~Cowboys Host The Indians On Thanksgiving day ~

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Nov 23, 2016

What awful scheduling by the NFL on turkey day is my option with two teams that have outstanding ratings with great play-off hopes. Washington & Dallas on short week but Washington has to travel off a Sunday late night game and have to play on road. Well lets look at some really important stat's that might make the difference in this match-up. Then our power rating for comparison in this match-up guys. WAS yards per play 6.4 rated #2 > DAL 6.2 rated #3. WAS tied with CLE giving up average of 4.6 yards at rating at#30. Now this one is really important Guys !!! Cowboys Down & Distance> DAL 665 snaps & Defense 600 snaps through the last 10 games. Average is 6 1/2 offense snaps then the defense. You don't have to be a rocket scientist to comprehend this stat / LOL !!. WAS in my option will never stop running attack of DAL. Redskins only advantage in this match up is passing game using there 3 wide-outs with tight ends. ** Washington’s offense can keep pace with Dallas’s offense, Washington could cover the spread however I don't think so from my analysis.} From our rating and analysis our Power Ratings has generated a 67% chance of this game will score a lot of points not for WAS but DAL I am hoping// LOL !!. Just kidding both teams...

*Our Power Rating with 'The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders' the group causing or relating to a complete change relating to the point spread in team match-ups with there analysis. Statistics that break down every single play of the NFL season, a outstanding tool I use with our power ratings that gives us a edge in picking games we bet. Our Power Ranking WASH> 13 To DAL> 5 = DAL+8....Offense Points DAL+6 to WAS....Defense Points WAS 22.8 to DAL 19.1... Defense Yards> WAS 369.8 to DAL 358[ close]....Total Yards Of Play WAS 420.2 to DAL 416.8[ close again].... Overall Rating with other stats DAL+9.... My Bet on this match-up> Win with the Colts point spread Sunday[ that I said would be a press]>>>press on the Dallas Money Line [-$ 285 on the lay ]//// Dallas -6 1/2 ////& Dallas -3 for the half////[> small money bet for cocktails & tips and cab fare because I think I will be total inebriated with old school buddies LOL !!! LOL !!!] My overall option Dallas wins by double dejects !!!!!

Hårr¥THëHÄT [Happy Turkey Day Guy's]

*** Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication & motivation when you are handicapping games with betting success in the NFL

StevieRay · Nov 23, 2016

Good luck Harry

KingEleven · Nov 23, 2016

good luck, as a Cowboys fan certainly hope you are correct!

indiana · Nov 23, 2016

Mr.H/hat..........great write up............BOL with your action...........you and your family have a great Holiday............indy

tulah · Nov 24, 2016

Hey Harry , I'm a Die hard Skins fan and we need this game.
Get em next time. Lol

may the best team win:toast:

Dlight · Nov 24, 2016

There all pounding the skins. Line at 6 now. Dallas is the play for me. Keep pounding suckers

fadetheaction · Nov 24, 2016

Dalla at -6- in the burg.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Nov 24, 2016

More information from different handicappers who like the Plays & Bets today. Just Can't receive enough information when picking a team to win. ~Complements From Hårr¥THëHÄT~

Michael Alexander [Steelers vs Colts]>> The Steelers seem to be back on track, with 24-9 win over the horrible Browns, while recording 8 sacks. That win snapped a 4-game Pittsburgh losing streak, since the injury to Ben. Ben is back tonight, and that is the big key here. The Steelers were +116 points ATS in 8-of-9 games Ben going down. In the 4 game losing streak, the Steelers were -42½ points ATS. The Colts come into this one off their first back-to-back wins this season, putting them into a tie with the Ravens. However, Indianapolis is 1-10 ATS at home vs a non-division opponent when off a SU win and cover.

Dave Price {Vikings vs Lions}>>>The Key: This is all about revenge for the Minnesota Vikings, who lost a heartbreaker 22-16 (OT) to the Detroit Lions just three weeks ago. The Vikings thought they had won it with a 1-yard touchdown run with only 23 seconds remaining, but the Lions somehow managed to get down the field and make a 58-yard field goal to force overtime. They got the ball on their first possession of OT and scored a touchdown to win the game. It was yet another miraculous comeback win for Matthew Stafford, who seems to have one every time they win. The Lions are 6-4 this season, but all 6 wins have come by 7 points or fewer. I think they are definitely a flawed team and that shows up in the numbers. The Lions rank 28th in yardage differential as they are getting outgained by 26.5 yards per game on the season. The Vikings have outgained the Lions in 4 straight meetings in this series. The Vikings are 9-2 ATS as underdogs over the last 2 seasons. They are 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games overall. Minnesota is 14-6-3 ATS in the last 23 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in its last 5 trips to Detroit. The Vikings are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win. Take Minnesota +2

