Eurovision Song Contest betting

[aepstar]

I have to watc because my mother is gonna, so i thought lets make it pleasant then.

My favourites are: Turkey, Russia, Spain, Slovenia, Latvia, Island. Cumulative money line: 1.40.

Here is some statistical data, though the sampling (23 years) is to small IMHO.

Total points of the winner:
2002: 176
2001: 198
2000: 195
1999: 163
1998: 172
1997: 227
1996: 162
1995: 148
1994: 226
1993: 187
1992: 155
1991: 146
1990: 149
1989: 137
1988: 137
1987: 172
1986: 176
1985: 123
1984: 145
1983: 142
1982: 161
1981: 136
1980: 143

Money lines from Bet 365
------------------------
170 or less 6.00 (0.16) Actual occurence: 14/23=0.60
171 to 180 3.25 (0.30) Actual occurence: 4/23=0.17
181 to 190 3.75 (0.26) Actual occurence: 1/23=0.04
191 to 200 3.75 (0.26) Actual occurence: 2/23=0.08
201 to 210 5.50 (0.18) Actual occurence: 0 ------
211 to 220 8.00 (0.13) Actual occurence: 0
221 to 230 15.00 (0.06) Actual occurence: 2/23=0.08 Good bet 0.46
231 to 240 17.00 (0.05) Actual occurence: 0
241 or more 21.00 (0.04) Actual occurence: 0 ------

170 points or less line has a profit of 260 percent!

Margin win (Poins of the winner minus points of the second place)
2002: 12
2001: 21
2000: 40
1999: 17
1998: 6
1997: 70
1996: 48
1995: 29
1994: 60
1993: 23
1992: 16
1991: tie
1990: 17
1989: 7
1988: 1
1987: 31
1986: 36
1985: 18
1984: 8
1983: 6
1982: 61
1981: 4
1980: 15

tie : 1/23 # 0.04 (0.07)
1-10 points: 6/23 ###### ------ 0.26 (0.23) GOOD BET
11-20 points: 6/23 ###### 0.26 (0.30)
21-30 points: 3/23 ### 18/23 = 0.78 (0.96) 0.13 (0.22)
31-40 points: 3/23 ### ----- 0.13 (0.20)
41-50 points: 1/23 # 0.04 (0.15)
51-60 points: 1/23 # 0.04 (0.10)
61-70 points: 2/23 ## 0.08 (0.08)

As you see, we only have edge of 12.5%. The Eurovision Song Conest is only once a year, so you have not so many opportunities to overcome a losing streak if it may occur. Suit yourself.

MY PICKS
Total points winner 170 or less @ 6.00
Margin 1st and 2nd place 1-10 points @ 4.33
Winner: Turkey, Russia, Spain, Slovenia, Latvia, Island @ 1.40.

 

For me (and probably for all men) only interesting thing is what clothes Russian girls T.A.T.U are wearing. I recommend transparent shirts and skirts.

 

[aepstar]

There is a lil gossip, that those tatu girls were performing in some russian city. then they jumped to crowd surfing, all the dudes in the crowd ripped the clothed off the girls.

yeah they are cute, especially this black haired one.

 

[DonMarco]

i like their tiny bodies.

too bad they do not like men.

 

[aepstar]

they do beleive me! It just an act for selling records, every one knows it in Russia, and i speak my friend form theree so i know it too.

 

I have heard a rumour that one of them is getting married (to man or woman, I don't know).

There is one other good thing in this contest. Finland is not allowed to take part this year, but next year we will be there again with some shitty song.