College Football Week 4

[lewis]

20* 0-0
15* 0-1 -1.5 units
10* 5-3 +19.5 units
5* 14-9 +22 units

19-13 +26.5 units overall



Here is an early look at what I am looking at this week. I will not play all of them but I will play some from this list.


Wednesday

Louisville +4 The Cards (1-1) are at home and playing against Kansas St. The Wildcats are 2-0 this year and havent really been tested at all. Their wins are against cupcakes so their record is a little misleading. All everyone remembers about Lou is that they couldnt do anything against Kentucky but in their last game they played better but of course that was against a cupcake so both of the teams are unproven but I will give an edge to the Cards on defense which is very surprising since defense and Lou arent usually in the same sentence. Anyway, I believe that the Cards will have a lot better showing this time around at home and that they will move the ball on the ground against KST who is giving up 94 yds per game and again that is against sub par teams. I will be on the Cards and will probably just go ahead and play it tonight at the current number. Lou wins this one SU tomorrow night!!!!!!!

Thursday

Colorado +2.5 This line screams for WVA action!!!!!!! My only problem is that I am not impressed with Col this year and it will be hard for me to put money on them against WVA who should move the ball a lot easier this Thursday since Colorado's defense is not near as good as ECU. I am thinking about an over play in this game because IMO both teams should score against these defenses. This game should be close throughout so I will make a decision on it on Thursday

Friday

no play as of now

Saturday

Ole Miss -6.5 I think that Vandy gets their first loss here.....Snead has looked good and the Rebels are playing with a passion to win this year.......Vandy has looked good twice on TV and should get alot of the publicity but their 3 game winning streak comes to an end.........Ole Miss by 14!!!!

Auburn +2.5 Another one that is screaming for action on the other side!!!!!! It will be hard to play them after watching their game last week but Im sure that didnt want to show a whole lot coming into this week vs LSU.....I expect a great effort from Aub and a SU victory!!!!!!! This is a ML play unless it becomes a no play........

Navy +6 How is Rutgers a 6 point favorite against anyone and how are they going to stop Navy???? It wont happen but the question will be....Can Navy stop Rutgers???? We will find out on Saturday.......

Florida St -4 This is one of my favorites this week......FSU finally has the talent to get some revenge on WF........I have them winning this game by 14!!!!!!

Michigan St -8.5 This is another one of my favorites!!!!!!! The Spartans are going to run all over the Irish on Saturday and this should be a blowout!!!!!!! MSU by 24!!!!!!!!

Iowa St +2.5 Just dont think UNLV deserves to be a 2.5 point favorite in this game.......ISU will play good defense unlike SU did last week and their has to be some kind of a let down since they just beat the #14 team in the country....

New Mexico St +6.5 I like the Aggies in this matchup and think that will move the ball through the air and think they have a great shot at winning this one SU.....hate playing teams with this bad of a defense so it might end up not being a play


In order of strength.....right now.........

Florida St
Michigan St
Louisville
Ole Miss
Auburn
Navy
Colorado
Iowa St
NM St

let me know what you guys think

comments are appreciated


lewis
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[RedElephants]

JMO, but I think that you are a little off and that troubles me since you obviously track Big 12.

I, too like Colorado, but I think they will win because they are the better team. Thus far, Pat White and gang have looked very stiff under the new coach. But more than anything, their depleted defense is staying on the field too long. Colorado looks improved at every position and look for Darrell Scott to have his break-out game on Thursday Night. There are actually alumni that are hoping for a bad season @ WVU because they feel that this coach won't make it. Noel Devine is a good player but he is no leader. The loss of so many leading tacklers will kill this team.

Same goes for Louisville. Go visit the Scout.com message board for the football fans. They have zero confidence in Kragthorpe and they admit that they were bad last year with Brohm and worse this year. The fans are predicting a loss and most of them a bad loss. Louisville's defense has looked good because they have faced bad offense. Their DL is razor thin and a guy like Freeman that can throw and run will give them fits. The X factor to KSU is the JUCO players and how good they really are. Another JUCO LB will move into the starting rotation this week so there are many that thus far they are pleased with. Its still on the surface because of so many new faces and cream puff opponents to this point, but this could end up being a VERY GOOD TEAM. I only saw them 3 times last year and in all three they CHOKED and should have won...Auburn, Kansas, and Okie St.

