Early wildcard lines

[peteyapple]

Anyone see any early lines?

I think.
Pitt -7
Houston -3. If Mcloin out
Seattle. 4.5 over GB. 7 over Detroit.
'Detroit.Pick vs Giants'
GB 3 over Giants

 

[dotcomceo]

if texans/raiders o/u is anything above 30 you bet the under

 

[jasonc69]

if texans/raiders o/u is anything above 30 you bet the under

I agree but it'll probably end up being the highest scoring game of the weekend. Lol

 

[dotcomceo]

LMAO no way man raiders D isnt that good but it will be vs savage or osweiler and the texans on the otherhand have the best D in the league and are at home so connor cook will struggle. It really will be like 9-3 or something

 

[dsong]

My power ratings say:

Pittsburgh -7.5
Houston -3
Seattle -7 over Detroit
Seattle -3 over Green Bay
Giants -2.5 over Detroit
Green Bay -3.5 over Giants

 

[dotcomceo]

what do your power ratings say on patriots vs texans or raiders?

 

[dsong]

FYI, New England will face Houston, Oakland, or Miami in the Divisional round. Should be ugly...

I'm guessing New England -13 for that one. No question I would lay -10 every day of the week and twice on Sundays. ML -600 or better should be playable as well.

 

[dsong]

Bet the farm on New England at 2-1 if you can get it (you might need to hit the exchanges), and -150 or better to win the conference. They have a virtual bye to the semifinals.

 

[TomandJerry]

Houston -5 ///// 40
Pittsburgh -7.5 ///// 45.5

 

[dotcomceo]

dsong knowing the pats basically have to beat basically 1 of kc or pitt at home and that basically they're 2 wins away from super bowl champs, it seems plausible that anything really + money on the pats would be a good bet bc they will be favored at home in the AFC title game and again vs whoever in the super bowl right? I imagine even cowboys pats would be -3 or more and you gotta think belichick vs a rookie qb with 2 weeks to prepare will be a disaster for dallas

 

[peteyapple]

Houston -5 ///// 40
Pittsburgh -7.5 ///// 45.5

didyou see those lines or are they your lines?

 

[dsong]

I'm not sure Houston -5 is a viable line even with Connor Cook at quarterback for the Raiders. Savage could be out too (though Osweiler may not be that big a downgrade).

 

[peteyapple]

I'm not sure Houston -5 is a viable line even with Connor Cook at quarterback for the Raiders. Savage could be out too (though Osweiler may not be that big a downgrade).

thats too high. I think 2 to 3.

 

[dsong]

Patriots probably would face Dallas/Atlanta/Seattle/Green Bay in the Super Bowl and they might be -4 against any one of the four teams. Those four teams have very similar power ratings and it probably matters little which one of the four advances.

Prescott is a rookie quarterback but the other three aren't.

 

[Biz]

I'm a die hard Raiders fan.

If Houston is -3 that is the best bet of the weekend. Hate to say it, Raiders aren't going to win with these backups.

 

[Biz]

Lines based on PWR RAT before this week's games.

Hou/Oak: Oak -1 normally, adjust 4-5 points for Carr, Hou -3/-4
Mia/Pitt: -7
Det/Sea: -7
GB/Sea: -3
NYG/GB: -6
NYG/Det: Det -1

 

[dsong]

If the line goes above 3 the Raiders will draw a ton of sharp money.

Carr is good but I don't think he's worth 7-10 points.

If Carr was healthy I think Raiders would be -3.5 at the Texans.

 

[dotcomceo]

I dont know man QB's are worth ALOT. Remember week 3? Texans were -3 at New England with Jacoby Brissett at Qb, if you assume QB is just 10 points, then line in playoffs would be Patriots -7 and everyone would take that, so you gotta believe Tom Brady is worth 17+ points in that regard

 

[dsong]

Back then people thought Texans were a decent team, Osweiler was thought to be an average NFL starting QB, Brissett was a 3rd string QB with no career starts, and people weren't sold on New England in general. And even then people on this forum thought the line was totally wrong and felt New England should have been favored. A lot has changed since then.

 

[Biz]

Carr is worth about 5 points. They would be small road fav with him, around +3/+4 without him