COLLEGE FOOTBALL FORECAST NOV 29

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teehop23

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Saturday, November 29th

SYRACUSE (4-5 SU/4-5 ATS)
at RUTGERS (4-7 SU/9-1-1 ATS)
Syracuse is off a 34-23 home loss to West Virginia as +1 point underdogs. QB R.J. Anderson threw for 337 yards on 23-of-36 passing with a pair of touchdowns. Walter Reyes, a 1,000-yard runner, suffered a left knee injury early in the first quarter and didn't return until the second half. He finished with 62 rushing yards, but also caught three passes for 80 yards, including a 67-yard touchdown. Syracuse outgained WV in total "O" 499-467, but had two fumbles in the game. Rutgers hung tough last week in a 34-10 road loss at Miami as +28½ point underdogs. QB Ryan Hart completed 23-of-46 passes for 197 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions for Rutgers, which has lost three straight and six of its last seven. Brian Leonard scored the only touchdown for the Knights. Despite the loss, Rutgers held edges in total "O" (343-313), first downs (18-13) and time of possession (33:44 to 26:16). Syracuse is 15-1 SU and 13-3 ATS the last 16 meetings with Rutgers. Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in home finales and come in 9-1-1 ATS this season.

TEMPLE (1-9 SU/6-3 ATS)
at WEST VIRGINIA (7-4 SU/6-5 ATS)
The Owls hung tough last week in a 30-16 home loss to Pitt as +16½ point underdogs. QB Walter Washington had a good game for the Owls as he completed 24-of-40 passes for 278 yards with one touchdown and one interception and also rushed 26 times for 72 yards and a score. Temple was outgained in total "O" 400-370 in the loss. West Virginia is off a 34-23 win at Syracuse last week as -1 point chalks. QB Rasheed Marshall completed 14-of-25 passes for 271 yards and three touchdowns and Chris Henry caught six passes for 209 yards, including a pair of fourth-quarter scores, as the Mountaineers won their fifth straight game and remained in contention for the Big East title. RB Quincy Wilson also ran for 105 yards on 19 carries, despite being slowed by an ankle injury. WV was outgained in total "O" 499-467, but forced two fumbles in the game. Temple is 1-7 SU but 6-2 ATS the last 8 meetings with WV and 7-2 ATS in road finales. WV is 15-7 ATS in home finales, but the visitor in this series is 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings.

TENNESSEE (9-2 SU/5-6 ATS)
at KENTUCKY (4-7 SU/6-4 ATS)
Tennessee pounded Vanderbilt last week in a 48-0 home win as -20 point favorites. QB Casey Clausen threw for 262 yards and three touchdowns, and also ran for a score as the Volunteers kept their SEC East title hopes alive and beat their state rivals for the 21st straight time -- the last three by shutout. Mark Jones also had a big day for Tennessee with 216 all-purpose yards. He caught three passes for 45 yards, returned five punts for 120 yards with a touchdown and ran back an interception 51 yards to set up another score. Tennessee dominated the game with edges in total "O" (452-191) and first downs (20-13). Kentucky is off a 30-10 loss at Georgia last week as +18½ point underdogs. QB Jared Lorenzen went 21-of-34 for 137 yards with an interception for the Wildcats, who have dropped three straight games. Arliss Beach carried the ball 11 times for only 37 yards in the loss as Kentucky had deficits in total "O" (442-212) and first downs (26-12). Tennessee is 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings with Kentucky and come in 20-0 SU and 14-6 in their last road game of the season.

SO MISSISSIPPI (8-3 SU/7-4 ATS)
at EAST CAROLINA (1-10 SU/5-5-1 ATS)
So Miss put to rest any more talk of TCU being in a BCS bowl with a 40-28 win over the 9th-ranked Horned Frogs as -2½ point favorites. QB Dustin Almond threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns, as Southern Mississippi won their fifth straight game and clinched at least a share of the Conference USA title. Anthony Harris ran for a pair of scores in the victory. Almond completed 14-of-23 passes with an interception for Southern Miss, which avenged a 37-7 setback at TCU last year and can capture the outright Conference USA crown this next week with a victory. The Eagles were outgained in total "O" 429-278, but forced 4 TCU turnovers. ECU is off a 28-18 loss at Tulane last week as +9 point underdogs. East Carolina lost its fourth straight game despite a good effort from Marvin Townes, who had 165 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries. QB James completed 13-of-27 passes for 126 yards with two interceptions in the loss as ECU was outgained in total "O" 309-252. So Miss is 2-6 ATS in road finales, but the visitor in this series is 9-3-1 ATS the last 13 meetings. ECU comes in 5-3 ATS in their last home game of the season.

