Starting bankroll $75,000
Action plays .............45-42 +$1117.00
Investment...............22-18 + $6182.00
Total........................67-60 +$7299.00
Bankroll now $82,299.00 UP 7.2 UNITS
MINUS SEASON TOTAL BETS 1-1 -$5720.00
Any year you win money is a good year!...up around $1500 plus some rollover money from the books. The record of winner this year means more than the money. Did I kill the books...no...did I bet smart and find the the best edge...yes...few thing I would have done diff///but all and all I can say I Had a winning year that now take me to winning 12 years out of 15! this will tell you now that I look at all the numbers on this superbowl game and cant find a real edge that I want to Invest in. Still in this thread I will help and show you what I got on the game...give you some Candy....show what the public is on....give you anything I can give you to help you make up your mind:toast:....Last year was the same...a few bets no more than a $1000...won the under last year.
just because this is the biggest game of the year...does not mean you have to bet 4 times what your avg bet during the year was...trust me the line are tight and in past Superbowl games the points have not matter.
some number to start
..........THE LINE........MYLINE......MYLINE LAST 8 GAMES....LAST4GMS
PITT..........6.5..............-7............................-6.5...................
ARI....................................................................................-5
BASE ON THE WHOLE YEAR STATS
.............LINEOFF........TIME.....PLT.......T/O
PITT..........+69.............+32.....974........28
ARI............+37.............+19.....839........36
BASE ON THOSE NUMBER THE LINE IS RIGHT
THIS FAV/PITT BY A TD....KEY IS THE TURNOVER...TEAM THAT WINS THE T/O GAME WINS 70% OF THE GAMES
NO EDGE VS THE ATS
BASE ON STATS IN THE LAST 8 GAMES PLAYED
............L/O..................TIME........PLT........T/O
PITT......+57..................+17..........379........12
ARI........-15...................-10..........321........14
ARI GOT BETTER IN THE T/O GAME AND STILL MYLINE BASE ON THE LAST 8 GAME ONLY FAV/PITT BY 6.5.....THE LINE NOW!
BASE ON THE LAST 4 GAMES
............L/O..................TIME........PLT.........T/O
PITT.......+16.................+6...........193..........6
ARI.........+53.................+12..........209..........5
AS YOU SEE ARI HAS WON 3 OUT OF THE 4 STATS
MAKING THEM A 5 POINT FAVOR!!
SO
WHAT THIS IS TELLING YOU...THE ODDS MAKER GOT THIS LINE RIGHT
AT -6.5...BASE ON THE WHOLE YEAR....EVEN WHEN YOU BREAK IT DOWN TO THE LAST 8 GAMES...THERE IS NO EDGE....BUT IF YOU FACTOR IN ONLY THE LAST 4 GAMES..ARI WOULD BE A VALUE OF +11.5 POINTS!!!
DIFF/ROADS GOT THOSE TWO TEAMS INTO THE SUPERBOWL
D-LINE FOR PITT
O-LINE FOR ARI
CAN YOU BASE THIS ON JUST THE LAST 4 GAME????...I CANT
YOU ....AS CAPPER HAVE TO READ THOSE NUMBER AND FACTOR IN EVERYTHING INTO A GAME THAT BOTH TEAM WILL BE OFF FOR TWO WEEKS...VERY HARD GAME TO CAP!!
TIP
WHEN I WAS A BOOK.....THE 20% OF THE BETTOR THAT WAS A HEAD OF ME THAT WOULD ONLY BET $100 TO $200 A GAME...WOULD BET $500 TO $1000 ON THIS ONE GAME..."MONEY MANAGEMENT OUT THE WINDOW"!!
I WILL TELL YOU THIS...WHEN THEY DID THIS...THEY LOST...ONLY ONE YEAR THE PLAYERS BEAT ME IN THE SUPERBOWL...I ALWAYS WON BECAUSE I PUT UP OVER 100 WAYS TO BET THE SUPERBOWL...THOSE ALWAYS MADE THE PLAYERS LOSE......FOR THE OTHER ONES THAT WHERE HAVING A LOSING YEAR...THEY TRY TO GET IT ALL BACK ON ONE GAME....SOME DID...BUT MOST WHEN DOWN AND THEY TOOK WEEKS AFTER THE GAME TO PAY ME....WEEKS!!
SO
THERE ARE 256 GAMES IN A SEASON....10 PLAY-OFF GAMES AND ONE SUPERBOWL....MAKE YOUR STAND ON THE GAME THAT GIVE YOU THE MOST VALUE
For me...I have move on to NBA and CBB....lots of sheets I been working on and have found some great value...after the superbowl I will spend all my time in the NBA and CBB forums...got stuff (tools) that will help you be a better capper
still In this big game I will have a few small plays that I will post and help all I can.
so make this thread your thread also....lets talk:toast:
tonight I will break down the TOTAL on this game.
