figured SEA might be looking ahead a bit, and they were---for a half. And then Portland all over again, passed on a really big 2nd half scalp like a jackass. This Chicago team is so god awful ya just gotta love em, they just piss a team off in the first and must be a bookmakers nightmare on the 2nd half line, note to self. They call a timeout to regroup, then have the ball stolen before they can run a play. The NBA is good to bet on, but this league needs a change, too many bad teams staying that way. And Coach BigChiefTriangle sure looks like a bad, bad mallafalla without Diesel and Kobe. When is the last time that an NBA Finals was half as good as the Superbowl? Maybe the East has a better shot this year.
I dont see anything nearly as good for tomorrow as the joke lines from today. I passed on two totals that won and on DEN but I also passed on Utah, not a big fan of fading SA on the road. I saw at least 7 bets yesterday that I liked better than anything today. 2nd half angles are hitting so I may post some of those plays. But there may be just a few worth taking a shot at on the full games...
SEA: SAC is in a position that I really like to fade. Now SEA has been slapped around by SAC lately so I'm not sure if I'll take it, and the number is not real bad, and if SEA doesnt hit their 3's then you cant count on them for much. But teams that have kick-ass roadtrips generally relax or let down in their first game back home, ex. was Portland in the 2nd most recent Chicago debacle. Yeah, cant wait for the LAC to fly back. The total looks high, but it's not high for these two, I may be looking for an angle on the 2nd half for this total.
PHI/TOR total over 171. looks too low, previous recent meetings have gone over this, and recent performance of both teams leans me to the over here. plus PHI is too overvalued to the under at home, this number should regress ATS.
TOR +4: does PHI ever cover at home? as bad as TOR has looked in some recent road games, PHI looks equally bad favored at home. equally bad teams equals dog moneyline mania. might pass or wait until the 2nd half here.
NY +5: just guessing on the line, but at this number might be worth a shot, and even at +3. NY and INDI seem to play close games, and it's obvious how little of an excuse I need to play a home dog.
GS+10: not sure if Dallas has enough balls to actually get pissed and storm back after losing a home game. I mean, what do they do? D up? There are better bets than GS on the road much of the time, and I would not be surprised to see this one land on 9,10 or 11.
GS under: I think this is a tad high. GS does not typically score as much on the road. Of course with Dallas' defense, any under can be toast after one quarter. And I'm not sure if they still have that Taco Bell promo where everyone gets a free chalupa when they score 100 or more. I dont like chalupas.
DET under: I think I might take this. DET scored 102 vs Miami. That always gets my attention on what I consider 'under' teams. looks a little tight and since I think CLE may win this su, the fouling that takes place
when a home team is down may get me to pass
CLE +6.5: DET has been playing close games. DET will probably start losing some games soon, their overall record and their record in close games recently is just a little too good. would love to have 7.
ORL +10: ORL has been playing well...against shit-house teams. wow, beat Washington by 4, in a game that took a monumental 3rd q home meltdown by the wizzers for them to win. MINN had to come back late against Philly, I guess they were looking ahead to ORL. yeah, right. not sure about taking ORL on the road here.
ORL under: I like this. I will probably take it. I think MINN may try to slow this one down a bit and take adv of their better defense.
I'm tired, I just glanced at the matchups so I may have made some mistakes.
I dont see anything nearly as good for tomorrow as the joke lines from today. I passed on two totals that won and on DEN but I also passed on Utah, not a big fan of fading SA on the road. I saw at least 7 bets yesterday that I liked better than anything today. 2nd half angles are hitting so I may post some of those plays. But there may be just a few worth taking a shot at on the full games...
SEA: SAC is in a position that I really like to fade. Now SEA has been slapped around by SAC lately so I'm not sure if I'll take it, and the number is not real bad, and if SEA doesnt hit their 3's then you cant count on them for much. But teams that have kick-ass roadtrips generally relax or let down in their first game back home, ex. was Portland in the 2nd most recent Chicago debacle. Yeah, cant wait for the LAC to fly back. The total looks high, but it's not high for these two, I may be looking for an angle on the 2nd half for this total.
PHI/TOR total over 171. looks too low, previous recent meetings have gone over this, and recent performance of both teams leans me to the over here. plus PHI is too overvalued to the under at home, this number should regress ATS.
TOR +4: does PHI ever cover at home? as bad as TOR has looked in some recent road games, PHI looks equally bad favored at home. equally bad teams equals dog moneyline mania. might pass or wait until the 2nd half here.
NY +5: just guessing on the line, but at this number might be worth a shot, and even at +3. NY and INDI seem to play close games, and it's obvious how little of an excuse I need to play a home dog.
GS+10: not sure if Dallas has enough balls to actually get pissed and storm back after losing a home game. I mean, what do they do? D up? There are better bets than GS on the road much of the time, and I would not be surprised to see this one land on 9,10 or 11.
GS under: I think this is a tad high. GS does not typically score as much on the road. Of course with Dallas' defense, any under can be toast after one quarter. And I'm not sure if they still have that Taco Bell promo where everyone gets a free chalupa when they score 100 or more. I dont like chalupas.
DET under: I think I might take this. DET scored 102 vs Miami. That always gets my attention on what I consider 'under' teams. looks a little tight and since I think CLE may win this su, the fouling that takes place
when a home team is down may get me to pass
CLE +6.5: DET has been playing close games. DET will probably start losing some games soon, their overall record and their record in close games recently is just a little too good. would love to have 7.
ORL +10: ORL has been playing well...against shit-house teams. wow, beat Washington by 4, in a game that took a monumental 3rd q home meltdown by the wizzers for them to win. MINN had to come back late against Philly, I guess they were looking ahead to ORL. yeah, right. not sure about taking ORL on the road here.
ORL under: I like this. I will probably take it. I think MINN may try to slow this one down a bit and take adv of their better defense.
I'm tired, I just glanced at the matchups so I may have made some mistakes.
i like the over in phili and seattle +11. cleveland however may find it difficult to score against the stones. I just don't like the idea of Lebron having to keep the Cavs in it vs. one of the best defensive teams in the nba. the total is at 180 and I think the safe/solid play is the under in mo-towm..
det- 85 -- clev 77
det- 85 -- clev 77
I dont bet nearly as many totals as sides
If I like a bunch of sides I may just pass on them
scanning the lines the two that looked off were PHI to the over and MINN to the under
on this DET game I would tend to agree with the under, just not a strong opinion.
and with totals this low, the points, 6.5 or 7 in this case do become a bit more valuable
If I like a bunch of sides I may just pass on them
scanning the lines the two that looked off were PHI to the over and MINN to the under
on this DET game I would tend to agree with the under, just not a strong opinion.
and with totals this low, the points, 6.5 or 7 in this case do become a bit more valuable
