last week:
5-2-1 + 3.8 units
to date:
7-3-2 +6.0 units
This week's picks:
Buffalo +3 Miami (2 units)
I see these two teams matching up very nicely. Buffalo is much improved against the run this year and, though they haven't seen the likes of Rickey Williams yet, should be effective enough to keep him from having a spectacular game (held fred taylor to 71 yds last week). Miami gave up 366 yards in the air last week against the Jets, and Bledsoe should have a field day here with his high talent receivers. They key to beating the Jets was running Williams, but I think they will need make Fiedler beat them in the air here. Fiedler may not be able to do. Buffalo is on a roll and I will stick with them until they prove me otherwise. Miami does have revenge and home field working for them though. I forecast a close Buffalo win here, and will gladly take the points.
Seattle -3 St Louis
Again, going with the hot team here. Seattle's offense has been formidable, and St Louis has been weak, especially in the defensive secondary. The Rams offensive line is unreliable and they were lucky to escape with a win vs SF last week. Rams also 1-10 ATS and SU on the road last 11.
Kansas City -7.5 Houston
Seems like every tout and his brother is on the dogs in this game, which is exactly why I'm going against it. Don't let Houston fool you...they were exposed by a less-than-stellar New Orleans team last week (lost 31-10) and now facing one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. KC also has highly improved defense from last year. Beating Miami was a fluke. We'll see the real Houston here, and it won't be pretty...
Minnesota -3.5 Detroit
No way Detroit's secondary can keep up with Moss & Co. Sure, Detroit beat Arizona by a huge margin, but look depper into that and you will see Arizona was better in almost all major statistical categories except penalties and turnovers. Both have played GB at Lambeau this year...Minny came away with a close win, while Detroit got beat convincingly. Talent differnce is too much for Detroit to overcome here, even at home.
Cincinatti +4.5 Pittsburgh (2 units)
Cincinatti +190
Pittsburgh has turned into a one dimension passing team now that the era of the Bus is over. Cincinatti is ranked #1 against the pass, having good showings against the Broncos (109 pass yds allowed, 3 INTs) and the pass-happy Raiders (103 pass yds allowed). Cincinatti may not have Corey Dillon, but their passing attack has been potent with Chad Johnson and they should be able to exploit a weak Pit secondary. Cincinatti has hurt themselves with turnovers, and if they can keep the mistakes to a minimum, will be the big upset of Week 3 with a win at home.
5-2-1 + 3.8 units
to date:
7-3-2 +6.0 units
This week's picks:
Buffalo +3 Miami (2 units)
I see these two teams matching up very nicely. Buffalo is much improved against the run this year and, though they haven't seen the likes of Rickey Williams yet, should be effective enough to keep him from having a spectacular game (held fred taylor to 71 yds last week). Miami gave up 366 yards in the air last week against the Jets, and Bledsoe should have a field day here with his high talent receivers. They key to beating the Jets was running Williams, but I think they will need make Fiedler beat them in the air here. Fiedler may not be able to do. Buffalo is on a roll and I will stick with them until they prove me otherwise. Miami does have revenge and home field working for them though. I forecast a close Buffalo win here, and will gladly take the points.
Seattle -3 St Louis
Again, going with the hot team here. Seattle's offense has been formidable, and St Louis has been weak, especially in the defensive secondary. The Rams offensive line is unreliable and they were lucky to escape with a win vs SF last week. Rams also 1-10 ATS and SU on the road last 11.
Kansas City -7.5 Houston
Seems like every tout and his brother is on the dogs in this game, which is exactly why I'm going against it. Don't let Houston fool you...they were exposed by a less-than-stellar New Orleans team last week (lost 31-10) and now facing one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. KC also has highly improved defense from last year. Beating Miami was a fluke. We'll see the real Houston here, and it won't be pretty...
Minnesota -3.5 Detroit
No way Detroit's secondary can keep up with Moss & Co. Sure, Detroit beat Arizona by a huge margin, but look depper into that and you will see Arizona was better in almost all major statistical categories except penalties and turnovers. Both have played GB at Lambeau this year...Minny came away with a close win, while Detroit got beat convincingly. Talent differnce is too much for Detroit to overcome here, even at home.
Cincinatti +4.5 Pittsburgh (2 units)
Cincinatti +190
Pittsburgh has turned into a one dimension passing team now that the era of the Bus is over. Cincinatti is ranked #1 against the pass, having good showings against the Broncos (109 pass yds allowed, 3 INTs) and the pass-happy Raiders (103 pass yds allowed). Cincinatti may not have Corey Dillon, but their passing attack has been potent with Chad Johnson and they should be able to exploit a weak Pit secondary. Cincinatti has hurt themselves with turnovers, and if they can keep the mistakes to a minimum, will be the big upset of Week 3 with a win at home.