I'm with you all the way on Florida State.

The rest I am not touching......

 

[redus2]

I absolutely agree with the 1st 2 Fla St. and Mich St. Really unsure on the Wed. game. Both teams have not shown enough to feel strong either way. Good luck!

 

[lewis]

JMO, but I think that you are a little off and that troubles me since you obviously track Big 12.

I, too like Colorado, but I think they will win because they are the better team. Thus far, Pat White and gang have looked very stiff under the new coach. But more than anything, their depleted defense is staying on the field too long. Colorado looks improved at every position and look for Darrell Scott to have his break-out game on Thursday Night. There are actually alumni that are hoping for a bad season @ WVU because they feel that this coach won't make it. Noel Devine is a good player but he is no leader. The loss of so many leading tacklers will kill this team.

Same goes for Louisville. Go visit the Scout.com message board for the football fans. They have zero confidence in Kragthorpe and they admit that they were bad last year with Brohm and worse this year. The fans are predicting a loss and most of them a bad loss. Louisville's defense has looked good because they have faced bad offense. Their DL is razor thin and a guy like Freeman that can throw and run will give them fits. The X factor to KSU is the JUCO players and how good they really are. Another JUCO LB will move into the starting rotation this week so there are many that thus far they are pleased with. Its still on the surface because of so many new faces and cream puff opponents to this point, but this could end up being a VERY GOOD TEAM. I only saw them 3 times last year and in all three they CHOKED and should have won...Auburn, Kansas, and Okie St.

I'm with you all the way on Florida State.

The rest I am not touching......

thanks and I will take a second look at the lou/KSt game

gl this weekend

 

[lewis]

I absolutely agree with the 1st 2 Fla St. and Mich St. Really unsure on the Wed. game. Both teams have not shown enough to feel strong either way. Good luck!

glad to hear you like those two.......they are going to be big plays this weekend

gl

 

[Furmanski]

GL this week Lewis....I think you are on to some nice plays from the looks of it.

One personal play for me looks to be the UGA over. I am sure we will be on the same side of a lot this week.

 

[chanman83]

hey bro,
interesting note on the louisville game the only stat that currently screams hold on is the fact big east teams ATS vs non conference teams is 1-13 ATS :shocked:

 

[chanman83]

hey bro,
interesting note on the louisville game the only stat that currently screams hold on is the fact big east teams ATS vs non conference teams is 1-13 ATS :shocked:

lol i quoted myself... anyway.. also a sweet trend is cards are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS vs teams with over .500 records at home. :toast:

 

[Right-Side]

gl I love michigan st. lets cash

 

[manchild]

I know this is not on your list,but take a look at Iowa over a PITT team that I am just not sold on!

 

[June_Jones]

I know this is not on your list,but take a look at Iowa over a PITT team that I am just not sold on!

im not sold on any of those teams

 

[AlwaysKeen]

GL lewis...

 

[BBQMan]

Lewis, ck. out KingsRansom's thread on New Mx. St./UTEP's total. Looks like NMS safeties are out--over may be the bet!!%^_

 

[lewis]

GL this week Lewis....I think you are on to some nice plays from the looks of it.

One personal play for me looks to be the UGA over. I am sure we will be on the same side of a lot this week.

great to hear and gl this weekend!!!

 

[lewis]

hey bro,
interesting note on the louisville game the only stat that currently screams hold on is the fact big east teams ATS vs non conference teams is 1-13 ATS :shocked:

looks like it may be time for 2-13 ATS!!!!!!!

 

[lewis]

lol i quoted myself... anyway.. also a sweet trend is cards are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS vs teams with over .500 records at home. :toast:

thats one that in our favor and we want to continue!!!!!!

 

[lewis]

gl I love michigan st. lets cash

Let's get the Spartans in this weekend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GL

 

[lewis]

I know this is not on your list,but take a look at Iowa over a PITT team that I am just not sold on!

I will take another look at that one.........thanks for commenting

GL

 

[lewis]

im not sold on any of those teams

thanks and gl

 

[lewis]

GL lewis...

thanks pags and gl to you as well!!!!!!