COLLEGE FOOTBALL FORECAST NOV 22

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teehop23

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Saturday, November 22nd

WEST VIRGINIA (6-4 SU/5-5 ATS)
at SYRACUSE (5-4 SU/6-3 ATS)
West Virginia is off a 52-31 home win over Pittsburgh as -1 point favorites. Quincy Wilson rushed for 208 yards and four touchdowns and QB Rasheed Marshall completed 14-of-23 passes for 216 yards with two touchdowns and one interception for the Mountaineers, who have won five straight since dropping four of their first five games this season. WV dominated the game with edges in total "O" (523-429) and first downs (26-17). Syracuse comes off a 17-10 loss at Miami-Fla last week as +19 point underdogs. RB Walter Reyes ran for 89 yards and a touchdown for the Orangemen, whose three conference losses this season have come against powerhouses Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Miami -- all on the road. It was a defensive struggle with Syracuse getting outgained in total "O" (250-192) and first downs (15-11). West Virginia is 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS the last 8 meetings with Syracuse, but is 7-3 ATS in their last road game of the season. The favorite in this series has been the way to go, logging an impressive 11-3-1 ATS mark the last 15 meetings.

GEORGIA TECH (6-4 SU/6-3-1 ATS)
at VIRGINIA (5-5 SU/5-5 ATS)
Ga Tech comes off a 41-24 home win over North Carolina as -9 point chalks. QB Reggie Ball completed 13-of-25 passes for 122 yards and three touchdowns and RB P.J. Daniels had an amazing day running the ball, finishing with a career-high 240 rushing yards off of 36 carries and was also able to score on his lone reception of the game.
Jonathan Smith hauled in six catches for 52 yards and a score for the Yellow Jackets, who outgained NC in total "O" 445-413. Virginia is off a 27-17 loss at Maryland last week as +6 point dogs in a Thursday Night ESPN game. QB Matt Schaub completed 13-of-26 passes for just 186 yards in the loss for Virginia, as the Cavaliers lost for the fourth time in five games. It was not a good effort by Virginia as they had deficits in total "O" (469-294), first downs (23-14) and time of possession (35:25 to 24:35). Georgia Tech is 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings with Virginia, but only 1-4 when playing at Charlottesville. In addition, Tech is a mere 5-11 ATS in their last road game of the season. The home team in this series is also 5-0 ATS the last 5 meetings.

BOSTON COLLEGE (6-5 SU/5-6 ATS)
at VIRGINIA TECH (8-2 SU/5-4 ATS)
Boston College is off a 35-25 win at Rutgers as -7 point road chalks. QB Paul Peterson completed 17-of-26 passes for 244 yards and one score and RB Derrick Knight rushed for 224 yards and three scores on 27 carries to lead the Eagles to a come-from-behind victory. BC outgained Rutgers in total "O" (454-341) and first downs (19-14) as they snapped a two game losing streak. Va Tech struggled last week in a 24-23 OT win at Temple as -28 point road chalks. QB Bryan Randall threw for 127 yards and a touchdown on 11-of-19 passing for the Hokies, who fell out of the national championship picture the previous week with a loss to Pittsburgh. Kevin Jones finished with 150 yards and a touchdown on 28 carries. Jones set a school record with his seventh 100-yard rushing game of the season. Va Tech outgained the Owls in total "O" 419-362 but had a 24-19 deficit in first downs. BC is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings with Va Tech, but are 1-3-1 ATS in their last road game of the year. However, the visitor is 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings between these two teams.

OHIO STATE (10-1 SU/4-6-1 ATS)
at MICHIGAN (9-2 SU/7-3-1 ATS)
Ohio State comes off a 16-13 OT win over Purdue last week as -3½ point home chalks. QB Craig Krenzel ended 15-of-29 for 226 yards for the defending national champion Buckeyes, who have won five straight games and 24 of their last 25 overall. Lydell Ross had 79 rushing yards on 23 attempts, while Michael Jenkins caught six passes for 123 yards for the Buckeyes, who improved their overtime record to 4-0, including 2-0 this year. Ohio State, which has won 15 of its last 16 Big Ten games, remained tied with Michigan atop the conference standings after the Wolverines also won last week. The Buckeyes and Michigan will decide the Big Ten title in this week’s game. Ohio State was outgained in total "O" (351-331) and first downs (21-14), but forced two fumbles in the game. Michigan is off a 41-10 road win at Northwestern as -18 point road chalks. John Navarre completed 22-of-31 passes for 288 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions for the Wolverines (9-2, 6-1 Big Ten), who have won five straight games to put them in the mix with Ohio State and Purdue to win the league title. Braylon Edwards led all receivers with 112 yards on nine receptions. It was a dominant effort by the Wolves, who had edges in total "O" (504-257) and first downs (29-10). Ohio State is 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS the last 10 trips to Ann Arbor, but is 22-11 ATS when playing on fake grass. Michigan comes in 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in home finales and the home team in this series is 13-7-1 ATS the last 21 meetings.

IOWA (8-3 SU/8-3 ATS)
at WISCONSIN (7-4 SU/6-5 ATS)
Iowa looked good last week in a 40-22 home win over Minnesota as -5½ point favorites. QB Nathan Chandler completed 17-of-28 passes for 210 yards with a touchdown and also ran for a score for the Hawkeyes, who scored 33 straight points to post their 12th straight home victory and capture the Floyd of Rosedale trophy. Jermelle Lewis and Fred Russell each ran for a touchdown, and Nate Kaeding tied his own school record with four field goals. Iowa won despite having deficits in total "O" (563-344) and first downs (29-15). Wisky is off a nice 56-21 home win over Michigan State as -3½ point favorites. QB Jim Sorgi completed 16 of 24 passes for 380 yards and 5 TD's and WR Lee Evans finished with a career-high and school-record 258 yards on 10 receptions for the Badgers, who put an end to their three-game losing streak. Dwayne Smith contributed 207 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 21 carries, as Wisconsin captured its second straight win versus the Spartans. The Badgers outgained the Spartans in total "O" 630-310 and had a 24-17 edge in first downs. Iowa is only 2-6 SU and ATS the last 8 trips to Madison and come in 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in road finales. Wisky counters with an impressive 11-1 ATS mark in their final home game of the season.

