The two methods I use to cap playoff Games come up with Minny -2 and -1.5, so why do the Books come up with +3? Well first it has to be understood that they calculate their base number on overall stats for the Season and then tweak it to their up to date opinion, as this is a game with a much bigger turnover than usual, more will be put into what the Public cash is going to go on. With that in mind -2 Philly would be the base and while many Books would go to PK in the regular season to get Philly cash, in the playoffs they would rather not have a one sided game, hence the -3.
So now I've got that out of the way, how do I come up with +2? The Eagles have been a boom and bust Team all Year and its human nature to forget some Months back and concentrate on recent events. However, its not too long ago Philly were diabolical and looking completely lost on Offense, it has to be especially noted the difference between their home form and road form, a difference of 8.5 Points on my figures. Sure there was times it could be put down to injuries, especially to Westbrook but I think it goes a bit deeper than that. Thats the gist of my capping for this game and I will come back to the side betting later, after my thoughts on the Total may add further clues to the outcome.
Although My figures on this Total is 43 for the regular season and 44 in the Playoffs, I think the Books opening 43 now 41.5 is in the right direction and I hate thinking of betting a line thats gone against me. Going into this game the thing that stands out is both Teams will feel they can win it if they just dont turn the ball over, and although the regular season stats say they're will be plenty of drives to score in, I think the fear of the turnover will prevail. All this means is Minny will run the ball and have enough success to stick with it and Philly will use Westbrook to his maximum and depend on their Defense to come up with something in a game of who breaks first. There is still some 42 around but thats as low as I'll go and thats only for a small bet.
As you can see, I think this is going to be a cagey game where 3 Points could be huge in the end, now that the reality of the playoffs are here both Coaches will be only too aware of what Interceptions have done to them this Year, I'd like to think that Jackson will have a good game but I cannot rely on it. So its a small bet on Minny +3 and a small bet on the Under 42, mainly because I missed the price. :drink:
So now I've got that out of the way, how do I come up with +2? The Eagles have been a boom and bust Team all Year and its human nature to forget some Months back and concentrate on recent events. However, its not too long ago Philly were diabolical and looking completely lost on Offense, it has to be especially noted the difference between their home form and road form, a difference of 8.5 Points on my figures. Sure there was times it could be put down to injuries, especially to Westbrook but I think it goes a bit deeper than that. Thats the gist of my capping for this game and I will come back to the side betting later, after my thoughts on the Total may add further clues to the outcome.
Although My figures on this Total is 43 for the regular season and 44 in the Playoffs, I think the Books opening 43 now 41.5 is in the right direction and I hate thinking of betting a line thats gone against me. Going into this game the thing that stands out is both Teams will feel they can win it if they just dont turn the ball over, and although the regular season stats say they're will be plenty of drives to score in, I think the fear of the turnover will prevail. All this means is Minny will run the ball and have enough success to stick with it and Philly will use Westbrook to his maximum and depend on their Defense to come up with something in a game of who breaks first. There is still some 42 around but thats as low as I'll go and thats only for a small bet.
As you can see, I think this is going to be a cagey game where 3 Points could be huge in the end, now that the reality of the playoffs are here both Coaches will be only too aware of what Interceptions have done to them this Year, I'd like to think that Jackson will have a good game but I cannot rely on it. So its a small bet on Minny +3 and a small bet on the Under 42, mainly because I missed the price. :drink:
