Early Looks

[WinOne]

Here are a couple games that I hope to get info on. I think the lines, based on how they played seemed to be a bit skewed:

S. MISS +13'@ NEBRASKA
May be too many points for experienced Golden Eagle team. Huskers passing game going to take some time to jell as evidence by the numerous interceptions

UCLA -3' @ ILLINOIS
Line began at 6' andhad been bet down. Bruins outstatted OSU but critical TO's gave OSU short field. Doubt Illini have a Morisey on their team. Don't think Bruins as bad as score showed.

DUKE @ UCONN -13
Line started at 14 and going down. If Dukies could not stop Navy attack, what do they do against experienced UCONN QB Orlovsky? Plus Duke offense could not move it on Navy

SYRACUSE @ BUFFALO +15
Buffalo can and will move the ball, can Cuse stop a balanced offense? Can they score?

6* FRESNO ST @ KANSAS ST -13
KSU showed (by design) nothing running the ball and playing base offense and defense. Bettors betting down this line based on FSU performance. Note that FSU was not able to move the ball against tired UW defense. 24 points were the direct results of UW turnovers. Give me the Wildcats big

GEORGIA TECH @ CLEMSON -9, -7 Tech showed nothing against 1AA team. Gotta lay the lumber here as Clemson far better team, especially at home


Any feedback is appreciated.

WinOne!!

 

Not a good decision to put money on a SMiss football team that has yet to take a snap. That is worth a TD alone. So, the line is really -6.5. Home field is worth close to that. No way that SMiss is better than Nebraska. The 4 interceptions were after Nebraska had rolled early. Daily admitted that he was greedy. It should have been a good learning experience for him. They will handle SMiss with rather ease.

 

[WinOne]

I just posted to your topic asking for info from the Nebr game. I saw the TO's and apparently there were some that should have been picked off as well. I know USM hasn't taken a snap yet but offensively they bring everyone back. I just thought that while Huskers work on the passing game, that the number may be a bit high.

WinOne!!

 

[yellowman]

Might also mention that USM is returning only 4 starters on the defensive side of the ball. If Neb can shore up the special teams and run the ball effectively, this one should be 21 pt minimum win for the corn.

 

[WinOne]

I don't know guys, 6 TO's for Nebraska against non D1 team. Despite the folks coming back for USM, they almost always play defense no matter who they suit up. I'll watch the number on this one and I hope to get more info from Nebr practices this week. If you have any to offer, please post it.

Thanks,

WinOne!!

 

[WinOne]

Adding the following for review

Tulsa +21 @ Ok State
UCLA gave OSU 4 TO's LW and still moved the ball up and down the field. Canes only allowed 2.8 ypc on the ground vs JHawks. Doubt Morrisey runs wild and expect Canes to put up better offensive numbers

NMSU @ Cal -33'
Only reason I looked at this is because this is second week in a row that Cal get to play the option (something I am sure they practiced for during Spring and Summer ball). Also with fast starting Cal if/when NMSU gets behind comeback less likely from wishbone team and TOs' typically come from numerous pass attempts. This means defensive scores and short fields for the offense.

ULLAF @ LaTech -14
Short week for Tech but should catch inexperieced Cajun team at the right time. Cajuns loss top 4 receivers and 4 linemen from their rotation last year. Cajuns also replacing 5 starters in the front 7 on defense so stopping the run may be a problem early until the player gell. LTech just ran for 300 yd vs Nevada team in similar shape defensively.

With Tech plugging in new QB with other experienced players around, this may be similar to LY 34-3 rout where Tech won on the road as 4 pt fav.

GL,

WinOne!!

 

[ProphetablePicks]

i am all over Cal!.

 

[KMAN]

Be careful taking Southern Miss. Rip Scherer (O-Coord) is not very good. He was head coach at memphis a few years ago and our offense was one of the worst in the country. With a poor offense and only returning 4 starters on D, that could be a problem. A friend of mine is a huge (very objective) southern miss fan, I'll get some scoop from him.

Just my 2 cents.

GL,
KMAN

 

[lewis]

winone

I am thinking S Miss this week as well. Neb should struggle with their new offense vs a better team. This is not a play yet but this play has made my final 8 that I am looking at.


lewis

 

[Anonymous1]

anytime you want to wager for or agin ucla ask yourself this question...why would a school of this recognition with head coaches such as tommy protho and terry donahue hire a no name untried head coach...much less a coach of any kind in the college ranks...ucla imo...has decided to place little emphasis on the football program...and to that end why would any decent recruit want to attend..other than a free education...so be careful because i doubt their is much enthusiasim on the bruins sidelines...much less the huddle...just my 2 pennies...gl

 

[twofingers]

Remember that no team is as good as they look or as bad as they look.

Syracuse stunk up the place sunday in Purdue but they are a better team then that. They are in for a long year, no doubt but I expect them to come out spitting fire this week. Coach P is on hot seat and a loss or even close game to Buffalo will spell his demise. Reyes should have a big game and don't expect the orange to call off the dogs here.

Buffalo looked better then ever in loss to EM but you have to put it in context. EM is a bottom feeder MAC team with the god worse defense. Buffalo, who has the worse passing attack in the world, even had some success in the air. Bulls strength is their running game. Syracuse's biggest weakness in recent year has been stopping big plays in the air. I don't think Buffalo can capitalize on this. Syracuse will commit to stopping dawson and force Buffalo to throw, which will lead to some turnovers.