DUKE (3-8 SU/4-6 ATS)
at NORTH CAROLINA (2-9 SU/7-4 ATS)
Duke comes off a 40-7 loss at Clemson last week as +14 point road underdogs. Duke was led by Chris Dapolito, who was ineffective as he completed 5-of-11 passes for just 54 yards and an interception. Mike Schneider also saw time under center, but completed just 2-of-4 pass attempts for three yards with an interception. Chris Douglas was held to 62 yards rushing on 16 carries and failed to record a single reception in the loss, as the Blue Devils were outgained in total "O" (487-143) and first downs (24-11). North Carolina is off a 42-24 loss at Georgia Tech as +9 point underdogs. QB Darian Durant paced the Tar Heels in defeat, throwing for two touchdowns and running for another. Durant passed for 289 yards on 26-of-40 attempts, while also rushing for 29 yards. Ronnie McGill led the team on the ground with 95 rushing yards and Jacque Lewis had four catches for 51 yards and a touchdown. The 'Heels were outgained in total "O" 445-413 and had two turnovers in the game. Duke is 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS in their final road game of the season, but the dog in this series is 15-6 ATS the last 21 meetings. NC is only 2-7 ATS in home finales, but 6-0 ATS the last six meetings with Duke.

RUTGERS (4-6 SU/8-1-1 ATS)
at MIAMI-FLORIDA (8-2 SU/4-6 ATS)
Rutgers finally didn't cover last week in a 35-25 home loss to Boston College as +7 point dogs. QB Ryan Hart completed 18-of-24 passes for 234 yards and one score for the Scarlet Knights, who have lost two straight games. Brian Leonard racked up 99 yards on 32 carries and six passes for 45 yards in the losing effort. Tres Moses chipped in with three receptions for 90 yards and one score. BC outgained Rutgers in total "O" (454-341) and first downs (19-14). Miami is off a lethargic 17-10 home win over Syracuse as -19 point favorites. Miami struggled with Derrick Crudup making his first start of the year in place of the benched Brock Berlin, who saw action for only one series in the opening half. Crudup finished 5-of-13 passing for 80 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He also ran for 29 yards on 14 carries and lost a fumble. Tyrone Moss ran for 91 yards and scored the go ahead touchdown on a nine-yard run midway through the fourth quarter, as 14th- ranked Miami-Florida outgained Syracuse in total "O" (250-192) and first downs (15-11). Rutgers is 1-7-1 ATS in road finales and have lost the last four meetings to Miami by and average score of 56-6. Miami is 10-0 Su and 7-3 ATS the last ten with Rutgers and 8-3 ATS in home finales.

CLEMSON (7-4 SU/6-4 ATS)
at SOUTH CAROLINA (5-6 SU/5-6 ATS)
Clemson pounded Duke last week in a 40-7 home win as -14 point favorites. QB Charlie Whitehurst completed 27-of-40 pass attempts for 331 yards and three touchdowns and was intercepted twice while leading the Tigers to the win. Derrick Hamilton was Whitehurst's best receiver, with six catches for 133 yards and two touchdowns in the contest. Clemson dominated with edges in total "O" (487-143) and first downs (24-11). South Carolina comes off a tough 24-22 home loss to Florida as +7 point underdogs. QB Dondrial Pinkins was 13-of-24 for 137 yards with an interception for South Carolina (5-6, 2-6). Daccus Tuman collected 122 yards on 20 touches in the loss for the Gamecocks, who fell to 3-8-1 versus the Gators in Columbus. It was close stat-wise, with SC getting outgained in total "O" 364-331. Clemson is 7-3 ATS in road finales and the visitor in this annual battle of South Carolina schools is 17-5 ATS the last 22 encounters. SC counters with a 2-10 ATS mark in their last home game of the season and are just 2-9 ATS the last 11 times they have hosted Clemson.

VANDERBILT (2-9 SU/4-5-1 ATS)
at TENNESSEE (8-2 SU/4-6 ATS)
Vandy pulled the upset last week in a 28-17 home win over Kentucky as +6½ point underdogs. QB Jay Cutler completed 14-of-17 passes for 175 yards and four TD's and also ran for a team-high 129 yards on 11 carries. Erik Davis hauled in three receptions for 39 yards and two scores, while Marlon White had two catches for 53 yards and a touchdown. Norval McKenzie finished with 59 yards rushing and Matthew Tant chipped in 55 yards on the ground for the Commodores, who outgained Kentucky in total "O" 421-382. Tennessee pounded Mississippi State last week in a 59-21 home win as -23½ point favorites. QB Casey Clausen tied a school-record with five touchdown passes as he completed 20-of-33 passes for 330 yards as the Volunteers won their fourth game in a row and, more importantly, stayed in the hunt for first place in the SEC East Division. Chris Hannon finished with four catches for 69 yards and Mark Jones caught five passes for 90 yards with a score for the Volunteers, who scored 52 straight points after Mississippi State had tied the game at 7-7. Tennessee finished the contest with 535 total yards and held Mississippi State to just 288. The visitor is 15-9 ATS the last 24 meetings between these two teams. Tennessee is 12-7 ATS the last 19 with Vandy.

