Coochie vs Da Bookie

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Head over to my Substack to get my picks and plays e-mailed to you each morning!​


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Recap of Yesterday’s Damage​

Blazers ML —- Loser​

Blazers +3.5 —- Loser​

Providence +7.5 —— Winner​

Miami Fl -3 ——- Winner​

St. Peter’s 1st H +7.5 —— Winner​

Jackets ML —— Loser​

Jackets 3rdP ML —— Winner​

Finau over Schauffele —- Winner​

Scott over Speith —- Winner​

6-3 Record Yesterday (+3.21 Units)​

Record This Year To Date —— 337-320-36 (+28.86 Units)​



Have not been able to buy a win in the Association; so until further notice, I will be staying away from the professional hardwood. Apologies, any refunds will be given out when at the end of the billing period. (it’s free)


Duke Blue Devils vs Arkansas Razorbacks​

Play — Arkansas 1stH +2

The reality is; as far as I see it —- if Duke plays with the same level of intensity and focus that they brought to both ends of the floor on Thursday all year; they’d be undefeated. No one has as much talent on their roster, no one has as many players who can win a game, no one has the size and athleticism one through five. All year this has been on display in spurts, in places, at times —- but Thursday down the stretch Duke executed and made shots like no one else in the country can do; while rebounding and defending resolutely against a Texas Tech team who battle valiantly but ultimately ran out of steam offensively.

But the opposite side of the coin is equally true, there are far too many spurts of poor shot selection and missed rotations on defense to forget from this Blue Devils team. It’s a feature of this roster, and as much as I’ve been moved by their performances to date in the tournament I still cannot ignore the porous defense and at times frantic offense.

So with Musselman again as an underdog, again with the world deeming victory seemingly impossible, I want to back the Razorbacks desperately. But I can’t get the pictures of Roach and Paolo icing Texas Tech down the stretch —- and with the spread being within the late-game fouling disaster scenario —- so I’m going avoid both those situations and ride the Hogs in the first half.

Lights are bright for this one; Final Four on the line, Coach K retiring, Dukies come out tight and the Razorbacks grind out a slight lead to end the first half.


Villanova Wildcats vs Houston Cougars​

Play — Villanova ML 121

So you are telling me a game that’s destined to play out in the half-court, with the tough defense of both sides forcing one another deep into the shot clock, all the while remaining close down to the wire is going to take place and Jay Wright’s Villanova Wildcats will be 3 point underdogs? Well then color me blue and paint me like wildcat because I’m ALL OVER the fortunate 500 company of college basketball.

Look; at this point of the dance who teams were over the course of the season has been distilled down; we all know both teams are efficient on both ends of the floor. Houston’s an absolute wagon on defensively while Villanova does it with back-breakingly efficient offense and by forcing teams into contested looks.

Houston is long and athletic, cagey and determined — led by their Head Coach who faced much detraction despite building the program into a national powerhouse.

Across from them is the buttoned-up Jay Wright and the Villanova Wildcats, suit-wearing, free throw making, three-point splashing, Villanova Wildcats. It’s going to be an absolute slugfest, and that’s why I’m taking the Jay Wright and the Villanova Wildcats to come out on top.


New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals​

Play —- Over 6.5 (+120)

Both of these teams figure to produce at a better-than-average rate offensively down the stretch but hold less-than-dominant defensive play.

New Jersey’s speed off the rush can certainly expose several of Washington’s defenders, and I believe the Devils will find a way to create offense against a Capitals defense that has looked very shaky over their last three outings.

On the other side, the Devils will likely have Nico Daws between the pipes, who has played to -4.1 goals saved above-expected rating with a .901 save % throughout 16 games played this season in goal for the Devils, not exactly inspiring numbers.

Expect goals to be scored, and 7 makes this one a winner on plus money — which I prefer to 7 being a winner and 6 being a push at -120 with an O/U 6.


Kevin Na vs Will Zalatoris​

Play —- Kevin Na to Win +112

It appeared very much likely that more than halfway through Friday’s matches that both of these players would be watching from home on the weekend. But they came up clutch down the stretch, both on 18 and in playoff holes, rolling in putts to earn themselves another day of golf.

Look I think it’s pretty clear who is the better golfer at this point of their careers; Zatoris has proven himself a very good player on tour. But what I’m targeting is a guy in Zalatoris who is a brilliant ball-striker but can struggle on the greens, and I’m backing an absolute rottweiler-like Na to battle hard for 18. The guy just has a knack for making big shots, and rolling in putts when it matters most —- and I see him coming out on top today against Zalatoris.

Takumi Kanaya v Corey Conners​

Play — Takumi Kanaya to Win +143

Kanaya started slowly in his opening round which he lost to Xander Schauffele but bounced back well across his next two matches. He beat Tony Finau 1 up, then rolled through Lucas Herbert 5 & 4 on Friday to go to a playoff to decide the group. After winning on the first playoff hole, Kanaya will now play Corey Conners on Saturday morning.

Conners got the opening benefit of Paul Casey’s withdrawal and has effectively played just two matches. He’s a player who can go really cold with his short game at times and that is the crux of my pick for Kanaya on Day 4.

I will take the plus money odds on the budding Japanese star who has a chance to really burst onto the scene this weekend in Austin.


Max Verstappen to Win Saudi Grand Prix​

To Win Outright +120

(Posted before qualifying at 1 PM EST)​

Verstappen’s title defense did not go as planned, seeing him fail to finish the race with RedBull’s car dealing with engine issues. But that was last week, and this week after free practice RedBull seems to have solved their engine issues. At least the issue that was causing problems last week —- the fuel intake —- has seemingly been fixed with Max and his teammate Sergio Perez looking incredibly fast on the street circuit.

I fully expect this number to dip below + money when qualifying ends this afternoon; Leclerc has not performed the best on-street circuits in the past, and despite Ferrari seemingly having all the pace necessary, I expect RedBull to dominate this weekend.
 

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