What exactly is the reasoning behind the Purdue pick?
Just looking at the last game a 4pt lose by Penn ST @ Wisconsin is way more impressive then a 4pt lose @ home against Illinois, NO?
Just looking for some analysis not bashing your pick by any means.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=10>PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader></TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Against the spread</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Over/Under</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Straight Up</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader></TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1997</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1997</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1997</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Description</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in all games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>43-28</TD><TD class=matchupCells>152-172</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>35-37</TD><TD class=matchupCells>90-107</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>58-24</TD><TD class=matchupCells>213-153</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in all lined games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>43-28</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>152-172</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>35-37</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>90-107</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>8-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>48-24</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>178-153</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">when the total is 130 to 139.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>21-14</TD><TD class=matchupCells>44-46</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-20</TD><TD class=bad>31-59</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>21-14</TD><TD class=matchupCells>42-48</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">as a favorite</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>30-19</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>101-93</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>22-27</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>47-47</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>8-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>41-8</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>148-49</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11-5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11-5</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in road games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>13-7</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>48-61</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>10-11</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>25-40</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>9-12</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>39-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in road lined games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>13-7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>48-61</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>10-11</TD><TD class=matchupCells>25-40</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>9-12</TD><TD class=matchupCells>36-76</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>6-5</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>7-10</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>6-11</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-9</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-15</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">against conference opponents</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-1</TD><TD class=good>25-12</TD><TD class=matchupCells>89-103</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16-22</TD><TD class=matchupCells>48-70</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>25-13</TD><TD class=matchupCells>93-103</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in January games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>9-7</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>41-47</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>6-10</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>18-29</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>10-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>48-41</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">on Tuesday nights</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-17</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>12-17</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8-6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23-20</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">when playing with 5 or 6 days rest</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>7-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>18-22</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-2</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-9</TD><TD class=badWhite>6-21</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>10-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>32-13</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">after a conference game</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=good>27-9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>92-97</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16-21</TD><TD class=matchupCells>50-68</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27-11</TD><TD class=matchupCells>99-96</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">off a loss against a conference rival</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=goodWhite>10-2</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>46-48</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-8</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>23-35</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>11-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>47-51</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">when playing against a team with a winning record</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>29-19</TD><TD class=matchupCells>106-132</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23-26</TD><TD class=matchupCells>70-91</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30-21</TD><TD class=matchupCells>117-135</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=goodWhite>17-7</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>36-41</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>14-11</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>31-25</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>15-10</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>34-45</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>24-16</TD><TD class=matchupCells>64-69</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>24-17</TD><TD class=matchupCells>47-43</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23-18</TD><TD class=matchupCells>63-75</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>