PITTSBURGH (7-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
at TEMPLE (1-8 SU/5-3 ATS)
Pittsburgh comes off a 52-31 loss at WV last week as +1 point underdogs. QB Rod Rutherford completed 25-of-47 passes for 421 yards and four touchdowns but was picked off three times. Pittsburgh lost for the first time since a 20-14 setback against Notre Dame on October 11th. The Panthers had won four straight since then, all Big East matchups. WV dominated the game with edges in total "O" (523-429) and first downs (26-17). Temple lost a heartbreaker last week, falling to Va Tech in OT in a 24-23 home setback as +28 point underdogs. Umar Ferguson scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns to help the Owls rally from a 17-0 deficit to force overtime. Ferguson ran for 73 yards on 15 carries. QB Walter Washington completed 15-of-30 passes for 155 yards and two touchdowns for Temple, which has lost five straight. Washington also led the team with 151 rushing yards. Va Tech outgained the Owls in total "O" 419-362 but had a 24-19 deficit in first downs. Pitt is 12-6-1 ATS the last 19 meetings with the Owls, but the 'dog in this series is 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings. Temple counters with a 6-3-1 ATS mark in home finales the last ten years.

PURDUE (8-3 SU/9-2 ATS)
at INDIANA (2-9 SU/2-7-1 ATS)
Purdue is off a heartbreaking 16-13 OT loss at Ohio State last week as +3½ point underdogs. QB Kyle Orton completed 27-of-47 passes for 249 yards and had two costly fumbles for the Boilermakers, who had their two-game winning streak snapped. Purdue outgained Ohio State in total "O" 351-331 and first downs (21-14), but could not over come the two fumbles, one of which was recovered for an Ohio State TD. Indiana was pounded last week in a 52-7 loss at Penn State as +19 point underdogs. QB Matt LoVechio led the way for Indiana as he completed 14-of-27 passes for 112 yards, a touchdown and an interception. RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis had a career high 203 rushing yards on 42 carries for the Hoosiers, who were outgained in total "O" 443-377. Purdue is only 6-10-1 ATS in road finales and the home team in this series is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings.

BOWLING GREEN (8-2 SU/4-4 ATS)
at BALL STATE (4-7 SU/4-6 ATS)
Ball State did not look good last week in a 38-14 road loss at Eastern Michigan as -10 point road favs. Ball State was led by quarterback Andy Roesch who completed 22- of-41 passes for 236 yards with two touchdowns and as many interceptions. Dante Ridgeway hauled in eight receptions for 99 yards and a score, while Ryan Hahaj had four catches for 55 yards and a touchdown. The Cardinals held edges in total "O" (336-290) and first downs (18-12), but had three turnovers in the game. Bowling Green comes off a 42-33 home win over Kent State last week as -21 point favorites. Josh Harris completed 24-of-35 passes for 324 yards with three touchdowns and also ran for two scores as the 25th-ranked Falcons got the non-cover win. Bowling Green and Toledo are currently tied atop the MAC's West Division, but the Falcons and Rockets will meet in Bowling Green on November 28th to likely decide the west representative that will take on Miami-Ohio in the conference championship game. BG is only 3-10 ATS in road finales and 3-6 ATS the last nine meetings with Ball State, while the Cardinals are 4-2 ATS in their last home game of the season.

NORTHWESTERN (5-6 SU/4-6-1 ATS)
at ILLINOIS (1-10 SU/1-9 ATS)
Northwestern was pounded at home last week in a 41-10 loss to Michigan as +18 point underdogs. QB Brett Basanez was 10-of-21 for 121 yards with an interception and no scores for the Wildcats, who will end their season this week against the Illini. Northwestern was dominated by the Wolves, with deficits in total "O" (504-257) and first downs (29-10). Illinois is off a bye week after dropping a 17-14 decision at Indiana two weeks ago as -1 point favorites. Dustin Ward guided Illinois in the loss, finishing 15-of-21 passing for 163 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Marcus Mason rushed for 102 yards on 23 carries for the Fighting Illini, who have dropped 10 games in a row. Illinois held a slight edge in total "O" 358-355, but had a 25-19 deficit in first downs. NW is 7-2 ATS in roads finales and the dog in this series is 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings. Illinois counters with an 8-3 ATS mark in home finales.

MARYLAND (7-3 SU/4-5 ATS)
at NC STATE (7-4 SU/4-6 ATS)
Maryland is off a nice 27-17- home win over Virginia last Thursday Night as -6 point chalks. QB Scott McBrien completed 14-of-21 passes for 191 yards and a touchdown and RB Josh Allen rushed for a career-high 257 yards and two touchdowns for the Terrapins, who improved to 6-0 at home this season. With fellow tailbacks Sammy Maldonado and Bruce Perry sitting out of the game due to injuries, Allen was carried the ball 38 times and rushed for touchdowns of one and 80 yards as Maryland won for the seventh time in eight games after dropping its first two games of the season. It was an overall good effort for the Terps as they held edges in total "O" (469-294), first downs (23-14) and time of possession (35:25 to 24:35). NC State is off a 50-44 double OT loss at Florida State as +14 point underdogs. QB Philip Rivers completed 28-of-38 passes for 422 yards and four touchdowns for the Wolfpack, who had their win streak snapped at four games. Maryland is 7-3-1 ATS as a November traveler and the favorite in this series is 2-6-1 ATS the last 9 meetings. NC State counters with a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS mark in home finales.

