Sup Sammy. Using linemoves and consensus sites.
Biggest line move of the week is Purdue - opened at -21.5 now at -27. Purdue is not more than a 60% consensus yet a huge LM. Seems to be SHARP on this one.
Highest Home team consensus with linemoves
74% Misso -19.5/20.5/21
71% Cuse -4/3.5/4
70% Florida -2.5/2/2.5/3/3.5
70% S Car -14
69% Cincy -14/13.5/14
69% G Tech -4
68% Wake -20/19
67% Was St -15.5/15/16.5/17/16.5
67% Wash -27/26.5/27
67% Ball St -4.5/5.5
64% Bama -12/13/14/13.5
64% Col St -5/5.5/6/6.5
64% NCSt -7.5/7/6
Highest Road team consensus with linemoves
77% Ok St -23/23.5/24
72% Tex -30.5/30/29.5
72% Tulane -16.5/17
69% Ms St -4.5
69% Col +19.5/19
69% Uconn -24/25.5/25/24.5/24
68% Pit -9.5/10/10.5/10
67% Kty -9.5/9/8.5
You may want to look at opposite/no moves from the consensus percentages(will track here starting this week):
-CFlo +4 with initial move in CF direction
-UAB +14
-Temple +14 with initial move in Temp direction
-Clem +4
-ECU +19 move in opposite direction (SHARP's sometimes bring the line down in the other direction and then put down a bigger wager just before KO)
-Idaho +27 with initial move in Id direction
-TT +6.5 LM in opp direction
-Rice +29.5 LM in opp direction
-Houston +4.5
-Indy +8.5 LM in opp direction
BrokeN
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 04:57 AM.]
Biggest line move of the week is Purdue - opened at -21.5 now at -27. Purdue is not more than a 60% consensus yet a huge LM. Seems to be SHARP on this one.
Highest Home team consensus with linemoves
74% Misso -19.5/20.5/21
71% Cuse -4/3.5/4
70% Florida -2.5/2/2.5/3/3.5
70% S Car -14
69% Cincy -14/13.5/14
69% G Tech -4
68% Wake -20/19
67% Was St -15.5/15/16.5/17/16.5
67% Wash -27/26.5/27
67% Ball St -4.5/5.5
64% Bama -12/13/14/13.5
64% Col St -5/5.5/6/6.5
64% NCSt -7.5/7/6
Highest Road team consensus with linemoves
77% Ok St -23/23.5/24
72% Tex -30.5/30/29.5
72% Tulane -16.5/17
69% Ms St -4.5
69% Col +19.5/19
69% Uconn -24/25.5/25/24.5/24
68% Pit -9.5/10/10.5/10
67% Kty -9.5/9/8.5
You may want to look at opposite/no moves from the consensus percentages(will track here starting this week):
-CFlo +4 with initial move in CF direction
-UAB +14
-Temple +14 with initial move in Temp direction
-Clem +4
-ECU +19 move in opposite direction (SHARP's sometimes bring the line down in the other direction and then put down a bigger wager just before KO)
-Idaho +27 with initial move in Id direction
-TT +6.5 LM in opp direction
-Rice +29.5 LM in opp direction
-Houston +4.5
-Indy +8.5 LM in opp direction
BrokeN
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 04:57 AM.]
http://www.bigguy.com/main/welcome.html?cd=1&screen=consensus&sp=CFB
The above is a mock consensus of the contest players.
The above is a mock consensus of the contest players.
I'll be at the Iowa vs ASU game. I was on the same page as everyone else at first. I did not get down early so I am waiting for it to go down to 6.5 ( and it will here at my local)or less and then I'll jump on the Hawks. This based more on a contrarian aspect.
Someone ( I think Strut/Fishead ) pointed out a middle opportunity earlier in the week, still looks good.
Luck
Someone ( I think Strut/Fishead ) pointed out a middle opportunity earlier in the week, still looks good.
Luck
Pat Mac, I feel that if anyone was lucky to find this site they should have all of the info they can to try and take the man's money so any and all info I know of will be given for FREE. BTW, thanks for the A&M (played Half and Game so vigged) and Nevada plays last pm. Once I saw both you and the Dr on them I bit.
mt actually I am unable to attain the most accurate public consensus which is done at Yahoo in their College pick um contest. In hind-sight it is awesome but the results are given a day after all games for the week have completed, which sucks! I used wagerline and scoresandodds.
Sammy, if you can believe it, Iowa and Zona have a bit more picks in their games. You gotta like the list above with Clemson, TT, and Temple up there don't you? Purdue flew out of the gate going all the way up to -26 within an hour of the open. Don't know but might be SHARP?????????
BrokeN
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 03:46 PM.]
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 03:47 PM.]
mt actually I am unable to attain the most accurate public consensus which is done at Yahoo in their College pick um contest. In hind-sight it is awesome but the results are given a day after all games for the week have completed, which sucks! I used wagerline and scoresandodds.
Sammy, if you can believe it, Iowa and Zona have a bit more picks in their games. You gotta like the list above with Clemson, TT, and Temple up there don't you? Purdue flew out of the gate going all the way up to -26 within an hour of the open. Don't know but might be SHARP?????????
BrokeN
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 03:46 PM.]
[This message was edited by BrokeN on September 19, 2003 at 03:47 PM.]
Just a little insight from an Iowa fan. Iowa has played 3 games, Miami (OH), Buffalo, and Iowa State. I'll give you a few stats for the 2 games against Iowa State and Miami.
Iowa's longest scoring drives in those 2 games have been 80 yds, 68 yds, and 66 yds. They've had to go less than 40 yds for everything else.
Their defense seems to be solid again this year. However it's hard to tell given their competition. Miami (OH) could be considered a test but Rothlisberger (sp?) had a terrible game with 4 int's.
Iowa State and Miami had success on moving the ball through the air against Iowa. I think Az State, with decent protection, will be able to do the same.
Also Az St held out 4 starters during their last game. A starting cornerback and safety.
Az State has killed their selves with penalties, turnovers, etc. in their first 2 games. On the flip side, i think Iowa leads the nation in turnover margin.
Mo Brown, who catches around 80% of iowa tosses is out for 3-4 weeks with an ankle injury.
Iowa run defense looks to be very solid.
If Iowas not able to run the ball with great success on Az State I don't see them scoring many points.
Does anyone have any comments about the Az ST defense?
Good luck.
Iowa's longest scoring drives in those 2 games have been 80 yds, 68 yds, and 66 yds. They've had to go less than 40 yds for everything else.
Their defense seems to be solid again this year. However it's hard to tell given their competition. Miami (OH) could be considered a test but Rothlisberger (sp?) had a terrible game with 4 int's.
Iowa State and Miami had success on moving the ball through the air against Iowa. I think Az State, with decent protection, will be able to do the same.
Also Az St held out 4 starters during their last game. A starting cornerback and safety.
Az State has killed their selves with penalties, turnovers, etc. in their first 2 games. On the flip side, i think Iowa leads the nation in turnover margin.
Mo Brown, who catches around 80% of iowa tosses is out for 3-4 weeks with an ankle injury.
Iowa run defense looks to be very solid.
If Iowas not able to run the ball with great success on Az State I don't see them scoring many points.
Does anyone have any comments about the Az ST defense?
Good luck.
