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DubNation23 December Warmup 12/14/16 Let's keep it going...
- Thread starter DubNation23
- Start date
First Play of the day.
to win 3 Units
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]
[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119 [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] ([/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Risk 3.58423[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] its to win 3.0 Units)
[/FONT]
to win 3 Units
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]
[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119 [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] ([/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Risk 3.58423[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] its to win 3.0 Units)
[/FONT]
original line on Boston 1stH was +3.5 (-109) sold one point just in case anyone was wondering how I got those odds. +2.5 (+109) i feel this is an insurance ML play if it wasn't a parlay and was played straight I would take Boston 1stH ML at +173.
May have one play for later games but may be leaning towards no play at the moment. Good Luck.
May have one play for later games but may be leaning towards no play at the moment. Good Luck.
one more parlay today
risk 1 unit to win 3.641
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115)
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149)
Straight play risk 2.5 units to win 4.33250 units
Boston Celtics v San Antonio Spurs
1st Half: Boston Celtics ML2.733 (+173)
RISK
[FONT=Segoe UI, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]2.5[/FONT]
TO WIN
[FONT=Segoe UI, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]4.33250[/FONT]
risk 1 unit to win 3.641
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115)
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149)
Straight play risk 2.5 units to win 4.33250 units
Boston Celtics v San Antonio Spurs
1st Half: Boston Celtics ML2.733 (+173)
RISK
[FONT=Segoe UI, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]2.5[/FONT]
TO WIN
[FONT=Segoe UI, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]4.33250[/FONT]
Good Luck to all who are tailing.
Let's break out for huge day. regardless the result of tonight we are going to remain in the black.
Worst Case Scenario
YTD 8-8 (50%) +2.49151 units
Parlays 1-5 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units
Best Case Scenario
YTD 9-7 (56.25%) +13.96501 units
Parlays 2-4 (33.333%) yielding us a positive of of +2.6208 units
Can even result in something around the middle so the range result is
+2.49151 units up to +13.96501 units range for (5 days total in play)
Let's break out for huge day. regardless the result of tonight we are going to remain in the black.
Worst Case Scenario
YTD 8-8 (50%) +2.49151 units
Parlays 1-5 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units
Best Case Scenario
YTD 9-7 (56.25%) +13.96501 units
Parlays 2-4 (33.333%) yielding us a positive of of +2.6208 units
Can even result in something around the middle so the range result is
+2.49151 units up to +13.96501 units range for (5 days total in play)
pending parlay:
risk 1 unit to win 3.641 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) Winner
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) pending
Straight play risk 2.5 units to win 4.33250 units
Lets Go Boston... Time to close out for Huge Day... we are exactly where I want us to be. Let tonight be the night where we break this wide open...
several days already in the past 5 days we were one play away from Huge day. I have a feeling today is the day we really show what we can do with minimal risk high reward plays...
risk 1 unit to win 3.641 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) Winner
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) pending
Straight play risk 2.5 units to win 4.33250 units
Lets Go Boston... Time to close out for Huge Day... we are exactly where I want us to be. Let tonight be the night where we break this wide open...
several days already in the past 5 days we were one play away from Huge day. I have a feeling today is the day we really show what we can do with minimal risk high reward plays...
Late 1stQ eruption for San Antonio to kill our parlay :>(... I'm telling you we fall so short every day so far... We will hit a big day eventually just gonna be patient and keep on course...
Parlays 1-5 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units
One pending play for 2.5 units remain for 1stH
Adding Live Play
Risking all of our remaining profit 2.49151 units to win 2.06795 units
Celtics LIVE v Spurs LIVE
Game: Celtics LIVE +9.5
Parlays 1-5 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units
One pending play for 2.5 units remain for 1stH
Adding Live Play
Risking all of our remaining profit 2.49151 units to win 2.06795 units
Celtics LIVE v Spurs LIVE
Game: Celtics LIVE +9.5
YTD 8-7 (53.33%) +4.99151 units
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
8-2 in our last 10 plays 12/13/16 (1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119) +3 units
3 team parlay
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) W
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) L
Today (0-2 in parlays -2 units)
12/13/16 1-0 +2 units. One play still may be placed.
Pending 2 units 1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML (either 0 units or 6.3325 units)
Pending 2.49151 Live to Win 2.06795 Celtics LIVE +9.5 (either 0 units or 4.55946 units)
either up 0 units YTD 4.55946 units, 6.33225 units or 10.89196 units...
Need Boston to step up for final 2:41 I couldn't have asked for a better position for the +1.73 ML
Good Luck
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
8-2 in our last 10 plays 12/13/16 (1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119) +3 units
3 team parlay
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) W
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) L
Today (0-2 in parlays -2 units)
12/13/16 1-0 +2 units. One play still may be placed.
Pending 2 units 1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML (either 0 units or 6.3325 units)
Pending 2.49151 Live to Win 2.06795 Celtics LIVE +9.5 (either 0 units or 4.55946 units)
either up 0 units YTD 4.55946 units, 6.33225 units or 10.89196 units...