MIAMI-OHIO (9-1 SU/7-3 ATS)
at OHIO (2-8 SU/3-6 ATS)
22nd ranked Miami-Ohio looked good last week in a 45-6 home win over Marshall as -14 point chalks in a Wednesday Night ESPN game. QB Ben Roethlisberger completed 18-of-29 passes for 282 yards with two touchdowns and Cal Murray rushed for 108 yards on 19 carries with a touchdown for the RedHawks, who snapped a five-game series losing streak to Marshall. Mike Smith added 80 yards on the ground on 13 carries with two scores in the win. It was a fine effort by Miami-Ohio as they held edges in total "O" (494-239), first downs (21-11) and time of possession (35:37 to 24:23). Ohio is off a 35-28 loss at Akron as +11 point underdogs. Brad Young paced the Bobcats in defeat, rushing for 86 yards and two scores off of 18 attempts. QB Ryan Hawk threw for 190 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions for Ohio, while Scott Mayle grabbed four balls for 119 yards and a score. Ohio outgained Akron in total "O" 410-375 and had a 21-0 lead to start the game. Miami-Ohio is 8-1 SU and ATS the last 9 meetings with hated rival Ohio, but is only 2-6 ATS as a November traveler. Ohio counters with a 3-10 SU and 4-8-1 ATS mark in home finales.

E MICHIGAN (3-8 SU/5-4 ATS)
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (9-2 SU/6-4 ATS)
Eastern Michigan comes off a 38-14 home won over Ball State as +10 point underdogs. Anthony Sherrell rushed for 230 yards and four touchdowns and quarterback Ken Bohnet completed 6-of-9 passes for 52 yards and rushed five times for three yards with a touchdown, as the Eagles got a rare win. Sherrell carried the ball 43 times and averaged 5.3 yards per carry, as he led the Eagles to victory. Eastern Michigan was outgained in total "O" (336-290) and first downs (18-12), but forced three turnovers in the game. Northern Illinois comes off a 49-30 loss at Toledo last week as -3½ point road chalks. Josh Haldi threw three touchdowns, including two to Keith Perry, for 211 yards on 19-of-34 attempts. Haldi was also intercepted three times for the Huskies, who lost for the second time in four games. Michael Turner ran for 177 yards and a touchdown on 32 carries for Northern Illinois, which is looking for its 10-win season in school history. NIU outgained Toledo in total "O" 451-431 but could not overcome the three interceptions. EMU is 6-3 ATS in their last road game of the season and 2-1 ATS the last three trips to Northern Illinois.

CINCINNATI (5-5 SU/3-6 ATS)
at MEMPHIS (7-3 SU/5-4 ATS)
Cincinnati was pounded last week in a 43-10 loss at 10th-ranked TCU as +7½ point underdogs. QB Gino Guidugli finished 24-of-44 for 254 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions for the Bearcats, who have dropped two of their last three games. Guidugli has thrown for 8,212 yards and 50 touchdown passes in his Bearcats career. Cincinnati lost despite holding a 373-398 edge in total "O". Memphis pulled a shocker last week in a 37-7 win at Louisville as +5 point underdogs. QB Danny Wimprine threw a touchdown pass and ran for another score as Memphis shut down Louisville's potent offense in the win. DeAngelo Williams rushed for 154 yards and a touchdown as the Tigers won in Louisville for the first time since 1983. Memphis has won four straight games for the first time since 1994 and reached seven victories for the first time since 1976. Cincy is 7-3 ATS in road finales and the visitor in this series is 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings.

ALABAMA (4-7 SU/4-7 ATS)
at AUBURN (6-5 SU/5-5 ATS)
Alabama comes off 27-3 home loss to LSU as +6½ point underdogs. Alabama quarterback Brodie Croyle completed just 12-of-33 passes for 154 yards and an interception. Kenneth Darby rushed 10 times for 41 yards and Triandos Luke caught four passes for 60 yards in a losing effort. It was another poor showing by the Tide as they were outgained in total "O" (470-219) and first downs (28-10). Auburn was beaten soundly last week in a 26-7 loss at Georgia as +7 point underdogs. Auburn has lost two straight and three of its last four, with its lone victory in that span a 73-7 rout of non-conference Louisiana-Monroe. The Tigers avoided a shutout in the final minutes of the contest when quarterback Jason Campbell scored on a six-yard run. Campbell completed 20-of-33 passes for 178 yards with an interception and also ran for 21 yards on eight carries. Auburn star tailback Cadillac Williams was held to just 45 yards on 12 carries. Auburn was outgained in total "O" 331-259 and had a 17-13 deficit in first downs. Alabama is 8-5 SU and 9-4 ATS versus Auburn and 4-0 ATS the last four trips to Auburn. The visitor is also 7-0 ATS the last 7 meetings between these two hated rivals.

LSU (9-1 SU/8-1 ATS)
at MISSISSIPPI (8-2 SU/6-4 ATS)
LSU looked good last week in a 27-3 win at Alabama as -6½ point favorites. QB Matt Mauck completed 24-of-36 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns and Justin Vincent rushed for 83 yards on 16 carries, while Alley Broussar ran 11 times for 79 yards and a score for LSU, which outgained the Tide by a 470-219 margin. Ole Miss is off a bye week after a 24-20 win at Auburn as +8½ point underdogs. Eli Manning completed 19-of-30 passes for 218 yards and a pair of touchdowns for the Rebels, who remained unbeaten atop the SEC Western Division standings. Tremaine Turner rushed for 67 yards on 13 carries, while Lorenzo Townsend caught three passes for 63 yards for the Rebels and Bill Flowers finished with 57 yards on four receptions in the victory. Ole Miss was outgained in total "O" 389-302 but had a 33:05 to 26:55 edge in time of possession. LSU is 10-5 ATS in road finales and the visitor in this series is 14-5 ATS the last 19. Ole Miss counters with a 2-9 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

