College Football Selections 2009

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I wanted to create post my plays last year but didn’t' hear of the rxforum till late October. Hoping to have a good season and share info that I have learned. I will rate my plays on a 1-6 Unit scale and occasionally have a 10 Unit pick but very rarely.

4* Troy -6

First play for College Football

I bet Troy at -6 -110 on betjam back on the 12th of August. I graduated from Bowling Green and after graduation got a job in the area so I still closely follow the team and go to scrimmages and practices. Coach Clawson said in his press conference monday "Anytime you have a quarterback, two or three receivers and a legitimate tailback and are good upfront, you can't go into the game and say if we can stop the passing game they can't run it and if we can stop the running back they can't throw it there a very balanced offense and this will be a great challenge for our defense." I think this basically says it all in this game that the inexperience of the BG defense will not be able to stop this Troy offense. BG will have many problems I think in this first game with the replacing of their full front 4 on the D-Line. They are drastically undersized also in that front 4 compared to the lineman of Troy. Lang and Sheffield should create a lot of havoc for this offensive line. Especially on the right side of that offensive line I expect DC Jeremy Rowell to blitz heavy on that side since both RG Scott Albert and RT Tyler Donahue are making their first career starts. BGSU has brought in a whole new coaching staff and only two graduate assistants return to the team. On that note they also have brought in a new Offensive Line Coach in John McDonell who has had to help change blocking schemes as Head Coach Dave Clawson wants to be able to run the ball more than the last few years they have primarily been a spread passing team. When Coach McDonell was asked in an interview about is it very hard to change blocking out of the spread compared to a more traditional offense set he said quote "No doubt about it." With him saying that I could see BG having just some major problems in this first game with how the line holds together. The only problem I see is the secondary doesn't have much experience for Troy but I believe that the front 7 will make up for it. BG has the same problem in the secondary as they are starting two cornerbacks that have zero starts but safeties Jahmal Brown and PJ Mahone should help them out. Mahone will play week 1 I'm sure but he was held out of the last scrimmage with neck problems.

Good Luck Everyone this Season
Jon
 

MY HEART IS A HOME AND FEAR DONT LIVE HERE
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you make some good points im thinking of going a little heavy on troy now after i look into it some more
 

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2* South Carolina +5

From what I have read that Stephen Garcia has become a better decision maker under new QB coach G.A. Mangus. I believe this will help the offense very much in leading to more points this season. He also will have a giant target in 6'5 Wideout Tori Gurley and will have a much improved Offensive Line to protect him. I know that USC will be missing Clifton Geathers on the defensive line but NC state will also be missing linebacker Nate Irving who went down with a season ending leg injury. I love that Spurrier is 18-1 SU in his 19 years as a head coach in season openers and I hope to see him continue this streak. One thing stood out to me is this is N.C. State's first game they have been favored since December 2007 against Maryland where they lost 37-0. Last year State was the only bowl team that wasn't favored in any game last season. I will take the points with South Carolina tonight.

Good Luck
 

your worst nightmare
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I like your style! :toast:

These 2 plays you have posted look solid based on the reasoning and analysis you have provided.

Best of luck this college football season. I'll keep my eye open for your picks. :drink:
 

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Excellent insight on Troy and bowling green. I have been looking over this game from a statistical stand point but the somewhat "insider" information really help push me in Troy's direction.. Keep up the good work and Good Luck!
 

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