US equities push further into record territory
Oil price and expectations of hefty US spending plan help drive European equities
YESTERDAY by: Robin Wigglesworth and Mamta Badkar in New York
Investors pushed US equity benchmarks deeper into record territory on Tuesday, as expectations of a hefty economic spending plan by the incoming Republican administration continued to lift markets.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 19,000 for the first time on record, while the S&P 500 finished the day 0.2 per cent higher at 2,202.94, aided by a rally in shares of retailers and telecoms.
Despite faltering briefly earlier in the day, Wall Street set a quartet of records for the second consecutive day, with all four of the country’s main equity indices closing at fresh peaks.
The strong showing from US stocks on Monday had helped power European stocks higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 600 ending the day up 0.2 per cent at 341.02. European equities are up nearly 2 per cent since the US election.
Markets on both sides of the Atlantic have been helped by a rebound in crude prices, but the biggest reason for the recent rally on Wall Street has been speculation that Mr Trump will introduce a package of corporate tax cuts, infrastructure spending and a regulatory rollback for banks.
“The strength in oil has been at least somewhat helpful, but I would argue it is the overall fundamental backdrop that has primarily driven this move,” said Randy Frederick, a strategist at Charles Schwab.
European oil and gas companies are up 3.2 per cent over the past five days while the S&P energy sector, which was the biggest decliner on the S&P 500 in 2014 and 2015, is poised to be the best performer this year — up 18.7 per cent so far.
The rally in oil prices, that had been driven by expectations of an output cut deal between Opec producers when they meet in Vienna at the end of the month, cooled on Tuesday with Brent settling up 0.5 per cent at $49.12 a barrel, having climbed as high as $49.96 earlier in the day.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the oldest US equity gauge, and the Russell 2000index of smaller companies have hit a series of new highs since the November 8 election won by Donald Trump. The Dow climbed 0.4 per cent on the day, while the Russell 2000 advanced for the 13th straight day, rising 0.9 per cent.
The S&P 500, the country’s primary stock market benchmark, and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite have taken longer to scale new peaks, but both managed the feat on Tuesday.
Nonetheless, some analysts and investors have warned that markets are getting overly optimistic, pointing out that the details, viability and timing of the new administration’s policies are uncertain, while many other policies, such as on trade, would be negative for the US economy.
“Financial markets have been enthralled by the prospect of reactivating fiscal policy under a Republican-led White House and Congress,” William Lee, Citi’s chief North American economist, noted over the weekend. “Nevertheless, there remains a very high level of uncertainty regarding the details of the fiscal package and its timetable for implementation.”