MISSISSIPPI STATE (2-8 SU/2-8 ATS)
at ARKANSAS (7-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
Mississippi State continued to flounder last week in a 59-21 loss at Tennessee as +23½ point underdogs. QB Kevin Fant completed only 13-of-24 passes for 125 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for the Bulldogs, who have lost four straight games. He was also sacked four times. Tennessee finished the contest with 535 total yards and held Mississippi State to just 288. Arkansas is off an easy 48-20 home win over New Mexico State as -30 point chalks. QB Matt Jones completed 8-of-10 passes for 139 yards and rushed seven times for 132 yards, as Arkansas won its third game in row. Kyle Dickerson added 65 yards rushing and a score off of 10 carries, while Richard Smith hauled in three passes for 60 yards and a touchdown. The Hogs dominated the game with edges in total "O" (474-328) and first downs (27-18). Miss State is 7-3 ATS in road finales and the dog in this series is 10-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Arkansas comes in just 3-7 ATS the last ten meetings with the Bulldogs, but Miss State is on a current 5-16 ATS run their last 21 games overall.

EAST CAROLINA (1-9 SU/5-4-1 ATS)
at TULANE (4-7 SU/4-6 ATS)
East Carolina is off a bye week after dropping a 38-37 decision at home to South Florida two weeks ago as +11½ point underdogs. QB James Pinkney completed 16-of-34 pass attempts for 146 yards and one score and Vonta Leach totaled 111 yards and three scores on 26 carries. East Carolina lost the game despite holding edges in total "O" (362-243), first downs (22-11) and time of possession (37:01 to 22:59). Tulane is off a 28-14 loss at So Miss last week as +18 point underdogs. QB .P. Losman completed 21-of-36 passes for 244 yards and two scores in the losing effort for the Green Wave, who have lost six of their last seven games. Despite the loss, Roydell Williams had an excellent game, grabbing eight passes for 93 yards and one touchdown for the Green Wave. East Carolina is 2-4 ATS in road finales but is 5-1 SU the last five meetings with Tulane. Tulane comes in 3-7-2 ATS in home finales, but is 3-1-1 ATS the last 5 years.

IOWA STATE (2-8 SU/1-8 ATS)
at KANSAS (5-6 SU/5-5 ATS)
Iowa State's woes continued last week in a 44-10 home loss to Colorado as +7½ point underdogs. Waye Terry paced the Cyclones in the loss, throwing for 121 yards, one touchdown and an interception on 16-of-40 pass attempts. Terry also finished with 41 rushing yards, while Stevie Hicks Jr. led the team with 55 yards on 15 carries. It was another poor effort by the Cyclones as they were outgained in total "O" 376-184, first downs (20-12) and turned the ball over three times. Kansas is off a 44-21 loss at Oklahoma State last week as +20 point underdogs. QB Brian Luke led the Jayhawks in defeat, throwing for 193 yards and two touchdowns on 22-of-38 pass attempts. Clark Green paced the team on the ground with 77 rushing yards, while Charles Gordon hauled in nine balls for 72 yards. Kansas was outgained in total "O" 479-381 and threw three interceptions in the game. Iowa State is 5-1-1 ATS in season finales, but the visitor in this series is only 2-9-1 ATS the last 12 meetings. Iowa State also comes in on a 2-13 ATS run in their last 15 games dating back to last season.

MISSOURI (7-3 SU/6-3 ATS)
at KANSAS STATE (9-3 SU/5-5 ATS)
Mizzou is off a 45-22 home win over Texas A&M as -13 point favorites. QB Brad Smith ran for three touchdowns and 136 yards and completed 12-of-20 passes for 89 yards. Zack Abron led the Tigers on the ground with 141 yards and one touchdown on 20 attempts. Damien Nash added to a Missouri rushing attack that amassed 362 yards gained via the ground, by running for 65 yards and two scores. Mizzou outgained the Aggies in total "O" 443-435 and had a 27-25 edge in first downs. Kansas State looked good last week in a 38-9 win at Nebraska as -1½ point road chalks. QB Ell Roberson completed 15-of-28 passes for 313 yards and two TD's and ran for 90 yards on 22 carries and a score in the win, as the Wildcats who snapped a 17-game losing streak in Lincoln and clinched a share of the Big 12 North title. It was a dominant effort by K-State as they held edges in total "O" (561-293) and first downs (26-16). Mizzou is 7-2 ATS in road finales, but come in 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS the last 8 trips to Manhattan.

OKLAHOMA (11-0 SU/6-5 ATS)
at TEXAS TECH (7-4 SU/8-3 ATS)
Oklahoma went through the motions last week in a 41-3 win over Baylor, but did not cover as overwhelming -53 point home chalks. QB Jason White threw for 307 yards and four touchdowns and Mark Clayton caught six passes for 112 yards and two scores for the Sooners, who clinched a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game. Oklahoma has won its last three games by a combined score of 170-12 and will conclude the regular season this week at Texas Tech. The Sooners will then meet the Big 12 South winner for the conference championship on December 6th in Kansas City. The Sooners outgained Baylor in total "O" 315-189 and had a 21-10 edge in first downs. Texas Tech is off a 43-40 loss at Texas as +18 point underdogs. QB B.J. Symons, who passed for 365 yards and three touchdowns, drove the Red Raiders to the Texas 31 with 5 seconds left. Keith Toogood, who had two extra points blocked because of low kicks, got plenty of height on his final attempt but missed wide left on a 48-yard field goal as time expired. Tech outgained Texas in total "O" (527-494) and first downs (32-29). Oklahoma is 4-1-1 ATS in road finales and 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS the last ten meetings with Texas Tech. The Red Raiders counter with a sparkling 16-1 ATS mark in their last home game of the year.

