Duke vs Virginia 10/16/2021

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Virginia is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Duke. Wayne Taulapapa is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Duke wins, Gunnar Holmberg averages 2.32 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.3 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. Mataeo Durant averages 94 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 85 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. Virginia has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -11.5 --- Over/Under line is 68.5
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