Divisional Round Lines and Discussion

[Loves2kickass]

Kansas City -5, 57 vs Indianapolis

LA Rams -7, 49 vs Dallas

New England -4, 45 vs San Diego

New Orleans -8, 51 vs Philadelphia


I feel New England line is a trap. The line to me says they cover. I would have thought it would have been a PK. New Orleans line is high in my opinion for a divisional round game. Same with the Rams. Kansas City should be a good game. The Colts run may be over.

 

[StevieRay]

Colts have a good D

 

[Celebdawg]

You thought Brady and Belichek in Foxboro in the Divisional Round vs Rivers and Lynn was going to be a pick em? Are you serious? Brady is 7-0 vs Rivers in his career and hasn't lost in Foxboro in the playoffs since the Ravens beat them in 2012. I heard Cowherd say the same thing this morning, and it's absolutely ridiculous. Pats line is right where it should be.

 

[WinnersareGrinners]

IMO the NE line is reflective of the fact LAC overall is abetter team but the line is a tip of the hat to the 2 B’s and their provenplayoff record plus the cold conditions that they are used to, if they put upNE -1 they’d get swamped……FWIW I feel the Chargers win this game straight upbut I fully understand why they made NE -4.5, until the Chargers prove they canwin in the cold in a big game there will be doubters





LAC can go all the way, this is the game you will get hugevalue 18/10 ML is great value

 

[brendanjack]

Is maholmes the lone rookie who can get it done or more of the same Andy fucken Reid.

 

[Loves2kickass]

You thought Brady and Belichek in Foxboro in the Divisional Round vs Rivers and Lynn was going to be a pick em? Are you serious? Brady is 7-0 vs Rivers in his career and hasn't lost in Foxboro in the playoffs since the Ravens beat them in 2012. I heard Cowherd say the same thing this morning, and it's absolutely ridiculous. Pats line is right where it should be.

I figured PK-3

 

[wizard1183]

I see Dallas upsetting Rams

 

[halekulani]

theres gonna be more dallas fans than rams fans at the game.

 

[Loves2kickass]

I think Dallas may be able to keep it close.

 

[MLB]

I had line at 4.5/46.5. it's right where I figured it would be. I am taking LAC on ML as well as +4.5. Brady has always had problem with teams that are able to put pressure on him regularly. LAC have the defense to collapse Brady and Co. I see the game 27-23 LAC.

 

[powerz]

IMO the NE line is reflective of the fact LAC overall is abetter team but the line is a tip of the hat to the 2 B’s and their provenplayoff record plus the cold conditions that they are used to, if they put upNE -1 they’d get swamped……FWIW I feel the Chargers win this game straight upbut I fully understand why they made NE -4.5, until the Chargers prove they canwin in the cold in a big game there will be doubters





LAC can go all the way, this is the game you will get hugevalue 18/10 ML is great value

I cant express what a great post this is!

I have NE -9 in PR's which I know is way off. Kind of the opposite of the PK line & That is why it is -4 -4.5....balance the money.

I'll be on the chargers for sure if Mike Williams holds on to a few of those passes SUNDAY AM that game would have looked really bad. SD is the best team in the AFC

 

[TreyMethod]

My early thoughts...

KC + under (range of KC 30-21... I don’t think we’ll see a shootout like many expect)

Dallas + under (thinking Dallas could upset Rams - Rams have worst defense against the run YPC and Zeke is a beast. I expect him to get 30+ touches and Dallas will try to control the clock... 24-20 Dallas)

Bolts + over (think Bolts go to the Bowl this year... Pats are decimated and lose offensive weapons by the week. Bolts 31-21)

Saints + under (Saints likely come out rusty basically without playing meaningful football in 3 weeks but kick it open in second half. 30-17 Saints)

 

[DosEquis153]

Anyone else feel like +pt teasers in divisional games make a lot more sense? Think there is smaller chance for absolute blowouts

Took LAC+10.5 and Colts +11.5 - I feel like could do the same with Eagles and Cowboys and still feel pretty good about them. This post ensures that it will not be the case so fade accordingly.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

31 for Foxboro on Sunday, 7 mph wind so at least that won't be an issue.

For as much as LAC fans are griping over the early playing time, they'll get warmer temps in the afternoon than once the sun drops towards 17 deg

 

[Serbone]

Again.

The primo teams have been coasting. They are rested and a lot of their dings are healed. NO not all 4 will cover. YES I know this happens every year for the 2nd round.

Chargers are solid but beat a Balty team with no offense, this will be Charger's 3rd game on the road, have to go to NE for another early EST start... and colder weather, all big disadvantages at this time of the year, and do not underestimate the Patriots at home, rested, prepared.

Rams D is 1000% better than the narrative, Suh, Arnold, Brokaus, & Fowler will unleash hell this Sunday and in this spot Dak will not be able to keep up with Goff.

Indy is solid but just played an overrated Texas team (overrated D, so so mediocre O) and will be overwhelmed by KC, KC defense is better than the narrative, too, a good pass rush, and Mahones should pull away early in a colder weather game on natural turf.

The Eagles are interesting getting all those points, but if anybody is going to exploit their so so secondary, it is Brees. Saints are solid, Eagles still have a problem with running game and their secondary is still dinged.

So IMO the home fat favorites are the way to go, should go 3-1. I like KC and Rams the most, think one of the other two visiting dogs (Chargers, Eagles) might cover.

I guess as the week goes by with new info I could flip on one of these but this is how I see it, matter of which games to go small, regular of BIG.

GL!

 

[pistol495]

Chargers fan here

I think people are severely underestimating Pats ability to game plan for this game. Yes they are somewhat limited versus years past but its the same masterminds behind the wheel. Lynn said it yesterday - I have faced this team eight different times and the game has been played in eight different ways. So whatever you think you know you probably dont

The only belief you can hang your hat on as a Charger backer this week is if you believe the DL will apply the pressure that we have seen disrupt Brady in the past - that's up the middle pressure not outside pressure. We have all seen it (NYG, BAL, NYJ, ATL for a half) albeit far too little for my taste.

No pressure no way they cover. Lose by 6-10.

Weather is irrelevant in my opinion

 

[Loves2kickass]

The weather is relevant if its cold (below 30), if you have a warm weather team playing in the cold. I see right now expected temp at game time is 27. As I see snow is not expected on game day. The temp is the most important weather factor for games (not totals unless we are talking about wind).

 

[Serbone]

Physics.
COLD WEATHER GAME.
Weather is very relevant this time of the year.
It is not a matter of comfort.
It is the physics of football, catching the ball, throwing the ball, holding the ball, are different and the home teams are familiar with it and the visitors cannot adjust completely, no matter what they are told.

 

[pistol495]

Physics.
COLD WEATHER GAME.
Weather is very relevant this time of the year.
It is not a matter of comfort.
It is the physics of football, catching the ball, throwing the ball, holding the ball, are different and the home teams are familiar with it and the visitors cannot adjust completely, no matter what they are told.

OK thats fair. Just dont see it being a large factor in this matchup because of the versatility of both teams

 

[Loves2kickass]

Anyone here from NE that can give weather updates?