drunken NFL week 7

[drunkguy]

last week:

2-3-1 -0.3 units

year to date:

22-13-4 +10.8 units


Tampa Bay -3 -120 San Francisco

Bucs much more talented team, huge coaching edge. San Francisco has not been able to put much together this year, and will struggle quite a bit against thie tough Bucs D. Tampa has performed well on the orad, and the strength of Gruden's coaching will let them win this one. Grabbing it early at -3; already moving to -3.5 at most books.

 

[RPM]

good luck drunk!~ looks like a good play. thanks for sharing

 

[drunkguy]

Adding:

Kansas City -3 -130 Oakland (1/2 point buy)

KC has been on a roll and see no good reason to go against them this week against the hapless Raiders. Oakland dead last in NFL in rushing yards allowed, which is not a good sign going against prolific Priest Holmes. KC rush defense has also been giving up yardage, but Oak has no running game to speak of. Only downside is that this is the 4th straight road game for the chiefs. Oakland has failed to cover 11 straight, and usually like to buck these kinds of trends, but still think Oakland will not be able to step it up enough here. Leaning on the under, and may add later in the week. Chiefs will likely play a ball-control type game, and may be able to hold Oakland to the mid teens in scoring.

 

[Oren1]

think these are very good plays this weekend d-guy. I'd go to the Monday night game but I'm pretty confident the Raiders will get destroyed so I'm not going to subject myself to the pain. Should be K.C. -4 or maybe 4 1/2 IMO. And the Niners just look terrible, Tampa's gonna roll.

 

[drunkguy]

Adding:

Minnesota -3 -120 Denver

This one moving up quick, so get it while it's low. Both teams evenly matched over the ground, but Denver has not been convincing passing and now without Plummer. Meanwhile, Minnesota gets back a powerful weapon with Culpepper. Minnesota off a bye has plenty of time to prepare.


Green Bay +4 ST Louis

St Louis looked great against Atlanta, but who wouldn't? Although they pulled out a big win on Monday night, made lost of mistakes and some bad play calling. That will cost them against a more talented Green Bay team. This matches up as a battle of run vs pass, but Ahman Green should keep the ball rolling and rack up decent yardage here. Favre may be able to make some progress against the Rams secondary. Green Bay almost (and should have) knocked off the Chiefs last week, and the Favre dome-jinx comes to an end this week.

 

[drunkguy]

Adding:

Chicago +11 Seattle

Chris Chandler is starting this week. He's a much better passer than Kordell and what he lacks in mobility he will make up in accuracy. Good receivers on this team, they just need someone to get the ball to them. Running game has looked improved, and though A-train won't start, Adrian Peterson may be able to step up. Bears D should be able to at least hold them within back-ddor range. Seattle nearly choked last week against San Fran, so I'm looking for the bears to keep it close this week.

Tennessee +1.5 Carolina

If anyone can bust up the Carolina D, it's McNair. Carolina offense will struggle in a big way against the Titans, and I don't expect them to score more than 10 points. Carolina defense could hold Tennessee to 3 scores or less, but it will still be too much to get the win.

 

[TheGeneral+]

Good job drunkguy

Good luck Monday

 

[drunkguy]

Not too bad of a week. Recap:

Tampa Bay -3 -120 San Francisco LOSE
Kansas City -3 -130 Oakland (1/2 point buy) WIN
Minnesota -3 -120 Denver WIN
Green Bay +4 ST Louis LOSE
Chicago +11 Seattle WIN
Tennessee +1.5 Carolina WIN

This week:

4-2 +1.7 units

Season to date:

26-15-4 +12.5 units

Thanks to everyone who added their comments!