OKLAHOMA STATE (8-3 SU/6-4 ATS)
at BAYLOR (3-8 SU/6-4 ATS)
Oklahoma State pounded Kansas last week in a 44-21 home win as -20 point chalks. RB Vernard Morency, who was filling in for the injured Tatum Bell, rushed for a career-high 269 yards and three touchdowns. Morency racked up his impressive rushing stats off of 25 carries and averaged 10.8 ypc. Josh Fields tossed for 190 yards, one touchdown and one interception on 14-of-21 pass attempts. All-American wideout Rashaun Woods finished with just four catches for 38 yards, but he was able to turn one of those receptions into a touchdown for the Cowboys, who outgained Kansas in total "O" 479-381. For what it’s worth, Baylor did not get totally annihilated last week in a 41-3 loss at top-ranked Oklahoma as +53 point underdogs. QB Shawn Bell completed 16-of-30 passes for 108 yards with an interception in defeat. The Bears managed just 189 yards of total offense, while allowing Oklahoma 315 yards and also had a 21-10 deficit in first downs. Baylor has lost six straight since a victory over Colorado. Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU and 6-0-2 ATS the last 8 meetings with Baylor and 6-0-1 ATS as an away chalk in conference play. Baylor counters with a 2-9 SU and 0-8-2 ATS mark in season finales.

HOUSTON (6-4 SU/6-3-1 ATS)
at LOUISVILLE (7-3 SU/3-7 ATS)
Houston comes off a 34-14 win at Army last week as -9 point favorites. QB Kevin Kolb completed 24-of-28 passes for 301 yards and two touchdowns, while WR Brandon Middleton had six catches for 129 yards with two touchdowns. Anthony Evans led the Cougar's ground attack with 140 yards and a touchdown on 32 carries, as Houston outgained Army 561-208 in total "O" and also had edges in first downs (31-10) and time of possession (39:05 to 20:55). Louisville was shell-shocked last week in a 37-7 home loss to Memphis as -5 point favorites. The Cardinals came into the game ranked fifth in the nation in total offense (482 yards per game). They gained only 216 yards and 12 first downs -- both season lows -- against Memphis and mustered their lowest point total since October 2001. Louisville suffered its worst home loss since Kentucky's 68-34 win in the 1998 season opener -- the first game ever played at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium. Houston is 4-9 ATS in road finales and the SU winner in this series is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings. Louisville counters with a 5-1 ATS mark in home finales.

UTEP (2-9 SU/5-4 ATS)
at RICE (3-7 SU/5-3-2 ATS)
UTEP is off a 51-21 loss at Boise State last week, but covered as +41 point underdogs. QB Jordan Palmer was 14-of-28 for 172 yards with one touchdown pass and one touchdown run, but also threw two interceptions for the Miners, who have dropped five in a row since posting back-to-back victories. Boise outgained UTEP in total "O" 474-312 and had a 28-17 edge in first downs. Rice is off a 41-20 win at SMU last week as -7 point favorites. Quarterback Kyle Herm passed for a couple of touchdowns and ran for a third in leading the Owls to victory. Herm completed just four passes on the day for the Owls, who won for the second time in the last three games, but managed to put up 157 yards through the air as a result. He also carried the ball eight times for 37 yards. Rice dominated the game with a 521-323 edge in total "O". UTEP is 5-1 ATS the last 6 meetings with Rice, but only 6-11 ATS in road finales. Rice counters with a 6-10 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

NEW MEXICO (7-4 SU/6-4 ATS)
at WYOMING (4-6 SU/5-4 ATS)
New Mexico is off a 24-12 home win over Air Force as -4½ point favorites. DonTrell Moore rushed for 188 yards in the win for the Lobos. Moore, the nation's leading rusher, also had two touchdowns and set the single-season school rushing record for New Mexico with 1,285 yards this year. The tailback has also scored 20 touchdowns this season and finished with a career-high 36 carries. Lobos' quarterback Casey Kelly completed 5-of-10 pass attempts for 90 yards, as New Mexico dominated on the ground, rushing for 274 yards. NM outgained the Falcons in total "O" 364-273 and had a 23-15 edge in first downs. Wyoming comes off a 47-17 loss at Utah last week as +11 point underdogs. Wyoming finished with 332 total yards, gaining just 70 in the second half and not crossing midfield until the final play of the game. QB Casey Bramlet completed 18 of 29 passes for 257 yards and a touchdown. New Mexico is 8-15 ATS as a road chalk, but 4-2 SU and ATS the last 6 meetings with the Cowboys.

COLORADO STATE (6-5 SU/5-5 ATS)
at UNLV (5-5 SU/4-6 ATS)
Colorado State comes off a 21-6 home win over San Diego State as -14 point chalks. QB Bradlee Van Pelt completed 11-of-19 passes for 156 yards and a touchdown and also rushed for 49 yards on 10 carries while leading the Rams to victory. The Rams won despite having deficits in total "O" (345-324) and first downs (20-15). UNLV comes off a bye week after a 7-0 home loss to San Diego State as -5 point favorites. The Rebels produced a meager 175 yards of total offense, an average of barely three yards per play. Quarterback Kurt Nantkes hit 14-of-29 for 137 yards for UNLV, which fell for the fourth time in the last five outings, but was also intercepted three times in the losing effort. Larry Croom (12 attempts, 27 yards) led an inept rushing attack that finished with just 31 yards on 22 rushing attempts. Colorado State is 12-3 ATS in road finales, while UNLV comes in on a 6-15 ATS run as well as 3-10 ATS at home at 1-6 ATS as a November host.

