Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots 10/17/2021

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 50% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 17% of simulations and they go on to win 81% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dak Prescott is averaging 307 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Damien Harris is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
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