Dan's Thursday Hoops (15-10-1) 3rd BIG BET OF THE YEAR

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Knowledge is Power
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UNDER202'

GRAB IT NOW BEFORE IT DROPS!!!!!!

2-0 on big plays this year.... and i REALLY like this one

Didn't think there'd be another gimme this season.... but god damn.. record setting day for orlando offense yesterday gives us this sexy line

No FUCKEN WAY orlando shoots 62.5 percent and i HIGHLY DOUBT lakers reach the 51 percent mark

Look at the previous games

100-75
101-96 WITH OVER TIME (still went under this game LOLOL)

The finals is a game of adjustments.... LA could not fucken guard anyone.. everone other than gortat shot over 50 percent+ (gortat 0-1)... Offensively the lakers just got spanked, they know this. This is the fucken finals and coachs and players stress DEFENSE. This is a wake up call. I expect lock down defense next game... and honestly even if we dont get lock down defense this game STILL goes under... look at first two games.. Also keep in mind lakers shot 51% with all those ridicious missed shots at the end of game.

Skip to my Lou had his first good game in a fucken long ass time.. 8-12 with 20 points. the dude flippin got some airtime at the end of the game. i say good. Honestly, i could not be happier with this streetballer with an overconfidence ego. we all know your a carrer 38.5 percent shooter and even worse in this years playoffs.. i say fire away.... go out there and PROVE that your better than JAMER who is gonna take your playing time next year... c'mon man its your big chance to win the master of panic's heart and get yourself playing time and a more $$$ in the future. I'll fade rafer anyday.

Additionally, last game there were 20 fast break points, while the first two games there were 8 and 4 respectively.. HELLO?!?! this aint the regular season. the top defensive team and a running team like LA should NOT be giviing up 20 fast break points. Coachs and film will MAKE THEM FEEL LIKE SHIT and they know next time that this shit aint happening again. Also, i would like to stress how MUCH fast break points help the over (even more than FT)... literally no time comes off the coach and 2 free points. C'mon... at least Fts you gotta run a play and get to the hoop or throw it into dwight and let him work. and FTs dont guarentee 2 free points (as we seen today)

Playoff pressure, i cannot stress this any more. there will b missed fts. i would love to get a comprehsive on how players do in FTs in the playoffs vs year vs. the regular season play. must be horrible.

Lakers crack down on defensive nxt game. they do not wanna be down 2-2 with another game at orlando. Though this isn't "much win"... a egotistical freak like kobe beat himself up yesterday. he will not be able to look himself in the mirror if he doesn't perform next game. C'mon we all saw how french air jordan shake and baked him on that fast break... kobe knows that, hell hes probably watching it on film right now. defense will be there

The bright beacon for lakers was gasol... 8-10 or sompthing? to lazy to check... I'm sure lakers will try to get him more touches. but big dwight will step up too. defensive players of the years don't like it when their assignment goes 8-10 on them.

Honestly, heres how i see it.. lakers shut down defense and orlando runs their give to dwight so he can work and throw it out to the corner that rotates the ball 3 times and rafar airballs the corner 3. run that slow ass pased offensive.. both teams.

PLus, we all know how the public over values the lakers offense

Even if you don't buy the above this is all i have to say...

ORLANDO DOES NOT SHOOT 62.5 percent
LAKERS DO NOT SHOOT 51 percent

even if both teams shoot 50 (highly doubt)..... they probably won't cover 202.

if both teams don't give up 10 fast break points each... they probably will not cover 202



TAKE IT OR FADE IT
 

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Excellent perspective, thanks to this post I will review my OVER lean, I use a local so i can't get an OT bet, I am leaning (or was) leaning Over because I see another tight game with the possibility of OT, time to sharpen the pencil. Nice post and thanks, information like this is what makes this forum valuable, its just a matter of weeding out the jackasses. I 've been doing this a long time and overlooked those percentages (also very tired, long night and early start) I guess this old Capt is getting senile, LOL, Good Luck Thursday.
The Capt~
 

L5Y, USC is 4-0 vs SEC, outscoring them 167-48!!!
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Nice. I dare Skip to jack up as many shots as he did last night come Thursday.
 

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Nice. I dare Skip to jack up as many shots as he did last night come Thursday.[/quote
lol. guess you really don't have a clue lil girl. he gonna have to be aggressive to play well. rather have him shoot then turnover the ball.
 

L5Y, USC is 4-0 vs SEC, outscoring them 167-48!!!
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Nice. I dare Skip to jack up as many shots as he did last night come Thursday.[/quote
lol. guess you really don't have a clue lil girl. he gonna have to be aggressive to play well. rather have him shoot then turnover the ball.

LOL! Here we go. And in proving my point your those kids who believe his shots will fall again too.

:ohno:
 

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i also had a slight lean on the over considering magic wants to push the tempo. good write up though
 

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Excellent perspective, thanks to this post I will review my OVER lean, I use a local so i can't get an OT bet, I am leaning (or was) leaning Over because I see another tight game with the possibility of OT, time to sharpen the pencil. Nice post and thanks, information like this is what makes this forum valuable, its just a matter of weeding out the jackasses. I 've been doing this a long time and overlooked those percentages (also very tired, long night and early start) I guess this old Capt is getting senile, LOL, Good Luck Thursday.
The Capt~

Did I call this or what! Never thought it would stay under in OT, winner's all around for me! Thanks for the post, I rethought my play, went with logic and had a winner!
 

Knowledge is Power
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Really good day for me =)... glad i could help those who followed

Hit the big bet under... hit my small wage on lakers moneyline (didnt post and i wont add to record) and hit my kobe over 31 1/2 prop bet.... that OT was a blessing in disguise!
 

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