Not so fast, my friend.
Iowa State usually plays Colorado pretty tough. I live and die by the 'Noles, but my dad's a season ticket holder for ISU and I've followed them over the years and that seems to always hold true...
Beyond that though, ISU's offense is good enough to cover this spread against a crappy Colorado team that seems to be getting worse as the season goes on. Arnaud is still young, but I'd say he's improving. Relative to every other QB in the Big 12 he may not be a superstar, but the playcalling is very conservative in an attempt to keep ISU in games and maybe give them a chance to win it in the 4th quarter.
The run game is decent, and Arnaud is good enough with 7yd routes to keep the chains moving for a few possessions and score some touchdowns.
Probably won't play a side either way in this game, but I'm thinking that anyone taking Colorado -10 is not going to be covering (if at all) until the 4th quarter is halfway over. ISU is not a good team, but they haven't given up on the season either thanks to Chizik's leadership.
Seems to me there better games out there than laying 9.5/10 with a crappy Colorado team.
Just my two cents.