Fins down to 3.5, any1 know why....

Search

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
Line opened up at 7.

It was 6 yesterday at my book.
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
3.5 at my place
 

sdf

Member
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
14,301
Tokens
sharps and public on Vikings

these "why did the line move" questions happen every week. If there's a big injury or a player missing the game (Cutler) you generally know. Otherwise it's just normal line movement that happens every week in every sport
 

Member
Joined
Feb 2, 2006
Messages
1,594
Tokens
I took Minn yesterday on the ML at +221

and there is no info on sport options for the drop, no steam plays

guess we will find out soon enuff
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
The public is betting the Vikings (72% ATS via VegasInsider)

Public is split on this game

1:00 PMMinnesota
+3.5114650.40%
Miami
-3.5112849.60%


 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
3,595
Tokens
I don't doubt that the public and the sharps are on it -- I think Vegas hung a bad line. But for the line to move this drastically on Sunday morn (it was still 7 in some places yesterday) is extreme. I wonder if some sharp money forced the books to beg for Miami money.

I could try to middle between 3.5 - 7, but doubt I will.
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
It just went to 4 at my book
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
3,595
Tokens
Figuring out consensus is not an exact science. A lot of places count "picks," not bet per se (Covers), which is useful, but less telling. But when I listen to Succi talk about ticket counts at Vegas sportsbooks, he will indicate that ticket counts for, say, New England, is 15-1 -- which tells you more than the 67% consensus number we see (aprox, it varies)) at other places.

Now that you mention it, I would l love a suggestion for a solid place to examine where public money is. I use Oddshark and Covers, but I think they tell less than they should.
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
Figuring out consensus is not an exact science. A lot of places count "picks," not bet per se (Covers), which is useful, but less telling. But when I listen to Succi talk about ticket counts at Vegas sportsbooks, he will indicate that ticket counts for, say, New England, is 15-1 -- which tells you more than the 67% consensus number we see (aprox, it varies)) at other places.

Now that you mention it, I would l love a suggestion for a solid place to examine where public money is. I use Oddshark and Covers, but I think they tell less than they should.

I been using the consensus from covers for 15 years...It`s the only 1 i use.

The best in my opinion.

Good luck!
 

Member
Joined
Dec 18, 2005
Messages
1,185
Tokens
My Local Hangs it and Leaves it , ...

Hmmmm, what does that mean ? - My local posts his line and leaves it! - I have it at 8.5 :think2:
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
91,002
Tokens
Hmmmm, what does that mean ? - My local posts his line and leaves it! - I have it at 8.5 :think2:

wow....I never try to twist someone`s arm...LOL

I would play the Vikings at 8.5...LOL

8.5 is a xmas gift

Good luck!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,901
Messages
13,574,965
Members
100,882
Latest member
topbettor24
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com