TULSA (7-4 SU/7-2-1 ATS)
at SAN JOSE STATE (3-7 SU/4-5-1 ATS)
Tulsa is coming off a nice 48-18 home win over La Tech as -1 point chalks. QB James Kilian completed 20-of-31 passes for 241 yards and three TD's to lead the Golden Hurricane to the win. Kilian added two scores on the ground and 32 yards on 11 carries for Tulsa, which has won four straight games and now guarantees the school a winning record this season for the first time since 1991. It was a good effort by Tulsa as they held a 483-313 edge in total "O". San Jose State was pounded at Fresno State last week in a 41-7 loss as +20 point underdogs. San Jose State avoided the shutout when Scott Rislov tossed a one-yard touchdown pass to Leon Pinky with 3:30 remaining. Rislov completed 24-of-38 passes for 175 yards. Tulsa is 3-11 ATS in road finales as well as 1-3 SU and ATS the last four meetings with San Jose. The Spartans counter with a dismal 2-8 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

WASH STATE (9-2 SU/5-6 ATS)
at WASHINGTON (5-6 SU/3-7-1 ATS)
The Cougars are coming off a 34-19 home win over Arizona State as -14 point chalks. QB Josh Swogger completed 14-of-20 passes for 203 yards in the win for Wazzou. Swogger was filling in for injured starter Matt Kegel after he left with an injury. Each quarterback threw for 77 yards in the first half, but it was Swogger who was called upon to complete the contest due to Kegel's injured shoulder. Kegel suffered the injury last week in a win over UCLA and it was Swogger who came in to lead the Cougars to victory. The Cougars need USC to falter down the stretch to win the Pac-10 title. WSU lost to the Trojans 43-16 two weeks back. Wash State outgained ASU in total "O" 402-322. Washington was drilled last week in a 54-7 loss at Cal last week as +6 point underdogs. With a bowl berth on the line for both teams, the Huskies struggled to protect quarterback Cody Pickett and routinely missed tackles on the way to giving up a season high in yards, as Cal racked up 729 yards on the Husky "D". Washington now must beat Washington State in the Apple Cup this week to get a bowl bid. Wash State is only 6-11 ATS in road finales, but is 7-4 ATS the last 11 meetings with the Huskies.

OREGON STATE (7-3 SU/5-4 ATS)
at OREGON (7-4 SU/6-5 ATS)
Oregon State pounded Stanford last week in a 43-3 home win as -15½ point favorites. QB Derek Anderson threw for 383 yards and four touchdowns in leading the Beavers to the convincing win. Anderson finished the contest 26-of-48 passing, while the conference's leading rusher, Steven Jackson, added 148 yards and a touchdown on 21 attempts in the victory for the Beavers in their second straight win. It was total domination by the Beavers as they held edges in total "O" (642-133) and first downs (29-7). Oregon looked like a different team last week in a 31-13 win at UCLA as +2 point underdogs. QB Kellen Clemens passed for 183 yards and two touchdowns, and Kenny Washington returned a kickoff 97 yards for another score as the Ducks took command early in the Bruins. With the win, Oregon has virtually assured itself a bowl bid. Clemens completed 14-of-18 passes for 154 yards in the first half and was 21-of-27 overall without being intercepted. Samie Parker had six receptions for 82 yards. Oregon State is 12-3 ATS the last 15 meetings with Oregon, but is only 2-8 ATS in November road games. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings.

BUFFALO (1-10 SU/4-6 ATS)
at KENT STATE (4-7 SU/8-2 ATS)
Buffalo is off a bye week after a 40-9 home loss to Northern Illinois two weeks ago as +23½ point underdogs. QB Randall Secky finished 19-of-37 passing for 176 yards with two interceptions for Buffalo, while Dave Dawson led Bulls rushers with nine carries for 47 yards and Matt Knueven paced the receivers with six catches for 75 yards, in the team's second consecutive loss. Buffalo was outgained in total "O" 481-306 and turned the ball over 4 times (2 fumbles, 2 interceptions). Kent State comes off a 42-33 loss at Bowling Green as +21 point underdogs. Joshua Cribbs was 19-of-45 for 239 yards with one touchdown for the Golden Flashes, who have lost five of their last six contests. Cribbs also ran for 196 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries. Buffalo is 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in road finales and the home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings between these two squads.

KENTUCKY (4-6 SU/6-3 ATS)
at GEORGIA (8-2 SU/5-5 ATS)
Kentucky was stunned last week in a 28-17 loss at Vanderbilt as -6½ point road chalks. QB Jared Lorenzen paced the Wildcats in defeat, throwing for 234 yards, one touchdown and one interception on 15-of-35 pass attempts. Arliss Beach turned in 109 yards rushing and a score, while Chris Bernard hauled in five receptions for 87 yards and a touchdown. The Wildcats were outgained in total "O" 421-382, but held a 25-20 edge on first downs. Georgia is off a 26-7 home win over Auburn last week as -7 point chalks. QB David Greene completed just 11-of-24 passes for 168 yards, but the Bulldog defense was dominant for more than three quarters and Odell Thurman sealed the contest with a 99-yard interception return for a touchdown. Georgia controlled the game with edges in total "O" (331-259) and first downs (17-13). The Bulldogs were coming off a bye after their three-point loss to Florida and remained alive for the SEC East title. Georgia trails Florida by one-half game and needs to beat Kentucky this week to forge a tie. Tennessee is also still alive at 4-2 in the conference and a three-way tie would be decided by standings in the BCS, which could give Georgia the title. Kentucky is 3-14 ATS in road finales and the home team in this series is 9-4 ATS the last 13 encounters. Georgia comes in 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS the week prior to playing hated in-state rival Georgia Tech.

