

K1 thinks not.

That doesn't make you a bad guy and Kiss1 STILL loves you but I really think you pay the rent with the money you get paid from being a Mod not with the alleged profit you earn from sports betting.

This is normally the spot where you ask ....

Where is your documented record of success ?

Well, it's verifiable on Usenet

Documented at 167-123 +43.01 units in 2004 MLB (One Unit Standard)
Documented at 70-52 +12.80 units in 2004 NFL Regular Season ( One Unit Standard)

Additionally ....

Find a post where I claim to be an expert at ANYTHING

Best of luck fish and you usually offer great information. I'm still waiting for the information about how being a Renter is more financially beneficial than being an Owner .....

Sounds like another "fish tale"

arty:

-K1

 

[Fishhead]

Just provided you with all the details, do not know what more you need to know.

KISS1

There are probably 100+ people that know me on this forum that have known me more so than just a casual aquiatance.........and for many many years.

I do not think I would be spilling BS on the forum without them calling me out and quite frankly they would vogue for me on what I do if I asked them to.

The most important factor to me on this forum is to attempt to spill a little gambling education that can help somebody profit in the long run. I have been doing this for far more years than most and, as when I started out many years ago, was ALL ears to many experienced gamblers...........and still am to this day.

To know me and know what I do gambling wise for a living would take a LONG sitdown over a few beers to explain...........and probably more than one sitting since I am currently on a limited per day beer wagon.

---FISH---
Kiss personal advisor

 

[Kiss1]

Just provided you with all the details, do not know what more you need to know.

You said it all fish, I don't need to know anything else.

Best of Luck !

-K1

 

[Fishhead]

You said it all fish, I don't need to know anything else.

Best of Luck !

-K1

Always happy to educate!

Enjoy,
---FISH---

 

[Kiss1]

Always happy to educate!

Enjoy,
---FISH---

So am I fishy ....

enough said

 

[UWinSports]

Fishead post plays??

No wont happen. He would immediately lose all credibility.

 

[Fishhead]

Have provided MANY plays........at the best number on this forum over the years.

Probably in the 53-57% range, which is my norm............if one got the best number on the games as I did. Again, following somebodys plays blindly without shopping for the best line is a street that will get you very little, if anywhere.

---FISH---
Grinder

PS-- Posted IOWA +4 -108(skybook) and +3.5 in the CBB forum yesterday for todays game.