SOUTH FLORIDA (6-4 SU/3-5 ATS)
at MEMPHIS (8-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
South Florida suffered a rare home loss last week in a 22-19 setback to UAB as -6½ point chalks. The Bulls, who had their two-game win streak snapped in the loss, were led by Vince Brewer who gained 59 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 11 rushing attempts. South Florida outgained UAB in total "O" 336-277, but had a 36:41 to 23:19 deficit in time of possession. Memphis comes off a 21-16 home win over Cincinnati as -10 point chalks. QB Danny Wimprine struggled as he completed just 8-of-26 passes for 80 yards with three interceptions. DeAngelo Williams led Memphis on the ground with 136 yards on 23 carries, despite leaving the game in the third quarter with a sprained left knee. Memphis outgained Cincinnati in total "O" (312-301), but the Tiger defense held Cincinnati to just three second-half points and limited the Bearcats to just 29 rushing yards in the game. South Florida is 5-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in road finales, but is 0-2 ATS the last two meetings with the Tigers. Memphis has not fared well in their last home game of the year, going just 3-11 ATS.

RICE (4-7 SU/6-3-2 ATS)
at LOUISIANA TECH (5-6 SU/5-5-1 ATS)
Rice is off a 45-14 home win over UTEP as -14½ point chalks. QB Kyle Herm completed just 2-of-3 pass attempts for 13 yards, but he ran for 50 yards and one touchdown on six carries in the victory. Back up quarterback Greg Henderson also had a nice day on the ground, rushing for 56 yards on six rushing attempts. RB Robbie Beck had 102 yards and one score on 11 carries as well. The Owls, who owned the worst passing game in Division I-A football at 85.5 ypg heading into the game, tossed for only 48 yards, however, Rice, which was averaging 267.8 ypg on the ground heading into the game, ran for 450 yards against the Miners. Louisiana Tech is off a bye week after a 48-18 loss at Tulsa two weeks ago as +1 point underdogs. QB Luke McCown, ranked 14th in the nation averaging 282 yards of offense per game prior to playing Tulsa, completed just 12-of-25 pass attempts for 161 yards add three interceptions in the loss for the Bulldogs. McCown did score a touchdown on the ground, but was sacked six times and finished the contest with negative 77 yards on the ground. La Tech was outgained in total "O" (483-313) and turned the ball over five times (1 fumble, 4 interceptions). Rice is only 3-9 ATS in road finales, but is 2-0 ATS in two recent meetings with La Tech. The Bulldogs counter with a 7-1 SU and 5-1 ATS mark in home finales.

UNLV (5-6 SU/5-6 ATS)
at WYOMING (4-7 SU/5-5 ATS)
UNLV is off a 24-23 home loss to Colorado State as +7 point underdogs. Freshman QB Shane Steichen, starting in place of Kurt Nantkes who sat out with a strained groin, completed 12-of-26 passing for 172 yards in the losing effort for the Rebels. UNLV was outgained in total "O" 396-340 in the narrow loss. Wyoming comes off a 26-3 home loss to New Mexico as +8 point underdogs. QB Casey Bramlet finished 7-of-18 for 67 yards with an interception, while his younger brother Corey completed 5-of-7 pass attempts for 32 yards in relief. Wyoming managed only 122 total yards of offense (23 rushing and 99 passing), while giving up 413 yards of total "O" to the Lobos. UNLV is 5-2 ATS in road finales and 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings with the Cowboys. However, the "dog" in this series is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings.

NEVADA (6-5 SU/6-4 ATS)
at BOISE STATE (10-1 SU/5-5 ATS)
Nevada is off a bye week after beating Hawaii two weeks ago in a 24-14 home win as +4 point underdogs. Damon Fine connected on four of five field goal attempts in the win for Nevada and running back Chance Kretschmer had 73 yards on 23 carries, while Talib Wise led the way on the ground with 78 yards on 16 rushing attempts for the Pack. Nevada was outgained in total "O" 358-312, but forced 3 Hawaii turnovers in the game (2 interceptions, 1 fumble). Boise State is off a 31-17 win over Fresno State as -8 point road chalks. QB Ryan Dinwiddie completed 22-of-31 passes for 273 yards, two TD's and ran for another score, leading 20th-ranked Boise State to the win. Tim Gilligan finished with six catches for 149 yards and Dinwiddie completed passes to nine different receivers. The Broncos won their eighth straight game and handed Fresno State its first home loss of the season. Boise State has not lost since a 26-24 setback at Oregon State on September 20 and has won its last 16 conference games. Boise outgained Fresno State in total "O" 363-338 in the win. Nevada is 1-3-1 ATS in road finales and 0-3 ATS the last three meetings with Boise State, getting outscored 145-31 in those three games. Boise State comes in 5-1 SU and ATS in season finales and won last years meeting 44-7 as -18½ point road chalks.

