Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers 10/3/2010

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The Green Bay Packers are a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over the Detroit Lions. Aaron Rodgers is averaging 305 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Brandon Jackson is projected for 43 rushing yards and a 32% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Detroit Lions wins, Shaun Hill averages 1.4 TD passes vs 0.7 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.99 TDs to 1.44 interceptions. Jahvid Best averages 81 rushing yards and 0.94 rushing TDs when Detroit Lions wins and 42 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Green Bay Packers has a 60% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GB -14 --- Over/Under line is 45.5

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