Best to all
ACE-ACE
Action plays .............45-42 +$1117.00
Investment...............22-18 + $6182.00
Total........................67-60 +$7299.00
Bankroll now $82,299.00 UP 7.2 UNITS
MINUS SEASON TOTAL BETS 1-1 -$5720.00
Any year you win money is a good year!...up around $1500 plus some rollover money from the books. The record of winner this year means more than the money. Did I kill the books...no...did I bet smart and find the the best edge...yes...few thing I would have done diff///but all and all I can say I Had a winning year that now take me to winning 12 years out of 15! this will tell you now that I look at all the numbers on this superbowl game and cant find a real edge that I want to Invest in. Still in this thread I will help and show you what I got on the game...give you some Candy....show what the public is on....give you anything I can give you to help you make up your mind:toast:....Last year was the same...a few bets no more than a $1000...won the under last year.
just because this is the biggest game of the year...does not mean you have to bet 4 times what your avg bet during the year was...trust me the line are tight and in past Superbowl games the points have not matter.
some number to start
..........THE LINE........MYLINE......MYLINE LAST 8 GAMES....LAST4GMS
PITT..........6.5..............-7............................-6.5...................
ARI....................................................................................-5
BASE ON THE WHOLE YEAR STATS
.............LINEOFF........TIME.....PLT.......T/O
PITT..........+69.............+32.....974........28
ARI............+37.............+19.....839........36
BASE ON THOSE NUMBER THE LINE IS RIGHT
THIS FAV/PITT BY A TD....KEY IS THE TURNOVER...TEAM THAT WINS THE T/O GAME WINS 70% OF THE GAMES
NO EDGE VS THE ATS
BASE ON STATS IN THE LAST 8 GAMES PLAYED
............L/O..................TIME........PLT........T/O
PITT......+57..................+17..........379........12
ARI........-15...................-10..........321........14
ARI GOT BETTER IN THE T/O GAME AND STILL MYLINE BASE ON THE LAST 8 GAME ONLY FAV/PITT BY 6.5.....THE LINE NOW!
BASE ON THE LAST 4 GAMES
............L/O..................TIME........PLT.........T/O
PITT.......+16.................+6...........193..........6
ARI.........+53.................+12..........209..........5
AS YOU SEE ARI HAS WON 3 OUT OF THE 4 STATS
MAKING THEM A 5 POINT FAVOR!!
SO
WHAT THIS IS TELLING YOU...THE ODDS MAKER GOT THIS LINE RIGHT
AT -6.5...BASE ON THE WHOLE YEAR....EVEN WHEN YOU BREAK IT DOWN TO THE LAST 8 GAMES...THERE IS NO EDGE....BUT IF YOU FACTOR IN ONLY THE LAST 4 GAMES..ARI WOULD BE A VALUE OF +11.5 POINTS!!!
DIFF/ROADS GOT THOSE TWO TEAMS INTO THE SUPERBOWL
D-LINE FOR PITT
O-LINE FOR ARI
CAN YOU BASE THIS ON JUST THE LAST 4 GAME????...I CANT
YOU ....AS CAPPER HAVE TO READ THOSE NUMBER AND FACTOR IN EVERYTHING INTO A GAME THAT BOTH TEAM WILL BE OFF FOR TWO WEEKS...VERY HARD GAME TO CAP!!
TIP
WHEN I WAS A BOOK.....THE 20% OF THE BETTOR THAT WAS A HEAD OF ME THAT WOULD ONLY BET $100 TO $200 A GAME...WOULD BET $500 TO $1000 ON THIS ONE GAME..."MONEY MANAGEMENT OUT THE WINDOW"!!
I WILL TELL YOU THIS...WHEN THEY DID THIS...THEY LOST...ONLY ONE YEAR THE PLAYERS BEAT ME IN THE SUPERBOWL...I ALWAYS WON BECAUSE I PUT UP OVER 100 WAYS TO BET THE SUPERBOWL...THOSE ALWAYS MADE THE PLAYERS LOSE......FOR THE OTHER ONES THAT WHERE HAVING A LOSING YEAR...THEY TRY TO GET IT ALL BACK ON ONE GAME....SOME DID...BUT MOST WHEN DOWN AND THEY TOOK WEEKS AFTER THE GAME TO PAY ME....WEEKS!!
SO
THERE ARE 256 GAMES IN A SEASON....10 PLAY-OFF GAMES AND ONE SUPERBOWL....MAKE YOUR STAND ON THE GAME THAT GIVE YOU THE MOST VALUE
For me...I have move on to NBA and CBB....lots of sheets I been working on and have found some great value...after the superbowl I will spend all my time in the NBA and CBB forums...got stuff (tools) that will help you be a better capper
still In this big game I will have a few small plays that I will post and help all I can.
so make this thread your thread also....lets talk:toast:
tonight I will break down the TOTAL on this game.
Best to all
ACE-ACE