UAB (4-6 SU/4-6 ATS)
at SOUTH FLORIDA (6-3 SU/3-4 ATS)
UAB comes off a bye week after losing at home two week ago to Tulane in a 38-24 setback as -13½ point favorites. Corey White ran for 138 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries and QB Chris Williams completed just 11-of-30 passes for 178 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Tulane and UAB matched yardage as they both had 499 yards in the game. South Florida is off a bye week after bearing East Carolina on the road 38-37 as -12 point favorites. South Florida won for the third straight week as Ronnie Banks threw for 86 yards and two scores on 6-of-16 passing. Banks came off the bench for Pat Julmiste who left the game after converting just 4-of-6 pass attempts for 15 yards and one touchdown. Elgin Hicks recorded three receptions for 65 yards and three scores to lead the Bulls receiving corps, while DeJuan Green racked up 117 rushing yards in the victory. South Florida somehow managed the win despite having deficits in total "O" (362-243), first downs (22-11) and time of possession (37:01 to 22:59). UAB is 3-4 SU and 4-2-1 ATS as a November traveler, while South Florida comes in with a 23-1 SU mark in their last 24 home games.

AIR FORCE (7-4 SU/3-7 ATS)
at SAN DIEGO STATE (5-6 SU/4-5 ATS)
Air Force comes off a 24-12 loss at New Mexico last week as +4½ point underdogs. QB Chance Harridge paced the Falcons in defeat, rushing for 70 yards and passing for 115 yards on 8-of-15 attempts. Joe Schieffer and Adam Strecker each had four receptions in the loss, while Schieffer led the team with 60 receiving yards. AF was outgained in total "O" (364-273) and (23-15) in first downs. San Diego State is off a 21-6 loss at Colorado State as +14 point underdogs. Kicker J.C. Mejia accounted for all of the Aztecs' points with his two field goals. Aztec quarterback Adam Hall completed 13-of-26 passes for 140 yards with an interception before leaving the game in the third quarter due to an injury to his non-throwing hand. Backup Matt Dlugolecki completed 10-of-22 passes for 97 yards with an interception in the losing effort as well. The Aztec's lost despite holding edges in total "O" (345-324) and first downs (20-15). AF is 4-2 SU but only 2-4 ATS the last six meetings with SD State and is just 5-7-1 ATS in road finales. SD State counters with a 3-8 ATS mark in their last home game of the year.

ARMY (0-11 SU/6-4-1 ATS)
at HAWAII (6-4 SU/2-7 ATS)
Army comes off a 34-14 home loss to Houston as +9 point underdogs. Army quarterback Zac Dahman completed 9-of-21 passes for 106 yards with a touchdown. Reggie Nevels also saw time under center and completed 2-of-8 passes for 92 yards with a touchdown as well. William White led the way for Army with five catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns in the game. It was not a goof effort by the Black Knights as they had deficits in total "O" (561-208), first downs (31-10) and time of possession (39:05 to 20:55). Hawaii comes off a 24-14 loss at Nevada last week as -4 point road chalks. QB Timmy Chang completed 25-of-48 passes for 269 yards and one touchdown, but was picked off twice and sacked three times as the Warriors had their four-game win streak snapped. Hawaii outgained Nevada 358-312, but could not overcome the 3 interceptions. Army is 1-17 SU and 3-14 ATS in road finales (excluding Navy) and 3-6 ATS the week before a bye. Hawaii comes in 13-4 ATS in the first game of a three game home-stand.

ADDED GAMES

UTAH STATE (3-8 SU/6-5 ATS)
at IDAHO (2-9 SU/4-5 ATS)
Utah State comes off a 23-14 home loss to Troy State as -7 point favorites. QB Travis Cox, who suffered a neck injury on the first play of the third quarter, completed 14-of-20 passes for 140 yards and added 16 rushing yards and one touchdown on four attempts in the losing effort for the Aggies, who lost their second straight game. Bryan Black came in relief of Cox and completed just 7-of-17 passes for only 56 yards with three interceptions. Utah State was outgained in total "O" 328-307 and had 7 turnovers in the game (4 fumbles, 3 interceptions). Idaho is off a 58-20 win at UL-Monroe as -1½ point road chalks. QB Brian Lindgren completed 12-of-18 passes for 223 yards, while Cliff Mason posted a pair of rushing touchdowns as well as one on a blocked punt return for the Vandals, who broke a four-game slide with the victory. Idaho opened the game by posting 51 unanswered points. Utah State is 2-4 ATS in road finales, but the favorite in this series is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings. Idaho counters with a 1-6 ATS mark in their last home game of the season.

UL-MONROE (1-10 SU/3-6 ATS)
at TROY STATE (5-6 SU/4-5 ATS)
UL-Monroe got pounded last week in a 58-20 home loss to Idaho as +1½ point underdogs. Quarterback Daniel DaPrato, who came on for Steven Jyles in relief, hit 9- of-17 attempts for 78 yards and a score in the loss for the Indians, losers of four in a row. UL-Monroe was down 51-0 at one point in the game and was never in it. Troy State got a win last week in a 23-14 victory at Utah State as +7 point underdogs. RB DeWhitt Betterson rushed for 230 yards and two scores on 46 carries while QB Aaron Leak completed just 7-of-18 passes for 105 yards in the win for Troy State, which snapped a three-game losing streak. Troy State outgained Utah State in total "O" 328-307 and capitalized on 7 Utah State turnovers. UL -Monroe is 0-2 SU and ATS in two recent meetings with Troy State and are 2-8 ATS as a double-digit road dog when playing on fake grass.

[This message was edited by The General on November 21, 2003 at 11:33 PM.]
 

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