FLORIDA STATE (9-2 SU/6-5 ATS)
at FLORIDA (8-3 SU/6-4 ATS)
Florida State is off a bye week after posting a 50-44 home win over NC State in double OT as -14 point chalks. QB Chris Rix threw three TD passes for the Seminoles, who clinched their 11th ACC championship in 12 years and a spot in a BCS bowl. Rix finished 15-of-32 passing for 183 yards. He threw one interception to go along with his three TD passes, but it was returned for a TD. Florida State was outgained in total "O" 514-455. Florida also comes off a bye week after beating South Carolina two weeks ago in a 24-22 road win as -7 point favorites. QB Chris Leak completed 12 of his 20 passes for 121 yards and a score for the Gators, who have run off 13 straight wins over the Gamecocks in SEC action since 1992. Ciatrick Fason finished with a career-high 190 yards on 20 carries for Florida, which can do no worse than a tie with Tennessee and Georgia for first in the division. Florida outgained SC in total "O" 364-331 and forced two turnovers in the game. Florida State is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings with Florida, but the home team is 7-1 ATS the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Florida State won last years meeting 31-14 as -3½ point favorites.

VIRGINIA TECH (8-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
at VIRGINIA (6-5 SU/6-5 ATS)
Va Tech is off a 34-27 home loss to Boston College last week as -16 point favorites. Tech quarterback Bryan Randall played the majority of the contest due to the ineffectiveness of Marcus Vick and finished the day with 176 yards on 12-of-23 passing, while RB Kevin Jones rushed for 165 yards on 24 carries and three touchdowns in the loss. The Hokies, a one-point overtime winner the previous week at Temple, have lost three of their last five games. Va Tech was outgained in total "O" 461-390 and lost two fumbles in the game. Virginia is off a 29-17 home win over Georgia Tech as -7 point chalks. QB Matt Schaub completed 26-of-35 pass attempts for 239 yards with a touchdown and Connor Hughes kicked five field goals as the Cavaliers defeated the Yellow Jackets and kept their bowl hope alive. Heath Miller led all receivers with 110 yards and a touchdown on six catches. The Cavaliers controlled the time of possession in the contest as they held the ball for 34:48, compared to 25:12 for the Yellow Jackets. Va Tech is 14-6 ATS in road finales and 12-6 ATS the last 18 meetings with the Cavaliers. Virginia has done well in their last home game of the season, logging an impressive 6-1 ATS mark the last seven years.

GEORGIA (9-2 SU/6-5 ATS)
at GEORGIA TECH (6-5 SU/6-4-1 ATS)
Georgia comes off a 30-10 home win over Kentucky as -18½ point favorites. QB David Greene completed 24-of-38 passes for 289 yards and Fred Gibson caught six passes for 99 yards for the Bulldogs, who have won six of their last seven games. Michael Cooper had 32 rushing yards and a touchdown for Georgia, which clinched a share of the SEC East with the win. The Bulldogs and Florida are each 6-2 in conference play, while Tennessee sits one-half game back. A three-way tie would help Georgia, as head-to-head competition and BCS rankings would decide the division winner. The Bulldogs entered this week with the highest BCS ranking of the three. Georgia dominated the game with edges in total "O" (442-212) and first downs (26-12). Georgia Tech is coming off a 29-17 loss at Virginia as +7 point underdogs. QB Reggie Ball led the way for Georgia Tech as he completed 16-of-30 passes for 157 yards with an interception. The Cavaliers controlled the time of possession in the contest as they held the ball for 34:48, compared to 25:12 for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia is 8-2 ATS in road finales as well as 5-1 ATS the last six trips to Ga Tech. Ga Tech counters with a 3-10 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

MARYLAND (8-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
at WAKE FOREST (5-6 SU/5-6 ATS)
Maryland comes off a 26-24 win at NC State last week as -1½ point chalks. Nick Novak nailed a 43-yard field goal with 23 seconds remaining to lift the Terrapins over the Wolfpack. QB Scott McBrien completed 17-of-37 passes for 243 yards with two touchdown passes and also ran for a score in the victory for Maryland. Wake Forest is off a bye week after getting pounded at home two weeks ago in a 51-17 loss to UConn as -9½ point favorites. QB Cory Randolph had good game despite the loss, rushing for 93 yards on 15 carries and throwing for 146 yards and one score on 15-of-27 passing for the Demon Deacons, who have lost two straight outings. Jason Anderson led the receiving corps for Wake Forest with 71 yards and one score on three receptions. Wake was totally outplayed in the game as they ended up with deficits in total "O" (537-272) and first downs (29-17). Maryland is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings with Wake Forest and come in 8-4 ATS in road finales. Wake counters with a dismal 2-9 ATS mark in season finales as well as 1-10 SU and 4-7 ATS when hosting the Terps.