Last year, a stronger MAC team in Toledo came into the Dome fresh off strong performances in beating Marshall and Pitt. Syracuse waxed them by 27 behind a strong rushing perforance by Reyes. Expect the same thing here. Cuse will be much more comfortable playing on the fast turf at buffalo then the long grass at purdue.

last thing....Fans in Syracuse are calling for the head of Coach P on radio and in forumns. Players love this guy and to a man stuck up for him last year when same thing happened. Heat got turned up after road loss to Rutgers. SU went out nest week and played best game of year in dominating a Norte dame team that was off it's best game of year in thrashing Stanford. The players really want to win for this guy. I expect a all out effort from them this week and have the perfect opponent to get a lopsided win for the coach.

Don't get sucked into taking Buffalo here ( see most have as SU opened at 17 and down to 15 now).

 

[WinOne]

All I really, really appreciate the info and opinions.

USM - Don't let the 4 returning defensive starters fool ya. USM has 55 returning starters and more than half on the defensive side. They always rotate players on the defensive side of the ball, hence they TYPICALL don't drop off much. Offensively I expect them to be better. Just an opinion. I do know that they are excited about playing this one, from reports, not from actually being their. Nebraska was -11 last year in Hattiesburg, the low line does not relate. Almost like they are begging you to take Huskers, aren't they.

UCLA - KDorrell was hired because he paid his dues as an offensive assistant in the NFL (Denver) and as OC at Colorado under Slick Rick. The program he took over was down, way down. Recruits went cross town to SC, or down to SDSU, or to other PAC10, WAC or MWC teams. Its gonna take the guy awhile to build a team. Despite the loss, TO's did them in and they could not stop OSU Run game. Remember, Illini played FAMU which because of scholarship restrictions and probation I can think of several Texas HS teams that could beat them by 40.


Buffalo - with 17 returning starters 45 lettermen, gotta figure they stay close in this one against a bad Cuse defense. I don't have to win, just stay within 2TD. Also note...Cuse only had 24 returning lettermen, that was lowest of any D1 school. They are extremely young so playing on the road in my opinion may be learning experience for them.

Also hearing a lot of discouraging things out of College Station (A&M). I hope to post more tomorrow but they may give BU freshman QB more snaps in this one because of lack of progress of McNeill.

GL,

WinOne!!

 

[ProphetablePicks]

winone,
are you coming in for any games?. Iowa next week is a big one.let me know.I like Cal, Co, Uconn so far this week.

 

[mws]

I like Nebraska, UConn, K St, and Illinois. As a Clemson fan, I would advise you to PASS the game. Clemson has better talent and a much better QB, but both teams have questionable coaching. Six straight years the game was decided by 3 points, then last year Clemson wins in a blowout. If Tech returns the favor or the series reverts to form, Tech will get the money.

 

[KMAN]

I talked to a Southern Miss alum/booster today and he recommended that I don't play it. He just said there are to many question marks with it being the first game and all.

If you end up playing it , I hope you win.

KMAN

 

[WinOne]

KMan here is what I am hearing from Hattiesburg...Nebr is w/o starting Center Richie Incognito who moved to center during the spring. They guy has been b12 all conference tackle. With him out, USM feels they have advantage inside as they have two returning starters at D-tackle. They believe they can disrupt the run game and make Huskers pass it a little more than they would like. To create more TO's and help the offense out. That's the word I am hearing. If you can ping your buddy to confirm that would be great. Offensively, USM hoping to go back to pounding the ball and work the play action passing game with experienced QB Almond. They are really high on the receivers and feel they can get some big plays if they protect and can get man coverage.
Of course, it could be pissing in the wind, I guess we'll know about noon on Saturday. I am not sure when Incognito is returning for Huskers.

WinOne!!

 

[WinOne]

PP,

I am going up for the N'Western game this week and probably will make the USC (in LA) and Cal (Tempe). I'm in Milwaukee Thur-Fri (business)and planning on driving down to Chicago Friday night. I doubt I have problem getting ticket for the game in Evanston.

WinOne!!

 

[WinOne]

Bumping these up for WinOne as he's on the road and was unable to get into the site earlier. I believe his plans are to post his evening plays when the ASU/NW game is over. Give'm Hell Devils.

5* S. MISS +13'@ NEBRASKA
May be too many points for experienced Golden Eagle team. Huskers passing game going to take some time to jell as evidence by the numerous interceptions

5* UCLA -3' @ ILLINOIS
Line began at 6' andhad been bet down. Bruins outstatted OSU but critical TO's gave OSU short field. Doubt Illini have a Morisey on their team. Don't think Bruins as bad as score showed.

4* DUKE @ UCONN -13
Line started at 14 and going down. If Dukies could not stop Navy attack, what do they do against experienced UCONN QB Orlovsky? Plus Duke offense could not move it on Navy

4* SYRACUSE @ BUFFALO +15
Buffalo can and will move the ball, can Cuse stop a balanced offense? Can they score?

6* FRESNO ST @ KANSAS ST -13
KSU showed (by design) nothing running the ball and playing base offense and defense. Bettors betting down this line based on FSU performance. Note that FSU was not able to move the ball against tired UW defense. 24 points were the direct results of UW turnovers. Give me the Wildcats big

My Uncle WinOne!!

 

[Railbird]

The San Joaquin Valley putting it in the CRAP 12's face