Coochie vs The Bookie

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Mariners vs Tigers ——- MAX BET

Mariners ML -145

Well, my friends… it has not been a very fun or ideal return from my vacation. Can’t run from it, can’t hide from it, we’ve really given back some units that we earned in August over the last 48 hours. It is never fun losing —- but when I woke up this morning I did so feeling DANGEROUS.

So when I opened up the lab, turned on the bunsen burners, and through on the spectacles, I found an absolute HAMMER spot.

Because anyone who knows me, you know I’m a SEAMAN. So I’m backing the Mariners to cash a big ticket for me today. First and foremost, the lads from the west coast have won six of their past eight games, including three in a row. Better still it’ll be Logan Gilbert who gets the start for Seattle, and although the man has some defined weaknesses, namely he struggles to get swinging misses and gives up hard contact. However, he’ll get to face a Tigers offense who is FEEBLE and MEEK.

The Tigers have averaged just 3.08 runs per game, good for last in the BigLeagues —- but more precisely the Tigers have the 3rd most K’s in baseball and rank 4th from the bottom in average exit velocity. That’ll be music to Gilbert's ears, getting a win shouldn’t be too tough for him if he’s himself.

Helps to know that Gilbert should also get some run support as the Mariners offense has found a rhythm of late, having tallied at least three runs in 17 of the past 18 games. Eduardo Rodriguez is on the bump today, and while yes it is true, Rodriguez has given up just one run over his past two starts (11 innings), the Mariners should be also to scratch across a few runs. Seattle has been hitting well and has a team 112 wRC+ off of lefties this season. Moreover, Rodriguez is walking a lot of batters and has a whiff rate in the bottom 1% of all of baseball —- and his xERA is almost a full run higher than his ERA —— bank on this guy getting touched up today.
 
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Royals vs Tigers

Under 8.5 -108 (SIA)

It’s my favorite bet of the MLB season, and it has returned after a rather lengthy hiatus from my betting card. It’s not been intentional you see, but the bastards at the book finally caught on to the trend —- this Tigers team LOVES to play games to the under. So while the Royals pitching staff has been prone to allowing high totals, the Tigers lineup is one to provide low-scoring games like it’s a poor and ugly guy in Miami.

So with Kansas City having scored the 7th-fewest runs, this should be a low-scoring opener. That was the case in each of the first 5 meetings between these teams, with multiple games ending with just 3 or 4 runs. Particularly when you realize that the Tigers are facing a lefty —- 2nd worst wRC+ in the Bigs against lefties! The case is only further aided by the fact that Sal Perez, the man who carries most of the pop for the Royals offense, hasn’t played in the past two games and is at that age where this time of year can mean little mini vacay.

So take out the limbo stick, and print the cheque already, because this one’s going UNDER.


 

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A’s ML -104 (Pinnacle) <2UnitBANGER>

One of the few bets we had yesterday that was nothing but sweet cash is one I’m going back to the well on —- and loading up two bullets in the chamber in doing so. And I know what you are thinking —- these games featuring 2 bad teams, 2 bad pitchers, and very little split this true toilet bowl match-up. So why bet it?

Well humans still play the game my friends, and if we know one thing about this As an organization it’s this; to a man, every player understands what the end goal is —- GET TRADED AND PAID ELSEWHERE.

So a meaningless game in August really ain’t that much different from their typical motivation —- play well for me so I can have a career. It ain’t about winning, it ain’t about much out there in Oakland let’s be honest. But because of that —- these A’s players are used to the late season circumstance bad teams find themselves in. In particular, the starting pitching match-up today screams fade the old dog, ride the young buck trying to make his name.
James Kaprielian has shown flashes in the past, but it’s been a tough year no two ways about it. HOWEVER, put together a dynamite September and maybe you find yourself pitching for a real team this time next year.

Anibal Sanchez on the otherside is old enough to be the father of some of the A’s hitters. He’s playing out the course of his career, he’ll probably get a camp invite regardless of how it goes —- and he’s not too far removed from real playoff baseball. He doesn’t care if he shuvs or gets touched up any more than a Nationals bettor does.

So find me with these A’s —- this is what this franchise does. Analytics count the same when the games don’t matter!

Choochie I love your ways with words. Brilliance Also, Nice Seattle hit
 
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Tigers vs Angels

Under 8.5 (-110)​

TIGERS. UNDERS. TILL. THE. COWS. COME. HOME.
  • 75-49-10 To the Under on the Season —- and we’ve been a part of at least 50 of those W’s
So when you realize that these teams just met 2 weeks ago, and all 3 games easily stayed under the total, your mouth begins to water. These three games finished with final scores of 1-0, 4-3, and 4-0 —- and that has been a theme for both of these teams this season, as they are both far down the list in terms of runs scored. The Tigers have been the absolute worst nearly the entire season, and facing a lefty is not something that’s going to help them — so while Ranger Suarez’s ain’t exactly the guy you want to have in the foxhole —- he has 3 wins in the last month —- with all those games ending with 7 or fewer runs scored.
The same can also be said about the Angels when they are slated to face lefties—- the Halos have the 4th-lowest OPS against such pitchers and have scored the 5th-fewest runs in the league —- just not a good hitting team much in the same way the Tigers aren’t.
So while the starting pitchers for the Tigers this year haven’t exactly been shaving —- their mediocre performances leaves way for a bullpen that’s been elite all year. So while we may see Trout and the boys from the city of fallen Angels get some leads across in the early going —- it’ll be the late innings that cash this ticket.
LIVE BET OPPORTUNITY —— very much a chance we see some runs scored in the first few innings —- so be aware. I will be watching it closely for some extra $$ winning oppurtunities.

 
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Tigers vs Angels (2Units)
Under 8.5 +100
A captain much always go down with the ship, and if I lose some coin down the stretch here going to the well on the cash cow of the year then so be it. But the truth remains that the Tigers truly can’t hit themselves out of a wet paper bag — and as such their games have gone to the under more than any other team in baseball. With the Tigers having scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games and overall the pitching outperforming the lineup, the trend looks like it’s here to stay.

Moreover, the Tigers will look to starter Drew Hutchison to continue his steady improvement, as he’s allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts with his ERA of 3.60 on the road compared to a 4.40 at home. Better still are the guys coming in behind Hutchison, as the Tigers bullpen ranks ninth in the league in ERA, a big reason the Tigers have played 60 percent of their games under the total this season.

So despite yesterday’s game just inching over the total, today we have a much more favorable pitching split with a righty going for the Tigers, and a lefty going for the Angels in Patrick Sandoval. Games setting up for the under nicely --- and will probably move in that direction come noon when the bigger money comes into the markets again.
 

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