Need Boston to step up for final 2:41 I couldn't have asked for a better position for the +1.73 ML
Good Luck
YTD 8-8 (50%) +1.49151
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
8-3 in our last 11 plays 12/13/16 (1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119) +3 units
3 team parlay
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) W
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) L
12/13/16 (0-2 in parlays -2 units)
12/13/16 1-1 +0.5 units. One play still pending, and possibly another 2ndH add if value is present.
1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119)WINNER +3 units1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML LOSER -2.5 units
Pending 2.49151 Live to Win 2.06795 Celtics LIVE +9.5 (either 0 units or 4.55946 units)
forgot -1 units for parlay loss if pending play loses YTD will be -1 units if pending play wins we will be +3.55946 Units
Good Luck
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
8-3 in our last 11 plays 12/13/16 (1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119) +3 units
3 team parlay
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending
Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) W
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) L
12/13/16 (0-2 in parlays -2 units)
12/13/16 1-1 +0.5 units. One play still pending, and possibly another 2ndH add if value is present.
1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119)WINNER +3 units1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML LOSER -2.5 units
Pending 2.49151 Live to Win 2.06795 Celtics LIVE +9.5 (either 0 units or 4.55946 units)
forgot -1 units for parlay loss if pending play loses YTD will be -1 units if pending play wins we will be +3.55946 Units
Good Luck
2nd Half BOS Celtics v 2nd Half SA Spurs
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Game: 2nd Half BOS Celtics +0[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] This brings Line to Celtics Live +9-105 (no value present really)[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Will wait to see if any move takes place...[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Game: 2nd Half BOS Celtics +0[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif] This brings Line to Celtics Live +9-105 (no value present really)[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Will wait to see if any move takes place...[/FONT]
My book does not let me parlay 2ndH Celtics ML-105 and Over 105 -128.
for this reason lets just risk additional 1.5 units to win 1.425 units (2ndH ML BOS -105)
YTD (projected 10-8 (55.56%) +4.98446 units
12/13/16 (3-1 +3.99295)
d1g1t OR
YTD (projected 10-10 (50.0%) -2.5 units
12/13/16 (1-3 -3.49151)
for this reason lets just risk additional 1.5 units to win 1.425 units (2ndH ML BOS -105)
YTD (projected 10-8 (55.56%) +4.98446 units
12/13/16 (3-1 +3.99295)
d1g1t OR
YTD (projected 10-10 (50.0%) -2.5 units
12/13/16 (1-3 -3.49151)
Last edited:
There was an opportunity for a middle Live Spurs -5.5 -112.
No play placed but just wanted to point out how to take of advantage in live Plays to hedge and guarantee Profits.
There was opportunity to even hit both... i have been observing live lines on Nitrogen but it will be hard for those to follow since plays fall off pretty quickly.
I may start a new thread for Live Plays Only for future where you can subscribe to thread to get instant alerts when plays are posted. if this is the case thread will only be used for Live Plays and all recaps will be completed on daily thread. I feel this will be the best option if Live Betting becomes something I want to capitalize on....
No play placed but just wanted to point out how to take of advantage in live Plays to hedge and guarantee Profits.
There was opportunity to even hit both... i have been observing live lines on Nitrogen but it will be hard for those to follow since plays fall off pretty quickly.
I may start a new thread for Live Plays Only for future where you can subscribe to thread to get instant alerts when plays are posted. if this is the case thread will only be used for Live Plays and all recaps will be completed on daily thread. I feel this will be the best option if Live Betting becomes something I want to capitalize on....
12/13/16 3-1 +3.99295 units on Straight Plays
1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119) WINNER +3 units
1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML LOSER -2.5 units
Live Boston Celtics+9.5 (-120) WINNER +2.06795 Units
2ndH Boston Celtics ML-(-105) WINNER +1.425 Units
12/13/16 TOTAL 3-1 +1.99295 (-2 units from Parlays)
1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119) WINNER +3 units
1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML LOSER -2.5 units
Live Boston Celtics+9.5 (-120) WINNER +2.06795 Units
2ndH Boston Celtics ML-(-105) WINNER +1.425 Units
12/13/16 TOTAL 3-1 +1.99295 (-2 units from Parlays)
YTD AFTER today 10-8 (55.55%) +5.98446
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
10-3 in our last 13 plays (76.9% cheersgif)
_______________________________________________________________________________________
YTD prior to todays plays 7-7 (50%) +3.99151 units
Parlays 1-2 (33.33%) yielding us a loss of -0.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash.
7-2 in our last 9 plays
Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.
10-3 in our last 13 plays (76.9% cheersgif)
_______________________________________________________________________________________
YTD prior to todays plays 7-7 (50%) +3.99151 units
Parlays 1-2 (33.33%) yielding us a loss of -0.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash.
7-2 in our last 9 plays