Bill Biles [ Redskins vs Cowboys ] >>> This will be a shootout. If you love offense and speed this is your game. Both teams have the Offense to take advantage of the weaknesses of the D. Also both teams are playing well so look for this one to go over.
Pick= Over 51.5 Chase Diamond [Redskins vs Cowboys] Cowboys -6½ >> This huge NFC East game has the 6-3-1 Redskins at the 9-1 Cowboys. Who when Tony Romo went down thought Dallas would be 9-1 not me that is for sure but this line should tell you all you need to know on what Vegas thinks of the Cowboys. Since September 18th the Cowboys are 9-0 ATS and show no signs of letting up. Redskins are 7-1 last 8 weeks ATS so both teams have brought the money for customers. Since 1980 NFL teams that are dogs of 6 or more points and off two ATS wins at home and scored 65 or more points are 0-12 ATS which is a huge trend to note. Yes the public is on the Cowboys in this one but the money is almost 50/50. Take the Cowboys minus the spread for a winner. -6 1/2 OR -7

Jimmy Boyd [ Steelers vs Colts] This is a big number to lay on the road in a prime time game, but I don’t know how you take the Colts in this one. Indianapolis will be without starting quarterback Andrew Luck. That means the Colts are going to have to turn to backup Scott Tolzien. A former backup in Green Bay that hasn’t seen meaningful snaps in 3 years. In the limited action he’s played, he’s thrown just 1 touchdown to 5 interceptions on 90 attempts.
I just don’t think the books can set this line high enough. The only reason Indy is sitting at 5-5 is because of the play of Luck. He’s essentially put this team on his shoulders this season. In fact, I don’t think people realize just how much he means to this team. He’s completed 63% of his attempts with 19 TD’s to just 8 INT’s despite being under constant pressure. Tolzien simply doesn't know what he's in store for. Not only is he going to take some big hits, he's likely going to make some costly mistakes that lead to turnovers and quick scores for the Steelers. I don’t know that the Colts would even have a win this season if Luck wasn’t at quarterback. They would be right there with the Browns as one of the worst teams in the league. They might even be worse. Keep in mind Pittsburgh was only a 8-point favorite last week at Cleveland. If you liked the Steelers against the Browns, no reason not to like them here (I had Pittsburgh as a 4* play against Cleveland).

Let’s not forget this is a Colts offense that can’t run the football and are 30th in the league defensively. It’s not like Indy can play it safe with Tolzien. He’s going to be forced to throw a lot and I just don’t think he’s capable of putting together the type of performance needed to keep this game close.
I think it’s also important to note this isn’t a game Pittsburgh can afford to lose. The Steelers are tied with Baltimore on top the AFC North at 5-5. They likely need to win the division to make the playoffs. They are going to come in looking to put away the Colts early and not give this team any hope. Take Pittsburgh! -8

Jack Jones [ Steelers vs Colts] These are two teams with identical 5-5 records this season. One would think you would want to take the home underdog catching 7.5 points in that situation, but I’m not one of them. Even before it was announced Andrew Luck wasn’t going to play, it was clear to me that the Steelers were by far the superior team despite having the same record.

The Steelers have actually outgained each of their last four opponents despite losing three of those contests. And they didn’t have a healthy Ben Roethlisberger for two of them. Roethlisberger returned against the Cowboys and they should have won that game had they not failed on four two-point conversions. But the Steelers got back on track with a 24-9 win at Cleveland last week in which they outgained the Browns by 104 yards. They have now outgained seven of their ten opponents this season.
The Colts are one of the worst teams in the NFL in my opinion, and the numbers show it. They have actually been outgained in seven of their ten games this season. They rank 30th in the NFL in yardage differential, getting outgained by 41.0 yards per game. Only the Browns and 49ers have been worse in that department.

Now without Luck they have almost no chance of keeping this game competitive. Scott Tolzien will get the start after serving as Aaron Rodgers’ backup in Green Bay. He has not fared well in limited playing time, throwing one touchdown and five interceptions in his brief career. He’s going to be asked to go score for score with the Steelers, and I don’t think he’s capable of it.

The Steelers will hang a big number on the Colts here. Indianapolis gives up 27.3 points per game while ranking 30th in the NFL in total defense at 397.6 yards per game. Just last year the Steelers faced the Colts without Luck. They won that game 45-10 as 10-point home favorites while outgaining the Colts 522 to 240, or by 282 total yards. Plays on road teams (PITTSBURGH) – after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 52-20 (72.2%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Bet the Steelers Thursday -8

Hårr¥THëHÄT