"8:15PM EST. The Lions backed into the playoffs in epic fashion. Detroit closed the season with an 0-3 record and needed the Redskins to lose outright in Week 17 as a 7½-point favorite against a Giants team that could not improve their playoff position. The Lions still had a chance to host a playoff game this weekend with a Sunday night home win over the Packers to close the season but lost 31-24. Now they face the unenviable task of travelling to Seattle to face the Seahawks. The Lions are taking back eight points in this game and it might not be enough. The Lions trailed in the fourth quarter in 15 of their 16 games this season. Eight of their nine wins came in games where they trailed in the final frame. Those stats add up to Detroit being one of the “luckiest” teams of all time. The Lions completed two of their eight late game comebacks on the road but both of those were in the comfort of a dome. Detroit is 0-3 in outdoor games this season. In their final three games, the Lions played the Packers, Cowboys and Giants. They failed to cover in every one of those games and lost by double digits to a Cowboys’ squad that had “nothing to play for” on Monday Night Football. Usually when a team makes the playoffs they are playing well and rolling but that is not the case with these Lions. Detroit had three huge opportunities down the stretch to test itself and improve their playoff position against quality competition and failed miserably each time. The Lions cannot feel good about themselves headed into this tough road game in Seattle. Defensively, Detroit allowed 31 touchdown passes and ranked 31st in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation. The Lions have no running game to speak of and conditions in the Pacific Northwest are expected to be cold and wet, not ideal for the pass happy Lions or Matt's Stafford's bum finger."
"Seattle isn't getting the respect they usually do heading into this home playoff game. Maybe it's because their running game hasn't been able to pick up the slack left by Marshawn Lynch. Maybe it’s because they are just .500 against the spread this season or their defense seems vulnerable with the loss of Earl Thomas. The Seahawks also didn't look great down the stretch, as they barely got by the 49ers in Week 17 while losing outright to the Cardinals at home in Week 16. Regardless of the reason, it looks like we are getting a deal on the undervalued Seahawks. Despite their struggles this season, Seattle was a high percentage play at home covering six of their eight games and beside that, they are a team built to win in the playoffs. We always preach “to go with the best of it”, and “let the chips fall where they may”. We've seen many pick sellers and pundits preaching there's “value” in the Lions but we're not buying it. Sometimes there's value in the favorite and this looks like one of those times.
Recomendation: Seattle -8 (No bets)."
http://sportswagers.ca/blog/article.php?bID=85