Electoral Vote Predictor 2004

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Tennessee and West Virginia surprise me a bit for Kerry, and Wisconsin and Oregon surprise me a bit for Bush.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>The Wall Street Journal's estimate using a different methodology is 318 to 220. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
 

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Pure propaganda.

No way in hell Kerry gets 318 electoral votes.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> <HR></BLOCKQUOTE> posted August 04, 2004 08:20 PM posted August 04, 2004 08:20 PM
Pure propaganda.

No way in hell Kerry gets 318 electoral votes

Let me give you the definition of the word p-r-o-p-a-g-a-n-d-a
propaganda= The spreading of ideas or information for the purpose of helping or injuring a person.
From all I can gather this is a INDEPENDENT site that was quoted.
You might not agree with there findings, but propaganda, hardly.
It is the pld saying. " If you do not like the message, kill the messinger"
bigsmiley.gif
 

A MIND IS A TERRIBLE THING TO WASTE
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Thank you Wil for a very interesting site. I will check back every so often to see if it has changed.
icon_wink.gif
 

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sonny,

this shit is pure PROPAGANDA.

spreading info that suggest Kerry is going to win in a landslide is fukin proganda, which is harmful to our President. get back to listening to NPR.
 

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Sonny if the site projected Kerry to win 538 to zero you'd say that sounds about right, think for yourself every now and again.
 

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Why the fvck did WI lose an electoral vote? Does that also mean they lost a seat in the House?
 

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Gamer, show me where I posted that I agree with the analysis of there prediction.So you see, Gamer, I DO think for myself.
thumbsup.gif
 

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Poop, Wisconsin, now has 10 Eloctoral votes, compared to 11 last wlection.
 

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wil, thanks for posting this link. i have emailed to a number of friends. a good place to keep track.
 

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Everyweekend, the Beltway Boys from Fox News due a projected electoral vote - they had Kerry up by similar numbers.
 

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I think Kerry will win the popular vote but it will be very close - but in terms of electoral votes Bush could get blown out - all indications are that he is behind in all swing states except OH - if Kerry gets PA and FL Bush it's over - look at all the states Bush is going to win - they have 3, 4, 5 or 6 electoral votes - Texas and NY wash each other - Kerry get CA and its 55 to nothing and Bush has to make it up with states like Idaho, Kansas and Wyoming.
 

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Key battleground states:
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Missouri, Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Florida. Bush will need most if not all. This the real reason National polls mean little anymore, it's all about the battleground states

wil.
 

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The map makes it very simple really. For Bush to win he has to get FL, PA, and WI out of Kerry's side of the ledger. PA is trending poorly for Bush and a Democratic governor makes it tough to reverse that. Same goes for MI. Both states as well are lost causes if the slower growth of the economy coming to the surface right now lasts anything past this month (numbers for August come out in Sept). There is no way around that and the RNC will do as little for the race as the DNC did. There truly is a very small slice of the country that could be considered swing voters and it is becoming clear that barring some very major events before November, there aren't really enough of them to reasonably expect a big swing over to Bush.
 

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Not to burst the liberals' bubble, but Kerry is not leading in Arizona, Missouri, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Florida. Bush is leading by slim margins in those states. Adding those electoral votes up, 64 votes need to be added to the Bush column and subtracted from Kerry, which makes it 274 for Bush and 264 for Kerry.
 

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Exactly Redneck, the demi's need to let a little air out of their bubble. But if the demi's let even the the smallest amount of air out of that over inflated bubble, they run the huge risk of 'appearing' panicked and deflated even by the partisan news media.

If you add up Minnesota, Iowa and Wisky you get the same electorial votes as Florida - Interesting? I have to think Bush takes, at worse, 2 out of those little states.

The demi's have done a good job at demoralizing the country but once John McCain starts to lash out at the pacifists and socialists in the other party, it starts to inspire the people! Then to end it with Arnold and BushII! Kerry won't throw in the towel, but the daddies old democrats will vote republican when it all said and done. That leaves only the girliemen.
 

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I think Bush has a great shot at Iowa this time, and Wisconsin also, Minnesota I think is a bit tougher.
 

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