UAB (5-6 SU/5-6 ATS)
at HOUSTON (6-5 SU/6-4-1 ATS)
UAB is off a 22-19 win at South Florida last week as +6½ point underdogs. Quarterback Curtis Falany hit 10-of-15 pass attempts for 128 yards and a pair of scores and kicker Nick Hayes had three field goals, including a 42-yarder with nine seconds left to play to give the Blazers the win, their second in the last three games. The Blazers won the contest despite producing just 277 yards of total offense and converting just 2-of-13 on third down on the night, but they did have a 36:41 to 23:19 edge in time of possession. Houston comes off a 66-45 loss at Louisville as +11 point underdogs. QB Kevin Kolb completed 21-of-27 passes for 224 yards and two touchdowns in defeat for Houston, which has lost four of its last five games. Kolb also ran for a pair of scores in the loss. Houston's "D" gave up an amazing 445 rushing yards to Louisville and had deficits in total "O" (779-453) and first downs (37-25). UAB is 7-2 SU and 2-2-1 ATS in road finales, but come in 3-0 ATS the last three meetings with Houston. The Cougars counter with a meager 8-18 ATS mark in home finales.

FRESNO STATE (7-5 SU/5-5-1 ATS)
at UTEP (2-10 SU/5-5 ATS)
Fresno State is off a 31-17 home loss to Boise State as +8 point underdogs. QB Paul Pinegar threw for 290 yards and a touchdown on 28-of-51 passing for Fresno State, which had a four-game winning streak stopped. Bernard Berrian caught 13 passes for 122 yards and also returned a punt for a touchdown in defeat. The Bulldogs were really never in the game and had a 363-338 deficit in total "O" in the loss. UTEP comes off a 45-14 loss at Rice last week as +14½ point underdogs. QB Orlando Cruz completed 11-of-21 passes for 174 yards and one interception in the losing effort for the Miners, who have lost six straight games. Cruz also added 24 yards and one score on the ground for UTEP, while RB Howard Jackson finished with 80 yards on 19 carries. UTEP gave up 485 rushing yards to the Owls in the loss. Fresno State is only 2-4 ATS in their last six trips to El Paso, but come in 3-0 SU and ATS in road finales. UTEP counters with a 2-6 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

NOTRE DAME (4-6 SU/3-7 ATS)
at STANFORD (4-6 SU/6-4 ATS)
Notre Dame comes off a bye week after posting a 33-14 home win over BYU two weeks ago as -9½ point favorites. QB Brady Quinn passed for 156 yards and one interception on 15-of-30 passing for the Irish and RB Julius Jones rushed for 161 yards and three scores, leading the Fighting Irish to the relatively easy win. Notre Dame finished the season just 2-3 at home, posting its first losing season in South Bend since the 1984 campaign. The victory did however lead to the first time that the Irish have been able to win back-to-back games for the first time this year. Notre Dame controlled the game with edges in total "O" 360-303, first downs (19-13) and time of possession (36:56 to 23:04). Stanford is off a 28-16 home loss to hated rival Cal as +11 point underdogs. QB Chris Lewis completed 12-of-25 passes for 161 with two TD's and no interceptions in the loss. The Cardinal led 10-0 at the half but was outscored 28-6 in the second half. Stanford was outgained in total "O" 533-284 and had a 31-14 deficit in first downs. Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS the last ten meetings with Stanford as well as 4-2 ATS in their last 6 November road affairs. The underdog has fared well in this series in recent times, going 4-2 ATS the last six meetings.

WRITE IN GAME
TOLEDO (8-3 SU/6-4 ATS)
at BOWLING GREEN (9-2 SU/5-4 ATS)
Toledo is off a 34-17 home win over Western Michigan as -11½ point favorites. QB Bruce Gradkowski completed 22-of-33 passes for 225 yards and Trinity Dawson gained a game-high 125 yards on 22 carries, leading the Rockets to their third straight win. Toledo dominated the game with edges in total "O" (452-301), first downs (25-15) and time of possession (36:03 to 23:57) and held WMU to just 39 rushing yards. Bowling Green comes off a 41-14 win at Ball State last week as -17 point favorites. QB Josh Harris passed for two touchdowns and ran for another pair to lead 22nd-ranked Bowling Green to the win. Harris rushed for 73 yards and threw for 142 more for the Falcons, who can capture the conference championship with a win over Toledo this week. Bowling Green has won two straight and six of its last seven games. BG held edges in total "O" (445-327), first downs (23-16) and time of possession (32:08 to 27:52). Toledo is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS the last 8 meetings with the Falcons and come in 5-2 SU and ATS in their last MAC game of the season. BG counters with a 5-0 ATS mark in their final home game of the year.
 

parlayin

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