Fading the public...

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The Great One
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Oct 13, 2004
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Gents, started to play around with a way to start tracking public fades. I'll start doing this in all sports, but been tracking MLB and CFB the last two weeks and it's been, surprisingly, profitable. This isn't a deep science, and I'm not paying for algorithms, either. It's a matter of look at where the public is betting +65% on a side/total, and playing against that bet. I'm using Wagertalk as the baseline, and I know there is a dlay. The idea is to capture the plays 10' before they kick off and play against the favorite.

This is an experiment, nothing more. Having tracked this in the past, it's always been profitable, but there are ups and downs.

All bets are 1 unit. If the favorite in MLB is -350 and the underdog is +280, I will NOT play the +1.5. Excited to see where this goes

So far 32-25, +18.4 the last five days

Today's games are:

TB/BOS U7
MIA +145
Hou/Tex U8 -105
Tex +240
Minny/NYY U6.5 -115
Ariz/SDP O8 -120
Wash/STL O7.5
CIN/CHC O8 --115
 

The Great One
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...Yes, I did not post these early, I get it, but all lines and percentages are tracked. I'll update tomorrow
 

The Great One
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38-28, +21.5

Lou/UCFU61.5
New Mex17
SFG/CHCO7.5 / -115
Pitt/STLO8 / -120
NYM/MIAO7.5
Wash/PhillyU8.5 / 100
Tex135
Tor/TexU8
Minny-105
LAA/HouU8.5 / -115
Det/KCU8.5 / 100
Det115
 

The Great One
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Oct 13, 2004
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Testing this out for NCAAFB and was 12-5 yesterday. Will post up next Saturday the plays. Week one is always tough, was curious on yesterday.

Doing nothing today with the NFL, but plays that will fall under this are:

Jets +6.5
Jets O44
Atl U44
Cincy -7
Chi O40
Det U48.5
Indy U45.5
Wash O44
Wash -3
LAC U52
LAC -3.5
GB +2
TB O50

I'll give this a two week test to see how this pans out
 

The Great One
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Oct 13, 2004
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CHC/Colo U8.5/100
MIA/Wash U8/-120
Pitt/NYM O7.5
Philly/ATL U7.5
LAD -160
Minny/Cleve U7.5
KC/Bos O9/-120
Sea/LAA U8
 

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